$TSLA - Weakness Persists Ahead of Earnings.NASDAQ:TSLA : The stock failed to recover last week and registered consistently lower swing highs. Unless we see a decisive breach of $250, lower lows are on the table.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLAR PRICE BACK TO $355+Tslar seems to have seen the last of its stock price as the price is pose for $375 or $355+ per a share as investors getting used the tariff battle
TSLA LongTSLA Long
Current demand Zone (218) confirmed,
Sell put below next two demand
Long entry 225
no Stop
Target 300
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
20.4.2025 What should we expect? Will Elon's magic number play a role in the change in market direction? 4. 20.
What should we expect?
TSLA Elliott wave Analysis 20/4/2025For me, I think that TSLA have already End the Cycle (count from the first day TSLA is IPO).As you can see there is a clear divergence at the wave 5 of the A wave,suggesting that A wave of the corrective wave should be end and ready for the huge B wave that might take a lot of time (Since it is the B wave of the massive wave 2).But there is a change that the wave A that is coming down might be the part of WXY pattern or others pattern so we have to keep an eye on.
TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17)
Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data:
──────────────────────────────
MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum. – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242. – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade. – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop.
• Gemini/Google – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization. – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias. – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed.
• Claude/Anthropic – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50). – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range. – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price.
• Llama/Meta – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts. – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play. – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others.
• DeepSeek – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts. – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75. – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
Agreements: – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75. – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning. – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization.
Disagreements: – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable. – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure.
Recommended Trade: Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA.
Trade Parameters: – Instrument: TSLA – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE) – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support) – Entry Timing: At the open – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium) – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract – Confidence Level: Approximately 65% – Key Risks & Considerations: • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245. • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes. • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" }
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Tesla Long Longseems like we are done with those lower prices; this week´s target is $305.
as you can see the SL and TP
GL
TSLATSLA still have some upside, we will see the reaction above 295.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Tisk Tisk TSLAShort thoughts on a neutral area. TSLA broke out of what appears to be bear flag to me. I also see an inverse cup & handle. We may attempt to retest and/or regain the channel. If we fail, 225-220 is my target. Demand zone marked. More journal notes this week to stay focused on the trade(s).
Bear Flag:
www.bapital.com
Cup & Handle:
www.investopedia.com
Inverse Cup & Handle ( from our very own Trading View):
youtu.be
TSLA resuming downtrend target the same 155TSLA weirdo
Monday will be a good day to load up on shorts again
Still target 155
GEX Analysis & Options “Game Plan”🔶 Short- and longer-term perspective in a high IV, negative GEX environment
🔶 KEY LEVELS & RANGES
Spot: 221
Gamma Flip / Transition: around 250 (the turquoise zone on the chart)
– This zone typically marks a “power shift.” If price decisively breaks above 250 and holds, market makers’ gamma positioning could flip from neutral/negative to positive.
Put Support: 200
– A large negative gamma position has accumulated here, making 200 a strong support level. If it breaks, the downside may accelerate.
Call Resistance: 400
– A major long-term “call wall” where a significant amount of OTM calls are concentrated. It’s more relevant to LEAPS; currently far from spot, so not a realistic short-term target.
Call Resistance #2: 300
– A medium-term bullish objective, still above the 200-day MA. You’d need to be strongly bullish to aim for ~300 by May (e.g., going for a 16-delta OTM call).
Short-Term / Intermediate GEX Levels:
– There are gamma clusters around 220–230 and 250–260 . These areas often see higher volatility, possible bounces, or stalls (chop) due to hedging flows.
🔶 WHATEVER SCENARIO – SHORT TERM (0–30 DAYS)
A) Upside Continuation / Rebound
– If TSLA closes above 225–230 , the next target is 240–250 (transition / gamma flip).
– If it breaks above 250 and holds (e.g., successful retest), market makers may shift to “long gamma,” fueling a quicker move to 260–270 .
– Resistance: 250, 300, with an extreme LEAPS-level at 400.
B) Downside Move / Bearish Break
– If price dips below ~220 and sustains, the next targets are 210–200 (major put wall / negative gamma).
– If 200 fails, negative gamma may magnify the sell-off. It’s an extreme scenario but still on the table given high IV and macro/geopolitical risks.
– Support: 210, 200 — likely stronger buying interest near 200, possibly a short-term bounce.
– The options chain suggests near-term hedging via puts for this scenario.
C) Chop / Sideways
– If TSLA stays in 210–230 , market makers (short options) might benefit from high IV/time decay.
– Negative GEX, however, can trigger sudden moves in either direction; caution is advised.
🔶 LONGER-TERM FOCUS (6–12 MONTHS, LEAPS)
NET GEX = -61.97M (negative territory) suggests longer-dated positioning is also put-heavy or carries notable negative gamma.
HVL / pTrans = 250 is a key pivot; cTrans+ = 400 is distant call resistance. Between these levels, there’s a mix of put/call dominance.
If Tesla undergoes a fresh growth phase (AI, robotaxi, energy storage, etc.) and clears 250/300 , 400 could become the next significant call wall — but that’s more of a multi-month horizon.
🔶 STRATEGY IDEAS (High IV Environment)
1. Short-Term Bearish
– If you’re bearish and expecting TSLA to test 220–210, consider a bear put spread or net credit put butterfly (lower debit) to leverage high IV.
– Targeting 200, but keep in mind negative gamma may accelerate downside movement.
2. Medium-Term “Contra” Bullish (bounce to 250)
– If GEX suggests a bounce off 210–220, consider a bull call spread (e.g., 220/240) or a net debit call butterfly (220/240/250).
– Be mindful of sudden swings, as we remain in negative gamma territory.
3. Longer-Term Bullish (>3–6 months)
– A call butterfly with upper strikes around 300–350 offers capped debit and higher potential payoff if a bigger rally materializes.
– A diagonal spread (selling nearer-dated calls, buying further-out calls) exploits elevated front-end IV.
4. Neutral / Range-Bound
– If TSLA stays in 200–250 , you could use Iron Condors (e.g., 200/260) to benefit from time decay and any IV collapse.
– Exercise caution: negative gamma can generate abrupt, directional moves, making a neutral stance riskier than usual.
🔶 ADDITIONAL NOTES & “BIG PICTURE”
High IV & Negative GEX: TSLA has a track record of large swings. Negative GEX can intensify sell-offs, while forced hedging might trigger rapid rebounds.
Preferred Structures: With expensive premiums, spreads (vertical, diagonal) and butterfly configurations generally fare better than plain long options (less vulnerable to time decay).
Potential Catalysts: AI announcements, Autopilot breakthroughs, new product lines, and macro changes can swiftly alter market dynamics. Keep tracking GEX updates and news flow; TSLA tends to respond dramatically to fresh developments.
🔶 Bottom line: From 221 spot, watch 210–200 on the downside and 240–250 on the upside short term. Medium-term bullish target = 300 , while 400 remains a far LEAPS scenario. High IV + negative gamma = fast, potentially volatile moves — so risk management and spread-based approaches are crucial.
Tesla Shares Tumble 7%+ Following Cybertruck Quality ComplaintsTesla Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) faced another sharp sell-off on Thursday 10th. The stock dropped 7.27% to close at $252.40, down $19.80 for the day. However, volume was high, reaching 399.04 million shares.
The fall followed reports of build quality issues in Tesla’s Cybertruck. Owners posted complaints on the Cybertruck Owners Club forum. Several noted that the vehicle’s metal panels had detached.
Additionally, videos showing Cybertruck damage in cold weather gained attention on social media site X. These reports raised concerns over production quality.
Tesla had been recovering before the recent plunge. However, concerns about product reliability appear to have paused the rebound.
Technical Analysis
The 3-day chart shows Tesla in a strong downtrend. The stock broke below $290, triggering a drop to around $220 before bouncing back to $252. Price recently respected a key support near $190m, which may act as a floor for future declines. High volume near support signals buyer interest. If Tesla breaks above $290, it could retest $300. That zone acts as resistance and aligns with the 50- and 100-day moving averages at $252 and $232, respectively.
The longer-term target is near $488, but the price must clear $290 first. A failure to hold support near $220 could send the stock back toward $180. The RSI is at 42.77, slightly above oversold. Momentum is weak but may shift if price builds support above $250. Tesla’s next move depends on how it manages both technical resistance and consumer concerns.
TSLA - Rebound From Major SupportBullish Divergence along with Marubuzo candle formed.
High Probability for a bullish breakout
What Do You Think
HammeringWe are holding above a 2 year old resistance. It had extensively been exceeded in November last year and as fast retraced this year so far.
This looks as we have reached a level of market balance now.
The candle stick Hammer may now hammer out this resistance as the new long term bottom.
TESLA: DOESN'T GET MUCH SIMPLER THAN THISThe downtrend is obvious, clear, and well defined. The long term downtrend will continue for the foreseeable future.
Maybe if this company changes its CEO, that will inspire confidence in the stockholders
TSLA next 240 then 240Bear Flag breakdown on 15m chart
If we break down the 50% fib then TSLA
has chances to go all the way back to yesterday's low
Market not showing any kind of trust in this bull move
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single DayTesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single Day
Tesla was among the standout performers in the stock market rally that followed President Trump’s decision to delay, by 90 days, the implementation of new international trade tariffs — with the notable exception of China. According to the charts, Tesla (TSLA) shares surged by approximately 22%.
Why Did TSLA Shares Soar?
Some insight comes from Cathie Wood, CEO of asset management firm ARK Invest.
In an interview with Barron’s on Wednesday, she noted the following:
→ Tesla plans to launch a new, more affordable vehicle this quarter, likely priced at around $30,000 — roughly half the cost of the base Model Y.
→ The upcoming release of Tesla’s robotaxi service could also lower the need for large upfront vehicle purchases, offering consumers a more economical alternative.
→ Tesla sources more components from North America than most other US carmakers, meaning it is less exposed to tariff-related costs.
And there’s another reason TSLA may have jumped — one that can be found in the chart.
Technical Analysis of TSLA
Take note: the March and April lows (marked with arrows) are both around the $220 level. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) posted a significantly lower low in April compared to March. This suggests that, in early April, TSLA was outperforming the broader market. Why?
One possible explanation is that there has been — and perhaps still is — a strong accumulation interest in TSLA. Buyers may have been quietly scooping up available shares amid recession fears. When yesterday’s news suddenly shifted market sentiment, the “spring” uncoiled, catapulting TSLA’s share price upward.
However, the overall downtrend remains intact. If bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the psychologically significant $300 level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the downward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA in the coming monthsBased on my analysis using three-month candlestick charts, TSLA is not in a bear market yet. It may test the 202 level and possibly even dip to the 168 area. However, as long as it holds above that range, the outlook remains positive.
The market may be choppy in the coming months, which could present some solid trading opportunities.
Good luck to us all!
TSLA. Are we buying the dip?Retest on weekly/monthly trendline with clear as day bounce. Market sentiment shifted today with it being one of the best days since 2008 I believe. I consider i’m all in on a swing.
TSLA 45M chart - BULL flag Coiling for Breakout!www.tradingview.com
🚀 TSLA 45m – Bull Flag Coiling for Breakout
NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA ripped from $214 → $276 📈 and is now forming a bull flag just under resistance at $276.87.
🔹 Strong volume on the pole, cooling off during flag 🧊
🔹 RSI ~74 — strong, but not overheated 💪
🔹 MACD crossover 🔄 + momentum building 📊
🔹 Above all key EMAs (20/50/100/200) 🟢
🔹 OBV trending up — smart money is loading 💼📦
⚠️ Breakout above $277 = launch toward $293–$300, with extended target of $310–$330 if trend continues.
❌ Invalidation below $263.
📌 Watching for a breakout + retest entry 🔁
Let it cook. 🔥
Tesla Taps the Golden Zone – Is the Launch Sequence Engaged?Tesla (TSLA) has shown textbook precision by respecting the golden zone after a significant sweep of previous highs. Rather than violating the last HTF low—which would’ve hinted at deeper downside—price instead retraced cleanly into the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) range and reacted with strong bullish intent.
This move indicates a healthy retracement rather than weakness, suggesting a continuation to the upside. Confirmation of this potential bullish leg would be a sustained close above the 272–300 level, which aligns with previous buyside liquidity zones and Fibonacci confluence.
Key Observations:
- Golden Zone respected: Price bounced cleanly between the 62–79% fib levels.
- HTF low protected: No violation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
- Volume spike supports the reversal move.
Targets:
- Short-term: 300.61
- Mid-term: 416.67
- Long-term swing: 861.17 (over 255% potential gain)
Conclusion:
Tesla looks set for lift-off 🚀. The reaction at the golden zone and the preservation of structure give high confluence for a potential explosive move higher. Wait for confirmation via price continuation and structure integrity.
As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
TSLA bulls continue to hold the line!we retested that previous trend resistance zone, and once again it acted as supported. We also bounced from support zone again at the same time.. making it a bullish cluster support bounce.
The move to 300+ may be coming soon, boost and follow for more updates 🔥
TSLA | Long | Technical Buy Zone + Volume Spike | (April 9, 2025
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Tesla is pulling back into a strong demand zone with rising volume, signaling potential accumulation. While fundamentally overvalued, the technicals show this could be a high reward-risk trade if price retests lower levels.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (if retest happens)
Entry Zone: $220 – $223 (ideal buy zone on a potential pullback)
Stop Loss: Below $206 (breakdown from structure and invalidation of support)
TP: $440.36 (2x reward-to-risk potential)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:15 (based on current setup)
Status: Not yet in position — watching for a retest into support zone
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Significant buy-side volume showing up around current levels
✅ Buy signals and price action bouncing from higher-timeframe demand
✅ Although TSLA is widely viewed as fundamentally overvalued, technical setups like this can still offer solid short- to mid-term returns
❌ Invalidation is clearly below $206 — that breaks the thesis and the base
📉 Waiting for confirmation of a pullback and bounce before entering; chasing here isn't ideal for the reward-risk profile
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Watching price closely for a potential re-entry toward $220. Will update this trade idea if we get a clean test or breakout.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
