Bearish Bias on USTECMarket structure is currently on a downtrend
The Bullish Breaker was invalidated at 20,600 with price slicing through the zone transitioning it to 4H mitigation Breaker Block
I'm anticipating a pull back to the new mitigation block zone at 20,600 and continuation of sells from 20,600 to 20,055.55 as my profit target
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
Nasdaq trading zones: 15-NOV-2024Today's Nasdaq trading zones: For educational purposes only. Use at your own risk.
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Near Record High: Is a 22,000 Target NexThe U.S. presidential election has sparked optimism also in the stock market, with the technology index rising by 1,000 points.
Following this new all-time high, the Nasdaq 100 ( PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 ) is now consolidating just below that level.
This consolidation is taking the shape of a flag pattern, which could signal potential for further upward movement.
A breakout to the upside would confirm this pattern and could set the stage for additional gains, with a target of 22,000 points.
NASDAQ Extremely bullish for the next 30 days.Nasdaq (NDX) is extending a very aggressive post-election rally that is coming after a clear technical hold on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is just a short-term movement inside a (blue) Channel Up that emerged after the index rebounded on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which in turn is the Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up pattern.
As you can see, the price action is so far very similar to the Channel's previous Bullish Leg that also started on a 1D MA200 hold (October 26 2023). Based on the 1D MACD's Bullish Cross and the 1D RSI bullish reversal, we are in symmetrical terms on a situation similar to January 23 2024, with the price above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
We still expect a similar +30% rise from the last bottom (August 05) to be completed, so our 22000 medium-term Target is intact.
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NAS100 LongsAfter a strong bull run last week. We should have an early pullback in the week. Setting Up for some potential buy opportunities come wed. or thurs. Be patient wait for proper 4h patterns at support levels.
Up up up.. - BUT.. . Thanks to Trump's election, the danger that NSD will take aim at aprox 19,700 as feared has been averted for the time being. But be careful: Iranians have clearly threatened to retaliate vigorously after the US election. If that happens, the price could fall very sharply within hours. SL! ..and Short ready as well LOL ;)
Anticipating a Major Market Shift NASDAQ: Key Levels 1. Wave Structure and Elliott Wave Analysis
Wave 5 and Volume Divergence: The left chart appears to highlight an extended Wave 5 with a possible volume divergence, which typically signals the end of an impulsive movement and can indicate a potential trend reversal.
Complex Wave Structure (Weekly Perspective): The larger time-frame view is labeling a complex wave sequence, with sharp corrections and shallow retracements that indicate areas of key resistance and support.
4-Hour Chart (Right Side): Shows a corrective pattern forming after a series of impulsive moves, with annotations of potential Elliott wave substructures. This includes labels such as Wave iii, iv, and v, which suggest a detailed fractal analysis within the larger trend.
2. Key Levels and Fibo Retracements
Key Fibonacci Levels: The chart highlights multiple Fibonacci retracement levels like 0.618, 0.5, and 1.236 across different parts of the wave structure, essential for identifying retracement and extension targets.
POC and VAL (Point of Control and Value Area Low): The Point of Control (POC) and Value Area Low (VAL) levels suggest key areas of market interest and volume profile zones. Traders often use these as points for potential reversals or continuations.
3. Support and Resistance Zones
Bullish and Bearish Order Blocks (OB): The chart points out zones of "Bullish OB" and "Resistance Line BC Distribution." These zones may act as supply or demand areas, where price reactions can be anticipated due to prior order flow activity.
Sell Side and Buy Side Liquidity Levels (SSL & BSL): Important liquidity zones are highlighted where traders place stop-loss orders. These levels often become targets during market moves, as liquidity is a major driver for institutional traders.
4. Invalidation Points and Critical Structure
Wave Invalidation Levels: Marked invalidation levels provide insight into where the current wave structure would be negated, indicating a possible shift in trend. For instance, invalidation points in Waves I and IV set the limits for maintaining the integrity of the Elliott wave pattern.
Order Flow Zones: Notes about "Order Flow" and "Inducement" suggest areas where the current market bias could shift, reflecting zones where traders may be trapped, or liquidity is pursued.
5. Market Sentiment and Trader Psychology Notes
Inducement and Fake Breakouts: The chart suggests areas where fake breakouts or “inducements” are used to trap retail traders, followed by a strong reversal in the opposite direction.
Wave Extensions and Momentum Continuation: By labeling “momentum continuation,” it hints at areas where minimal resistance may allow for a strong directional move, especially in alignment with the higher time-frame trend.
6. Potential Trading Scenarios
Reversal Opportunities at Key Levels: Should price hit critical Fibonacci extensions or volume divergence zones, it might signal exhaustion and a reversal.
Trend Continuation if Invalidation Holds: If key invalidation levels remain intact, the wave structure may support continued movement within the impulsive or corrective phase.
Liquidity Run and Stop-Hunt Scenarios: Annotations related to liquidity levels (like SSL and BSL) suggest potential stop-hunt areas, where price may temporarily break these levels before reversing sharply.
NEW NASDAQ ROUTEThe potential drop in the NASDAQ in the coming days could be driven by several key factors. First, macroeconomic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions or the persistence of high interest rates, could increase market volatility. Additionally, recent disappointing quarterly earnings from major tech companies, which are often heavily weighted in the index, add downward pressure. Lastly, technical signals such as the breach of critical support levels or a decline below the 50-day moving average could trigger accelerated sell-offs. Investors should closely monitor these indicators to assess risks and adjust their portfolios accordingly.
NASDAQ - It's Time To Buy The Dip AgainWith the PCQ reaching the levels of August 2024, a bullish reversal should be imminent after the sell-off of the last few days.
Enjoy the winter rally!
NASDAQ: Channel Up intact. Targeting 22,000.Nasdaq is on excellent bullish technical levels on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 65.968, MACD = 283.550, ADX = 47.440) as it is rising on the new bullih wave of the August Channel Up. The bullish wave confirmed the strong buying pressure as the 1D MA50 held and kickstarted it after a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD. Based on the previous bullish wave in September, we are currently in the middle of a +10.90% wave. We are targeting its full length (TP = 22,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NAS100The NAS100, often referred to as the Nasdaq 100, is an index that tracks the performance of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It is heavily weighted toward the technology sector but also includes companies from other sectors like consumer discretionary and healthcare.
Key Features of NAS100:
1. Tech-Heavy Composition: Includes major companies like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia.
2. Growth-Oriented: The index is known for its focus on growth stocks, making it highly sensitive to changes in market sentiment and interest rates.
3. Global Exposure: Many of its companies operate globally, making it a reflection of global tech and innovation trends.
4. Trading and Investment: Like SPX500, NAS100 can be traded through futures, options, and CFDs or invested in via ETFs, such as the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ).
Characteristics:
• Volatility: Higher than SPX500 due to its concentration in tech and growth sectors.
• Performance: Often outperforms broader indices in bullish markets but can experience sharper declines during downturns.
NASDAQ, setup for 25k (20% potential)Hello everyone,
based on the major wave 3, we can make a projection to imagine where the global markets could form a major top. In my view we are entering the last stages of the bull run, with a potential of 20% gains to come. After reaching the top, a major bear market could start, but I don't expect the top to be in before at least Q1 of 2025.
What I also want to point out is that we are about to test the very significant last swing high from where wave 4 started. I should be a good zone to start buying again, as we are in a strong bullish trend. If you need confirmation observe this level closely.
Nasdaq makes island reversal - falls to 200 EMA 25% opportunityBearish opportunity
25% fall to the key level of support
Nasdaq got a head of its self
Good luck
Bearish drop off 161.8% Fibonacci extension?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,161.95
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 21,371.18
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 20,692.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS100 SELL 1 HOUR TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Price has to feel the gap below
Multiple rejections on the top
Expecting a 4:1 reward, Let's see!
Nasdaq critical pointas previously predicted Retracement to the breakout trend completed, now watching the reaction here if there's buying moment here and a reversal candle was formed then we should expect new ATH
MY NAS100 LONG IDEA 31/10/2024Direction: Long
SL: 1950-1966
Indicators:
1. MA (20,50,100,200)
2. Trendline - Algo
3. Support and Resistance
4. Fib Level
5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools
Technical:
1. MA 20 still above 100 and 200 so I believe we still have room for bull run.
2. Red trendline was broken so we have a price drop but I also see a possibility for the price to and breakthrough the green trendline.
3. Price is dropping to a Support zone and I have a confirmation on Tradingcentral tool on MT5.
4. FIB level at golden zone.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE but price is bouncing off of the support area at the moment.
Fundamental and economic:
1. US economic data is looking good we had a bunch of data that negatively impacted the prices but I think these are good retracement opportunities.
2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 5 "bullish" on Nasdaq.
3. We are in Q4 and usually this is where we find good setups for long run.
Nasdaq going down Following Feds Hawkish tone Last NightJerome Powell’s Hawkish Tone: What It Means for Stocks
Last night, Jerome Powell hinted at potential downward pressure on stocks.
Typically:
Lower interest rates = positive for stocks
Higher interest rates = negative for stocks
While Powell didn’t explicitly suggest rate hikes, his emphasis on the need to “pause” could signal that the Fed is noticing a return of inflation—despite signs of economic weakness.
I’m not calling the market top just yet, but I believe we’re close. For now, I’ll be focusing on short positions until new data tells a different story.
Trade safe!
update on nas100 sell tradeas a trader you are required to constantly evolve your guidelines and anticipation of what price will do should it not cater for your idea point of entry or point of interest. in terms of the nas sell , price didnt fulful the full obligation of the analysis with regards to the point of interest, leading me to re-assess and find that key area to enter the sell trade as i noticed price will not complete the setup . update on the nas trade from yesterday. we move as the market moves
