Ending the day by a NQ shortGood trades are not easy trades ! Minimize risque to end the day in green or bleue !
USTECH100MINICFD trade ideas
Nasdaq market analysis: 22-Jan-2025Good morning. Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis and educational insights for price action traders.
QQQ vs S&P500Today we are looking at a ratio chart from TradFi. We are plotting the ratio of Nasdaq100 vs S&P 500. Even if both charts observed separately tell us the same story. That we are in a bullish uptrend on the daily chart for the past 1 year. But the ratio chart clearly shows Nasdaq100 peaked out relative to S&P 500 on Aug 2024 just prior to the unravelling of Yen carry trade. Since then, the ratio has not broken to the upside and registered an ATH even if the tech stocks have been doing exceptionally well recently. The ratio of QQQ vs SPX is within a local uptrend but still within the upward sloping Fib Retracement level between 0 and 0.618. The tech heavy QQQ can and will claim leadership once we break out of the range in the upward sloping Fib retracement level and break above the 0.618 levels.
NAS100 | Currently leans bullishThe price is showing signs of consolidation after a significant recovery, with bullish momentum evident. The recent movements indicate that NAS100 is attempting to retest key resistance levels while holding above critical support zones.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Structure:
• The price is currently trading within an ascending channel or trend, with higher highs and higher lows.
• The bullish momentum is supported by the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) moving averages, which are trending upwards and acting as dynamic support.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
• Resistance:
• 21,750–21,800: The upper boundary of the channel and a strong resistance zone to watch. This level aligns with recent swing highs.
• Support:
• 21,500: A key support level and a recent consolidation area. Holding above this strengthens the bullish case.
• 20,766: A major structural support zone that aligns with a previous low. A break below would signal a potential trend reversal.
3. MACD (Momentum Indicator):
• The MACD is relatively flat, suggesting the market is in consolidation with reduced momentum. A bullish crossover would confirm a continuation higher, while a bearish crossover could signal retracement.
4. Moving Averages:
• The 50-period MA (blue) is close to the current price and acting as a short-term support level.
• The 200-period MA (red) is further below and aligns with the 21,200–21,300 support zone, providing stronger dynamic support for the medium-term trend.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
• If the price holds above 21,500, the next target is a retest of the 21,750–21,800 resistance zone.
• A breakout above 21,800 could drive the price toward 22,200, the next psychological and structural resistance.
Bearish Scenario:
• If the price fails to hold 21,500, it could drop toward the 21,200–21,300 support zone.
• A break below 21,200 might trigger a deeper correction toward 20,766, aligning with the previous low.
Trading Plan:
1. For Long Trades:
• Entry: Above 21,600, ideally after a retest or breakout with momentum.
• Target: 21,750–21,800 and potentially 22,200.
• Stop Loss: Below 21,500.
2. For Short Trades:
• Entry: Below 21,500 with a clear break and retest.
• Target: 21,300, then 20,766.
• Stop Loss: Above 21,600.
Conclusion:
The market currently leans bullish, but the resistance zone around 21,750–21,800 is critical. A breakout above this level confirms continuation higher, while failure to break could lead to a pullback. Use caution with entries until momentum or volume confirms a direction.
US100US100 is in bullish trend.
Potentially printing HH and HL.
Aligator indicator also indicates here bullish.
we buy at CMP.
NAS100 BULLISH RALLY STARTS NOW!!!!!!Nasdaq buying now.
Take profit: 22,092
share your insight with me in the comment section.
USNAS100 Maintains Bullish Momentum with Key Levels in FocusUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
As previously mentioned, the price has moved upward, successfully reaching our target of 21635.
Currently, the bullish trend remains intact, especially after a correction to the pivot line. As long as the price trades above 21545, it is expected to reach 21635 again. A 1-hour candle close above 21635 could pave the way for a move toward 21760.
A bearish trend, however, will be confirmed if the price closes a 4-hour candle below 21380.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21540
Resistance Levels: 21635, 21760, 21900
Support Levels: 21380, 21220, 21080
Trend Outlook
The trend remains bullish while the price stays above 21385.
Previous idea:
NAS100 Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 21,543.12.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 22,044.19 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
4-hr NASDAQ 100: Good Opportunity for a 400 Point RiseFor the past week, the US100 has surged by over 1,000 points, signaling strong bullish momentum. The RSI stands at 69, indicating high demand and buyer dominance. A bullish Golden Cross pattern has emerged, confirming the upward trend. Despite a brief correction yesterday, with the index dipping to 20,200, it found solid support at the key 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This pullback attracted more buyers, potentially driving the NASDAQ towards December’s highs, 400-500 points higher. Broader market indices are also climbing, reinforcing a risk-on sentiment. For an optimal risk-to-reward ratio, traders eyeing further gains might consider waiting for a minor retracement to the 23% Fibonacci level near 21,380 before entering new positions. Alternatively, should buyers enter now with a straight up market order, they may consider a deeper stop loss, below this key Fibonacci retracement.
Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Amid Increased VolatilityNasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Amid Increased Volatility
As revealed by the technical analysis of the 4-hour Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the ATR indicator has been above 125 since the start of 2025, in contrast to late 2024 when it was mostly below this level. This reflects heightened volatility in the US stock market due to:
→ Trump’s inauguration: The president has already signed an executive order withdrawing the US from the World Health Organization. Market participants anticipate further decisions in the near future that could significantly impact the nation’s economy.
→ Earnings season: Companies are releasing reports, prompting analysts to revise forecasts. For instance, a Jefferies analyst downgraded Apple’s (AAPL) stock rating and lowered the price target from $211 to $200, citing potentially weak revenue figures. Apple’s quarterly report is due on 30 January.
On the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), a bearish move (indicated by the arrow) is notable for:
→ Indicating that the median line of the ascending channel has turned into resistance;
→ Suggesting that the apparent bullish breakout above the upper red line now seems to be a false breakout.
The long lower wick on the far-right bearish candle points to strong demand around the 21,300 level. However, will buyers remain active if Trump’s actions and corporate earnings reports increase risks for them?
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq analysis: 21-Jan-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
Weekly Market Outlook and trade ideas for 20Jan to 24 janThis week’s market outlook focuses on potential trades for Gold, EUR/USD, DXY, GBP/USD, BTC/USD, and EUR/GBP, emphasizing bullish trends in Gold and mixed signals for other pairs.
Highlights
📈 Gold shows bullish momentum, breaking December highs.
📉 DXY faced a bearish candle but remains bullish long-term.
💹 EUR/USD is positioned for upward movement before a potential sell.
📊 BTC/USD looks for buying opportunities below the 50% range.
📉 GBP/USD may rise before a downside move.
📈 EUR/GBP trades in premium range, planning shorts at higher levels.
📈 NASDAQ shows bullish potential with targets set for highs.
Key Insights
📊 Gold’s Bullish Trend: Gold has broken past December’s highs, indicating strong bullish sentiment. This momentum is supported by market optimism, suggesting continued upside potential.
📉 DXY’s Short-term Volatility: Although recent news led to a bearish candle, the long-term outlook remains positive for DXY, with potential for recovery and upward movement in the near future.
💱 EUR/USD Trading Strategy: A bullish move is anticipated before a potential sell-off, providing opportunities for traders to capitalize on short-term gains before positioning for a downward trend.
📈 BTC/USD Entry Zone: A focus on buying BTC/USD below the 50% range of the recent move indicates a strategic approach to capitalize on potential reversals from established support levels.
🔄 GBP/USD Range Dynamics: GBP/USD shows potential for a short-term upward movement before a correction, highlighting the importance of timing in trading strategies.
📉 EUR/GBP Short Positioning: Targeting short entries in the premium range reflects a disciplined trading strategy based on market dynamics and price action in EUR/GBP.
📊 NASDAQ’s Bullish Outlook: With significant targets set for recent highs, NASDAQ demonstrates strong bullish potential, suggesting opportunities for traders to engage in upward momentum.
POST INAUGURATION..The market has tried to rally but has been very limited, keeps getting pulled back into the pendant area. However, the 1day chart has broken the moving resistance, but again it also is being pulled back under, after today the picture will become clearer.
At the moment this stand off between bull and bear can go either way.
Just my opinion, not a financial advice.
Nasdaq100 4H Timeframe AnalysisNasdaq100 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, Nasdaq100 was initially in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lows until reaching a major support level at 20,500. After testing and retesting this major support, the price reversed and moved upward, breaking through the minor key levels between 21,000 and 21,300. This breakout marked a change in trend direction, shifting from a downtrend to an uptrend. The price is now creating higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), signaling further bullish momentum. Liquidity was formed below the minor key resistance at 21,300, which sets up a potential continuation pattern for the uptrend.
Price Action Expectation:
Wait for the price to retrace back to the minor key resistance zone around 21,350 and confirm that the trend is continuing upward. The breakout above 21,300 should provide confirmation that the bullish trend is intact, with the next move targeting the next resistance level at 21,680.
Trade Setup:
Trade Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 21,350.0 (upon price retracing back to minor key resistance and confirming trend continuation)
Stop Loss: 21,190.0 (below liquidity zone to avoid false breakouts)
Take Profit: 21,680.0 (targeting the next minor key resistance level)
This setup capitalizes on the liquidity formation and breakout above the minor key resistance, aiming for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Outlook:
Overall, Trump’s policies on trade will influence investor sentiment globally. If Trump’s trade overhaul creates a favorable business environment and fairer trade deals, the Nasdaq-100 could experience growth, especially in the tech sector. However, if trade relations deteriorate or tariffs increase, the index might face increased volatility. The Nasdaq-100, as a key barometer for U.S. economic growth, will reflect the market’s confidence in Trump’s ability to navigate these challenges.
In conclusion, while the Nasdaq-100 could benefit from Trump’s promises of deregulation and improved trade deals, the market must brace for the volatility that often accompanies his unpredictable policy shifts. Investors should remain vigilant to any changes in trade dynamics that could impact the performance of major tech stocks and the broader market.
Risk Management:
Maintain a 1:2+ risk-to-reward ratio for optimal returns.
Ensure that your position size is aligned with your account equity and risk tolerance.
Be cautious of false breakouts by monitoring liquidity zones and adjusting your stop-loss if necessary.
Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
Nasdaq a complété ses 5-VaguesAreas labeled as "Liquidity" and "Lots of Liquidity" represent price zones where stop-loss orders or pending orders may cluster. These zones are likely points of interest for reversals or breakouts.
Support and Resistance:
A horizontal yellow line marks a potential key support level around 21,000.
The upper horizontal lines indicate resistance levels near 21,447 and 21,676, respectively.
A bearish move is predicted to complete Wave 6, targeting the support zone near 21,000 (specifically around 0.72 Fibonacci retracement level).
Following this, an upward movement is projected towards the liquidity zone near 21,802.
Potential Upside:
The target at 21,802 represents a significant upward liquidity grab after the predicted downward move.
NAS LOOKS BEAUTIFULClear Break Of Structure and Trend Reversal. Nas looks like it will continue bullish and possibly bounce off of previous levels marked off! LETS SEE!!
The key is whether it can be supported at 21673.4
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Important factors when analyzing charts are
- Support and resistance points
- StochRSI indicator
If you have the above two factors, I think you can analyze the charts quickly and briefly.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
You can analyze the chart by checking whether the line drawn in this way is supported or not while referring to the movement of the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart.
The 21673.4-22013.5 section, which is indicated as a high point boundary section, is likely to act as resistance.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is important to see if it can break through the high point boundary zone upward.
In other words, we can see that the high point boundary zone is more likely to act as resistance.
The volatility period is expected to occur around January 29.
Therefore, in order to maintain an upward trend, it must show support at the high point boundary zone after the volatility period.
If not, it will eventually fall.
At this time, what we should pay attention to is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
The longer the StochRSI indicator remains in the overbought zone, the more likely it is that the StochRSI indicator will show a large decline if there is a slight price decline.
When the StochRSI indicator falls to or below the 50 point, if it shows support at around 21673.4, it is highly likely that it will show an upward trend by breaking through the high point boundary zone upward.
To maintain the current short-term uptrend, the price needs to stay above 21068.2-21321.9.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
With these settings, you can see the movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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US100 LongOf course no financial advice!!!!
It looks like that there is lots of liquidity in the market but the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure. We are in an uptrend so I guess the market wants to grab/sweep the Liquidity Levels and then continue flying up to the moon to the ATH and also grab there some liquidity.
NAS100 Trade ideaNAS100 is on an up trend and is breaking above key levels while continuing to respect structure. Price has just broken above a key level and gave a retest followed by a double bottom rejection to confirm a buy entry
35 years of NASDAQ in a simple view - you are HEREThis is a good thing to think about, periodically. On the big picture, we're riding the lower trendline and in a really tight range. some things I noticed: If we touch that lower trendline, buy. It isn't unlikely that we hit that top trendline, at some point. Based on these two observations, I'd say NASDAQ has room to run over the long-term.
20-1 Nass100:Despite the fact that today was a holiday in the US, the developments in the Middle East and the US itself do have an impact on the stocks including the tech stocks.
Our signal system gives a neutral / long signal with a Score of +7 consisting of Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment -2, Seasonality 2, Trend reading 1, GDP 1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI 1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment change 1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates
1. We expect the Nas to come back to where it has been in the past year. We have set up a buy range from 21500.
NAS100 ICC Long Trade SetupNas is showing strong buyers presence by breaking recent highs, I'd enter buys if Nas breaks above the next high giving us indication to push higher.
NAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market AnalysisNAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market Analysis
Technical Analysis
1. Breakout Above Trend Line:
• The NAS100 has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trend line, signaling a reversal from bearish momentum to bullish strength.
• This breakout is further supported by sustained bullish candles, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
2. Key Resistance Levels Breached:
• The price recently broke above a significant resistance level at 21,500, turning it into a support zone.
• With this key resistance cleared, the next target levels are 21,750 and 22,000 in the short term.
3. Support Levels:
• Strong support is visible around 21,400, which aligns with the trendline retest and consolidation area.
• The 21,150 level provides additional downside protection, serving as a critical pivot.
4. Momentum Indicators:
• Stochastic Divergence: Momentum remains bullish, with no signs of overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement.
• Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by increased volume, validating the strength of the upward move.
Market Analysis
1. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration:
• Markets often react positively to pro-business policies, which are historically associated with Trump’s administration.
• Investor sentiment today is driven by expectations of renewed focus on technology growth, infrastructure spending, and potential tax cuts. These policies directly benefit tech-heavy indices like NAS100.
2. Tech Sector Performance:
• The NAS100 heavily relies on major tech companies, which are likely to see increased investment flows due to optimism about innovation and deregulation.
3. Speculative Sentiment:
• Political transitions fuel short-term speculative buying, further adding to the index’s upside momentum.
Buy Opportunity
1. Entry Zone:
• Current price levels around 21,500–21,550 present a strong buying opportunity, as this zone has become a solid support after the breakout.
2. Target Levels:
• Short-term target: 21,750.
• Medium-term target: 22,000, aligning with psychological resistance and historical price zones.
3. Stop Loss:
• Place a stop loss below the support level at 21,400, allowing room for minor pullbacks while limiting downside risk.
Conclusion
The NAS100 is positioned for further upside due to the trendline breakout, strong technical setup, and positive market sentiment fueled by Trump’s inauguration. Buyers should focus on buying dips near support zones to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum.
