WALLSTREETCFD trade ideas
Quick take on DJIACurrently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI is trading within a short-term downside channel. However, could it just be part of a correction, before another possible leg of buying? Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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Shakeout On The WayUnlike the SPX, the DJI didn't make a higher-high. Why is this? I think partially because it's price weighted as opposed to market cap weighted like the Nasdaq or SPX. The other part would be CPI numbers.
So what's next for the DJI? I see hidden bullish divs long term and hidden bearish divs short term, this a common shake out tactic I see to liquidate longs and shorts. I'll be looking to load up on the trade at the bottom of the channel and play the range as it develops.
As always: stay calm, don't panic, and don't forget you can always use a stop loss
The fear and green index is at 74, when people are greedy be fearful.
Dow Jones: Shaking amid rumors of Powell’s dismissalIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The main Wall Street indices closed Thursday’s session with mixed results. Comments from Trump stating he had no plans to fire Powell but “doesn’t rule anything out” except in cases of fraud, along with Powell’s declaration that he will serve his full term until mid-2026, pressured the market. The U.S. market has been dealing with these dismissal tensions for seven months, which made the Dow Jones appear weaker, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq managed to stay in positive territory, supported by strong earnings from key companies. At the session’s start, the Dow Jones fell 0.09% to 44,202 points, while the S&P 500 rose 0.04% to 6,266 points and the Nasdaq gained 0.17% to 20,777 points. However, the Dow Jones closed at 44,484.49 points (+0.52%), the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 points (+0.54%), and the Nasdaq at 20,885.65 points (+0.75%). The day was marked by rumors from the White House, where an official stated that Trump would “probably soon” fire Jerome Powell. The news triggered an intraday drop of over 260 points in the Dow Jones, although markets later moderated losses after clarifications from the former president himself.
An early dismissal of Powell would likely impact the market very negatively and generate significant chaos. Trump’s interest in pressuring the Fed for rate cuts, although he cannot legally dismiss the central bank’s president, has been on the table since the start of his term. This has caused pronounced volatility movements. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.449%, as the market reduced the probability of a rate cut in September from 66% to 55% (CME FedWatch).
On the macroeconomic front, June retail sales rose 0.6%, far exceeding the expected 0.1%. Weekly jobless claims stood at 221,000, also below expectations. With these results, Trump has little leverage to challenge the Fed.
Notable corporate results:
PepsiCo surprised positively with EPS of $2.12 (vs. $2.03 expected) and rose 5.7% at the open.
United Airlines advanced 3.6%, beating earnings expectations with EPS of $3.87, although revenues slightly disappointed.
GE Aerospace raised its 2025 EPS forecast to a range of $5.60–5.80, driven by strong aftermarket demand.
Netflix reported after the close, with expectations of $7.09 EPS and $11.06 billion in revenue.
TSMC led chip sector gains, rising more than 3% after announcing record profits thanks to AI. AMD, NVIDIA, and Super Micro also traded higher.
Technical Analysis
Observing the Dow Jones daily chart (Ticker AT: USAIND), since late April the index has moved upward toward its long-term control zone around 42,230 points, where the Point of Control (POC) acts as support for the current rally. In recent days, candles have used the 50-day moving average as support. The price expansion that began on June 6 with a golden cross appears solid. The bullish delta pressure zones from February and last year’s Christmas rally coincide with the current trading zone, suggesting a potential fourth attempt to break the current all-time highs at 45,110.09 points in pursuit of 46,000. If this price area is not breached, a pullback toward the POC zone could occur, and if that level fails to hold, a drop toward 39,600 points may follow.
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US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025📍 US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025
We’ve officially broken down out of the consolidation range between 44,220–44,867 📉
The structure is now shifting bearish, with price printing a series of lower highs and lower lows, and EMAs flipping to the downside. Sellers are in control heading into the week.
📊 Current Structure:
Bearish market shift confirmed below 44,220
EMAs (20 & 50) now angled downward and acting as dynamic resistance
Trendline support from June rally is broken
Last bounce attempt from 44,260 was weak and quickly faded
🔑 Key Levels:
🔽 Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,300
🔼 Resistance: 44,220 → 44,400 zone
🧭 Pivot zone: Watch 44,000 psychological level for reactions
💡 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔻 Short Setup (Trend Continuation):
Entry: Retest + rejection near 44,220 or descending EMAs
TP1: 43,800
TP2: 43,600
SL: Above 44,300
⚠️ Avoid longing unless we reclaim and hold above 44,400 with strong momentum.
US30 BUY IDEA🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Demand Zone Entry:
• Price tapped into a strong demand zone (gray box) around 44,280 – 44,330, signaling potential institutional buying interest.
• Liquidity Grab:
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept just below the previous lows, which aligns with a classic SMC liquidity manipulation before a bullish move.
• Projected Market Structure Shift:
• Price is forming a higher low, hinting at a potential reversal and bullish BOS (Break of Structure).
• Expecting a multi-leg bullish move, targeting 44,812 area, filling imbalance and reaching premium zones.
• Risk-Reward Outlook:
• Stop loss placed just below the demand zone.
• Take profit aligned with previous highs and inefficiency zone — a favorable R:R ratio for swing traders.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Sweep of liquidity below demand.
2. Institutional buy orders triggered.
3. Low-risk buy opportunity with clear internal structure shift.
4. Bullish continuation toward premium pricing and unfilled imbalances.
DowJones bullish breakout retest?Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45445
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44000
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43430
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US30 - Short SellThe Dow Jones aka US30
* Overall trend is bullish
* Currently trading the retracement with the following points.
1. Valid OB
2. Liquidity to the sell side
3. Imbalance to the sell side
4. Price failed to break the previous HH activating the Bear positions, the question is How Deep The Retracement Will Be ? So we are closely monitoring the price action to adjust at any changes that the market might face.
US30 Sell IdeaSelling in the 44815–44886 zone, targeting a drop to 44476.50 with a stop loss at 44927.50 to cap risk. This setup aims to catch a pullback from resistance after the recent upward move, expecting the price to retrace toward the lower support area. Trade with discipline and wait for bearish confirmation around the entry zone.
KOG - US30US30
Looking at this we have a clean reversal in play suggesting we’re going to get lower order regions before a potential RIP. The red boxes have been added and may give us opportunities to capture the tap and bounces on the smaller TFs.
If we can support lower, we could very well see this push up into the ideal target level we have illustrated.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
DOW JONES repeating May's pattern.Dow Jones (DJI) has been testing its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since yesterday, following 2 straight weeks of trading strongly above it.
If it holds and rebounds, the pattern will draw even more similarities with May's Channel Up, which after the May 06 Low, it resumed the uptrend to peak on a +9.27% rise from the bottom, before breaking below the 4H MA50.
Since the current rise is -0.70% weaker (+4.94% against +5.66%) from May's fractal, we can assume that as long as the 4H MA50 holds, we can expect a peak at 46400.
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Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
US30 Consolidates Below Resistance – Tariff Risks LoomUS30 – Market Overview
The price is currently consolidating within the range of 44490 to 44180, awaiting a breakout to determine the next directional move.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 44490, we expect bearish volatility to retest 44180.
A confirmed 1H close below 44180 would open the path toward 43960 and 43760.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price closes above 44490, it will likely trigger a bullish move toward 44750, with potential extension to 44970 ATH and beyond.
Note: Market sentiment remains sensitive to tariff-related developments, which may drive sharp moves in either direction.
Pivot Level: 44490
Support: 44180, 43960, 43770
Resistance: 44750, 44960, 45100