Crude oil: 63.00 resistance & 60.00 support keyPrices are currently testing the upper resistance at $63.00 📈. These levels are suppressing the price 🔻. A decisive breakthrough above this level may trigger a more intense upward rally 🔥. Meanwhile, recent selling pressure has pushed the price down to $60.60 📉. Watch the pivot support at $60.00, the real downward target 🎯
Crude oil surplus expanded in April, and imports increased, reaching multi - month highs from some countries 🌍. If global benchmark oil prices rise in the future, purchases may be reduced 📉.
Crude oil fell first and then rose today 📊. After a deep dive to $60.9, it stabilized and started to rise 🔼. After the previous price increase and adjustment, it remains to be seen if the upward momentum will continue and break through upwards 🔍.
Overall, on the delivery day, oil prices are volatile 🔼🔽. Watch the resistance at $63.0 on the upside and the support at $60.60 - $60.0 on the downside 👀.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 62.50 - 62.30
🚀 TP 61.50 - 60.60
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
WTICOUSD trade ideas
WTI Crude Oil awaits inventoriesPrice Movement: WTI Crude trades around $62.70 per barrel, marking a fourth straight session of gains.
Main Bullish Driver: Geopolitical tensions — reports suggest Israel may strike Iran’s nuclear sites, sparking fears of supply disruption from Iran (OPEC’s 3rd largest producer).
Risk of Iran retaliating by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, which could disrupt exports from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and UAE.
Limiting Factor: Rising U.S. crude supply
API data shows a 2.49 million barrel build in U.S. crude stocks, defying expectations of a draw.
Traders await confirmation from EIA stockpile data later today.
Conclusion:
Bullish momentum is currently driven by Middle East tension, but gains may be capped if U.S. inventory builds continue. Traders should watch for EIA data release and further geopolitical developments.
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Will Middle East Tensions Ignite a Global Oil Crisis?The global oil market faces significant turbulence amidst reports of potential Israeli military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. This looming threat has triggered a notable surge in oil prices, reflecting deep market anxieties. The primary concern stems from the potential for severe disruption to Iran's oil output, a critical component of global supply. More critically, an escalation risks Iranian retaliation, including a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a substantial portion of the world's oil transits. Such an event would precipitate an unprecedented supply shock, echoing historical price spikes seen during past Middle Eastern crises.
Iran currently produces around 3.2 million barrels per day and holds strategic importance beyond its direct volume. Its oil exports, primarily to China, serve as an economic lifeline, making any disruption profoundly impactful. A full-scale conflict would unleash a cascade of economic consequences: extreme oil price surges would fuel global inflation, potentially pushing economies into recession. While some spare capacity exists, a prolonged disruption or a Hormuz blockade would render it insufficient. Oil-importing nations, particularly vulnerable developing economies, would face severe economic strain, while major oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia, the US, and Russia, would see substantial financial gains.
Beyond economics, a conflict would fundamentally destabilize the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, unraveling diplomatic efforts and exacerbating regional tensions. Geostrategically, the focus would intensify on safeguarding critical maritime routes, highlighting the inherent vulnerabilities of global energy supply chains. Macroeconomically, central banks would confront the difficult task of managing inflation without stifling growth, leading to a surge in safe-haven assets. The current climate underscores the profound fragility of global energy markets, where geopolitical developments in a volatile region can have immediate and far-reaching global repercussions.
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 60.08
1st Support: 57.68
1st Resistance: 64.63
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Mirror pattern calls for a sell.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.222, MACD = -0.370, ADX = 25.154) as the price is just under the 1D MA50, where it got rejected last Tuesday. In the meantime, it has the support of the 4H MA50, hence stuck inside a neutral range. This pattern is however identical to April, after which the price declined aggressively to the S1 level. Sell, TP = 56.00.
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Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 57.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 64.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USOIL Today's Trading Strategy:Recently, there have been many developments in the crude oil market that affect the price trend. From the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) have been committed to production cuts to stabilize oil prices. Some member countries have even taken unexpected production - cutting actions, which has reduced the crude oil supply to a certain extent. Major oil - producing countries such as Saudi Arabia have cut their own crude oil production, sending a strong signal to the market to control the supply.
Meanwhile, the global crude oil demand has not declined significantly. With the gradual recovery of the global economy, industrial production activities in many countries have increased, and the demand for crude oil has also increased. In particular, some emerging economies have a relatively high - speed economic growth and a high degree of dependence on crude oil. Their growing demand strongly supports the crude oil price.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy:
USOIL BUY@61~60.5
SL:60
TP:62.5~63
Oil: Elliott Wave WXY Pattern Signals Potential Shift🛢☕️ #OilInsteadOfCoffee | 📐 #TECHANALYSIS
Oil has not yet broken its upward trend, but it appears to have surpassed a local peak and formed a WXY pattern (a combination in Elliott Wave theory: W = flat, X = double zigzag, Y = single zigzag). The Y wave could still evolve into a triangle (blue) or a flat. We hold positions and await further developments.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Our analysis is food for thought, not a call to action.
Trade with a cool head, a clear plan, and your own analysis.
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 61.684.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 64.409 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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12-year crypto market analysis, real-time analysis of crude oil:Crude oil fluctuates slowly. Precious metals and crude oil futures closed early at 2:30 am today. The current mild fluctuation range is temporarily set at 60.8 for the weekly MA5 average and 62.5 for the weekly MA10 average. The upward breakthrough looks at the two nodes of 63.3 for the daily MA60 average and 64.1 for last week's high. The downward breakout refers to the 60 integer mark and the 59.3 line of the middle track of the daily parallel channel. Overall, the crude oil price will first see a small range of fluctuations and consolidation, and wait for the data market to be intensive in the second half of the week before considering the emergence of a breakout space.
Trading signal suggestions:
1. Short at 62.4 rebound, short at 63 to cover short orders, stop loss at 63.5, target 61.5-60.8;
2. Aggressive long at 60.8, steady long at 60.1, stop loss 8 points each, target 61.8-62.8
USOIL : What will happen to the price of oil?Hello friends
As you can see, we had support in the past, which has now become a strong resistance for the price after it was broken.
Now we need to see if the price will manage to break it at this moment when it is close to its key and sensitive resistance.
*Trade safely with us*
USOIL: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 61.687 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.377.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Forecast of the market trend at the opening on Monday”Oil prices remained under pressure this week, experiencing a notable decline due to multiple factors. As of Friday's Asian morning session, Brent crude futures fell 37 cents to $64.07 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures dropped 39 cents to $60.81 per barrel. Brent crude fell 2% for the week, while WTI declined 2.7%.
Key Drivers of Oil Price Weakness
Stronger U.S. Dollar
The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Donald Trump’s tax-cut and fiscal spending bill, boosting the U.S. dollar index against a basket of currencies.
As oil is dollar-denominated, a stronger dollar typically reduces purchasing power for non-USD buyers, suppressing oil prices.
Supply-Demand Sensitivity and Market Sentiment
The combination of dollar strength and expectations of OPEC+ production increases has intensified bearish sentiment in the oil market.
While demand is gradually recovering, significant upward pressure on supply—including potential output hikes from OPEC+ and rising U.S. shale production—has created near-term volatility.
Technical Outlook and Trading Strategy
Short-Term Trend: Oil prices are likely to remain in a sideways-to-downward oscillation due to supply-demand imbalances.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $63.0–$63.5 per barrel (short-term overhead resistance).
Support: $60.5–$60.0 per barrel (critical near-term support zone).
Trading Approach:
Consider rebound shorting as the primary strategy, with retracement buying as a secondary approach.
Use rallies toward $63.0–$63.5 to initiate short positions, targeting support at $60.5–$60.0, with stop-losses above $64.0.
Note: Monitor OPEC+ policy updates and U.S. inventory data for potential shifts in market sentiment. Volatility may rise ahead of key economic indicators.
USOIL:Long at 61.3-61.5
Last week's long target has been completed, the current decline is mainly due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, from the technical trend, the objective trend of the middle line downward, short term long and short frequently alternate, pay attention to the support point of 60.3-60.5 within the day. Considering that it has been around this point of shock and not broken, short - term trading to do more.
So the trading strategy :BUY@61.3-61.5 TP@62.5-62.7
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Crude oil rebounds after encountering 60 support
📊Technical aspects
Due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, WTI prices fell slightly and rebounded slightly after hitting the 60 mark.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hit the low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short formed, and the embryonic form of the falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell and touched the key support of 60, then rose slightly. The moving average system turned to divergent upward arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines crossed the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to rise during the day, and the probability of breaking through the 63 resistance and moving upward is relatively high.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 60.5-61.5
Latest Strategic Positioning for Crude OilDuring the US trading session, crude oil prices declined for the second consecutive trading day after rebounding from intraday lows and encountering resistance. The commodity traded at $60.42 per barrel, representing a 1.87% daily loss.
Per the Commitments of Traders (COT) report released last Friday, there exists a moderate divergence in sentiment between managed funds and asset management firms regarding WTI crude oil futures. While both investor categories maintain net long positions, over the prior two weeks, managed funds reduced their net long exposure by approximately 20,000 contracts, whereas large speculators increased their net long positions by 10,000 contracts.
Technically, crude oil exhibited a "rally-and-reversal" pattern today, retreating under selling pressure near the $61.7 resistance zone before stabilizing and rebounding around $60.0. Current price action indicates a range-bound oscillation, with bullish stabilization probabilities contingent on the $60.0 support level holding firm.
In summary, crude oil remains trapped in a narrow consolidation phase, with overhead resistance levels retaining dominance. For today's trading strategy, a "rebound shorting-first" approach is recommended, complemented by tactical long positions on dips. Key resistance lies between $61.7-$62.5, while support zones are identified at $60.0-$59.0.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
0522:WTI Crude Oil Setup: Key Trade Opportunity Hello traders,
Simple strategy to follow daily trading signal here:
A: daily trading plan:
setup selling trade when 1h chart giving you a trading selling signal:
TP1: 55.50
TP2: 50.50
B. 4H trading plan:
follow the pattern selling from C to D,
TP1: 58.70
TP2: 57.20
TP3: 55.30
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
USOIL:Go long first
Crude oil short-term trend to maintain weak shock upward rhythm, K line closed long lower shadow line, there are signs of rebound. Short - term moving average system gradually long arrangement, relying on oil prices, short - term objective trend direction to upward. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to extend upward, hitting around 62.8-63
Recommended Trading Strategies:
61-61.2 range to be long, short-term target to see 62, break through the target to see 62.8-63
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USOIL: Market of Sellers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell USOIL.
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WTI Crude: Bears Target 60.549 USDHey traders and investors!
🔹 Crude Oil — 1D / 4H
📍 Context
Daily (1D): clear short trend; price capped below 65.40 USD.
4-Hour (4H): sideways range — its boundaries are marked by black lines on the chart — with seller initiative in control.
Higher-time-frame levels reinforce the bearish bias.
🔎 Analysis
Sellers keep the upper hand on 4H. The daily shows no strong buyer bars, sustaining downward pressure. If price retests the IKC zone and prints bearish confirmation (high-volume seller bar or buyer absorption), the odds of breaking 60.549 USD increase.
🎯 Trade Idea
Setup: hunt for short patterns inside the IKC range.
Target: 60.549 USD (range low).
Confirmation: pattern on M15–H1 + seller-side volume.
📌 Takeaway
Bears remain in control. Wait for a trigger inside the IKC zone and lower-TF confirmation before joining the move toward 60.549 USD.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!