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I'm watching 38.12 as Resistance...I laid out some supporting evidence that I currently see, looking at the chart of NYSE:X This has been consolidating for a couple of weeks leading up to its' earnings report and 38.12 has positioned itself as a long term supply zone. It looks as if it's going to take a ride down the roller coaster to previous demand zones. Which leads me to believe, NYSE:X will coast right on by the 1st demand zone and test the 2nd support level before consolidating again and making its' next move. I am interested in the following short plays: 38 Put and 37 Put expiring 2/14 37 Put and 35 Put expiring 2/28 Again, my beloved TradingView traders, I am not a financial advisor (yet) nor am I your next financial guru. However, I am a student of the game and love to share my thoughts on what could be! My plan is to check back in a couple times a week and leave any updates along the way. Good luck on your trading journey and remember... Always, Always, Always Take Profits!
NYSE:XShort
by FliCityOptions
2
The $X your mum warns you aboutKey Stats Dividend Yield: 0.66% (Not exactly a retirement dream here) Market Cap: $6.79B Next Earnings Date: January 30, 2025 Technical Reasons for Decline 1️⃣ Head and Shoulders Breakdown: X recently completed a textbook head-and-shoulders pattern, breaking below $26.50 support with high volume. The next significant support zone sits near $22.00. 2️⃣ Bearish Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is crossing below the 200-day MA (death cross), often signaling more downside. 3️⃣ RSI Deterioration: Momentum is fading, with RSI hovering near 38, showing weak buying interest and no signs of a reversal. Fundamental Reasons for Decline 1️⃣ Falling Steel Prices: Declining global steel demand due to slowing construction and manufacturing activity weighs heavily on X’s revenue projections. 2️⃣ CapEx Concerns: High capital expenditure commitments ($2.5B planned for 2024) will pressure cash flow, especially in a downturn. 3️⃣ Macro Headwinds: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and potential economic slowdown spell trouble for cyclical industries like steel. Potential Paths to Profit Option 1 (Low Risk): Sell short shares of X or use inverse ETFs if available. Option 2 (Moderate Risk): Buy February 2025 $25 strike puts and aim for a 20%-100% profit. Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final. Please LIKE, FOLLOW, SHARE, and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep this signal relevant, keep the content free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
NYSE:XShort
by ChartVZN
U.S Steel's $14.9 Bln Merger with Nippon Faces White House BlockOverview: U.S. Steel’s proposed $14.9 billion merger with Nippon Steel is facing a major roadblock as President Joe Biden is reportedly set to block the bid, citing national security concerns. This development follows intense scrutiny from the White House, labor unions, and bipartisan political opposition, throwing the future of the deal into uncertainty. Merger Background Nippon Steel, Japan’s leading steelmaker, announced its intention to acquire U.S. Steel in December 2023 with the goal of creating a global steel giant. The proposed $55-per-share offer promised significant enhancements to U.S. Steel’s production capabilities, technological innovation, and overall competitiveness, especially against state-supported competitors like China. Despite these promises, the merger faced hurdles, including regulatory reviews and objections from U.S. labor unions concerned about job security and mill closures. U.S. Steel shareholders supported the merger in April 2024, and regulatory approvals from other countries were secured, but the U.S. approval remained elusive. White House Intervention and National Security Concerns: Two sources familiar with the situation revealed that President Biden plans to block Nippon Steel's acquisition, emphasizing the potential national security risks. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) still needs to make its recommendation, but there’s growing speculation that the President’s stance may influence the committee’s final decision. This situation highlights a significant geopolitical dimension, with the U.S. government wary of foreign influence in critical industries, particularly from non-allied nations. The Biden administration's concern centers on maintaining control over domestic production capabilities vital to national security, especially amid rising tensions with state-backed Chinese competitors. Market Reaction and Investor Concerns: U.S. Steel’s stock experienced a sharp decline, closing at $29.38, which is approximately 47% below Nippon Steel’s $55-per-share offer. This wide deal spread reflects investor skepticism that the merger will proceed. Merger arbitrageurs noted that while CFIUS typically recommends action before the President makes a decision, the current scenario appears reversed, adding to market uncertainty. Frederic Boucher, a merger arbitrage specialist, remarked, “Is the President trying to pressure CFIUS into recommending the deal should be blocked? Investors aren’t waiting for clarification and are exiting quickly.” This sentiment is evident as options trading volume on U.S. Steel surged, reflecting heightened bearish bets on the stock. Potential Impact on U.S. Steel: The failure of the merger poses serious implications for U.S. Steel’s future operations. The company has warned that a collapse could jeopardize thousands of union jobs and lead to the closure of some mills. U.S. Steel also highlighted the potential shift of its Pennsylvania headquarters, a move that could disrupt local economies and the broader U.S. steel industry. Nippon Steel had committed over $2.7 billion in investment in U.S. facilities in Pennsylvania and Indiana, contingent on the deal’s approval. Without the merger, these investments are at risk, further straining U.S. Steel’s ability to modernize and compete globally. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, U.S. Steel ( NYSE:X ) shares are navigating volatile trading conditions. The stock fell by 17% in extended trading on Wednesday but showed some resilience, rising 2.11% in Thursday’s premarket session. The price movement suggests a potential bullish reversal pattern could emerge if normal trading supports this premarket rally, especially if investor sentiment stabilizes. Outlook: The unfolding situation underscores the complexities of global mergers in strategic industries, particularly when national security considerations are at play. For U.S. Steel, the road ahead is fraught with regulatory hurdles, and the Biden administration’s position is a critical variable that could shape the company’s future trajectory. Investors will need to closely monitor further developments, particularly the CFIUS decision and any official announcements from the White House. As the debate continues, the broader implications for U.S. industrial policy and foreign investments in critical sectors remain a focal point for market participants.
NYSE:X
by DEXWireNews
Intuition Stock X Short SetupLaying in bed yesterday morning I asked for a stock and immediately got X and the number 34. This is really just journaling these ideas for reference later to see what they end up doing. It's up over 3% today, and I know the last idea, DAL had a decent move right after I got it and made a swing low and popped pretty decent. Btw, to fill in the details, I use dowsing with a pendulum for answers. Since this is a decent move up today right after I get the name, I'm wondering if this will be the pattern where you fade the first move right after I get the name? The message on this is to watch for a reversal down, but up in the near term. I also was given dates. The 11th as an exit of the long (though I don't have a ton of faith in this), and a short entry on the 16th. It might be that there is a sideways to down choppiness until the 16th, but I'm not sure. The area to watch for a reversal is around $43. It's not far from there now, and it may go a bit higher, but should reverse down. That's all for now.
NYSE:XShort
by JenRz
Nippon Steel's Acquisition Sends U.S. Steel Stock PlummetingPresident Joe Biden's expressed concerns over Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel ( NYSE:X ) have ignited a flurry of political speculation and market volatility. With Biden's impending statement raising questions about national security implications and regulatory scrutiny, investors brace for potential obstacles to the $14.9 billion deal. Political Opposition and National Security Concerns: Biden's plan to voice apprehension over Nippon Steel's acquisition of the iconic U.S. Steel underscores mounting bipartisan scrutiny and national security apprehensions surrounding the deal. Democratic and Republican senators have voiced reservations, citing concerns over the lack of consultation with U.S. Steel's main union and the strategic importance of the steel industry to national defense. Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment: News of Biden's intervention sent shockwaves through the financial markets, with U.S. Steel's stock plummeting by 12% amid heightened uncertainty and speculation. Investors react swiftly to political developments, recalibrating their positions amidst the prospect of increased regulatory hurdles and potential delays in the acquisition process. Nippon Steel's Strategic Maneuver and U.S. Steel's Response: Nippon Steel's ambitious bid to acquire U.S. Steel was driven by optimism surrounding Biden's infrastructure bill and expectations of favorable spending and tax incentives. However, Biden's intervention injects a new layer of complexity into the deal, raising questions about its viability and regulatory approval. U.S. Steel, founded over a century ago and deeply entrenched in American industrial history, faces mounting pressure amid declining revenue and profit margins. Implications for the Steel Industry and Global Trade: Biden's stance on the Nippon Steel acquisition underscores broader implications for the steel industry and global trade dynamics. The intersection of economic policy, national security considerations, and international relations shapes the regulatory landscape, impacting the strategic direction of major corporations and influencing market sentiment.
NYSE:XShort
by DEXWireNews
Japan's Nippon Steel to Acquire U.S. Steel for $14.9 BillionJapan's Nippon Steel clinched a deal on Monday to buy U.S. Steel ($X.) for $14.9 billion in cash, prevailing in an auction for the 122-year-old iconic steelmaker over rivals. The deal marks the latest step in a gradual decline for the iconic 122-year old company, which was once the largest company on the planet. It was one of the first major conglomerates and a symbol of American industrial might. But it is no longer even the largest US steelmaker, having been surpassed by Nucor Steel years ago. Earlier this summer the United Steelworkers union vowed to only support a proposed offer by another unionized American steel company, Cleveland Cliffs, to buy US Steel, in a cash and stock deal then valued at $32.53 a share, or 40% less than Nippon’s all cash offer. The US Steel board rejected that offer and started considering other bids. US Steel’s statement said that Nippon Steel has a strong track record of safety in the workplace and working collaboratively with unions, that all union contracts will remain in place and that Nippon Steel is committed to maintaining these relationships uninterrupted. Technical Analysis U.S. Steel (NYSE: NYSE:X ) has since reacted to the news of the buyout offer from Nippon Steel surging to about 26% today as of the time of writing, with the stock trading above all its Moving Averages. United States Steel has also broken the rising trend up in the medium long term.
NYSE:XLong
by DEXWireNews
2
United States Steel Corporation (NYSE: X) Hits Fresh HighUnited States Steel (NYSE: X) Shares have been on the move with the stock up 5.9% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $36.64 in the previous session. United States Steel has gained 45.8% since the start of the year compared to the 7% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the 28% return for the Zacks Steel - Producers industry. What's Driving the Outperformance? The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 26, 2023, U.S. Steel reported EPS of $1.4 versus consensus estimate of $1.15. For the current fiscal year, U.S. Steel is expected to post earnings of $4.33 per share on $17.83 billion in revenues. This represents a -56.48% change in EPS on a -15.37% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.88 per share on $16.2 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -33.32% and -9.13%, respectively. Price Momentum United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
NYSE:XLong
by DEXWireNews
X United States Steel Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought X here: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of X United States Steel Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 26usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-10-20, for a premium of approximately $1.24. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:XLong
by TopgOptions
United States Steel Corporation opening high and rising highUnited States Steel Corporation opening high and rising high This chart shows the weekly candle chart of the stocks of American steel companies in the past four years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, due to the stimulation of the acquired bullish news, the stocks of American steel companies opened short and high this week, opening high and rising high, directly piercing multiple pressure levels upwards! With the merger trend between traditional heavy industries starting, there will be more and more old industry leaders experiencing similar situations in the future!
NYSE:X
by Think_More