NAS100 SELLLooking for sells at the level on nasdeq which is also a level of imbalance and many orders clustered there. shall sell and stop loss and tp as indicated.
Good luck to you
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Buy or Sell? Read the caption. I told you...Hello guys
We came with NAS100 analysis.
Due to the heavy selling that has happened now, we need to maintain the defined twin bottom range to maintain the upward trend.
Otherwise, the drop will continue up to the specified limits.
Now, if the price is supported, you can see its growth up to the specified areas.
*Trade safely with us*
NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level.
The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure.
Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
NASDAQ in long term#NASDAQ is making obvious bearish pattern in lower time frames
the patterns are the same as what it made in dec 2021 check this out
we have a strong demand zone remaining which can stop the market from a market crash if it wold not so ...
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December.
Short-Term Sideways Channel:
At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move.
Neutrality in Indicators:
The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market.
The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias.
The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior.
Key Levels:
22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend.
21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves.
20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price form a supply around level of 21629.60 and likely to fall so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 20733.59, 19718.99 and 18606.60 . Use money management
NAS100 SELL AT VPOCLooking for sells at the level on nasdeq which is also a level of imbalance and many orders clustered there. shall sell and stop loss and tp as indicated.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
NAS100 SELL SETUPLQ Sweep, Market Structure Shift, Fair Value Gap, Retracement To The FVG For My Entry, all this on the 5 Min Structure but might be on a lil draw down before a run down
NASDAQ SHORTNQ just took out the previous day low and made a market structure shift and now am waiting for the current candle stick to close below the mss level and the sibi to stay open so i can have all my confirmation aligned but on the 5 minutes the trade is valide and it's already a sell, targeting the NDOL, first TP and the Take Profit is on the minor sell side liquidity. xoxo
Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional MoveTrading View Link: US Tech 100 – Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move for PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 by tv1lsqiw — TradingView
Main Chart Link:
Title: Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move
Just as US Tech 100 traders were starting to think about the potential for a renewed attempt at all time highs again after President Trump’s first week in office saw him apply a more measured approach to imposing tariffs on key trading partners, they were jolted back into reality yesterday with a sharp and immediate 3% drop from the open.
Buzz had been building around Chinese AI start up DeepSeek’s latest AI model, released last week, in that it was a credible alternative to the US offerings from OpenAI, for example. Over the weekend this buzz shifted to outright investor panic that DeepSeek was able to produce such a competitive AI model, given that they offer a much lower cost business proposition based on using less advanced chips.
This realisation, that DeepSeek could be a major low cost disruptor in the AI space initiated a recalibration of valuations which saw semiconductor stocks fall, led by a massive 17% drop in Nvidia stock which wiped around $600 billion from its overall value. All of which, pulled the wider US Tech 100 lower due to the large weighting held by Nvidia.
Now, looking forward, this week’s packed calendar of events could lead to increased volatility for the US Tech 100.
On Wednesday evening the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is released at 1900 GMT. No changed is expected so the emphasis is likely to shift towards the comments from Chairman Powell in the press conference which starts at 1930 GMT.
Traders will want to know whether his thoughts towards rate cuts in the first half of 2025 may have changed after the recent slowing in underlying inflation. They will also want to know how many rate cuts Fed policymakers now see across the whole of 2025.
If that wasn’t enough, later Wednesday night, Tesla, Microsoft and Meta release their earnings, with Apple’s results released after the close on Thursday. While expectations are high, traders will be keen to see whether there is any slowdown in growth relative to previous quarters. They will also want to know the details of AI related spending and revenue, with any disappointment leading to an increase in US Tech 100 volatility into the weekend.
Technical Update:
After Monday’s sharp decline, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Big Tech stock earnings are set to be important sentiment drivers for the US Tech 100 Index.
The question is, will these events lead to fresh buying, supporting the index after its recent falls, or will they be viewed by traders as another reason to reduce risk further, extending the downside moves?
Let’s have a look at the potential technical levels that may be worth watching over coming days.
Potential Support Levels:
Weakness such as that seen on Monday does not in itself mark the potential of a sentiment shift, as key support levels must give way to increase the possibilities of further declines.
With that in mind, Monday’s price weakness held above support at 20477, with is the low from January 13th. Having prompted the type of rebound it did yesterday, closing breaks below this level may be required if a more extended phase of weakness is to materialise.
Closes below 20477 may be an indication that the current weakness can extend to lower levels. If that were the case the next possible support may be between 20270/20309, which contains the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August 2024 to December 2024 strength and the November 19th session low.
If this area gives way, the next support could then be 19904, which is the November 4th 2024 low.
Potential Resistance Levels:
By running Fibonacci retracements using last week’s high at 21909 (January 22nd high) alongside Monday’s low at 20477, the 61.8% retracement stands at 21424. This may mark the first resistance that needs to be broken on a closing basis.
If there were a break above this Fibonacci level, then last week’s 21909 high may be the next important resistance level to monitor. This resistance level now marks an area where having found sellers before, it could so again, especially as it was strong enough to turn the recent advance lower in the way it did on Monday.
While breaks of previous highs may have resulted in fresh price strength previously, there is no guarantee they will do so again, and much will depend on future price trends. However, possible closes above 21909 can potentially open up a more prolonged phase of price strength to challenge, possibly even breach 22142, the December 16th all-time high.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. [/b
February 3–7: NAS100 Market Outlook & Has the Market Peaked? February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.)
This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise.
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years.
Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet
I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish.
Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked
If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains.
Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation.
Deepseek & AI Industry Observations
Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations.
Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact.
As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year.
A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M.
Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out.
The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail.
Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead?
From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment.
I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap:
The Four Stages of AI Development
1. Perception AI
2. Generative AI
3. Agentic AI
4. Physical AI
According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology.
However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage.
Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector.
If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector?
AI Bubble & Investment Strategy
I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable.
Investment Perspective
From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation.
- For long-term views, take a macro approach.
- For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
NAS100- Time to buy!Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
Actionable Nasdaq insights: 29-Jan-2025Rise and shine, traders! Start your day with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
Us100 Buy Idea We should be seeing a nice Up trend to the top as you can see my blue line thats my buy line so that would be the best place to enter trades for a buy
Nasdaq price is struggling at previous week high.Nasdaq price is struggling at previous week high. It is making double top from where price can retrace.
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations.
Key Observations:
1. Institutional Support Zone:
Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone.
This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance.
2. Liquidity Dynamics:
Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block.
This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity).
3. Price Positioning:
Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone.
The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups.
Target Levels:
Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones.
By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Bullish biasBased on the Monthly Structure Nas100 is Bull, Based on the weekly structure Nas100 is bear. The bear structure could either be the start of a new bear trend on the monthly or could just all be consolidation before higher monthly highs. As price has tested the weekly structure's low on 3 separate weeks already without closing below it, its safe to assume this is all just consolidation and price will creating higher monthly highs in the coming weeks.
Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips.
This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT.
I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time.
I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate.
Let me know your prediction :)
NASDAQ100After a strong sell offs, nasdaq100 seems not done falling yet, it looks like it has found resistance, remember to use proper risk management. Lets download success.
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
