Nasdaq market analysis: 04-Mar-2025Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
Technical and digital analysisWe notice that we are in a price decline and there is an increase in momentum and we are in a small correction of the price decline
Long Idea at 1h Time Frame (US100)At one hour market is making HL.
market has touched fib level 0.618
Buy at cutrent price. (20719)
Stoploss at last HL. (20426)
R:R=1:1
TP: (21012)
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Market is now very close to SL you can enter here as well
NAS100 Bearish (Descending Trend, DOW LLs)NAS100 Unable to sustain above previous daily high. Overall indexes are seeing sell pressure with RISK ON instruments such as AUD and NZD showing sell off. Technically, bearish trend is not broken and DOW Lower Lows (LLs) still intact. Fundamentally Indexes will remain bearish.
Trade Setup:
Entry at Previous Day High (CMP)
SL at previous LH.
TP at 1:1 and 1:2
NasdaqMy technical analyse tell me we have a big chance to turn going back up, As we hope for the same from on our weekly fundamentals
Looks Potentially like some relief ralliesLooking at the market holistically, it would appear like opportunity will present in DXY weakening, and metals again this week, looks like the week might play out as a relief rally for S&P and NASDAQ as both sentiment and fear are at extremes.
NASQ 100 - see the pattern changes and open right position Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- World economy and US economy are slowing down and the fear of recession is here. This time the recession will be caused by both demand and supply. The last one was supply-based.
2- US politics is the definition of self-destruction: tariffs; throwing under the bus Europe, Canada, Mexico and all historic allies.
3- Inflation is up.
All these factors are bad news for equities and NQ.
4- Tax cuts is what investors and corporations are looking to boost up stocks and equities.
5- Next FED might provide free money (the printing machine) to address/delay the recession.
6- This week, we have key data and events.
Good news is good news for equities and vice-versa.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
The monthly candle was a red candle but not really a bearish candle as no break happened.
From strictly TA analysis, nothing to do until price breaks either direction. But based on FA, I see price moving down to at least 18000 (38.2 fib).
Weekly TF:
NQ provided a bearish weekly close. However, price did not confirm a change of structure. Hence, bearers need to break and close quickly below 20529 to continue the down movement. Otherwise, price must go back to retest and grab liquidity at 21702.
My bias is with a direct continuation down.
Daily TF:
At daily TF, we've two scenarios:
1- A meaningful retrace to 21702 as price was unable to close below 20529 to grab liquidity from the previous swing high (orange circles).
2- A shy retrace to reflect the battle between buyers and sellers and a continuation down.
That's all for this upcoming Month/Week.
Wish you green pips! GL!
NASDAQ WILL GO HIGHER, BUY AFTER PULLBACKFundamentals
Recent economic data indicates mixed sentiments in the tech sector, with rising interest rates and concerns about valuations weighing on growth stocks. However, optimism surrounds potential technological advancements, such as AI and renewable energy sectors, driving long-term bullish expectations.
Technicals
After the bullish spike following the CPI inflation reading, the price is expected to retrace to the 20,865–20,968 range, which corresponds to two key Fibonacci levels. The 20,968 level also aligns with a demand zone. Entry levels are: 20,865 (conservative) or more aggressive at 20,968. Before entering long, it is important to see confirmation of bullish pressure...
In terms of target, I think we will see new highs, but take profit partially and sistematically along the way..
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Smart Money Concept Analysis - USA100 (Nasdaq) 15 minThis analysis focuses on the USA100 index using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Key areas highlighted include liquidity zones, order blocks (OBs), Break of Structure (BOS), and Change of Character (ChoCH). The goal is to map institutional footprints to identify high-probability trade setups for the upcoming trading week (March 4 to March 8, 2025).
This analysis is intended for day traders and intraday scalpers who prioritize precision entries and strong risk management.
$NAS100 approaching correction territoryWe are again back from a short winter flu. I think the index NASDAQ100 is also coughing showing signs of a flu. Pun indented. The tech heavy NASADQ100 does not look particularly healthy on a daily and weekly basis. In this weekly chart we can see that even if we find ourselves in the structural bull market the index has lost more than 5% from its peak. The internally also do not look good with MIL:MAG7 also bleeding and off their peaks. The PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is almost approaching its 200-Day SMA. If the index loses another 3 % then it will land @ the 200 Day SMA which it @ 20200. In the upcoming weeks there are multiple events which might put pressure on the indexes. We have tariffs upcoming on Tuesday and we must watch out for the inflation and unemployment numbers.
But we must also look at the other side of the coin. A 10% pull back is normal in a secular bull market. In all the bull markets this kind of skittishness is normal. In my assessment PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 will be a good buy @ 200 Day SMA. My lowest level in this small correction phase is 19000 which is 0.618 Fib Retracement level on the upward sloping Fib channel I have plotted and an indicative of a secular bull market. I will keep visiting this chart in the future.
Accumulate PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 between 20200 and 19000.
More downside potential If the rebound remains below 21,617(Disclaimer: The following is only a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the price successfully broke below 21,436 on Monday, forming an overall bearish pattern. It subsequently reached the lower targets of 20,870, 20,648, and 20,549 in sequence, with the lowest close at 20,409. Although there was a rebound towards the end of Friday's session, it has not been sufficient to reverse the overall bearish trend.
Next week, I believe there is a high probability of further decline after a rebound. If this assumption holds, the price may experience intraday consolidation around 21,000 before breaking further upwards. If bearish forces dominate, the rebound should stay below 21,524–21,617, followed by another downtrend. The short-term downside targets are between 20,200 and 19,900.
If the price remains below 21,617, selling on rallies could be considered. However, if the price quickly breaks upwards, it is crucial to set a stop-loss in time.
For those looking to trade the rebound, short-term targets should be 21,016 and 21,115, with take-profit levels between 21,400 and 21,617. If the rebound scenario is valid, the price should not break below 20,221!
If the price breaks below 20,221 quickly on Monday or Tuesday, there may be no short-term rebound opportunity.
If bullish forces dominate next week, the price should break above 21,617 quickly and establish solid support above 21,000. In this scenario, the price should not drop below 20,221. The main upside targets are 21,617, 21,723, and 22,061 in sequence.
US100 (NASDAQ) - Potential Trend Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetMarket Outlook:
The US100 index has been in a strong downtrend, as seen in the descending channel (yellow). However, price action is showing early signs of a potential reversal, with a breakout from the bearish structure. This presents a high-probability bullish opportunity for traders.
Technical Analysis:
✅ Downtrend Channel Breakout: The index has moved out of the bearish structure, signaling a potential upside move.
✅ Key Support Zone: $20,200 - $20,250 has provided strong buying pressure, preventing further downside.
✅ Entry & Target: Price has broken out around $20,856, aiming for the $22,025 target, which aligns with key resistance.
✅ Bullish Momentum Confirmation: A move above $21,000 could further confirm the bullish reversal.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry Point: $20,856 (Active trade)
🔹 Target Level: $22,025
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $20,236 (Support zone)
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable setup
Fundamental Factors to Watch:
Tech Sector Performance: The US100 is heavily influenced by tech stocks, and any bullish sentiment in the sector could push the index higher.
Economic Data Releases: Watch for upcoming job reports, inflation data, and Fed comments that could impact price action.
Market Sentiment: If broader indices show strength, expect bullish continuation.
Conclusion:
The US100 is in an active bullish setup, with a breakout from the downtrend. If momentum sustains, we could see $22,025 tested soon. Traders should monitor price action around resistance for confirmation of further upside.
📌 Bullish breakout in play! Keep an eye on market conditions and manage risk effectively! 🚀
Technical and digital analysisWe notice that we are in an upward correction and there is an increase in momentum. We are waiting for sellers to weaken in order to buy, Update idea Add note
NQ PM TGIFMarket has been going down since last Friday. Today I expected TGIF setup to form with the help of 1st Presented Fair Value Gap and Silver Bullet and aim for smooth highs above.
About us100My option about us100 Is more bullish so that zone is good and strong support,if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
Nasdaq trade idea 28 FebLast day of the month
Nasdaq caught in a range today
Will buy if 30 min convincingly breaks and retest the 22635 zone - targeting zone above
Will sell if 30 min candle closes below 20490 - targeting profit at 20400
Goodluck!
NAS100 - Long or Short?Dear Friends,
How I see it:
1) A rally to fill the 4HR imbalance of yesterday -
TP 1 = 20840.00
TP 2 = 20928.00
2) Or a continuation down -
TP 1 = 20309.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Nasdaq : Daily ChartWhat ever happens I will buy this below the low of January after the liquidity raid and i will hold it for the whole year.
NAS100 Price action before 2022 downturnThe overall trajectory of market price performance in 2022 is strikingly similar to the current market trend. Are we following the same Game plan ????
Whats your thought? leave comments below
What's Your AdviceI hold for a swing strategy we are Practicing everyday to trade, or I chicken out and close a 1:30 taking a about 1:4? Terrifying neh
Price may continue to decline, wait for market rebound and entry(The following is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please conduct your own analysis before making any decisions.)
NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations, yet the market saw a sharp decline on Thursday. The price broke below 20,800, indicating weakening bullish momentum and the potential for further downside.
Given the significant drop in price, it would be prudent to wait for a market rebound before considering short positions. I will closely monitor price action in the 21,300–21,481 range.
