QCOM, TIME FOR A REVERSALHello fellow traders and investors, here's another trade idea.
QCOM has recently pulled back to the support area, if QCOM makes a full recovery it offers a 24% ROI.
Technicals:
The Macd indicates that it's oversold and in an uptrend
The EMA's have just crossed over and are in an uptrend
When To Buy:
Now is a good time to buy.
When To Sell:
I recommend selling in the take profit area offering around a 24% ROI.
Fundamentals: QUALCOMM, Inc. engages in the development, design, and provision of digital telecommunications products and services. QCOM is sitting at a P/E of 22, a debt/equity of 2 which isn't great however they have a sales growth of 62% Q/Q, an Earnings Per Share growth of 166% Q/Q, and an ROI of 25%.
Rating: 90/100 since I like the technical setup a lot in this scenario and the only reason why they didn't get a 100/100 rating is because of their debt/equity which isn't great.
NOTE: I don't think I will be buying for a few days now since the overall market especially tech will most likely be pulling back.
I hope you enjoyed this quick analysis and many more to come.
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Thanks.
QCOM trade ideas
We're goin back!Let' us analyze the pre-pandemic company results:
We can see a strong trendline was formed from the beginning of 2019.
From the middle of 2018 the company was doing good: the average earnings per share was 0.8, and was holding for 2 years
The average price was ~72 on that trendline.
The after-pandemic results are 2-2.5 which is 2-3 times more!
1. We are close to the trendline again, which makes strong buyout support.
2. The fair price today is between 72 * 2 = 144 and 72 * 3 = 216!
Therefore, we are way lower then a fair pice now, so the chances for the immediate reversal are extremely high!
Besides,
* RSI is on the low border
* EWO is close to the pandemic minimum
* the 120-130 gap from November is closed
* The 200-day sma corresponds the trendline, see the idea linked
TUZEMUN!!! :-)
QCOM High Conviction Trend ReversalQCOM at 200 SMA support and will likely revert back up or trade flat.
Trade Ideas
Shares : Long around the 200 SMA ($125) for $140 and $152.5+ Profit Targets.
Short Put : 110 strike expiring 4/16 for $1.3 Credit. Short 14.5 deltas with a 82.5% POP. $1000 BPE for a decent 13% ROC. Close at 50%-75% profit, 150%-200% Loss or 20 DTE, whichever comes first.
Put Credit Spread : 115-120 strikes for $1.33 Credit. 63% POP risking $367.
Call Debit Spread : ATM or maybe 1 OTM.
Weak chart: Not a QCOM year 😔I picked QCOM after it's earnings drop at the start of Feb. Overall guidance and earnings were positive, so it seemed like a no-brainer.
And the stock was between the 50 and 100MA at the time.... but this was a play that just didn't recover and I've been sleeping on it because I had planned it for the very long term.
Long term thesis: I think QCOM has a lot of potential long term. It is almost a 5g+ EV + semi conductor play put in one stock. But when I re-visit the weekly chart, the stock looks weak and ready for a further correction unfortunately.
I am not saying holding this stock for a very long term at current price is bad. But I see it being a lagging stock for 2021.
I have a decision to make to either close my QCOM and re enter a better dip later this year, which I believe is coming. Or, HODL, relax and dollar cost.
I may end up going for the sell on this soon and reconsider an entry in future.
Good luck traders.
Qcom channel trade Hit rock bottom after a earnings sell off followed by Nasdaq mini correction. bounce off the bottom of its channel today and I grab some contracts for 2 reasons.
1st - Over sold on all indicators RSI , MFI. and touch bottom of its. channel
2nd - President signed executive order for chip manufacturers (Sympathy play)
Yellow line is a downtrend .
Green lines are fibonacci targets , 100 day MA is also around 147$ area. will need strong volume to push through .
Double bottom at 151 which should help it closed that gap to 160
QCOM: Worldwide 5G Phones ReplacementSentiment play: Worldwide 5G Phones Replacement
Uptrend following
Based on Fibo retracement currently at strong support.
If break the support, to execute CL immediately, 1% below the support.
TP at fibo extension, 1.618 resistant.
There is no perfect trading. Ready to CL whenever require.
QCOM is still in a strong uptrendNotes from web browsing: "Assessing Qualcomm’s outsized gains, J.P. Morgan analyst believes “Qualcomm shares have reacted positively to the company successfully leveraging the 5G smartphone opportunity.” However, taking this into consideration, Chatterjee wonders how much upside is left from the 5G exposure. Luckily for Qualcomm, the company has other significant “revenue drivers.” Chatterjee estimates that the “combination of smartphone baseband as well as adjacent market opportunities will drive material upside for QCT revenues relative to consensus.” This should also result in roughly $1.4 billion more revenue than the analyst’s previous estimate for FY22. These “adjacent markets” are for RFFE (rf front end) in smartphones, automotive, and IoT (internet of things). While Chatterjee forecasts a 26% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) for 5G based sales between FY2019 and FY2022, RFFE smartphone is anticipated to exhibit a 40% CAGR, with Automotive at 25%, and an additional 8% for IoT. These figures are based on the assumption that Qualcomm takes a big chunk of revenue share from each SAM (service addressable market).