WTI trade ideas
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in TandemMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Rebounds in Tandem
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $60.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a recovery wave above the $60.00 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a recovery wave from $58.40 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $61.50 and $62.00 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $64.20 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $63.00. The RSI is now below the 50 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62.0 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59.87 swing low to the $64.18 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $61.50 zone, below which the price could test the $59.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.40. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $56.20 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $64.20. The next major resistance is near the $65.00 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $68.50 level.
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Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialDriven by the U.S. sanctions on Iran's oil exports, crude oil rebounded in the short term. OPEC has received updated compensation production reduction plans from eight countries (reducing daily oil production by 305,000 barrels until June 2026), coupled with the U.S. intention to reduce Iran's energy exports to zero. The recent oil price rally is primarily driven by short-term news, reflecting supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
Although U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, escalating global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will limit the upside of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
buy@62-63
tp:64-65
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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USOIL: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
USOIL
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell USOIL
Entry - 64.408
Stop - 66.133
Take - 60.964
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Recent correlation breakdown between $USOIL and $DXYUsually, market watchers will say if the Dollar index TVC:DXY is down then commodities like Crude Oil and Gold should outperform. But recent market events have invalidated this assessment. Since 2022 we see that there is a correlation breakdown between TVC:USOIL and $DXY. These 2 indexes have been moving in tandem recently. In 2025 we saw a massive sale in the TVC:DXY and a similar downturn in the US Dollar index. With TVC:DXY below 100 and TVC:USOIL recently below 60 $, these 2 indexes are clearly indicating a US recession with low Oil demand.
IN this chart we see that the next key support levels in TVC:USOIL is 54 $. If we go below 54 $ then the next level to watch will be 35 $. That will be a recessionary scenario last seen during COVID lows. That can bring down the TVC:DXY to 90 levels. All those will indicate a deep recession which is not my base case scenario. My assessment we will see TVC:USOIL @ 55 $ and TVC:DXY @ 95 and then we will hover around those levels.
Verdict: TVC:USOIL can touch 55 $ if TVC:DXY touches 95.
USOIL: Start Shorting
After reaching $55, USOIL started to rise. Currently, it is approaching the key resistance level, which is around $64.5. You can start shorting when it reaches this area.
All the signals I sent have been profitable, and I will continue to send accurate signals.
USOIL Trading Strategy for Next Week:
usoil sell@64.5-65
tp:63-61
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.67
Target Level: 56.31
Stop Loss: 68.58
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summary of the Crude Oil Market This WeekThis week, the crude oil market witnessed a significant decline. Brent crude oil dropped by a cumulative 8.3%, and WTI crude oil fell by 7.5%. Both recorded their largest single-week declines since the end of March.👉👉👉
OPEC+ convened a production meeting ahead of schedule and planned to discuss the production increase plan for June. The market bets that the probability of a production increase is as high as 70%. Previously, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced in April that it would increase daily production by 411,000 barrels starting from May, which is three times the original planned increase. This move aimed to punish member states that had overproduced oil. If production is further increased in June, it will further intensify the supply pressure on the market.
Although the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East region have intensified, such as the postponement of the fourth round of nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, which has, to a certain extent, provided support for oil prices, judging from the overall market situation this week, this supporting effect has failed to offset the impact of increased supply and decreased demand.
Overall, this week, under the intertwined influence of factors such as increased supply, uncertain demand prospects, and changes in the geopolitical situation, the crude oil market showed a significant downward trend. The market's expectations for crude oil prices are rather pessimistic, and it is expected that crude oil prices will still face certain downward pressure in the coming period. However, if OPEC+ changes its production increase plan, or if there is an unexpected improvement in the global economy, crude oil prices may rebound.
Trend is Your friend Took 2 years to understand the above . I kept thinking I knew when the reversals happen and lost over 200k in the process. Still love to trade and one day it will come back even that I know 2 things will make your successful in this game
1 # most important RISK MANAGEMENT
2 # Trend is your friend stick to higer timeframes stop the 1 and 5min charts
3 # Fibonacci is king
4 # trendines and S/R Matter wait for retest
5 # chart patterns is a must for reversal wait for W OR M then Fibonacci it
Anyhow you get told all these things as a newbie but takes time to get it through your thick skull not saying I have mastered it .
Lastly to all newbies stay away from NATGAS she will either make you or most likely destroy. Forget indicators !
Anyhow else love to trade like me
USOIL trading alerts. Pressure and support.Oil also fell according to instructions. I just forgot to remind you. Sorry, but the profit is quite good. Sell short from 58.7. Then the lowest reached 56.34
But today in the New York market, USOIL rose again above 58. From a fundamental perspective. The market will continue to fall under pressure. But from the trend, we need to pay attention to the support of 58. If it does not fall today, it is likely to continue to fall based on Friday's trend. The pressure level near 59 needs to be paid attention to. In terms of operation, it is still mainly selling at high levels.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
USOIL... 1D CHART PATTERNHere's my USOIL (WTI Crude) trade setup.
- *Trade Type:* Sell
- *Entry Price:* 57.74
- *Stop Loss (SL):* 65.54
- *Take Profit (TP):* 51.40
*Quick Risk/Reward Analysis:*
- *Risk:* 65.54 - 57.74 = *7.80*
- *Reward:* 57.74 - 51.40 = *6.34*
- *Risk/Reward Ratio:* 6.34 / 7.80 ≈ *0.81*
*Comment:*
This setup has a risk greater than the potential reward, which is not ideal. A better trade usually has a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:1, preferably 1:2 or more. You might consider adjusting your TP or SL, or confirming the direction with technical/fundamental analysis.
WTI Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025
- WTI reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 58.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed from the resistance area between the resistance level 64.60 (former multi-month low from September 2024), the 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of April.
The downward reversal from this resistance started the active short-term impulse wave 5, which belongs to the intermediate impulse sequence from last year.
Given the clear daily uptrend, WTI crude oil can be expected to fall toward the next support level 58.00.
USOIL: Recent Analysis and Trading StrategiesOver the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating and consolidating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. The overall trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, the bullish momentum was scarce, making it difficult to achieve an effective breakthrough. Subsequently, it shifted into a downward trend. Yesterday's market situation was particularly typical. It opened higher at $63.5 in the early trading session and then declined all the way. It not only broke below the key support level of $61.5 but also had weak rebound strength. Currently, the price is still hovering around this support level, indicating the market's indecision.
Currently, most investment institutions hold a pessimistic view on the future of USOIL. However, it is worth noting that the price has touched the support level of $61.5 five times in the past two weeks. Although it briefly broke below this level twice, it failed to effectively form a trending breakthrough. The principle that "if a support level can't be broken after repeated attempts, there will be a rebound" has been verified many times in similar situations, suggesting that there may be strong potential buying power at this support level.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading strategy is recommended to maintain a cautiously bearish tone, but it is necessary to closely guard against potential technical rebound risks. During the trading process, it is essential to set stop-loss levels strictly to avoid the expansion of losses due to sudden market movements. At the same time, it is advisable to reduce aggressive trading and mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach. Be patient and wait for clearer trend signals, and then choose the right time to enter the market when the market direction becomes more explicit.
USOIL
sell@62-62.5
tp:61-60.5
sl:62.8
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The price fluctuation range of USOIL is quite obvious.In the past two weeks, USOIL has been continuously fluctuating within the price range of $61.5 - $64.5. Its trend shows a pattern of rising first and then falling. During the upward phase, there was a slight lack of momentum, and subsequently, it entered a downward channel. This kind of fluctuation is not isolated but has complex underlying causes.
In terms of trading strategies, given that the current price fluctuation range is relatively clear, a strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of $61.5 - $64.5 can be considered. However, it should be noted that once the price breaks through the above-mentioned range, the strategy should be adjusted in a timely manner to follow the market trend, and one should be on guard against the risks brought about by a one-sided market.
USOIL
sell:63.5-64
tp:62.5-62
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL-crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high.
So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows.
If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify.
Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal.
USIOL: Trading Strategy for Next WeekAfter reaching the key resistance level, USOIL started to decline. In the trading next week, when it reaches the vicinity of the resistance level of $64.5, you can continue to go short.
All the signals I sent have been profitable, and I will continue to send accurate signals.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
usoil sell@64.5-65
tp:63-61
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 63.133 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.366..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SHORT OIL Break of support and retest**Oil Sell Setup:**
1. **Entry:**
- Sell at rejection of 0.50 daily Fib + 20 MA confluence
- Wait for bearish confirmation candle
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Place above recent swing high
3. **Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Recent swing low
- Target 2: Previous major swing low
- Target 3: Major support level from higher timeframe
4. **Confirmations:
- Rejection candles at confluence zone
- Failed attempts to close above 20 MA
5. **Management:**
- Scale out at targets
- Move stop to breakeven at first target
USOILThis chart for WTI Crude Oil presents a bullish continuation setup following a rebound from the support level around 61.50. After breaking above a minor consolidation range, price is now retracing slightly before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The chart highlights a target at63.95, just below the upper resistance zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area.
Technical Breakdown:
- Support Level: Firm bounce near 61.50, confirming demand.
- Minor Breakout: Price broke above local structure and retesting for continuation.
- Resistance Zone: Located near64.00, target aligns with historical supply.
- Next Target: 63.95
Volume spikes during the bounce suggest strong buyer interest. A clean break and hold above 63.00 could open the path toward the $63.95 target. Traders may look for bullish price action confirmation for entry.