Short USOILUSoil making series of Lower high and Lower lower. we cam make good profit at these entry levels.
WTI trade ideas
WTI OIL Channel Up emerging, aiming at $90.WTI Oil (USOIL) recently broke above its 15-month Lower Highs trend-line that has been keeping it under a bearish trend and is now naturally pulling back. This technical pull-back is so far within the tolerance levels of a bullish trend.
The pattern that making use of this trend is a Channel Up, newly emerged and now about to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as a Support for the first time since August 14 2024. As long as it holds, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start and as with the Jan - Apr 2024 Channel Up, rise towards the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is quite below it at $90.00.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USOIL Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 75.561.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 82.488 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Crude oil may bounce higherCrude oil has been influenced by mostly technical factors at the beginning of 2025. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East had eased, the colder than usual weather in the United States along with diminishing stocks of oil have boosted the price above the 3--month trading range.
The price of USOIL has been moving within the rising trend, almost having hit the $79-80 price area. Despite the strong reaction at the peak, the market may still be in control of buyers and need to retest the $77-78 zone again after retesting the dynamic support area at around $73 as shown at the chart.
The medium-term price projection from Energy Administration of the United States involves a possible pullback in the first quarter of 2025, after which the price may continue moving down towards $60 area in the long-term,
The new political administration in the US claims to support oil and gas exploration and mining companies, which might positively affect prices of energy stocks, but that’s a big question of whether or not, demand for oil and gas would increase apart from the official forecast.
Don't forget - this is just the idea. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
USOIL LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on USOIL right now from the support line below with the target of 79.40 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
WTI | Selloff Back to $68 w/USD/JPY CorrelationSince the last call on Oil we successfully hit the $77 target.
This next move is now looking to head back to $68 support based on the pivot moves within the current Descending Triangle pattern.
This is also another opportunity to take a back-to-back swing on FX:USDJPY
We got divergence on the forex pair acting like the 'price' and 'oil' acting like the indication
(Convergence/Divergence)
Oil moves first on the down move and usdjpy will follow through after it makes one more leg up.
Crude Oil retracement potential continuationClean and slow retracement back to daily 20 SMA, MACD close to crossing back over
WTI CRUDE OIL: Buy opportunity on the bottom trendline.WTI Crude Oil remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.480, MACD = 1.830, ADX = 66.542) despite the 4 day selling streak, which pushed the price under the 4H MA50. The HL trendline is still intact though, so technically that is a sound buy opportunity, especially if the 1D RSI hits the 30.000 oversold level. We're bullish (TP = 86.00).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ema for checking trendema for checking trend
What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
1
The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. An exponentially weighted moving average reacts more significantly to recent price changes than a simple moving average simple moving average (SMA), which applies an equal weight to all observations in the period.
WTI could see another push to $80Upward trend with a bullish wedge break. Support is at around $75 and target is at around $80. If we see prices well below $75 this trade is invalidated. But do not put your SL to close below the support.
Crude Oil (WTI): Breaking Down the Chart and Trading PotentialCrude oil, one of the most actively traded commodities globally, is displaying a potentially bullish setup on its chart. After a prolonged period of consolidation, WTI seems to be testing critical levels that could dictate its direction in the near term.
Chart Breakdown
Support Zone: The primary support zone lies between $6,600 and $6,900, which has acted as a strong accumulation area for buyers. A clear bounce from this level adds strength to the bullish outlook.
Resistance Levels: The first major resistance to watch is at $7,130. This is the key breakout level that crude oil must surpass to confirm further upward momentum. Beyond this, a sustained breakout could take prices toward the next target at $7,725, which aligns with historical resistance levels.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Case: A breakout above $7,130, coupled with sustained volume, could confirm the beginning of a fresh rally. The immediate target would be around $7,725, with potential for further upside if momentum persists.
Bearish Case: On the other hand, a breakdown below $6,600 could signal renewed selling pressure. If this occurs, crude oil may slide toward lower levels, potentially revisiting $6,400 or beyond.
Trading Plan
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $7,130 with strong buying volume.
Target 1: $7,725
Stop-Loss: Below $7,000
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $6,600 with confirmation of selling momentum.
Target 1: $6,400
Stop-Loss: Above $6,800
Key Takeaways
Crude oil is on the verge of a breakout from its consolidation phase, with critical levels identified for both bullish and bearish scenarios. Whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term participant in the commodity market, staying aligned with these levels could be the key to success.
Where do you see crude oil heading next? Let’s discuss in the comments below! 📈📉
⚠️ Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct thorough research before making trading decisions.
💡 Boost & Follow to stay updated with the latest commodity insights and chart analyses. Let’s navigate the markets together! 🚀
Crude Oil Analysis – Current Trend and Key Levels 6PMCMP: 75.77 (-0.12%)
Crude Oil is trading within a descending channel, showing a strong bearish trend on the hourly chart.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
76.50 (previous breakdown zone).
78.00 (upper channel boundary and significant supply zone).
Support Zones:
75.00 (immediate support).
73.00 (major demand zone).
Trading Plan:
Bearish View:
Short below 75.50 with a target of 75.00 and 73.00.
Stop Loss: Above 76.50.
Bullish View:
Long above 76.50 for targets of 78.00.
Stop Loss: Below 75.50.
Crude Oil remains under pressure unless it breaks out above 78. Watch the trendline and volume closely for confirmation.
#CrudeOil #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Demand Zone Reversal and Fibonacci Targewe can see that after breaking the downward trendline (yellow), the price has reached a specific demand zone (purple box). If valid reversal candles, such as a pin bar or engulfing candle, are observed in this zone, a buy trade can be initiated. It is expected that, by holding this zone, the price will start an upward move, breaking through Fibonacci levels and reaching the 50% and 61.8% targets. Ultimately, the main target could be near the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
USOIL/ Key Resistance at $76.20 and Bullish Breakout PotentialOil prices are currently below $76.20, a key resistance level, suggesting further downside potential toward support levels at $74.01 and $72.86. However, if the price manages to rise above $76.20, it would signal a shift toward bullish momentum. For confirmation, a close above $76.20 on a 4-hour or daily chart would be necessary to validate the breakout and start a bullish trend. A close above this level indicates the potential for further gains, as the resistance has been overcome.
WTI - The fate of oil with Trump's policies?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable risk reward will be provided for us.
The China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has stated that China’s crude oil production is expected to increase by 1% by 2025, reaching 215 million tons. Additionally, China’s crude oil imports are projected to grow by 1%, reaching 559 million tons.
The CEO of Aramco has noted that robust demand from China will continue to drive global oil demand growth. He predicts that oil demand will rise by 1.3 million barrels per day in 2025.
Donald Trump, the President of the United States, has directed his administration to revoke the “Executive Order on Electric Vehicles.” This move aims to roll back regulations on vehicle emissions and fuel efficiency standards, which he claims unfairly restrict consumer choice.
This directive, part of a broader executive order focused on energy, also calls on regulators to consider “eliminating unfair subsidies and other misguided government interventions that favor electric vehicles over other technologies and effectively mandate their purchase.”
On Monday, President Trump signed several energy-related executive orders, declaring a “National Energy Emergency” and launching measures heavily favoring fossil fuel development and production. These actions are seen as a blow to the energy policies of the previous administration under Joe Biden, which aimed to bolster the renewable energy sector. The new executive orders focus on boosting domestic energy production and lowering consumer costs.
In December, energy prices rose, contributing to overall inflation. Key drivers of the fuel price increases included:
• Colder-than-expected winter weather,
• Supply concerns driven by sanctions and geopolitical conflicts,
• Optimism about demand stimulation from China.
Pilot Company, owned by Berkshire Hathaway, has decided to cease its international oil and fuel trading operations. This decision comes after months of restructuring and the dismissal of many traders.
The President of the Petroleum Association of Japan has stated that despite Trump’s policies, uncertainty remains regarding increased oil and LNG production by U.S. energy developers. He also noted that there is little likelihood of an immediate increase in oil imports from the U.S., as Japan prefers to maintain a stable supply of crude oil from the Middle East, which is more compatible with Japanese refineries.
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 77.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 78.77 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 74.85 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to area of 82.000 (Wave "5"). Colleagues, all trading instruments are behaving extremely unpredictably right now due to the situation with Trump's inauguration among other things.
I see this as an opportunity to redraw the waves.
Apparently now the price is developing wave “4” and will finish it soon. I expect the price to reach the area of 82.000, renewing the high of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Will Trump's policies extend USOIL's decline?USOIL pared recent gains after Trump declared a national energy emergency to boost US oil production and proposed halting Venezuelan oil imports, raising concerns about oversupply. However, ongoing sanctions on Russia and a winter storm disrupting oil production in North Dakota helped limit the downside in oil prices.
From a technical perspective, USOIL dipped following a retracement from the ascending channel's upper bound and resistance at 80.00. The price is approaching the channel's lower bound and support level at 75.00, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rebound above the 75.00 support could prompt a further rise and retest of the resistance at 80.00. Conversely, a break below 75.00 could drive USOIL toward the next potential support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 72.00.
Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe,
Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 77.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 78.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 74.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support hat lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI tests resistance after bouncing from $75"We will drill, baby, drill"
That's what Donald Trump said yesterday and is what makes me think oil is headed lower in longer-term outlook, or at best upside should be limited in long-term.
In short-term a lot can happen of course, but right now the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside.
WTI has been trending lower in the last few days and broken some important support levels. These levels have turned into resistance. For example: $77.00.
Earlier, prices dipped to test the first major support area around 75.00, and it bounced from there. But thanks to Trump's bearish oil policy, we could see the selling resume.
At the time of writing, WTI was testing another broken support level around the 75.80 to 76.05 area. Will we see the sellers return here?
By Fawad Razaqada, market analyst with FOREX.com
