USOil - LongUSOil has given a breakout and reversed the trend, there is bullish divergence too adding confluence. Therefore, going long on USOil.
WTI trade ideas
USOILUSOIL price is near the resistance zone 71.48-71.92. If the price cannot break through the 71.92 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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USOIL Short Plan For Coming DaysMonthly Candle Close below Previous Candle and Sweep Previous Candle High, So I am Looking Bearish Trend for USOIL, Here is my Short Plan, If You Following Then Follow with Risk Management.
USOIL View!!** Indeed, S&P 500 index is struggling to rekindle its spirit
** Benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield
US10Y
climbing into the Cloud, and on track to rise for an eighth straight week
** Nearly every sector startled: Technology most timid, while just Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services show gri
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Mid mth barn Howdy - expand to get more precise levels - long term Fib demand below to return to 70.42 or drop to test 64.71 /.5 . Long term daily support at 68.32 / 1597 daily atm . watching if it plays under 69 . Should be an exciting week . keep your stick on the ice . Boosts appreciated - thx .
OIL SIDEWAYI'm not a market maker so I won't know exactly how the market will behave but I will contribute my opinion on the issues that concern you.
USOILUSOIL is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new LHs and LLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last LL, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg down could go for new LL.
What you guys think of this idea?
USOIL Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.00.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 65.47.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Oil spikes on escalation fearsCrude oil continues to push up off the lows hit on Tuesday when front-month WTI broke below $67 per barrel for the first time since the beginning of October. Since then, oil has managed to build some upside momentum, although it’s far too early to tell if there’s a definitive change in direction. Nevertheless, things are looking better for the bulls, in some respects. The daily MACD has begun to turn higher, although it still remains in negative territory. Yesterday evening, prices suddenly surged higher in a move which took front-month WTI from $69 to $70.50 in less than an hour. The jump came after Israeli intelligence reported that Iran was planning to attack Isreal from its bases within Iraq. This should keep markets off balance as the weekend approaches. Traders will be on alert over the weekend. And beyond, in the absence of an attack. But it also means that yesterday’s rally is likely to unwind completely should any attack prove ineffectual. Despite this, it is potentially another step up in the escalation of hostilities which is starting to normalise direct military contact between Israel and Iran, rather than with Iran’s proxies.
US Oil might need to partially close this MEGA GAPHi Everyone!
I think that this mega gap short needs to be at least partially filled before going shorter. We are currently in nice profit and I have set a breakeven.
Oil is looking to Trend lower to $40 If OIl breaks doesn't hold from the descending triangle, we may be looking at OIl going to previous resistance, which should now be support at $40
Crude Oil Price Review: Bullish Correction AheadThe recent bearish gap in crude oil prices could be setting up for a bullish correction, as technical indicators highlight key target areas for a rebound, signaling a potential upward trend.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report supports this outlook if large institutional players are increasing long positions, adding to the bullish momentum.
Historical US election trends also play a role, as policy shifts related to energy can drive expectations of higher demand, which often leads to upward price adjustments.
Meanwhile, upcoming economic data, including the US PCE index, jobs report, and manufacturing PMI, will influence this trajectory, with higher-than-expected inflation possibly leading to rate hikes, which could temper growth and suppress oil demand.
However, should these indicators point to economic resilience, it would bolster the case for a rally, feeding into a narrative where crude oil prices might see a short-term climb in anticipation of both policy impacts and resilient demand.
Bearish reversal?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 709.24
1st Support: 68.44
1st Resistance: 72.88
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Oil ShortLooking to short Oil. After the large gap from weekend news regarding the strikes on Iran being more about retaliation than targeting the manufacturing supplies there is some downside potential for Oil. Currently trading below the gap, I am looking to trade Oil lower before buying it back up. Buy's right now do not make sense for the strategy.
Confluences for the short:
-38% fibo
-Key Level
-Trendline break and retest
Entry is now
Stop loss is set around 69.64, any higher and the idea is inactive as Oil should begin to push higher after breaking the nearest resistance.
Targeting the next support and resistance at the lows created in September.
*Remember this is not financial advice I post on here more to give an idea of trading and how I look at the market.
Never the less, trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
What Is a Petrodollar and How Does It Affect the Global Economy?What Is a Petrodollar and How Does It Affect the Global Economy?
The concept of petrodollars is an insightful topic to study. The petrodollar isn’t a specific currency but a financial system that reflects economic and political forces that have shaped international relations for decades. This concept is critical to understanding global trade dynamics and geopolitical strategies.
Petrodollar: Definition and Origins
A petrodollar refers to the US dollars earned by oil-exporting countries through the sale of oil to other nations. The term gained fame in the 1970s, a period marked by significant changes in the global economic landscape, particularly concerning energy resources and currency stability.
Historical Context
The petrodollar system received a significant boost in development as a result of economic necessity and geopolitical strategy during the turbulent 1970s. Key historical events, such as the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the 1973 oil crisis, and the US–Saudi agreement, set the stage for the creation of the term ‘petrodollar’. These events emphasised the importance of securing stable economic fundamentals in the face of global uncertainty.
Bretton Woods Agreement
The Bretton Woods Agreement, established in 1944, created a system of fixed exchange rates anchored by the US dollar, which was convertible to gold. This system fostered post-war economic stability. The Bretton Woods Agreement led to the formation of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The system eventually collapsed in 1971 when President Richard M. Nixon ended the dollar’s convertibility to gold. This collapse left the global economy searching for a new anchor.
1973 Oil Crisis
In 1973, the Organisation of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) declared an oil embargo against the US and other Western countries that supported Israel during the Yom Kippur War. The embargo prohibited oil exports to target countries and led to a reduction in oil production. The immediate impact was a sharp increase in oil prices. This crisis underscored the strategic importance of oil and prompted economic shifts.
US–Saudi Agreement
On 8th June 1974, Saudi Arabia entered into an agreement with the United States to accept dollars as the sole payment currency for its oil in exchange for the countries’ bilateral cooperation and US military support to the Saudi regime. This so-called ‘petrodollar agreement’ virtually pegged the value of the US dollar to global oil demand and ensured its continued dominance as the world’s main reserve currency.
Mechanisms of the Petrodollar System
The petrodollar system refers to the practice of trading oil in US dollars, as well as the broader arrangements that support it. Let’s see how it is manifested.
Oil Purchases
Global oil sales are predominantly in US dollars, regardless of the buyer or seller’s country. This practice means that countries buying oil must hold dollar reserves, which creates a constant global demand for dollars. This supports the currency’s value and gives the US significant influence over global financial markets. As a benefit, uniformity reduces currency risk and transaction costs.
Oil Sales
The settlement of oil transactions involves the transfer of dollars through international banking systems, although US banks are the most predominant. The US can exert economic pressure by restricting access to the dollar financial system, effectively imposing sanctions on countries.
Recycling of Petrodollars
Petrodollar “recycling” refers to the way oil-exporting countries utilise their oil revenue. These countries spend part of their oil revenues on foreign goods and services and save another portion as foreign assets. These assets can include deposits in foreign banks, bonds, and private equity investments. Ultimately, the foreign exchange earned by oil exporters from increased oil exports flows back into the global economy, hence the term “recycled.”
Economic and Political Implications
The petrodollar system has profound implications for the global economy and geopolitics.
Global Trade and Geopolitics
The petrodollar system standardises oil pricing, simplifies transactions, and reduces exchange rate risks for oil-importing countries, thereby facilitating smoother international trade flows. The petrodollar system cemented the relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia, along with other oil-producing nations, forming a strategic alliance that would influence global politics for decades.
Oil-Exporting Countries
Oil-exporting countries reinvest revenues into exploration, drilling, and infrastructure projects, boosting oil production and driving technological advancements. Additionally, petrodollars allow oil-exporting nations to invest in the domestic economy and stimulate domestic growth.
US Economic Influence
The petrodollar system increased global demand for the dollar, solidifying its status as the world’s primary reserve currency. Oil-exporting countries holding large reserves of US dollars invest them in US government securities, which support the US economy. The demand for US dollars maintains a favourable trade balance for the United States. Oil transactions increasing the global circulation of dollars support US exports.
High dollar demand ensures ample liquidity in the forex market, making it the most widely traded currency. If you are interested in trading currencies such as the US dollar, explore popular USD pairs on the TickTrader platform.
Criticisms and Challenges
While the petrodollar provides economic and geopolitical advantages, it also exposes countries to a number of risks and challenges.
Economic Disparities
Critics argue that the petrodollar exacerbates global economic inequality. By concentrating economic power and benefits in the hands of a limited group of oil-exporting countries, it perpetuates inequality and prevents more equitable economic development. This concentration of wealth and influence often puts poorer countries at a disadvantage, as they find it difficult to compete on a world stage dominated by petrodollar transactions.
Dependency and Vulnerability
The petrodollar system also creates dependencies:
1. Oil-importing countries must maintain dollar reserves, potentially exposing their economies to changes in the USD rate.
2. Oil-exporting countries invest heavily in the US economy and financial instruments, making them vulnerable to economic fluctuations and potential restrictions by the US, such as sanctions.
3. The US economy profits from the capital inflows, as they help finance the federal budget and support economic growth. Reduced inflows may negatively impact the US economy.
4. Changes in geopolitical alliances, regional conflicts, and economic policies can impact the stability and future of the petrodollar system. The collapse of the petrodollar could have serious consequences for the US and global economy.
Future of the Petrodollar
The future of this system is uncertain, especially with the changing geopolitical landscape. Saudi Arabia has opted to terminate the 50-year petrodollar agreement with the US, and it expired on June 9, 2024, which was referred to as the end of the petrodollar in the news.
This agreement has been the cornerstone of the petrodollar system, and its expiration marks a significant shift. It means that oil will be traded in multiple currencies, including the Chinese yuan, euro, yen, and potentially digital currencies like Bitcoin. These efforts reflect a growing desire to reduce dependency on the dollar and diversify economic risks.
These changes may contribute to a more balanced global economic environment by weakening the influence of the dollar, creating a more multipolar currency system, and providing countries with greater financial autonomy.
Another threat to the oil-US dollar system is that countries seek sustainable energy alternatives and new economic alliances emerge. In particular, the shift to renewable energy could reduce the world’s dependence on oil, thereby decreasing the centrality of the traditional energy system and the US dollar, causing a reassessment of the existing order.
Final Thoughts
The petrodollar, born out of historical necessity and strategic agreements, may no longer be a cornerstone of economics and geopolitics. As global energy and financial systems evolve, the role of the petrodollar has become the subject of critical analysis and debate, and the recent termination of the US–Saudi agreement is a prime example of the changing economic and geopolitical landscape.
Changes may lead to revaluation of various currencies and market volatility. Those who are interested in catching market volatility and trading on news events, can open an FXOpen account and start trading various USD pairs.
FAQ
What Is the Petrodollar?
The petrodollar is the name of the system that reflects US dollars earned by a country through the sale of its petroleum to other countries. This term highlights the relationship between global oil sales and the US dollar.
When Was the Petrodollar Created?
The petrodollar concept was created in the mid-1970s. The turning point came in 1974 when the United States and Saudi Arabia reached an agreement that oil prices would be set exclusively in US dollars. This agreement followed the collapse of the Bretton Woods System and the 1973 oil crisis.
Why Is Oil Only Traded in Dollars?
Currently, oil is not only traded in dollars. Some oil-exporting countries use their national currencies, and the euro and Chinese yuan may be widely used for oil trading in the near future. Oil was traded in dollars mainly because of the 1974 US-Saudi agreement. It created a standard currency for oil transactions and reduced exchange rate risks. But since the agreement was terminated in June 2024, other currencies may become more common in oil transactions.
Is the US Dollar Backed by Oil?
No, the US dollar is not backed by oil. Since the end of the Bretton Woods System in 1971, no physical commodity has backed the dollar. However, the petrodollar system creates a close link between the dollar and the global oil trade, maintaining the value of the dollar through constant demand for it in international markets.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
UsOIL Long Buy due to lower Support Hello Traders
In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XTIUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
WTI CRUDE OIL Strong rebound on the Support. Buy.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL almost hit the Support A level and rebounded today.
This is the exact range where the price made a bullish reversal on October 1st and rose to a new Higher High.
Buy and target 78.00 (just under Resistance A).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): When the Gap Will Be Filled?
I strongly believe that a huge Monday's gap will be filled.
The confirmation that I am looking for is a breakout of a resistance
line of a horizontal range on a 4H.
4H candle close above the yellow structure will indicate
the strength of the buyers and make the market finally start rising.
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USOil WTI Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 US Oil has encountered recent selling pressure, which may present an opportunity for short-term traders. In this video, we’ll analyze the price action, evaluate the current trend and market structure, and explore potential sell setups if the price action unfolds as outlined. Risk Disclaimer: Forex trading involves significant risks, and market conditions can change unexpectedly. This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. 📉✅
Crude Oil WTI, final leg downWTI in the final leg towards long term support (62$). Around that price level, you can find multiple prior lows, the lower Mogalef volatility band, the YTD VWAP 3 SD band, and very oversold levels
Note that below that support level, there's nothing stopping the price from going down to the 43$ level, as very little volume was traded in the 40$ to 60$ range and there's no strong pivot points.
Please share your thoughts!
Potential bullish reversal?USO/USD is reacting on the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 67.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 65.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level .
Take profit: 70.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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