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WTI CRUDE OIL: confirmed bottom formation. Buy and target 77.50.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.429, MACD = -0.380, ADX = 24.190) but that bearish sentiment is the ideal buy entry as the price hit today the top of the S1 Zone and stayed supported, extending the sideways price action of the last 2 days. The 4H RSI is on HL, which has been the distinct characteristic of all prior 3 bottoms. Being on the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we expect a strong rebound to start even as soon as tomorrow, to test the bottom of the R1 Zone (TP = 77.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
1
USOIL YEARLY OUTLOOK Will the US post-election continue to impair the oil price? The election of Donald Trump has changed the dynamics of the market, causing oil prices to drop, with more negative pressure anticipated. Global purchasers now pay more for oil due to a rising US dollar, which exacerbates concerns over oversupply. Since recent economic measures have not yet produced immediate stimulus, China's demand outlook remains poor. USOIL formed a weekly and daily Head-and-Shoulder pattern, signaling a continuation of bearish pressures. If USOIL breaks below 68 - 62 necklines(blue and yellow bar), the price may continue its bearish movement to the nearby major support of 43 - 33 On the contrary, if USOIL remains above 68.00, the price may trade within the 68.00-84 range until an apparent breakout occurs.
FX:USOILShort
by Money_Pips
WTI crude Wave Analysis 13 November 2024 - WTI crude oil reversed from the multi-year support level 66.70 - Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the powerful multi-year support level 66.70 (which has been repeatedly reversing WTI from the end of 2021, as seen from the weekly WTI chart below). The support level 66.70 was strengthened by the nearby lower daily and the weekly Bollinger Bands. Given the strength of the nearby support level 66.70 and the bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 70.00.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
US Oil (WTI Crude) Bullish Based on 1H and 4H Divergence with St 1. Market Analysis: Asset: US Oil (WTI Crude) Timeframes: 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) Setup: Bullish divergence observed on both 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes Support Level: Price is near a strong support zone, providing a solid base for a potential bounce. 2. Divergence Details: Bullish Divergence: Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum as the price approaches strong support. This divergence can signal a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by bullish price action. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Enter a long position when a bullish confirmation candle forms (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer candle) on the 1-hour chart after divergence confirmation. This candle should close above the support level for a stronger entry signal. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just below the strong support level to protect against further downside risk. This positioning ensures risk is limited in case the support does not hold. Take-Profit: Aim for a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio, targeting the next resistance levels on the chart. Consider recent highs or Fibonacci retracement levels on the 4-hour timeframe as potential take-profit areas. 4. Risk Management: Position Size: Determine position size based on risk tolerance, ensuring only a small percentage of capital is risked on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio provides an advantageous setup, enhancing potential reward relative to risk. 5. Additional Confirmation: Volume Analysis: Look for an increase in volume on the 1-hour chart as the price bounces from support to confirm strong buying interest. Support-Resistance Alignment: Ensure the support level aligns well with recent price structure and support zones on higher timeframes to reinforce the strength of this setup. 6. Trade Execution: Place Orders: Set buy orders, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to the criteria above. Monitor the Trade: Manage the trade by adjusting the stop-loss to break even or trailing it if the price moves strongly in your favor. 7. Review and Adjust: Post-Trade Analysis: After closing the trade, review the outcome to evaluate effectiveness and learn from the trade setup.
FX:USOILLong
by MAAwan
USOIL: Key Levels to Watch Amid CPI-Driven VolatilityUSOIL Analysis Today, WTI Crude Oil is positioned for potential volatility with the upcoming CPI release, expected at 2.6%. This inflation data could significantly influence market direction. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 68.53 Resistance Levels: 70.49, 71.78, 72.74 Support Levels: 67.03, 65.85, 63.51 Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: A break and close above the pivot line at 68.53 could drive prices toward 70.49 and potentially higher levels at 71.78. Sustained trading above these levels may further confirm the bullish trend. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 68.53 and breaks below 67.03, it could lead to a bearish move toward 65.85 and eventually 63.51, aligning with a potential market reaction to higher-than-expected CPI data. Today's CPI release is anticipated to cause notable volatility, so monitor these levels closely for potential breakouts in either direction.
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
Crude steadiesCrude prices managed to steady yesterday, having declined sharply since hitting a three-week high last Thursday. Front-month WTI was a touch firmer in early trade this morning as well. But it feels as if this could turn out to be nothing more than a brief pause before prices head downwards once again. The fundamental picture remains unchanged. Supply remains plentiful, and in the absence of a supply shock from either the Middle East or Eastern Europe, that situation is unlikely to change. The Trump election victory should encourage more US production through tax cuts and deregulation. The only question is whether US producers will want to increase output, given that they are already producing at record levels, and that crude prices are low. Meanwhile, demand isn’t keeping up with supply, and this explains why OPEC+ producers have extended their output cuts for an extra month, until the end of December. Chinese demand has fallen further than previously forecast. The world's biggest oil importer recorded a sixth consecutive decline in crude oil arrivals in October, and last week’s much-hyped fiscal stimulus will do little to change that. On Tuesday OPEC released its latest monthly report. It said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from last month’s forecast of 1.93 million bpd. It also reduced its demand growth forecast for 2025 to 1.54 million barrels per day, from 1.64 previously.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 70.38 1st Support: 67.68 1st Resistance: 72.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Crude Oil Alert: Potential Price Drop if $66.40 Support BreaksTechnical Analysis: Bearish Indicators for Crude Oil On the 4-hour chart, crude oil has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal signal indicating potential downward movement. The neckline is established at $66.40 per barrel. A decisive break below this level could trigger further declines, potentially leading to a significant drop in oil prices. Fundamental Factors Reinforcing the Bearish Outlook OPEC's Demand Forecast Reduction: OPEC has revised its global oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025, citing economic weaknesses in China and India. This marks the fourth consecutive downgrade for 2024, with demand now expected to rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd), down from the previous forecast of 1.93 million bpd. Saudi Arabia's Reduced Supply to China: Saudi Arabia plans to decrease its crude oil supply to China in December to approximately 36.5 million barrels, the lowest since July, due to weakened demand from the world's largest importer. Saudi Aramco's Profit Decline: Saudi Aramco reported a drop in third-quarter profit to $27.56 billion from $32.58 billion a year earlier, attributed to lower oil prices and weak refining margins.
TVC:USOIL
by ClearTradingMind
WTI OIL forming multi-year bottom. $115 rally expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading below its 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 4th straight month. The fact that it hasn't made a new Low yet, is a sign of strong long-term buying pressure here, hence a Support base. Technically the price is forming the new multi-year bottom of this Cycle, similar to the below 1M MA200 bottom formation during November 2001 - January 2002. As you can see, those two decade long patterns are very similar in terms of price action, something that is also visible on their 1M RSI fractals. The fact that a 1M Golden Cross was formed last May, makes the sequence even more bullish. The 2002 bottom initiated a rally, which in 1.5 year hit the Resistance Zone that was in place for more than 10 years. This time we have a Resistance Zone that goes back to 2011 and last time it rejected the price in March and June 2022 during the Ukraine - Russia war peak. When the price breaks the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) again and closes above it, we may have an even stronger rally (fueled by inflationary forces of course, as the Fed continues their Rate-cut Cycle), as long as the 1M candles keep closing above the 1M MA50. In any case, our Target for the next 12 - 18 months is $115.00 (just inside the Resistance Zone). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
1
Falling towards pullback support?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 65.84 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 69.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Again).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price is still in a five-wave downtrend. The mid-order wave “3” is in a small correction, but very soon the downward movement will continue. I believe that the price has already closed the gap and may reach the resistance area of 74, then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 67.046. There are 2 possible courses of action: 1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market. 2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
12