Nasdaq vs M2 Money supplyCan you believe this?
The Nasdaq has reached the top of the DOT COM bubble vs the M2 money supply!
This is a big milestone!
I don't think it will stop here. There is a small resistance to break.
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Purely TechnicalOn the close of last week Friday, nasdaq found support at 21,300-21,280… A closer examination of the 15-30min timeframe chart shows a *double bottom* chart pattern formation… Going into Monday, we’re looking of price to slightly pullback to the support zone at for buy entry. Price will be retracing to for profit taking . If price does consolidate at this lvl sell positions can be entered for further continuation of the pending fall to
50 day moving average
200 day moving average
NAS100...Ever the Bullish Instrument Part 11With the last few days of 2024 upon us, this is not the time to deviate from what works and that is trading the HL's to HH's.
The market has consistently shown it's hands by making HL's to HH's on the largest timeframe (Daily & Monthly) and as such has provided clear indications of what is to come for 2025.
The Yearly candle, and every other candle will expire this week on Tuesday and the weekly finishing off the sequence on Friday.
No sells are in the cards for me as usual.
Once the HH (ATH) is finished, it's waiting on the next HL to get back in trend.
With that being said...everything remains the same...HL's to HH's.
If you do not hear from me again...Have a happy new year and all the best with trading the trend.
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#aubersystem
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$FX:NAS100 long update FX:NAS100
1. Market Context:
• The NAS100 chart shows a recovery phase following a sharp “flash sale” (a sudden drop in price).
• The Christmas rally pushed prices upward, indicating increased buying interest during the holiday season.
2. Liquidity and Demand:
• Price revisited a demand zone, suggesting that institutions or retail traders had pending buy orders in that area.
• The chart notes dark pool liquidity, where institutional buyers/sellers might have been active, hidden from retail traders.
3. Resistance Formation:
• After bouncing back from the demand zone, the price faced resistance, possibly near a Fibonacci retracement or order block level.
• This might suggest sellers gaining control temporarily.
4. Strategic Insights:
• Buyers are defending the demand zone, showing a bullish bias for continuation.
• Resistance at higher levels signals caution for long positions until confirmation of a breakout.
1. Key Levels to Monitor
• Support Zone:
• The demand zone near 21,250–21,300 (highlighted yellow) represents a critical support area.
• Buyers have shown interest here, as evident from the price bounce. If the price revisits this zone, watch for bullish reactions or potential breakdowns.
• Resistance Levels:
• The inner sell-side liquidity (SSL) marked near 21,876 aligns with a significant swing high and could attract sellers.
• Above this, a stronger resistance level appears around 22,100–22,200, aligning with the psychological round number and previous liquidity pool.
2. Fibonacci Insights
• The 50% retracement level (21,561) acts as a mid-level pivot point.
• A bounce off this level earlier suggests it remains a point of interest for bulls.
• However, failure to reclaim this level could lead to a deeper retracement to test the demand zone again.
3. Potential Bullish Scenario
• If the price breaks above 21,876 (inner SSL), the bullish momentum could target:
• 22,000 (key psychological level)
• 22,200 (outer SSL and strong resistance)
4. Bearish Scenario
• A failure to sustain above the 21,561 pivot may trigger:
• A retest of the demand zone (21,250).
• A deeper push towards 21,160 (Fibonacci 50% retracement of the larger downtrend).
5. Dark Pool Liquidity
• Given the mention of dark pool liquidity, these levels may contain institutional activity.
• Demand zones below could see renewed buying pressure if liquidity was not fully absorbed earlier.
• Resistance zones above might see hidden selling pressure as institutions secure profits.
Bullish Scenarios (Buying Opportunities):
1. Rejection and Bounce from Demand Zone (21,250–21,300)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price forms bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) at the demand zone.
• Confirmation via lower timeframe bullish structure or volume increase.
• Stop-Loss: Below the swing low, around 21,190–21,200 (to avoid being stopped out by wicks).
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,561: Closest resistance and Fibonacci 50% retracement.
2. 21,876: Inner sell-side liquidity (SSL).
3. 22,100–22,200: Outer SSL and psychological level.
2. Breakout Above Inner SSL (21,876)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price breaks and closes above 21,876 with momentum.
• Look for a pullback to retest the broken level as support.
• Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle or pullback low.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 22,100: Immediate target aligned with psychological resistance.
2. 22,200–22,250: Extended target where outer SSL lies.
Bearish Scenarios (Selling Opportunities):
1. Rejection from Inner SSL (21,876)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price forms a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top, engulfing candle) at 21,876.
• Confirmation via lower timeframe bearish structure.
• Stop-Loss: Above the swing high at 21,900–21,950.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,561: Fibonacci pivot level and mid-range support.
2. 21,300–21,250: Demand zone and key support area.
2. Break Below Demand Zone (21,250)
• Entry Criteria:
• Price breaks and closes below 21,250, signaling bearish continuation.
• Retest of the broken demand zone as resistance offers a better entry.
• Stop-Loss: Above the retest high or broken level, around 21,300–21,350.
• Take-Profit Targets:
1. 21,160: Fibonacci 50% level of the larger structure.
2. 20,900–20,755: Previous liquidity zone and significant support.
Neutral (Range-Bound Trading) Scenario
If price remains between 21,561 (mid-level) and 21,876 (inner SSL):
• Scalping Opportunities: Buy at 21,561 support, sell near 21,876 resistance.
• Avoid taking aggressive trades until a breakout confirms directional bias.
US100 BUY SETUPI am a trend follower, US100 has projected a Bullish Trend on 1D Timeframe, each time it touches/respects the bullish trend, it forms a candlestick which gives confluence of bullish movement. I have 3 confluences which trigger me to enter a buy, (1) A bullish trendline which was established on a high timeframe which is the 1D, (2) A candlestick formation which is in line with the bullish trendline (PIN BAR), (3) Risk-To-Reward ratio of 1:3.
US100 1HNasdaq Analysis
Following the previous analysis , I remain inclined towards an upward movement and am looking for signs of weak sellers. If the 21,205 level holds, we can expect the market to move higher, potentially reclaiming the 100 points that the market owes to my analysis.
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Wishing you a New Year filled with success, health, and happiness!
NAS100Im looking at the chart to sell, risky yes because the market is overall looking bullish but Im scouting for selling opportunities as 2025 begins, similar to how it performed during July-Sep 2024 marked as "PRECEDENT" on the chart. This is basically based on supply and demand, and the breakout trendlines, two targets for safety trading and the risk is fairly good.
Nasdaq 100 Index - outlook for Q1 2025Since the beginning of 2024, the Nasdaq 100 Index jumped 28.83%, leaving the broader market, like the S&P 500, in the dust. In the long term, the chart screams bullish, with the one-month view suggesting a strong buy. Yet, the recent trading sessions have seen some cooling off, a typical holiday lull as traders and investors take a break. The Nasdaq peaked at 22,174 on December 16, 2024, and since then, making higher highs has been a struggle. This hesitation can be chalked up to uncertainty around the U.S. interest rate policy for 2025.
At the same time, there was a flurry of buying activity when the Nasdaq hovered near its 50-day moving average, around the 21,000 mark. This suggests that investors see this level as a sweet spot for picking up shares, possibly viewing it as a solid support line amidst all the market noise.
Currently, I see no clarity in the Index's direction for the near term. If we hear hawkish news from the Fed and Trump's policy in January, the stock market could deepen. At the same time, earnings reports from the MAG7 and their guidance for the year 2025 will play a pivotal role in the Index's direction.
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week
The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted).
Yellow path highlights:
📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance.
📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing.
Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀
#Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week
The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted).
Yellow path highlights:
📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance.
📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing.
Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀
#Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
NASDAQ: Technical pullback presenting a buy opportunityNasdaq got oversold on 1H due to the strong selling on opening but remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.372, MACD = 205.380, ADX = 49.545) as it is still over the 1D MA50. More specifically, it was the rebound on the latter last Friday (Dec 20th) that has initiated the current bullish wave. This is the 5th bullish wave inside the 5 month Channel Up and as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support, we are expecting a new High. As with the prior Highs, we are targeting the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 22,550).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NAS100 Sell setup updateOn our last analysis of NAS100, we were bearish for the longer term and we were waiting for price to reach our area of interest where we would be looking for selling opportunities. Price did indeed push till our area of interest and we managed to place sell trades as per our strategy.
