GERMANY40CFD trade ideas
Endless Growth: Why the Stock Market Will Always RiseThe stock market is an ever-growing ecosystem, driven by progress, innovation, and human resilience. As illustrated in the chart, the market has consistently overcome challenges, such as the Dotcom Bubble, the 2008 Financial Crisis, and even the unforeseen global pandemic (COVID-19), emerging stronger with each recovery. These events, although disruptive, highlight an inherent truth: growth is the ultimate natural force.
Every major market correction is followed by an upward movement, as companies innovate, adapt, and evolve in response to change. The rapid recovery after crises exemplifies the resilience of both markets and businesses, which continue to create value, discover new solutions, and open doors to new opportunities.
Furthermore, the long-term trend shows that the market does not just bounce back—it accelerates. Technology advances, industries expand, and populations grow. Each new development or breakthrough fosters additional growth, creating even more wealth and opportunities. The market, by its nature, is fueled by this perpetual drive to expand, evolve, and improve.
Thus, despite periodic downturns, the overarching trend remains clear: the stock market will always grow. Growth is not just an eventuality; it is the essential force driving the economy and the future of investing.
German DAX Holding Strong Above SupportChart Analysis:
The DAX Index continues its bullish trajectory, maintaining a steady uptrend with prices hovering near recent highs. Despite a minor pullback, the overall trend remains intact, supported by key technical levels.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact with Rising Support:
The trendline (blue) continues to provide dynamic support.
A shallow retracement suggests buyers remain in control.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): 20,368.88, providing a reliable support zone.
200-day SMA (red): 19,066.15, reinforcing the long-term bullish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Reflect Strength:
RSI: At 67.70, showing strong momentum but approaching overbought levels.
MACD: Trending higher, confirming continued upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A sustained move above 21,500 could trigger further upside toward 22,000+.
A break below the trendline or the 50-day SMA could signal deeper consolidation before another leg higher.
RSI nearing overbought conditions suggests traders should watch for potential short-term pullbacks.
The DAX Index remains bullish, with rising moving averages and trendline support reinforcing the momentum. Traders should monitor price action near key support levels for potential buying opportunities.
-MW
Decoding German DAX: Crucial Levels and Emerging PatternsFX:GER30
Current Market Overview
Explore the latest insights into the German DAX index with a focus on pivotal support, resistance levels, and potential trading patterns.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support at €21,105: This level acts as a critical neckline for a potential Head and Shoulders pattern formation. We should watch closely for any breaks below this level, as it could signal further downside movement.
Resistance at €21,557: A new resistance level has formed close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This resistance may contribute to forming the right shoulder of a reversal pattern.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a key technical formation to watch for:
Formation Details: If the DAX breaks below the neckline/support at €21,105, it could confirm the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Target Projection: A break below the neckline suggests a potential downside target around €20,452. This level aligns with the weekly fractal resistance previously breached at €20,529, which could act as support.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
GER40-SELL strategy 12 hourly chartIt will be a rough ride either way, but overall think we respect 22,000 and even close 21,825 for now. The corrective action may be towards 20,875 and considering tariffs plans, or at least the possibility of it, we should see lower levels over time.
Strategy SELL @ 21,350-21,450 and take profit near 20,950.
Dax Performance Index Cash | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Dax Performance Index Cash
- Double Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) Survey Entry & Bias Perspective
* 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1st Retracement | Numbered Entry | Subdivision 2
* 2nd Retracement | Bias On Hold | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Bearish reversal?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 21,520.45
1st Support: 21,115.47
1st Resistance: 21,794.60
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?GER40 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,531.47
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 21,816.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 21,158.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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ShortThe price has surged to 21,804.40, but a decline signal is now emerging. If the strength dips to the pivotal point of 21,092.7, we could see it heading toward the key Fibonacci level of 20,435 in the coming weeks.
Can You Beat The Next Gen Automated Trading System?DE40 on automation was certainly a traders favourite for Jan 2025, helping pass multiple funded trading account challenges and locking in withdrawals the pair DE40 has gained much popularity in the club members hangout channel on discord. US30 was a close runner up along with GOLD!!!
Wandering DAX Butterfly In the SkyThe German stock index is inching closer to the 21800 euro level, hovering around the golden Fibonacci ratio without much hope for the future.
It seems like it's in need of a deep rest due to the lack of clear financial and political policies.
Time to kick back and relax, stock index!
SEYED.
DAX H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,514.06 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,855.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the al-time high.
Take profit is at 20,950.00 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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GER30 Long There is no pattern to go long but this is at target 2 of a short pattern above
This is with the H4 trend and there is a lot of support at this level
After the fast drop this tends to bounce back up
stop loss of 100 pips
GER40-SELL strategy weekly chartI took profit on the short @ 21,165 and will be selling again higher when seen. Overall SELL strategy should remain, and we have not see the full correction I believe is possible.
Strategy SELL @ 21,275-21,350 and take profit at 20,925 for now.
GER40-SELL strategy short-and long termThe index is very overbought, and this amidst weakening EU economies, and lowering of rates, provides no basis for the levels we see for this index. the RSI is very high, and we are trading above the regression channel, which cannot last forever, and usually in following sessions this will correct.
Strategy SELL @ 21,650 - 21,750 and take profit near 20,925 for now.
DAX40 has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,471.10
1st Support: 20,926.30
1st Resistance: 22,397.17
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#202505 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear mode was good last Monday but that was about it for the bears. Every day market left behind a bullish gap, mostly without closing it. This is overdone, overbought, climactic and a parabolic rally which is always unsustainable. Still those facts do not help anyone shorting this. I am continuing with my plan to scale shorts with stop 22300.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are still in full control. The bull channel continues until clearly broken. Bulls now only have the most obvious target left with 22000. There is no reason for bulls to not expect this to go to at least 22000 now. Bears are absolutely doing nothing and we have only 1 bar going the low of the previous day. This is as climactic as it gets but it can go further.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears got a big gap down on Monday and bulls just bought it relentlessly again. Tough times to be a bear. New US - EU tariffs are around the corner and this could be the trigger to finally see some bigger profit taking and the bear awakening. Technically as long as the bull channel holds, bears got nothing. First target next week is closing gaps below. It would be amazing if bear get down to 21400 fast, then 21000 is possible next week.
Invalidation is above 22300.
short term: Neutral until we break below 21400.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full fucking bear mode.
current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts with stop 22300.
chart update: Adjusted medium term bear leg down to 20800/21000.
DAX40 Update on BreakoutThe DAX40 has pushed upwards after the regression breakout.
The other European Indexs have also moved upwards and starting to consolidate at their current prices
DAX reached upper limit of rising wedge - reversal possibleWhen in doubt - zoom out
On Thursday and Friday the DAX / GDAXI reached a high of 21800. Could this be a potential top ?
Looking at the W and M chart (log) the DAX (XETRA) has been trading in a rising wedge since 2003.
With reaching the 21800 level, the DAX has touched the upper line of this rising wedge again. The last time was in April 2015.
The monthly MACD (5 30) has never been this high and the last time the RSI was this high (77) was in 2015 and 2007.
Zooming in on the 5 minute chart (GDAXI), price touched the 21790-21800 region five times in the last two trading days, fell below the current trend line (since Jan 13th), retested it and was rejected to the downside.
There are no certainties in the stock market, but this being at least a local top is quite probable.
DAX Extension impulse Dax looking to perform a nest with expected targets from fib extension based one lower degree. Expected targets 1.00 / 1.123/161.8
DAX Index Analysis.**DAX Index Analysis: Current Trends and Outlook**
**Current Price:** €21,656.13 (as of January 31, 2025.
**Recent Movement:** The DAX Index has shown a robust upward movement, particularly evident in the recent daily sessions. The price is currently near its recent high of €21,656.13, reflecting strong market momentum.
**Technical Indicators:**
- **Moving Averages:** The short-term moving average (blue line) is positioned above the long-term moving average (orange line), confirming the bullish trend.
- **RSI:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 70, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests the index may face some short-term selling pressure.
- **MACD:** The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a bullish trend, with the MACD line above the signal line, supporting the positive outlook.
**Fundamental Factors:**
- **Economic Growth:** Germany's robust economic performance and strong corporate earnings have been key drivers of the DAX's recent performance.
- **Interest Rates:** The European Central Bank's (ECB) accommodative monetary policy continues to support equity markets, including the DAX.
- **Global Markets:** Positive sentiment in global markets, driven by optimism around trade agreements and economic recovery, has further boosted the DAX.
**Outlook:**
- **Resistance Levels:** The DAX is currently testing the resistance level around €21,700. A successful breakout above this level could lead to further gains.
- **Support Levels:** Key support levels are seen near €21,200 and €20,800. These levels could provide buying opportunities if the index faces any pullbacks.
- **Market Sentiment:** The positive economic outlook and strong corporate earnings continue to support the bullish trend in the DAX. However, investors should keep an eye on potential risks, such as geopolitical tensions and changes in ECB policy.
**Conclusion:**
The DAX Index is in a strong uptrend, supported by positive technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key resistance and support levels for potential trading opportunities. A breakout above €21,700 could lead to new highs, while any corrections may provide strategic buying opportunities for long-term investors.
GER30 POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently showing a possible Daily divergence that could form based on what the RSI is showing. On the 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible SELL.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
