NAS100 Technical AnalysisOANDA:NAS100USD Now the price should touch 21,391 and rise to 21,676 but if this level 21,391 is broken and settles below it it will drop to 21,225. (4-H TimeFrame)
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
1-hr NASDAQ 100: The Leading Tech Index Might Correct In 5 business days US100 jumped with more than 600 points. We use patterns like the Golden Cross, where a short term MA breaks above a longer term MA, to determine the strenght and the direction of the momentum. The classic buy signal, triggered by the Golden Cross, emerged last week and since then buyers in the NASDAQ generated fantastic profits! For the past few hours today however, we notice a possible slow down in the upward momentum. This is only normal, because many of these buyers are going to start selling, to take profit, after the rally. We use Fibonacci to establish where the price might correct to and we usually focus on the critical levels 38% Fib and 50% Fib. Tech stocks are hot, rates are dropping and on the long run it is very possible that the index will continue its upward march. On the short term however, its absolutely normal to see some pullbacks. We assume that buyers could secure better risk to reward on their trades, if they target a lower entry, possibly at 21 250, which aligns with the important 38% Fibonacci retracement. This also opens the room to short sellers, who wish to bet on a short term drop and take this level as a potential profit taking zone.
NAS100 Update and Trading The Fakey Shakey👀 👉 In this video, we revisit the price action covered in a previous upload—an aspect I often emphasize in my videos. The NAS100 offers a classic example of the "fake shaky" chart pattern and key signals to watch for as price moves away from critical support or resistance zones. We also explore a common trap that traders can fall into. As always, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 While the NAS100 has maintained a bullish trend, recent price action shows signs of consolidation within a sideways range. Historically, price has often retraced significantly following strong rallies—could we be on the brink of another pullback? In this video, we delve into the trend, price action, market structure, and a potential trade setup. Disclaimer:* Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can shift rapidly. This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Nasdaq analysis: 06-Dec-2024Good morning, trading community! Today's Nasdaq analysis is for you. Share your thoughts, ask questions, and let me help you grow.
Liquidity Crisis may happen Janet Yellen(jesus) + 12 hedgefund(12 apostles)
Liquidity Crisis may happen (i expected it first quarter of this year, but..)
most of hedgefund did buying treasury bond and then treasury bond margin loan(2009~2019)
so they made almost 50x leverage on bond market
times over and over now only t-bill s gonna be recognized as collateral
so t-bill market happend this method
t-bills yield go dig in diggg ( infinity purchasing from 12 apostles )
however t-bond yield go higher and lower and higher ( normal purchasing )
NOW 12 apostles got a trillion profit. and that was all of liqudity for ndq 21000
this liquidity is economic's tightrope walking on the twin bridge
Yellen just 2 month left
WHO IS YUDAH
WHO IS PETER
IF I WAS YOU
BUY PUT FEB
CHEERS
Nasdaq TOO BULLISH?We just shy of the 50% retracement on the daily at 19000 i do think we still have a chance to see a bullish move up to 21300 level area. This is based of technicals there is a need a need to go over the big company earning and the Nas perfomance historically for the specific month.
US100US100 has formed Double Top reversal pattren with strong Bearish Divergence .
Entry type.
Sell stop: 21420
Stop loss: 21517
TP:21322
RRR: 1:1
NASDAQ: Technology Leads Amid Challenges and OpportunitiesNASDAQ: Technology Leads Amid Challenges and Opportunities
The NASDAQ index remains a focal point for investors, driven by the strength of technology and artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, while navigating regulatory hurdles and mixed economic data. Here's a closer look at the factors shaping the index's performance and its outlook for the coming weeks.
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Key Factors Driving NASDAQ
Tech Rally and AI Optimism
NASDAQ has seen robust gains, fueled by the dominance of tech stocks. Investors continue to bet on the long-term potential of AI, boosting companies like Microsoft and Meta. However, Microsoft faces regulatory scrutiny from the FTC over its AI software sales, which could weigh on short-term performance. Meanwhile, Meta, led by Mark Zuckerberg, is adapting its strategies to align with the evolving political landscape, including engagement with the Trump administration's policies.
Strong Corporate Performance
- Salesforce reported Q3 revenue of $9.44 billion, exceeding expectations, though adjusted EPS disappointed.
- Microsoft and other tech giants continue to invest heavily in AI, supporting long-term investor optimism.
Despite some challenges, the technology sector remains a key growth driver for NASDAQ, supported by innovation and strong demand for digital products and services.
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Macroeconomic Data and NASDAQ
Mixed Signals from the U.S. Economy
- ISM Services PMI fell to 52.1, below expectations of 55.7, indicating slower growth in the service sector, a key driver of consumer demand for technology.
- Durable goods orders rose 0.3%, meeting expectations and signaling economic stability.
- Construction spending increased by 0.4%, reflecting robust investment activity.
While these figures present a mixed picture, stability in other areas, such as the labor market (JOLTS job openings at 7.744 million in October), provides a solid foundation for the market.
Federal Reserve Policy and Its Impact on Technology
The Federal Reserve is slowly pivoting toward a more dovish stance. An anticipated rate cut in December, currently priced at a 74% likelihood, could benefit technology stocks, which are sensitive to borrowing costs. The Fed forecasts gradual disinflation toward a 2% target by 2025, potentially creating favorable conditions for the tech sector in the long term.
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Seasonality and NASDAQ
December has historically been a strong month for tech-heavy indices like NASDAQ, driven by:
- Seasonal consumer spending, particularly on electronics and digital services.
- End-of-year portfolio rebalancing by investors.
- Optimism surrounding technological advancements and innovations.
The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at 56, indicates a sentiment skewed toward greed, often a precursor to further short-term market gains.
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NASDAQ Outlook: Technology at the Forefront
As a leader in the technology space, NASDAQ has strong fundamentals to end the year on a high note. Robust demand for AI-related technologies, stable economic data, and Federal Reserve support create a positive backdrop for the index. However, investors must remain cautious about potential risks, including:
- Regulatory challenges for tech giants.
- Geopolitical tensions impacting global supply chains.
- Uneven progress in disinflation, which could prolong restrictive monetary policies.
With optimism surrounding technology and potential monetary easing, NASDAQ remains an attractive choice for long-term investors. However, key events such as quarterly earnings and further Federal Reserve decisions will significantly influence the index's trajectory. For now, the tech rally seems well-supported, but vigilance is essential.
NASDAQ NFP 06.12.2024NASDAQ looks to be retesting the top channel line to see for a posible climb to the further upside.
if retest is valid. this means that nasdaq will sell for NFP.
A taget has been marked out for the NFP momentum before CPI
NFP will sell NASDAQ
US 100 Trade LogUS 100 Buy SIgnals
Two potential long opportunities have been identified, but caution is advised due to the possibility of stop runs. The market could easily disrupt both trades, so this requires close observation and adherence to the system. Discretionary judgment will play a role here, but the focus remains on structured analysis.
Trade Setup :
1. Entry Zones : Buy within the 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG) or the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG).
2. Risk Parameters :
- First Position: 0.5% risk
- Second Position: 1% risk
3. Stop-Loss Size : Fixed at 90 points for both trades.
4. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) : 1:2 for both positions.
5. Caution : Be wary of potential stop hunts in these volatile zones. Monitor closely for signs of market manipulation or sudden reversals.
I am also weary of the strong divergences on both the MACD and the CVD. So be careful with risk assessment today.
US100 Sell Setup 5/12/2024US100 may pull back to the resistance area for a potential sell opportunity Fibo + trend line + pivot
SELL US100
Entry Zone: 21450 - 21470
Take Profits:
TP1: 21400
TP2: 21377
TP3: 21288
Stop Loss: 21500
Risk: 1% of capital
Nasdaq100I would like to see nas100 retrace up a little bit before it could go down for short term sell. All entries will be executed right after retracement, remember to use proper risk management. All the best, Lets Download Success
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 4 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change @13:15
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
Morning analysis:
M TF - very bullish
W TF - very bullish, we are now in all time high territory again
D TF - D candle had closed higher that previous high, testament of the bullish sentiment
4H TF - very bullish, 4H EMA is far down, so if price retraces it could be a long way down before price finds the dynamic support of the 4H EMA
As the day progressed:
Noted a rising wedge pattern form as marked by the blue lines.
Price broke the market pattern upwards and came back down to retest the top line of the pattern.
With price being at an all time high, it could easily be assumed that price will make a huge retracement. In the past, I would have been eagerly ready to place a sell because it's at an all time high and "has to come down"(*). I have lost a lot of money in the past, trying to decide for the market, what it should do.
Looking at this market pattern, the way price broke upwards, re-tested and closed a green candle HIGHER. It seemed to me price wanted to continue upwards.
From years of screen time, I also know that if price is very bullish (like at all time highs) it can continue higher for much longer than one would expect. I have also seen that sometimes, price will continue to push for the previous day's TP's.
So because price was also rejecting the TP1 from the day before and closing higher, I felt that bulls wanted to push for TP2.
I entered a small buy position at the hand icon. Price shot all the way up to TP2.
I closed just before market open at the top hand icon and made a cool 870 pips. I closed because I was "sure" market open would retrace and wanted to lock in my profits.
So even though preaching at (*) in the text above, I was still a victim of this mentality that "price has to come down" :)
But anyway, I am still happy with my trading today. In the long ago past, I probably would have taken a sell just because price "has to come down after all time high".
In the not-so-long-ago past, I probably would have sat out and been too scared to take a buy, even though I saw the signal. But today, I took the signal, albeit with a small position. #progress
So just a reminder, trading is a long and slow game of patience and repetition (or at least for me).
Keep going, keep consistent and you will see progress.
In the beginning your goal should be to survive and live to trade another day. Get in as many hours of screen time as you can...and just keep going.
If I were to advise a beginner, I would say:
1. Learn as much as you can about candles, market patterns and timeframe confluence (use baby pips.com for an excellent free resource)
2. Have 3 x display screens on your desk. On one screen, have the 1H TF displayed, on the second screen, display a split between the 4H TF and the D TF. On the third screen, display a split between the 15min and 30min TF.
3. Stare at your screens for hours and hours a day! Haha! Screen time is the most valuable experience you can get.
4. Don't demo trade for too long. Trading with real money changes the game. So trade with the smallest possible position size available eg. 0.01 and just try to survive to the next day.
5. Start seeing results after a few years (not what everyone wants to hear because trading is "fast, easy money", but that is the truth for the majority of traders)
All the best! :)
Stats:
The total move for the day was 2'000 pips
I captured 870 pips / 44 % of the total move (need to improve)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Nasdaq analysis: 05-DEC-2024Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
Technical and digital analysisWe notice that we are in a major upward correction and that the price was unable to break the peak strongly, and there is a divergence. There will be a strong downward wave, and we are waiting for this downward wave to weaken to complete the rise.
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history, despite all the money that was pumped in over covid.
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
Several indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may faceSeveral indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may face a downturn in the near future:
Technical Indicators:
• Rising Wedge Pattern: The NAS100 has formed a rising wedge pattern, typically considered a bearish signal indicating a potential price decline.
• Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought levels, suggesting that the index may be due for a correction.
Economic Data:
• Manufacturing Sector Contraction: The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November but remains below the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector.
• Slowing GDP Growth: The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, down from previous quarters, reflecting a slowdown that could impact corporate earnings.
Federal Reserve Policies:
• Interest Rate Outlook: Federal Reserve officials have signaled caution regarding future interest rate cuts, which may affect investor sentiment and equity valuations.
Market Sentiment:
• Tech Stock Volatility: Recent declines in major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Microsoft, have led to broader market pullbacks, indicating potential vulnerability in the NASDAQ 100.
• Strengthening U.S. Dollar: A stronger dollar can negatively impact multinational companies’ earnings, many of which are components of the NASDAQ 100.
Considering these factors, there is a potential for the NASDAQ 100 to experience a decline in the near term. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s advisable to monitor real-time data and news updates for the most accurate information.
Historic High Achieved: Further Gains Amid Bullish Momentum Technical Analysis
The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21,370 and continues to gain momentum, targeting the next resistance at 21,590.
As long as the price remains above 21,290, the bullish trend is expected to persist, with upward targets set at 21,590. However, a bearish correction toward the 21,290 or 21,220 levels is also possible.
The bearish zone will only be confirmed with sustained price action below 21,150.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21400
Resistance Levels: 21590, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
Trend Outlook
The trend remains firmly bullish as long as the price holds above 21,290.
A history lesson most have already forgotten.A history lesson most have already forgotten.
Nasdaq has previously lost over 95% of its value (priced in silver).
Still below its all-time highs, over 24 years later.
Yes, of course it can happen again!
#silver #nasdaq #recession #capitalrotation
Be patient till 20211As it looks now we need a big correction on indices. The most important level - "point of control" is actually around 20211-20250. This is the ideal entry point to re-buy Nas. BUT, DO NOT ENTER BLINDLY on the entry line. Wait for a retest. Today is Friday, so TP phase can send price very deep. When-if entry conditions are met, I will update this trade. Wish you good luck.
P.S.: I´m not a signal service, do not selling anything to anybody. If you want to push sell-buy button without any responsibility for your trade, please contact one of the signalists who will comment this idea later on. If you want to learn, discuss, you know what to do.
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER SUPPLYZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Downward Pressure: Prices are currently trading under a bearish (downward) trend.
Supply Zones , Between 20,860 & 20,920 and 21,037 & 21,112: These zones are acting as resistance levels where selling pressure is high, preventing prices from rising further.
Demand Zone , Between 20,559 & 20,354: This is identified as a support level where buying interest might increase, potentially halting further price decline.
Possible Scenarios:
If prices remain below the supply zones, further decline toward the demand zone is expected , If prices break above the supply zones, it suggests an increase toward ,The all-time high (ATH) around 21,260 , A strong supply zone between 21,175 & 21,260.
Overall Outlook , The text emphasizes the bearish trend unless resistance levels are broken.
Us 100 resultUS 100 result, target reached, new all-time high, 1/2.8 RR. (I’m still bullish this month)
