UNH trade ideas
UnitedHealth UNH - Institutional Exit or Long-Term Opportunity?Key Insights
UNH has witnessed a historic -24% monthly drop, breaking multiple key long-term supports on extreme volume — often a sign of institutional distribution or capitulation.
Bearish Outlook (Primary Bias):
Current price is testing the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement ($322 - $287), a critical make-or-break zone.
A monthly close below $287 will likely trigger the next leg lower toward $250 and possibly the $200 psychological handle.
The bearish momentum remains dominant, confirmed by RSI deep in bear territory and MACD accelerating down.
Invalidation Levels (For Shorts):
Aggressive short invalidation: Weekly close above $395.33.
Full bearish invalidation (shift to bullish bias): Monthly close above $447.21.
Bullish Opportunity Zones:
Watch for strong bullish reversal at the $287 - $249 support zone, aligning with 0.382 Fib and historical demand.
If $200 - $160 is ever reached, it becomes a high-probability accumulation zone for long-term investors.
Probability:
$395 - $447 Strong Short Bias , Look for retests & rejection
$322 - $287 Neutral to Bearish (watch reaction), Currently testing key support
$249 - $200 High-Probability Long Setup, Look for confirmation reversal
Above $447.21 Bullish Bias Resumes, Invalidate bears, shift to longs
Conclusion:
UNH is at a critical long-term support crossroad.
Patience is key—traders should avoid chasing the lows and wait for higher-probability setups at key levels.
Let the chart guide the trade
Now what do you do with UNH ?For me, it is a screaming buy. Hear me out.
This was in my watch list for a while but I never get a chance to go long as the price keeps climbing up or my funds were tied up with other shares/ETFs, etc.
A 50% fall from the peak but what is more important is the parabolic move down, almost 5 straight weeks of 90 degrees plunge down. The sell down seems pretty serious and by any metric you used, it is way oversold and begs for a reversal.
However, on the daily chart, it is still RED which means the selling is not done yet and we could probably see more sell down days ahead to 196-279 price level.
So, I will be watching it closely this time and be ready to nibble some when it falls further.
Healthcare stocks seem to be battered in this sector rotation round so get ready your ammunition , the reversal could come sooner than later........
Where does the tumble stop for $UNHUNH has been in a free fall been absolute chaos for..reasons.
I see a possible Shark. Sharks can complete at the 886 or the 113. This happens to be around the 236 and 382 of the Macro fib retracement. We also have the 200 Monthly SMA.
So where does it stop tumbling? The 236, the 382 or the 200 Monthly SMA? I am betting it goes to the 236 and bounces sometime around earnings. Notice that trendline that goes back to 1998 that acts as support. I am betting it bounces around where the trendline and 236 intersect sometime around the next earnings. That's a good spot to go long.
UnitedHealth: Reversal incoming?UnitedHealth: The UNH stock is undergoing a correction phase, with the possibility of further declines into the - support zone. This level is marked as a strong long-term buy opportunity for investors, and price recovery is expected from this zone. Should this correction unfold as anticipated, the stock could rally to and beyond, with potential targets at and in the longer term.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis.
I look forward to reading your thoughts.
Best regards,
Mattner
UNH next strong Support $286As of May 13, 2025, UnitedHealth Group (UNH) stock is experiencing significant volatility due to recent corporate developments:
📉 Current Stock Performance
Price: Around $337.02 in premarket trading, down approximately 11% 1.
Previous Close: $380.72 2.
📰 Key News
CEO Change: Andrew Witty has resigned as CEO for personal reasons. Stephen Hemsley, former CEO (2006–2017), has returned to the role.
2025 Guidance Suspended: UnitedHealth has suspended its 2025 financial outlook due to higher-than-expected Medicare Advantage costs and increased care activity 1.
📊 Analyst Outlook
Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy based on 24 analyst ratings.
Average Price Target: $596.86, suggesting a potential 56.77% upside from the previous close 2.
Price Target Range: $490 to $700.
Would you like a chart of UNH’s recent stock performance or a breakdown of analyst ratings over time?
UNH can start DCA investment Strategy. 18 May 2025
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) – Oversold & Attracting Insider Confidence
UNH has recently drawn attention after its stock price dropped over 50% since mid-April 2025. Putting aside the fundamental and media noise, the technical analysis shows that the stock is heavily oversold.
Last Friday, the stock rebounded over 6%, possibly driven by a strong show of confidence from insiders. Newly reinstated CEO Stephen Hemsley purchased approximately $25 million worth of UNH shares (86,700 shares at an average of $288.18). CFO John Rex also acquired $5 million, with directors Timothy Flynn and Kristen Gil making significant purchases as well.
From a price action standpoint, the current level appears attractive for a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) approach. However, I'm personally eyeing a potential deeper discount entry zone between $200–$220, which would offer an even more compelling long-term risk-reward setup.
Strategy: Start small with DCA at current levels, but be patient for deeper dips for larger entries.
UnitedHealth Group Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 287/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
UnitedHealth Group faces DOJ criminal probeUnitedHealth Group faces DOJ criminal probe amid stock turmoil. Will the gaps be filled? (and most importantly when)
This situation shows the critical importance of compliance and transparency in the healthcare industry, especially for companies managing public funds.
UnitedHealth Group is under a criminal investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice for potential Medicare fraud, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. This follows a civil inquiry earlier this year and a separate Senate investigation into the company's Medicare billing practices.
The company's stock has experienced significant volatility, recently closing at $308.01, marking a 48% decline over the past month and a 40% drop year-over-year. Analysts have adjusted their outlooks accordingly, with Oppenheimer setting a price target of $400, KeyBanc at $450, and B of A Securities at $350.
#trading #tradingcards #tradingstrategy #daytrading #swingtrading #stocktrading #optionstrading
UNH....OVERSOLD......REVERSAL SOON?UNH testing third support touch at ~$394, with RSI near 30 on the weekly, signaling potential oversold conditions. Despite a tough Q1 with 4% EPS growth and rising medical costs, UNH boasts 10% revenue growth, a 2.08% dividend yield, and a massive 51M member base. Is this a dip to buy?
Cash printing machine on saleFor all the hatred UNH gets, this company is looking like a buy after this huge sell off. We are approaching the golden ratio around $380. The company generates $100bn in revenue per quarter, hence why it’s a highly regarded cash printing machine.
The bearishness may continue as we sit below the 200week MA. I have a worst case scenario of $300 where we have a strong weekly level of support. I think we’ll bottom closer to the mid $300s so I’ll be taking a nibble with a longer term view on this stock.
Not financial advice
Potential buying opportunity on UNH!OptionsMastery:
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UNH Under Pressure – Below EMA 200 with Heavy Selling VolumeUNH (UnitedHealth) is showing clear bearish signs:
Price has dropped below the EMA 200, a key long-term support level
Recent sessions show strong selling volume, indicating institutional exit
Trend is downward, with no bullish confirmation yet
⚠️ I stay cautious here — waiting for volume shift or price reclaim above EMA before considering a reversal.
Until then, the bearish momentum stays active.
Not financial advice – just my technical view.
#UNH #StockAnalysis #BearishTrend #VolumeAnalysis #EMA200 #TechnicalTrading #HealthcareStocks
UNH close to pivotUNH finds itself right on the 100 monthly EMA which is an insane moving average to touch. The stock has also corrected into the golden pocket between the .5-.618 fib which is one of my favorite setups especially on weekly plus timeframes. The last time advanced stochastic was this low was the 2008 financial crisis.
Net long here, would love 375 but as this is a monthly chart the buy signal is now
$UNH Rinse & Repeat Round #2- Fundamentally it's undervalued for the quality blue chip company. My detailed analysis is on the older post I made earlier this year. I have attached that as a reference.
- In my previous swing, I bought NYSE:UNH on a sell off @ 441 and sold @600 before earning as a de-risking strategy. I'm glad that it did work out.
- I'm happy that NYSE:UNH is again trading at a discount and with compressed Earning multiple. This time I am buying it even lower than where I bought last time i.e 441 and I was happy with that price average.
- Whereas I do believe that NYSE:UNH EPS is lowered but it is lowered slightly which doesn't warrant a big sell off like this.
- I wanted to wait further before entering but I can't stop myself from buying this name NYSE:UNH at a price where I believe it's very undervalued.
- Therefore, I have re-entered the NYSE:UNH and added it to my portfolio . I will consider adding further if selling pressure continues because I don't want to time the bottom.
- But undecisive market and lumpy market, going with a defensive name like this is a no brainer.
UNH Sitting on supportThis level shows a major support level with all the rejections. Currently I’m seeing a falling wedge the broke the trend line (not the previous lower high)resistance last month and is currently retesting that line. More or less with the last 2 consolidations price had to move sideways in the channel for a continuation of a healthy up move. We may see a short term down from here but expect price to close at the $505 level eom. I’m in at $450.15.