TSLA trade ideas
TSLA Main Trend 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 month (no need for less). Chart until 2031
🟢At the moment we are running a big triangle that broke through upwards .
🔄 There is a rollback now , to retest the breakout zone. All according to technical analysis, due to the super success of the company and the liquidity of its shares. As for me, the retest should be successful, and then the trend will continue.
🔴But, they can do, like in the last cycle (I specifically highlighted this and showed %), a reset (for some grandiose news) and only then a reversal. If this happens, remember, this is a "temporary phenomenon". Do not play locally in shorts, the main trend is bullish, and it will clearly dominate in the long term.
Fundamental analysis. Competition with BYD.
That's why I'll write a lot of text about how this will greatly affect the price of TSLA shares in the future (real supply/demand) due to trade wars for sales markets.
1️⃣ The only competitor in the world is only the Chinese BYD . Which will become an order of magnitude stronger for TSLA in monetary terms and the popularity of more technologically advanced and affordable cars. Its main advantage, why it can give a cheaper price for a higher quality product, is complete control over the production of the most expensive unit of an electric car - batteries. From the extraction of raw materials for production to the assembly of the battery, without intermediaries. But, it is worth noting that the future super giant BYD will be denied access (as is currently partially the case) to countries where politics is subject to US influence.
This is the so-called "gray zone" where a "trade war" will develop for the sale of products. The one who pays more will win, or their government (USA or China) will use greater leverage. For example, as now, in Brazil. The construction of the BYD plant is closed due to "inhumane working conditions" (and this is in a company with 500 billion in capital) in an important region (Latin America), where "the enemy does not sleep" and plans to begin construction of TSLA-Brazil in 2026. You probably understand what the matter is...
The main “trade battle” will naturally take place for the European market . The European electric car industry will not be competitive with TSLA and BYD (two main flagship companies in the transition of internal combustion engines to electric transport on earth).
It is worth noting that TSLA is now very popular in China. There is a large plant (Shanghai). 40,000 pre-orders for the new Model Y. The Chinese government does not interfere with this. But if unfair play continues in other markets, it is unlikely that TSLA will not be thrown out of China. Competition must be fair. Duties on cars are similar. So far, this is conditionally observed, but there are negative signs from the United States.
2️⃣ The reality of the launch of a new hydrogen engine from Toyota. There are rumors that it is being developed jointly with BMW. This is a completely new level of hydrogen engines. Instead of refueling with hydrogen, distilled water will be poured into the tank. The engine converts it into hydrogen. Serial production will allegedly begin in 2028, when the first hydrogen BMW models will roll off the assembly line.
In some sources, also together with Mercedes-Benz, and even Porsche. Perhaps this is just a news teaser for a potential future buyer, to save the catastrophic decline in sales last year and this year, due to the virtual loss (due to the inability to compete) of the world's largest sales market — China.
It is probably logical to assume that the release of this hydrogen engine to the masses will negatively affect TSLA shares. Provided that TSLA does not follow this fuel trend. My opinion is that they are unlikely to give mass production to something like this. It is like the mass production of electric cars in the 1990s and 2000s, in the era of the reign and monopoly of the hegemonies of oil capital, and as a consequence of internal combustion engines.
3️⃣ Massive power outages around the world. The next point is probably more of a “conspiracy theory”, but I can't help but mention the extremely unlikely scenario of impact on stock prices (a sharp drop).
It is worth noting that the shares of any company that is associated with electricity are extremely “afraid” of a massive power outage and its rise in price, especially accompanied by extremely negative news. If, at least for a week, with a significant transition to electric vehicles (for example, 20-30%) in a large city there are power outages, then this can have an extremely negative impact on the shares of companies associated with the production of electric vehicles and components for them, which is logical. To scare and save and, as a result, "get your way".
4️⃣ Also, a gradual but rapid rise in the price of electricity , as a result of some events or policies, will discourage people from using electric vehicles (they will buy and drive less). This could also have a negative impact on the earnings of these companies like TSLA and BYD, and as a result on their speculative assets.
PS . Of all the points, probably the most important is 1 (real competition and trade war). Then 2, after 2028. Before that, I think TSLA and other companies related to electric cars will pump up a lot.
$TSLA potential bottom hereI see a 78.6% retracement of the previous move,
And potentially a wyckoff spring.
If we get a strong bounce here, Uptrend should continue.
TSLA: Buy ideaHigh probability of an uptrend on TSLA as you can see on the chart. This trend will be confirmed when the resistance line is forcefully broken by buyers.
[02/03] TSLA GEX Outlook for February expiration📌 Key Levels & GEX Insights
Gamma Flip Zone: ~400 (until Febr expiration)
Tight Transition Zone, Wide Clear Movement Range
Above 420 Call Resistance : Every strike has positive Net GEX, meaning a return to this range would likely support further balanced upside or sideways movement.
Below 375 : The next PUT support is at 350, so a break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop.
There are 3 weeks until expiration. IV and IVR remain high even after earnings.
Despite today’s selloff, the high call pricing skew is still attractive if we want to collect credit.
In this case, a call butterfly or broken-wing call butterfly could be worth considering—but strictly based on GEX levels.
PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
Retest of $400Tesla is still extremely bullish currently and I think it bounces back to retest the trendline which is between 395-400.
Not financial advice, good luck to all
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 330/335/465/470 IC*... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: Post-earnings, IV remains fairly decent here at 57.3. Selling the -20 delta short option legs and buying the wings out from there. Basically, just doing small stuff while I wait for other stuff to play out.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.70
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
ROC at Max: 51.2%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Delta/Theta: .95/2.24
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, consider doing a delta adjustment when the delta/theta ratio skews out to >2.0.
* -- Iron Condor.
TSLA - Optimistic Reversal ZoneNASDAQ:TSLA still in correction wave.
A potential price reversal zone (PRZ) is around 320.
If we can have it, it might be okay to keep it along this year.
TSLA: Technical Analysis (TA) for Feb. 7Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Market Overview
* Current Price: $370.88
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $380: Immediate resistance. A breakout above this level aligns with a potential gamma squeeze.
* $400: Higher resistance and critical level for bullish continuation.
* Key Support Levels:
* $363: Closest support, aligned with the highest negative GEX level.
* $350: Stronger support and psychological level with higher PUT concentration.
Trend Analysis
* TSLA is moving within a descending triangle. A breakout above $380 could signal a bullish reversal.
* However, price action remains constrained, suggesting cautious entry until direction is confirmed.
Momentum Indicators
* MACD: Bearish momentum is easing, but there is no clear bullish crossover yet.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought in short-term, indicating the potential for short-term consolidation before further moves.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading
GEX Overview:
* Call Resistance:
* $380: Strong resistance aligned with 92.29% CALL wall concentration.
* Put Support:
* $363: High negative GEX level, suggesting robust support.
* Sentiment: GEX indicates a neutral-to-bearish sentiment due to concentrated PUT walls below the current price.
Trading Suggestion
Options Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Call Options if the price breaks above $380 with strong volume.
* Target: $400.
* Stop Loss: Below $374.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Put Options if the price drops below $363.
* Target: $350.
* Stop Loss: Above $368.
Critical Observations
* At market open, price movements may shift due to increased volume and volatility. Ensure to check real-time GEX updates to validate your setups.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risks accordingly.
TSLA Next Leg Up Tesla looks primed for a strong move after consolidating. The stock has been trading in a tight range, building up momentum, and now appears ready to break out soon. With higher lows forming and volume showing signs of accumulation, a bullish move could be imminent. If TSLA pushes past resistance with strong buying pressure, we could see a significant rally in the coming sessions. Watching for confirmation and a clean breakout—this could be the start of the next leg up.
TESLA 1H Chart LongTesla is getting into 1H strong support, we believe that even if it's gonna fall more the price first will reach take profit 1 target
Weakness in $TSLA when $QQQ and $SPY are strongAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. The NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 50 Day SMA and the next stops are the 100-Day @ 330 $ and then the next stop is the 200-Day @ 280 $ . For all the Fib Retracement fans check out for the levels 0.786 @ 345 $ and 0.618 @ 293 $.
In contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are making new ATH and holding on to the gains. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. But long NASDAQ:TSLA when it reaches 200-Day SMA.
TESLA PRICE ACTION 6TH FEB 2025This is the price action of TESLA at its very best & exclusively for viewers on trading view.
I have discussed in depth price action of TESLA and if you have any doubts feel free to leave a message or your comments below.
Get Ready to buy Tesla Buy Tesla in $310 - $290 buy zone . Sell $420 area Stop below $250 Using Elliot Wave, Murrey Math, Kumar wave . Good Luck!
Looking for another bounce...Head and shoulders pattern has completed, now I'm looking for another bounce at or near $422, which should cause the Bollinger to squeeze before the next big move.
TSLA: RL and SL converge: Buy ideaOn TSLA, we can see on the graph that the resistance line and the support line converge. This means that we should expect a high probability of the market going higher.
Short tesla Weakness... plummeting EU sales... Elons Dream of autonomous driving and optimus sales are not right behind the corner...
W Formation on Tesla for the LONG run 110% upside to comeTesla is showing all signs of upside this year.
They are putting their money in the right places.
Advancements in Autonomous Vehicles: Tesla plans to launch self-driving robotaxi services in Austin by mid-2025, signaling significant progress in autonomous technology.
INVESTORS.COM
Innovations in Robotics: The company is ramping up production of its Optimus humanoid robots, aiming to produce several thousand by the end of 2025, showcasing its commitment to cutting-edge robotics.
Strategic Political Alliances: CEO Elon Musk's close relationship with President Donald Trump has led investors to anticipate favorable regulatory changes and reduced government oversight, potentially benefiting Tesla's operations.
So innovation, robotics and politics. Either we will see huge growth this year, or we are in for a BIG surprise. However, because this is a weekly chart it can take two years for this to play out realistically.
W Formation
Price>20 and 200
Current falling Wedge
Target $684.41
Tesla: The New Gold in the World of Investing?Tesla is showing incredible growth at the level of Bitcoin and reminds me a lot of the structure of the leading cryptocurrency! Given the potential of Ilon Musk's company and his imminent tenure, we should not rule out “golden” times for his companies. Tesla has a great track record of building robots, developing super capacitors for its electric cars, and developing its own AI and its application in autopilot. Tesla looks like a great investment option right now, both long term and for a couple years.
Horban Brothers.
$TSLA - Fibonacci Channel GP support AGAINYet another perfect touch and support on the Fib Channel Golden Pocket.🔍🔎
There are other technicals here also but not quite as well respected.
TSLA potential hold around 375-378Probably see a liquidity sweep below 375 and rally on TSLA.
360 is a strong support below as well - from previous base break level from Nov 2024.
Tesla High Risk of $255Tesla is Stuck under $430 ATH resistance and at high risk of falling back to $255 support.
Tesla is no longer growing and Musk is polarizing and alienating their mostly progressive leaning customer base. This stock simply makes zero sense for a 200 pe ratio.
