Starbucks Corporation: Elliott Wave Correction Unfolding [SHORT]NASDAQ:SBUX
Overview:
Starbucks is in the midst of an Elliott Wave corrective structure, likely entering the C-wave of an ABC correction. The bearish momentum suggests that the correction isn't complete, presenting an opportunity to short as the structure completes.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Wave A: The initial impulsive wave down broke key support levels, signaling the start of a correction. This wave exhibited strong bearish momentum.
Wave B: The corrective upward retracement faced resistance near $93.12, forming a potential lower high and respecting the descending channel. With failure to break out above $94, this wave has likely concluded, paving the way for the final corrective wave.
Wave C: Currently forming, this wave is expected to extend toward lower Fibonacci retracement levels, targeting $88.71, $84.29, and $79.88. The typical symmetry in Elliott Wave corrections suggests that Wave C may equal or exceed the length of Wave A.
Key Trading Levels:
Entry: $93.12 (near the end of Wave B).
Stop Loss: $94.00 (just above Wave B resistance).
Target 1: $88.71 (38.2% Fibonacci extension of Wave A).
Target 2: $84.29 (61.8% extension and channel support).
Target 3: $79.88 (full measured move of Wave C and strong support).
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry: Look for confirmation of rejection near $93.12. This aligns with the conclusion of Wave B and the start of Wave C.
Risk Management: Place a tight stop-loss at $94, above the resistance line formed by Wave B.
Profit-Taking: Scale out of positions as price approaches each Fibonacci target and key support zones.
Additional Notes:
The Elliott Wave correction is part of a broader descending wedge structure. A decisive breakdown could trigger a stronger bearish continuation.
Confluence of technical factors (Fibonacci levels, trendline resistance, and Elliott Wave symmetry) supports the bearish scenario.
Monitor volume and RSI for divergences to confirm the wave progression.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risks, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or decisions made based on this analysis. Always trade responsibly and within your own risk tolerance.