USOIL IS GOING BULLISH. FOR HOW LONG?USOIL IS GOING BULLISH. FOR HOW LONG?
Brent has started this week with a strong bullish momentum and holds near 6-week high on supply fears. President Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on Indian exports and penalize its Russian oil imports. In a parallel move, the US introduced its most extensive sanctions on Iran in seven years. The United States has even offered its oil to the world in exchange for Iranian and Russian oil, but there is evidence that the US production capacity is now at historic highs and is unlikely to grow in the near future.
However, technically oil shows us bearish divergence on RSI and bearish wedge here. The price may reverse towards 6,900.00 as a first target. EIA data showed US crude inventories jumped by 7.7 million barrels last weekโthe largest increase in six months and defying forecasts for a decline. Market participants are waiting for the OPEC+ meeting this week, expecting a significant output hike.
WTI trade ideas
USOIL GROWTH AHEAD|
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CRUDE OIL broke the key
Structure level of 69.50$
While trading in an local uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG๐
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โจDisclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI is up on my radarPrice closed above daily GM, travelled, and now retraced back to the GM..
For now, I'll be BULLISH biased and look for Buy setup on the lower time frames..
Price took out the Asian high, then gave a bearish coh triggering the backside (bearish) move of the Buy set up..
Note that the backside move is more of the manipulative move.
Price has now taken out the Asian low and come into the daily PRZ..this is an early sign that the backside move is likely coming to an end..
We wait to a see bullish coh for more confirmation, then look for complete buy set up to pull the trigger.
WTI uptrend pause support at 6857The WTI Crude remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6857 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6857 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
7123 โ initial resistance
7225 โ psychological and structural level
7299 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6857 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6783 โ minor support
6735 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the WTI Crude holds above 6734. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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WTI Crude Eyes Bullish Momentum Above $68.9FenzoFxโWTI Crude Oil broke resistance at $68.9 in the last session, now trading near $70.6. This breakout supports a bullish shift.
Yet, RSI 14 and Stochastic indicate overbought conditions, suggesting possible consolidation. Support at $68.9 could offer a discounted entry if prices retreat.
Watch for bullish signs like candlestick formations and inverted FVG around the $68.9 support.
US OIL LONG SETUPPrice had created a good Demand Zone , Also Price is in an overall uptrend and pullback to the demand order block from which I took the entry, expected a minor retractment to pick my entry.
But it is what it is. Good Trade overall.
Potential Next setup Coming ๐ฅ
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
Oil Steady as Sanction Threat LoomsOil prices held steady near recent highs after Trump threatened Russia with economic penalties if it doesnโt reach a ceasefire with Ukraine within 10โ12 days. Traders are watching closely, as potential secondary sanctions on Russia could disrupt crude supply. However, skepticism remains over whether Trump will follow through, given his push for lower oil prices. The threat comes amid ongoing EU sanctions and ahead of key US trade deadlines and an OPEC+ meeting. Despite current tightness and summer demand, concerns of oversupply remain for later in the year.
On the technical side, the price of crude oil is still trading in a sideways range between $64 and $68. The moving averages are confirming a bullish trend in the market, while the Stochastic oscillator is at neutral levels, hinting that the short-term outlook for pricing could go either way. The Bollinger bands have contracted quite excessively, meaning that volatility is low; therefore, it could take some time for any significant moves. Currently, the price is testing the resistance of the 50-day simple moving average, while the first area of technical resistance lies around the $68 level, which is the upper boundary of the current sideways channel.
OILUSD Range Between 60โ64.26 โ Will Support Hold or Break?WTI Crude has been in a sideways range after the sharp drop in early April. Price recently tested resistance at 64.260 but failed to break higher, pulling back into the 60.000 support zone. This level has held multiple times, forming a key pivot.
Support at: 60.000 ๐ฝ, 55.931 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 64.260 ๐ผ, 67.000 ๐ผ, 71.101 ๐ผ
๐ Bias:
๐ผ Bullish: A strong rejection from the 60.000 zone followed by a breakout above 64.260.
๐ฝ Bearish: A daily/12H close below 60.000 opens the path to retest 55.931, and potentially lower.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Crude Oil Short Setup
Entry: 66.40
SL: 67.20
TP: 64.85
Risk to Reward: 1.93
Bias: Bearish
I expect mid-term downside pressure on crude oil prices, mainly due to the following reasons:
The U.S. is mitigating the impact of energy tariffs by increasing domestic supply.
Pressure on OPEC to boost production is rising.
Global demand growth remains uncertain.
These factors may keep energy prices capped in the medium term and support bearish scenarios.
SELL PLAN โ XTIUSD (15M)๐ SELL PLAN โ XTIUSD (15M)
๐๏ธ Date: 23 July 2025
โฑ๏ธ Timeframe: 15-Minute
๐ Context & Reasoning:
HTF Supply Zone (Red Zone)
Price entered the red HTF zone (noted as โ4H T2,3,4โ) and showed rejection.
This zone aligns with potential 4H Fair Value Gaps / Supply.
Sweep & Rejection
Liquidity sweep above previous highs followed by immediate bearish reaction.
Entry Confirmation
Bearish engulfing candle formed inside the HTF zone.
Price closed below 15M EMA (blue line) showing bearish momentum.
Dealing Range Valid
DR formed after rejection of the HTF zone.
Short-term bullish FVG created and violated.
Bearish FVG confirms continuation.
๐ฏ Entry Details:
Entry Price: ~66.12
Stop Loss: ~66.58 (Above HTF rejection zone)
Take Profit: ~65.12 (Near Weekly TP level)
๐ง Confluences:
Rejection from 4H Supply
Price closed below EMA
Clear swing failure / liquidity grab
DR confirmation on 15M
Multiple FVGs and breaker structure supporting the move
๐ Risk Management:
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+
Risk per trade: Max 1%
If in drawdown: Use 0.5%
US OIL LONG RESULT Oil price was in a major Ascending Channel side and then created a broadening falling wedge indicating signs to the upside and I executed the short and price moved up as predicted.
Just overextended our TP without taking not of the resistance Trendline and previous supply zone ๐คฆ
Still Closed as a Break Even trade though, but with Bett ler TP estimation could've been a good Trade.
We keep learning and improving together ๐ช๐
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
WTI OIL Extreme 1D MA50-200 squeeze to deliver break-out!WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating for almost the past 30 days within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The squeeze is now so tight that the trend will be revealed soon with a break-out.
Based on the 2-year Channel Down, that should be bearish, resembling the May 2024 consolidation that broke downwards and almost hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Notice also the similar Sell Zone rejection on the 1W RSI.
As a result, we expect WTI to decline and target $61.00.
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LONG ON USOIL OIL has just completed a sweep of sell side liquidity, leaving behind lots of BUY side liquidity.
DXY is falling on top of economic news stating trump will possibly fire Jerome Powell.
All this with OPEC increase oil production.
I expect oil to make a $5-$10 move throughout the rest of the week.
That's 500-1000 pips!
Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 65.50
1st Support: 63.50
1st Resistance: 69.60
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USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 65.32
Target Level: 68.59
Stop Loss: 63.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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