Dow Jones Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 44,450 zone. Dow Jones is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 44,450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
WALLSTREETCFD trade ideas
Dow Jones (US30): Recovery in Motion — Target at 45,000Market Overview:
The Dow Jones index holds above the support zone at 44,183 after a local correction. The broader trend remains bullish, with the primary target set near the monthly resistance zone at 45,000.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— Support confirmed at H8 level (44,183)
— EMA acting as dynamic support
— Upside potential toward channel resistance
Key Levels:
Support: 44,183, 43,455
Resistance/Target: 45,000
Scenario:
Primary: If Dow Jones remains above 44,183, continuation toward 45,000 is likely.
Alternative: A break below 44,183 could trigger a deeper correction toward 43,455.
US30 Projected All Time Highs As Bullish Trend ResumesPrice is currently being supported by an H4 demand zone. If this demand zone continues to hold and apply pressure to the upside, we will soon be seeing new all time highs. Which really should not surprise us because as we all know, indices are generally bullish long term.
Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again.
This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish.
On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks.
What’s the next expected move?
The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4h Chart (FOREXCOM)4-hour candlestick chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) showing the price movement from late June to early July 2025. The current price is 44,314.0, with a slight increase of +23.0 (+0.05%). The chart includes buy and sell signals at 44,316.5 and 44,310.5 respectively, with highlighted resistance and support zones. The index has shown a general upward trend with some volatility over the period.
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- Dow Jones reversed from long-term resistance level 45000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 44000.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 45000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous medium-term ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 44,400 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend 44,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 44,371.8.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,586.3 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US30 H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44576.41, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 44162.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 44922.32, a swing high resistance.
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US30: Market in Rally Mode – Prepare for the Next OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis !
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Upward trend Given the behavior of the index within the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that a trend change will take place and we will witness the beginning of a correction. With consolidation above the resistance range, the continuation of the upward trend will be likely.
US30 short bias- 9th July 2025
I have conducted a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of the US30 index, with particular focus on its recent price action and structural context.
Quarterly Timeframe:
On the three-month timeframe, the second quarter’s candle close is notably bullish, having engulfed the previous ten quarterly candles. This significant engulfing pattern suggests strong underlying momentum. Importantly, there has not yet been a body closure above this quarterly candle, which indicates that price may attempt to break above its range to establish new all-time highs.
Recently, price action reached an all-time high near a major psychological level of 45,000 before retracing sharply to a liquidity region around 37,500. Since this retracement, there has been substantial accumulation of bullish orders, reinforcing the potential for price to retest and surpass prior highs.
Monthly Timeframe:
On the monthly timeframe, price has approached a key liquidity region around 44,500, where it is currently encountering resistance. While the higher timeframe bias remains firmly bullish, it is reasonable to expect healthy retracements before new all-time highs are made. It is worth noting that price has already broken above significant monthly levels at 41,750 and 42,600.
A retracement to these regions to collect further liquidity remains plausible, although this scenario is speculative rather than confirmed at present. Consequently, my bias on the monthly timeframe remains neutral in the short term, pending further developments.
Weekly Timeframe:
Price action on the weekly timeframe mirrors that of the monthly. There is little of note beyond the observation that price absorbed considerable bullish orders at 41,750 and has since encountered resistance near 44,750, leading to a modest retracement. Given this structure, I maintain a neutral outlook on the weekly timeframe.
Daily Timeframe:
On the daily chart, we can observe that the bullish momentum initiated from the 43,000 order block region faced resistance at approximately 44,500. Price briefly broke above this region on Thursday, 3rd July, but quickly closed below it on Monday, indicating a lack of sustained buying interest to propel price higher.
This retracement suggests that the market is searching for a deeper liquidity area to support its next upward move. Notably, a bearish three-pin formation is present, implying that price may break below the recent lows around 44,150. Accordingly, my bias for today is bearish.
4-Hour Timeframe:
In alignment with the daily bias, the 4-hour timeframe indicates that price is likely to target Monday’s low at approximately 44,155. The next key liquidity region lies around 44,000, where substantial bullish orders were previously filled. I am currently waiting for price to offer a suitable entry region to sell towards 44,000.
I am also mindful that the FOMC minutes are scheduled for release today, which could introduce significant volatility. Should a valid setup emerge, I will look to enter a short position. Specifically, if the current 4-hour candle closes bearish, I intend to consider shorts from around 44,220.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.