Questionable TechnicalsThis chart shows a clear 3-year BULL market (08-11) followed by a long 8-year BEAR market. We see this trading at the bottom of the long bear channel, and in-fact, it looks like it broke through that channel and is on the way to the supports marked at 44 and then 40. I hold this long, am down since my initial purchase, and am reinvesting my dividends. I see another 15% downside from here, with a potential 80%+ upside long-term. This is a CORE position in my retirement portfolio.
The company recently sold corporate bonds to finance their purchase of Anadarko, which appears to have been in high demand (30yr bond getting close to 5%). This leads me to believe that the company will weather the storm, will come back stronger than ever, and eventually will make all investors who purchase this very happy.... I'm talking 10-years here, so anyone looking to get rich quick is shit out of luck....
Cash flow is king here, and as long as they can recognize cost synergies, shareholders will be rewarded.
If you buy this now, you would have bought shares cheaper than the CEO recently purchased them. However, know the risks; no investment is a sure thing
Happy investing.
