SNOW Bull FlagSNOW has a nice looking bull flag here, but MSFT is still down after after hours. MSFT did have a bounce after the initial big drop when earnings were first released, but it's still putting a lot of pressure on SNOW for now. So it seems kind of hard for SNOW to break out while that's happening, but we'll see where things are when the bell rings tomorrow morning.
SNOW has been very weak and it may gap down tomorrow off of MSFT earnings and if that's the case, I'd be looking for rallies to short. Best short opportunities would be if it gapped down and retested $129 or $133. For upside targets, I'd be looking to take profit on calls at the trendline above if it goes that way.
SNWF trade ideas
LULU & SNOW Short Recap - Finding Shorts in a Bull MarketI wanted to do a review of these trades to explain more about my thoughts and approach to trading. I am typically heavily focused on trend following and Dow Theory, but lately I have been fighting the trend, and of course that hasn't worked out well. However, I've adapted which is what this game is all about.
I don't want to long these strong mega caps up here and I wouldn't short them either. So I've been looking for other markets and tickers to trade which has been going well. Hope it helps.
SNOW -Short term bearish, long term bullishI was very bullish on SNOW until I realized a few things.
1. Decreasing volume on daily
2. Weak RSI
3. Strong resistance at triangle around $145, both daily and weekly closing below it.
Expectation...
Currently basing $140-$144.
Breakout to the upside WITH VOLUME and I'm looking for $158.
Breakdown of $140 I'm not touching until $125 backtest.
SNOW - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
$SNOW - A potential NYSE:SNOW Snowflake finally caught a bid today. Big reversal with a bullish engulfing candle.
MACD, RSI, accumulation distribution, and momentum are all showing signs of a bullish reversal. It still needs a follow through and a weekly close above $130 for confirmation.
We could see a potential move to $142.
Snow pulling for correctionChart Features:
Time Frame: 1-hour candlestick chart.
Trend Lines:
Downward trend lines indicating a previous bearish trend.
A breakout above the downward trend line, suggesting a potential reversal.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
23.6% at approximately $134.16
38.2% at approximately $139.93
50% at approximately $144.58
61.8% at approximately $149.24
Price Levels:
Current price is $128.12.
Notable potential upward targets:
$131.71
$134.75
$138.88
Support and Resistance:
Support around $126.16.
Resistance levels aligned with the Fibonacci retracement levels.
Analysis:
Breakout and Reversal: The chart shows a breakout from a downward trend line, indicating a potential reversal from the previous bearish trend.
Potential Targets:
First Target: $131.71 – This could be the first resistance level to watch.
Second Target: $134.75 – Aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Third Target: $138.88 – Aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Support Levels: If the price falls back, the first support level is around $126.16, followed by a stronger support at approximately $122.59.
Key Considerations:
Volume Confirmation: Look for volume confirmation on the breakout to validate the potential trend reversal.
Market Sentiment: Consider the overall market sentiment and news related to Snowflake Inc. that might affect the stock price.
Risk Management: Establish stop-loss levels to manage risk if the breakout fails and the price moves back into the previous bearish trend.
This chart suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for Snowflake Inc., with the potential for the stock price to rise to the identified targets, provided the breakout is sustained with good volume and market support.
SNOW Snowflake Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SNOW on disappointing growth:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SNOW Snowflake prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $16.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SNOW nice 3 to 1 RR trade ideaSigns of downward push has been slowed and time to correction:
1. Oversold
2. Daily time frame have first green candle formed
3. Formed falling wedge (bullish) pattern
4. Bullish divergence: oscillator formed higher highs while price action shows lower low
5. Filled gap at $126 area
Go long $126-$130 area and potential targets are: $132 $135 $138 $140
Snowflake: Arriving The Snowflake share has now reached our magenta-colored Target Zone (coordinates: $130.78 - $97.80). There we expect the low of the turquoise wave a. This wave should be followed by a larger corrective rise before a further descent sets in. We consider it 27% likely that the price is already working on the magenta-colored wave alt. (1) is already in progress.
$SNOW - looks attractiveNYSE:SNOW Snowflake could build a base around the $130 to $125 area and could see a reversal back to the $145 area in the near term. The stock is currently sitting on the 4.236 max Fib extension and near the bottom of a multi-year base.
The market might have overreacted to the competitor's threat. Insiders buying up shares in recent days signals the stock may have overdone it to the downside.
I think the risk-reward here is attractive to go long with a potential stop around the $125 area.
Upside targets:
$137
$145
$154
Downside risk:
$122
Can Snow Shake A Bad ER?Outlook - SNOW could be the trade of the week with major potential if it can shake a miss
on the previous earnings report. Bearish net flows into close friday leads me to believe that
SNOW will gap down on open to 128. If 128 holds I see bullish options premium on the 133 & 135 stricks
Upside Targets:
* 134.56--138.48--142.85
Downside Targets:
* 128.81--125.17--120.29
Quantum Edge Analytics = T/A supports Bullish Potential if 128 can hold.