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WTICOUSD trade ideas

WTI Crude Oil Bearish Reversal Setup – Short from Resistance ZonEntry Point: 62.66 USD Stop Loss: 65.26 USD Target Point (Take Profit): 55.09 USD Indicators: EMA 200 (blue): 60.92 USD — long-term trend indicator EMA 30 (red): 60.75 USD — short-term trend indicator Analysis: 1. Bearish Setup: The price is approaching a key resistance zone marked by the purple shaded area near 62.66. The strategy is to short from this level, anticipating a drop to the 55.09 target area. 2. Risk/Reward: Risk (SL - Entry): 65.26 - 62.66 = 2.60 USD Reward (Entry - TP): 62.66 - 55.09 = 7.57 USD Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:2.9, which is favorable. 3. Support/Resistance Confirmation: Multiple touches at the resistance zone (or
TVC:USOILShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
9
USOIL Long Setup: Targeting $69 – Bullish Momentum in PlayUSOIL Long Setup Analysis: Targeting $69 with Bullish Momentum Technical Analysis: The current price action shows USOIL trading at $70.51, demonstrating a recovery from a key liquidity pool zone. Technical indicators support this bullish outlook, with the 50-day SMA at 69.34 and 200-day EMA at 69.32, creating a strong foundation for upward momentum. The RSI reading of 57.82 indicates growing bullish momentum without being overbought, suggesting room for further upside. The ATR value of 0.29257 shows significant volatility, which could facilitate quick price movements toward our target. Fundamental Drivers: Several fundamental factors support this bullish setup: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are creating potential supply disruption concerns, which supports higher prices in the near term. OPEC+ production cuts are maintained through December, providing a floor for prices and supporting the bullish case. This supply constraint helps maintain price stability and potential upward pressure. The EIA's Short Term Energy Outlook projects tighter market conditions, with prices expected to average $75 per barrel in the third quarter of 2025, supporting our bullish thesis. Sentiment Analysis: Market sentiment indicators provide additional confirmation: Institutional positioning through COT reports shows significant activity from large speculators and hedge funds, indicating strong institutional interest in the market. Analysts maintain a bullish outlook, forecasting Brent crude to average $80 per barrel in Q4 2024, suggesting broader market confidence in higher prices. The combination of technical indicators and fundamental factors has created a positive sentiment environment, supported by institutional outlooks derived from market reports. Price Target Rationale: The $69 target is well-supported by: Technical support from the 50-day SMA (69.34) and 200-day EMA (69.32) EIA's forecast of $68 per barrel, providing a fundamental basis The current price action showing recovery from support levels with increasing momentum Market structure suggesting potential for continued upward movement Risk Considerations:Monitor potential market surplus projected for early 2025 Watch for changes in OPEC+ compliance with production cuts Keep track of geopolitical developments that could impact price volatility Consider the impact of China's economic recovery on demand dynamics This setup provides a balanced risk-reward opportunity, supported by technical, fundamental, and sentiment factors, with clear support levels and upside potential aligned with major forecasts.
FX:USOILLong
by FtradeFXArabic
9
USOIL Short Trade Idea – Targeting $55.05 from $61.00Entry Point: ~61.00 USD Stop Loss (SL): 64.77 USD Target (TP): 55.05 USD Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable Risk: ~3.77 USD Reward: ~5.95 USD Approximate R/R ratio: 1:1.58 🧠 Strategy Insight Trend Context: Prior to the entry zone, price shows a strong downtrend. The price retraced upward into a resistance zone (highlighted in purple). The setup suggests a short position anticipating rejection from this zone. Indicators: Moving Averages (red & blue): Likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA showing bearish alignment (price mostly under both). Resistance Zone: The purple shaded region represents a supply zone, where price previously reversed. Entry Zone Analysis: Entry just below a recent rejection candle. It's a conservative spot to catch a move back in the direction of the dominant trend. Target Zone (55.05): Likely based on a recent support level or demand zone from earlier price action. Matches previous lows. 🔁 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bearish Scenario (Ideal Outcome): Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and continues the downtrend toward the target at 55.05. ❌ Bullish Scenario (Risk): Price breaks above 61.00 and continues toward 64.77, invalidating the short setup.
TVC:USOILShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
7
Oil Market Watch: Corrective Patterns, Geopolitical Triggers So far, there have been no deviations from the expected scenario. The price appears to be forming a corrective pattern around a critical trendline. Last week, we anticipated movement under the "red scenario," but the "black scenario" now seems more likely. However, post-Iran news developments might still push us toward the red path. The delayed ultimatum in Iran negotiations and optimistic comments about progress could trigger a downward move. Next, either breakthroughs with Russia or a continued S&P 500 decline (dragging oil lower) will shape the trajectory. News serves as context for reflection, not direct trading cues.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
6
What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends? The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets, here’s what we can expect: Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high. Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors. Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions. Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally. 🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
CFI:WTIShort
by melikatrader94
8
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.204.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue its downward movement. At the moment we are observing a combined correction. I expect the completion of wave “Y”. Even if it is already completed, the price is still waiting for a downward correction to the support area of 55.204. Therefore, I think that 55.204 is the 1st minimum target. There are two possible ways to enter the position: 1) Market entry 2) Pending Limit orders. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
3
USOIL Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 61.43 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 60.40 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
2
WTI Wave Analysis – 8 April 2025 - WTI broke the long-term support zone - Likely to fall to support level 55.00 WTI crude oil recently broke the long-term support zone set between the support levels 60.00 and 65.00. This support zone has stopped all downward corrections from the middle of 2021. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active downward impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of 2024. Given the strong downtrend seen on the weekly WTI charts, WTI crude oil can be expected to fall to the next support level 55.00, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).
FX_IDC:USDWTIShort
by FxProGlobal
1
Remove Impulsiveness by planning your trade!! BUY OIL All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Simply-Forex
4
USOIL:Trading strategy for next weekThe recent trend of crude oil has been extremely volatile, and the market continues to digest the recent sharp decline. Trump's approach of "suspension plus intensification" has dealt a blow to the global supply chain and the confidence in energy consumption. In the short term, the bullish momentum is somewhat insufficient. The trend at the beginning of the week tends to be fluctuating downward, and it is mainly advisable to take short positions on the rebound following the trend. Trading Strategy: Sell@62-61 TP:58-56 The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
TVC:USOILShort
by Leo_TraderO
1
WTI Oil H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 62.71 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 66.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 57.01 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USOILShort
by Tradu
1
WTI OIL Buy opportunity or more meltdown coming?WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 25 2023 High and the recent Trade War sell-off helped the price drop towards the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) much quicker. Technically this has been a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, previously a Lower High rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice how the 1W RSI has also been trading within a Channel Down of its own, with the indicator near its bottom as well. Being more than -31% down (more than the -29% of the first Bearish Leg), we can technically claim that this is a solid level for a medium-term buy again. The previous Bullish Leg marginally exceeded the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before the Lower High. As a result, our new Target is $70.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Support Clusters to Watch On a today's live stream, we discussed potentially significant historic supports on WTI Crude Oil to watch. Support 1: 57.0 - 59.0 area Support 2: 52.5 - 54.6 area Support 3: 48.8 - 50.4 area Support 4: 40.6 - 43.7 area The price is currently testing a lower boundary of Support 1. It perfectly matches with a completion point of a harmonic ABCD pattern. It looks like we may see some pullback soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FX:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: Channel Down bottomed. Buy opportunity.WTI Crude Oil is heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.039, MACD = -2.310, ADX = 38.046) as it is trading inside a Channel Down for more than 1 year. Last week's low has made a technical LL at the bottom of the pattern and the current consolidation indicates that this may be an attempt to initiate the new bullish wave. The 1D RSI recovered from being oversold previously and this potentially hints to a rebound over the 1D MA200. The last bullish wave crossed above the 0.618 Fibonacci marginally. Trade: long, TP = 71.00. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reveres to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 65.90 1st Support: 54.96 1st Resistance: 71.31 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: My Bearish Outlook Towards $25.OANDA:WTICOUSD We need to shift to the weekly chart to better understand the potential downside for OANDA:WTICOUSD Crude Oil. Crude Oil has already broken below the daily, weekly, and monthly fractal support levels. The drop below the monthly fractal support at $65.65 has opened up the potential for a significant decline. With this key support level breached, Crude Oil is now at risk of testing much lower levels, possibly approaching the April lows. This would create the possibility of a bullish bat pattern forming around $24.88, signaling a potential reversal from these much lower prices. On the resistance side, the monthly fractal resistance at $80.75 continues to be a major barrier, as well as the weekly fractal resistance, which reinforces the difficulty of any upward movement. The daily fractal resistance at $72.48 remains another obstacle for any short-term recovery attempts. As for the support levels, Crude has already broken below the daily fractal support at $69.07 and the weekly fractal support at $65.40. These breaches now threaten the monthly fractal support at $65.65, confirming the bearish sentiment in the market. With these key levels broken, the market is showing clear signs of weakness, and the potential for further downside movement remains high. At this stage, we should be cautious and watch closely for signs of a bottoming formation or a reversal pattern, but the immediate outlook suggests further downside risk. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Andre_Cardoso
WTI CRUDE OIL: Potential bottom and massive rebound to 71.00.WTI Crude Oil got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.096, MACD = -1.620, ADX = 38.232) but is recovering its 1W candle now as it hit the bottom (LL) of the 1 year Channel Down. If the 1W candle makes a green closing, we will consider this a bottom, as the 1W RSI is also on its LL trendline) and go for a long aimed as the previous one at the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 71.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
Bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 58.96 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 56.81 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 63.23 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
WTI - Will Iran return to the group of oil producers?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. If the correction towards the supply zone continues, the next oil selling opportunity with a suitable reward for risk will be provided for us. In this direction, with confirmation, we can look for oil buying transactions. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in its latest report, has downgraded its forecasts for oil and natural gas production, consumption, and prices for 2025 and 2026, while warning about the uncertain outlook of the energy market amidst economic volatility and escalating trade tensions. According to the updated estimates, U.S. crude oil production in 2025 is expected to reach 13.51 million barrels per day, down from the previous forecast of 13.61 million barrels. For 2026, the figure has been revised to 13.56 million barrels per day, a reduction from the earlier 13.76 million forecast. Monthly data shows average U.S. oil output stood at 13.44 million barrels per day in April and 13.55 million in March, with similar levels expected in May. Globally, EIA projects oil production in 2025 to be around 104.1 million barrels per day, slightly down from the earlier estimate of 104.2 million. For 2026, the revised figure stands at 105.3 million barrels per day compared to the previous 105.8 million. On the demand side, global oil consumption forecasts have also been reduced. In 2025, demand is now estimated at 103.6 million barrels per day instead of 104.1 million, and for 2026 it is projected at 104.7 million barrels per day, down from the prior estimate of 105.3 million. Regarding natural gas, the EIA reports that average U.S. gas production in April will be around 115 billion cubic feet per day, slightly lower than the 115.3 billion cubic feet reported in March. May’s forecast stands at 115.4 billion cubic feet. Demand has also dipped, with estimates for 2025 now at 91.2 billion cubic feet per day (down from 92), and for 2026 at 90.5 billion (previously 91.1). In terms of pricing, EIA has made significant downward revisions. The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is now forecast to be $63.88 per barrel in 2025, compared to the earlier $70.68. For 2026, this drops further to $57.48. Brent crude is now estimated at $67.87 for 2025 and $61.48 for 2026, both notably lower than prior projections. One key highlight from the report is EIA’s warning about high volatility in major commodity prices, especially crude oil. The agency underlined that reciprocal tariffs between China and the U.S. could heavily impact markets, particularly the propane sector. EIA noted that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports are likely to remain resilient despite trade disputes. This is attributed to strong global demand and the flexible nature of U.S. export contracts, which allow unrestricted shipments to multiple destinations. However, when it comes to oil and petroleum products, the agency maintained a more cautious tone, emphasizing that recent shifts in global trade policies and oil production patterns may slow the growth of demand for petroleum-based products through 2026. Altogether, the downward revisions by the EIA carry a clear message: the energy market outlook over the coming years is fraught with uncertainty. From supply and demand to pricing, political and economic forces such as trade wars and potential global recessions are expected to play decisive roles. Meanwhile, according to Reuters, after U.S. President Donald Trump once again threatened military action if Tehran refuses to agree to a nuclear deal, a senior Iranian official responded by warning that Iran may halt its cooperation with the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog. Reports indicate that American and Iranian diplomats will meet in Oman on Saturday to begin talks on Tehran’s nuclear program. Trump stated that he would have the final say on whether the negotiations are failing, which could place Iran in a highly dangerous position. Ali Shamkhani, a senior adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that ongoing foreign threats and the looming threat of military confrontation could lead to deterrent actions such as expelling International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors and cutting ties with the agency.He also mentioned that relocating enriched uranium to secure, undisclosed locations within Iran may be under consideration
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND