$TWLO trading it 3/15below 124
112-118 would be target (intraday)
below 110 100 VERY possible... maybe an overnight or swing position if below 110 near close
#optionstrading #daytrading #options
TWLO trade ideas
TWLO: Still Needs a 30% HaircutTWLO has sold of incredibly over the last several months and it's where some of my biggest winning trades have come from. I expect there's still more selling all the way to around $100 which is where it consolidated most of the latter part of 2019 after Cramer opened his mouth that Sept and TWLO dropped from $130 to $107 in a week. I don't even think TWLO's true value is at $100, in fact it's fair value is probably closer to $40. I expect another flush down to around $100 before we get a bounce. TWLO is up 7% today, so it is a great time to go short.
Not financial advice
$TWLO - out of favor in a "risk off" marketHigh-beta momentum type stock
Lack of daily volume reflects:
• weak market
• uncertainty re rates and war
• traders consolidating high-risk names
Appears to be a good size increase in short interest 5.67M shares as of 2/15/2022, almost 2 days worth of average trading volume
Market disrespected recent earnings release. Sold-off on strong numbers.
Anticipate:
• continued weakness and drift downward
• sooner or later may see a quick violent upturn in share price
Note:
• Cash represents 19% or market capitalization (end of 2021) $5.36 Billion
Downside risk could be as low as $115 to $125. Unknowable if it will hit that level, but I would consider that a compelling buy area.
Currently considering selling a Chinese EV company I'm tired of following and adding those funds to my small position in $TWLO
TWLO BUYTWLO Has Arrived On Big Demand Zone
Confirmation Entry Is Clear
Break supply behind
Entry Buy RR 1:2
TWLO: Move to 210TWLO bounced off the 4.236 fib retracement zone and is due for a small correction. We are still in a downward trajectory, but the entire market has exhausted it's selling and buyers are stepping in for a week or two. Target is $210
Not financial advice
TWLO | Magnet GapAfter bearish re-test of 50DMA following great earnings, TWLO still wants to go down and fill that gap. Waiting patiently.
Twilio looks like a solid buyTwilio reached support on the daily timeframe, a reversal at this point is to be expected. Looking for a target of $340 (gap close).
Twilio (NYSE: $TWLO) Ready To Rocket On Earnings Beat 🚀 Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud communications platform that enables developers to build, scale, and operate customer engagement within software applications in the United States and internationally. Its customer engagement platform provides a set of application programming interfaces that handle the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement, as well as enable developers to embed voice, messaging, video, and email capabilities into their applications. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
TWLO the next PTON ???Twilio lets companies converse with customers through text messages.
The company expects to be profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2023.
But it already has a mk cap of $36.02Bil + 19% in the pre-market, it`s a 42.84 Mk cap for a non profitable company.
How further the growth thesis go if Royal Bank of Canada has a Price target of $400 for it???
Even though it is trending now, in my opinion Twilio will be the next Peloton because of its ack of profitability.
My price target is $130.
Q4 loss of $291.4 million
quarterly loss of $0.20 per share VS a loss of $0.21 Zacks Consensus Estimate VS earnings of $0.04 per share a year ago.
Fourth-quarter revenue increased to $842.7 million VS analysts’ average estimate of $768.6 million.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TWLO - Down the river!-Due to the upcoming earnings report on FEB 9 there is some bullish action on the TWLO, however once the earnings are out, it should fall down again.
-Reason to that is that the company is unprofitable and circulates in debt while there is an upcoming interest rate hike which will obviously affect unprofitable companies with debt on their balance sheet
-Unlike Zillow and Uber, Twilio stayed strong up till now but it gotta fall from here, we see no chance.
First Target Price: $180
Second: $150
TWLO LongWeekly Demand Zone
RSI oversold
Entry 190
Stop 173
Target 260
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
$TWLOConsolidating into a wedge - watching for break out of wedge and/or break below 100 day/vol shelf levels.
NYSE:TWLO
TWLOPushing off from a key support levels and day closed with a bullish sentiment. Expecting a move to the upside.
Short TWLOI haven't been a fan of TWLO just due to too many negative earnings reports. I'm honestly surprised this stock ran up to beyond $400 earlier in the year, but alas my biases got the best of me then. TWLO has formed a confirmed descending channel and this stock has to fill the gap at $122 at some point, but don't count on that happening any time soon (at least until more negative earnings reveal themselves). As shown, the bollinger bands are tightening which is a signal of a big move coming. My guess - down. If TWLO breaks out of the channel to the downside, my first target is 215 within the next month or two. PUTS in the money or slightly out of the money are the wise decision.
Not financial advice
TWLO consolidationA pattern of higher lows and lower highs constitutes consolidation. I am looking for a break of the swing high or swing low to trigger a trade here. Given that the consolidation is so wide, we have a lot of room to work with. Trading above 285 will likely result in higher prices (thinking 315) while trading below 255 will result in lower prices (thinking 215). For riskier traders who dont want to wait for confirmation, I am long biased above 275 and short biased below 265. I recommend a 2:1 RRR for this trade.
TWLOI like what I see here. It is flagging and my short term target is bullish. It held the .50 fib retracement nicely and bounce in the golden zone. Remember to play both sides of the trade. Any failure to break above this flag, means a retest of the .50 fib level. Stay ready.
TWLOSolid bounce here in the golden zone out of .50 and .618 fib. I am expecting continuation to the upside for a retest of 300. Be aware of the psych level that 300 represents. Failure to break above it, I will short back down to .50 fib.
$TWLO - Symmetrical triangle break downThe price has broken down from symmetrical triangle. The max break down target is $152.
The pattern breakdown can reverse when the price reaches around 50% of the break down target which is $217.
However if the price can stay above $263 and continue to break above $306 it could form a single bust pattern.
Target 1 - $217
Target 2 - $152
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How to read my charts?
- Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines.
- The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas.
- Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas.
- The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target.
Disclaimer: Do your own DD. Not an investment advice.
TWLO - Definitely Dropping!-We are going to keep this post super short. Just watch the companies alike such as: QS, ALF, Zillow, and many others which are unprofitable and are hyped up!
-What is going to happen next year that will damage these unprofitable roaches? Well, first of all, interest rates will rise which will of course damage these ones as they depend solely on cash reserves and loans. To put it better in words, their whole financial existence will be damaged.
-Will they face bankruptcy or disappear from the face of the world? No, of course, no, but short-term there is going to be blood guys. U.S consumers are dead, the Christmas season in the malls is dead, no one is spending. Inflation is breaking the backbone of small businesses. Many restaurants that our company Packart Inc USA works with for their daily supplies tell us that they are at the break-even or broke.
-So yeah, down the hill baby!
TWLO Bear PennantTWLO is trading in a downtrending channel. After breaking out of this channel, it gaps down. It finds support and begins to consolidate into a bear pennant formation. The pennant broke sending shares lower. We got a nice reversal candle today. This will likely lead to a retest of the consolidation. A short around $300 down to $260 seems possible if trend continues and 280 support fails again. Stop out just above the consolidation around 315.
TWLO - Outside Day and Curling BackTWLO has trended well off the pivots and if it can break above the $293-294 it can run to $300-325 quick. Calls above $294 two weeks out $300C
