TMUS trade ideas
T-Mobile - 30% Opportunity for Short Trade?Fundamental Indicators:
Revenue- 2022 TTM shows slowdown compared to the previous year
Profits – falling since 2017, negative cash flow
Net margin - very low with just 2.14% and consistently reducing since 2017
P/E – extremely high at 107 compared to S&P500 with 21
Liabilities - debt ratio is at 0.67 which is within normal limits, Net Debt/ EBITDA is at 3.36 – no problems with debt
Conclusion – it is very likely to start correcting
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
Main scenario of this idea suggests that the high that was formed in July 2021 has completed the global growth cycle which can be observed in a higher timeframe through a five-wave impulse
Since then, we can see first impulsive move to the downside in wave A and currently forming deep correction in wave B
Using Fibonacci retracement levels, we can see that blue wave X is very near completion and a new bear cycle is soon to start
The target area for this move is the previous low of wave A at $101
This is a higher timeframe to reflect the full history of T-Mobile and to provide full wave count:
What do you think about T-Mobile and its short term prospects?
Also let me know if you would like to see other stocks, indices, Forex or Crypto analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
$TMUS ER Breakout and bullish flowTMUS since FEB's gap up on earnings has been grinding higher, with a nice pop today after ER on good volume
Option flow is pretty bullish, especially leaps on the 160C JAN 24 and JUN 23.
Personally I'm hoping for a retest of the breakout zone where I will go long i.e. BRB - breakout retest bounce - with 145 and 151 zone upside targets.
Post ER and Post Fed meeting so less risk IMO but I'd give this idea some time to work targeting SEP opex or later.
Buy the dip
Cheers
TMUS: Looking to go higher?TMUS
Short Term - We look to Buy a break of 138.19 (stop at 133.78)
Trend line resistance is located at 137.50. A break of resistance at 137.50 should lead to a more aggressive move higher towards 150.00. Daily signals are bullish. Our bias remains bullish and further upside is expected to target resistance at 150.00.
Our profit targets will be 149.90 and 160.00
Resistance: 150.00 / 160.00 / 180.00
Support: 137.00 / 132.00 / 124.00
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TMUS TREND AND WAVE ANALYSISBe sure to stick to Stop Lost and TAkE Profit. This is an idea and not a bargain offer
This is just idea, not trading advice, use at own risk.
reasons:
It is recommended to buy in this price limit
It is mandatory to pay attention to the stop loss and the target marked on the chart
Do not be greedy and adhere to the specified principles. I hope you will be profitable
Note that there is no 100% analysis and it is possible to stop flirting
This is a personal analysis and you should not enter into a transaction without review
If you know this, make a purchase
Be sure to adhere to the principles of capital management and do not invest more than 2% of your capital in each transaction.
High-risk individuals can enter a maximum of 5% of risk capital in this transaction by accepting risk-taking.
This analysis has been analyzed with the classic Elliott topics and neo wave style. Also, the principles of price action have been used.
TMUS make or break price action.TMUS printed an indecisive doji candle on the daily on 01/24/22 followed by a green candle that touched a older demand zone. Seems like the market was torn on Monday, and decided to make a small gain today. I am long TMUS, and the rest of this week we'll see what happens in the demand zone around ~$107.50. If it enters this zone and bullish candles remain, it should break out. Next stop is about ~$118 and will probably be swayed in that direction (or not) by the guidance in the upcoming earnings. I'm expecting to enter the demand zone and break out, but the rest we'll have to wait and see.
I took some March 120c earlier based on bullish divergence in the RSI on the daily but will probably close trade if it breaks down below 100, or earnings is miserable. I'm hoping to exit most of them around $120 mid Feb.
$TMUS now shortClosed TMUS calls up about 40% and flipped to the short side.
I heard Cramer was pumping this week, that alone should have been my signal,
but technically on the weekly it seems to have been rejected at 135 resistance and a volume uptick this week
Momo is also turning and seeing Bearish confluence in the MACD
First PT $123 with a possible move down to the 30MA (orange line) similar to FEB's price action
T-Mobile | TMUS | Short to Fill the Gap BelowT-Mobile ( NASDAQ:TMUS ) popped after its most recent earnings release. The gap below looms before the March 2022 Fed meeting and OpEx week. Based on its inability to break through resistance, the slight bearish divergence, and the weakening momentum, I expect the gap below ($110.50 = $116.91) to be filled in the coming days/weeks.
TMUS T Mobile Short IdeaTMUS - the street liked recent ER with a nice pop up to 122 zone resistance. So far unable to break higher however still holding.
With the gap below, I'm speculating on a move to the down side, retest trendline / close gap before seeing more upside.
Will be watching this week if price holds or continues up I will close my short at a loss.
At the very least I'm expecting some retracement after such a move up on relatively weak name.
A break above 122 will flip and go long, as trend will now be up on the shorter term daily look.
T-Mobile earnings popT-Mobile US (TMUS) reported Q4 December 2021 earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $20.8 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.18 per share on revenue of $21.1 billion. I'm not really sure why Wallstreet prefers TMUS price to earnings 44.8 with a .53 debt to assets ratio over other tickers with way better valuation, but the market does what it does. lol. I'm looking for a short TMUS entry actually. Here's the TMUS 4-hour chart.
Q4 Consensus:
EPS = $0.18
Revenue = $21.1B
Fundamentals:
P/E = 44.8
EPS = $0.34
Revenue = $20.8B
Cash = $6.63B
D/A = .53
Div /Yld = ---
52 week high = $150.20
52 week low = $101.51
SMA200 = $117.27
SMA150 = $114.60
SMA100 = $112.74
SMA50 = $109.73
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
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