NAS100 - Potential Targets [SHORT]Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it:
Nasdaq is currently within a key Supply Zone.
There is a little more liquidity above 21800 that could potentially be swept.
Should this previous key Supply Zone offer enough selling pressure, and or profit taking,
price can be forced to fill buy side gaps at long last.
SHORT Threshold = 20755 - 20617
Potential Gap Targets: "SHORT"
1] 20200
2] 18400
I sincerely hope my point of view offers you valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth Ahead
For some unknown reason, I was asked by a dozen
of my subscribers to provide the update for US100.
Since early May, the index successfully updates the highs on a daily.
Such a tendency will remain at least till a test of a current ATH.
I think that the market is going to grow and reach at least 22100 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NASDAQ 100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it: (Upside seems limited)
** NFP DATA RELEASE TODAY - Be safe!
Key Resistance @ 21700 - 21800
Potential Targets - "SHORT"
1] 21388.00
2] 21288.00
3] 21188.00
I sincerely hope my point of view offers you a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
ALL GENERAL MARKETS at our close to May16 ExpirationsSeems Market makers have set up their Options to profit from a flat MARKET
Thoughts : ( Please comment you can just type in your number 1 or 2 )
1) Are the Market being held back from rallying higher ?
or
2) Are the Market being held back from Correcting deeper ?
[NAS100] Range Breakout Retest – Is Upside Continuation in Play?The NAS100 (US100) on the 4H chart is exhibiting a bullish structure following a recent breakout and retest of the 21,000.0 key resistance level, now acting as support. After forming a local high near 21,777.3, price retraced and is now attempting a second push higher, suggesting buyer strength.
Currently trading at 21,450.0, with
Support at: 21,000.0 🔽
Resistance at: 21,777.3 🔼 and 22,230.7 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 21,000.0 and breaks cleanly above 21,777.3, next upside target is 22,230.7.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 21,000.0 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward 20,200.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDA’s better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current “AI rebound narrative”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence.
🧠 Thought Process & Structure
The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback:
Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high
Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels
A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet
Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly.
📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400
A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents:
The neckline of the H&S structure
The location of Gap Fill Target 2
A prior demand zone from April 2025
A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly.
⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical
Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone:
Has the highest historical volume concentration
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens.
🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely)
Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if:
15,000 fails to hold
Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation)
At this time, such an extended move is low probability.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled.
🧭 Trading Plan
Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400
If it holds, long opportunity may develop
If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000
Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong
Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200
📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025)
June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
June 11 – CPI Report (May)
June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting
June 26 – Final Q1 GDP
June 27 – PCE Inflation
July 3 – June Employment Report
July 15 – June CPI
July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate
These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup.
✅ Summary
This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge.
This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
Falling towards pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 20,809.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 20,352.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,779.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NAS100 4H | Fibonacci Bounce or Break? Key Trendline Test Incomi📈 Description:
Price is currently testing a key ascending trendline on the 4H, sitting just below the 38.2% Fib retracement after rejecting near the 0% level. I’m watching this area closely for either:
✅ A bullish bounce from the 38.2%–50% zone with confluence from EMA 20 and trendline support — targeting 0% then -27% extensions (around 21,750 to 22,200),
or
❌ A clean break and close below the trendline + 61.8% level that could shift short bias toward deeper Fib zones like 78.6% or even 100%.
Indicators Used:
• EMA 20 / EMA 68 for dynamic S/R
• Fibonacci retracement (swing low to recent high)
• Trendline (4H structure support)
🧠 I’ll wait for clear structure before entering — no early entries here. Looking for a strong engulfing candle, MA crossover, or lower-timeframe breakout confirmation depending on the direction.
📍Will update if we get confluence on the 15min/1hr to support entry.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,000.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
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Nasdaq-100 H1 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,516.72 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,340.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,803.01 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
This is not a bull trap, US100 target 22kIm expecting Nas to climb after healthy pullback. You can enter now at 21319 and TP next week at 22K. If you decide to trade this idea, use a proper size. You can also average at the bottom of SL zone. TP partially at the red lines. Please check my previous ideas to know if-what are you trading. Wish you good luck.
US100 Weekly: Bullish Pullback or Breakdown at 21,000?
US100 – Weekly Technical Outlook
Week ending: 06 June 2025
⸻
📊 Big Picture Summary:
The NASDAQ 100 is still in a larger uptrend, but it’s facing resistance at the 22,000 level. Rejection there has triggered a short-term pullback. As long as price holds above 21,000, the bullish structure remains valid. Below that, we risk a deeper correction.
⸻
🕰 Multi-Timeframe Snapshot:
• Weekly: 21,488 | Small up-bar | Higher Low > prior | Re-testing February supply
• Daily: 21,472 | Long upper wick | Higher High | Rejected 22k supply
• 12H: 21,474 | Outside-bar pullback | Expanding | Closed into 0.382 Fib
• 4H: 21,474 | Large bear bar | Higher Low | Lands on 100 SMA
• 90M: 21,474 | Momentum flush | Lower Low | Tags 0.618 Fib + trendline
⸻
📈 Trend & Structure Analysis:
• Weekly: Strong uptrend with rising SMA stack; price above Ichimoku cloud. As long as 21,000 holds, pullbacks are buyable. Key support: 20,350–19,140.
• Daily: Uptrend intact but overextended. Rising wedge structure broke at 22k, risk of pullback to 21,070 or 20,750.
• 12H: Bullish while above 21,160, but channel loss warns of potential dip to 21,000.
• 4H: Rising wedge break confirmed; testing 100 SMA. Needs to reclaim 21,700 to resume strength.
• 90M: Bearish flush with momentum reset. Needs quick reclaim of 21,630, else risk of continuation to 21,300.
⸻
📊 Momentum & Flow:
• Weekly RSI: 58 | MACD + | CMF +0.08
• Daily RSI: 62 | MACD – | Bearish divergence developing
• 12H RSI: 55 | MACD –
• 4H RSI: 44 | MACD – | Hidden bullish possible
• 90M RSI: 35 | MACD –
Interpretation: Higher timeframes show strength but momentum is cooling off. Lower timeframes show bearish pressure, but it looks corrective, not a trend reversal—unless 21,000 fails.
⸻
📉 Volatility Overview:
• Weekly: Mild expansion, %B at 0.66
• Daily: Expansion pausing, %B from 0.93 → 0.75
• 12H: Post-squeeze contraction
• 4H: Mean reversion phase
• 90M: Lower-band flush, ready for new drive
⸻
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 22,200–22,900: Weekly + Daily supply zone (strong resistance)
• 21,804–21,718: Intraday bear OB (90M)
• 21,661–21,627: Bull OB on 90M – key battle line
• 21,468–21,396: 4H order block + Fib cluster
• 21,130–21,000: Major 12H support + rising trendline
• 20,750–20,420: Strong Daily demand zone
• 18,306–17,800: Weekly macro support
⸻
🔥 Confluence Hotspots:
• 22,200 – Multi-timeframe supply, channel top = strong sell zone
• 21,660 – 90M bull OB + Fib 0.382 = minor support
• 21,468 – 4H Fib + wedge retest = neutral
• 21,130 – 12H OB + trendline + 100 SMA = major support
• 20,750 – Daily demand + 200 SMA = deeper buy zone
⸻
🧠 If / Then Logic:
• If 90M closes above 21,660 + 4H prints HL → Bull continuation
• If price ranges 21,660–21,350 for 24h → Expect pause
• If 90M closes below 21,350 → Bearish extension likely
⸻
🎯 TradingView Alert Grid:
• US100 crosses 22,200 → “Weekly supply breached – reassess bias.”
• US100 crosses 21,804 → “Intraday bear OB reclaimed – review short bias.”
• US100 crosses 21,660 → “Primary bull trigger activated – watch for long setups.”
• US100 crosses 21,000 → “Critical support broken – full re-analysis needed.”
• US100 crosses 20,750 → “Testing demand – reassess buy zone.”
⸻
🎲 Scenario Odds:
• Breakout above 22,200 → 25%
• Range between 21,800 ↔ 21,000 → 50%
• Dip below 21,000 then reclaim → 25%
⸻
✅ Final Summary:
The trend is still bullish at the macro level, but we’re in a corrective pullback. As long as 21,000 holds, this remains a healthy reset.
Watch 21,130 for long setups, and 21,660 as the first reactivation trigger for upside.
If 21,000 fails, brace for deeper demand tests at 20,750 and possibly 18,800.
Nasdaq giving hints of bearishness failing to close above rangePlease review what I think I'm seeing. If you have any comments in regard to these potential levels they are always welcome.
I believe we may be actually bearish from here but without a daily close below the highest block, my decided choice must be neutral. Purely mechanical analysis will save your portfolio 💎
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