XAGUSD trade ideas
Evening Star pattern The Evening Star pattern is a technical analysis tool that signals an upward price momentum's reversal to bearish momentum. The pattern rarely appears, but it is considered a reliable bearish indicator. The Morning Star pattern is also a trend-reversal pattern, which is bullish and gives a buying signal.
SILVER:Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 30.63374$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Swing trade on silverHello, Silver been bouncing up and down for a month now, let's determine those zone, and the most probabilistic scenario supported by fundamentals.
We are stuck in this range between 28 and 32, and no sign of it being over, this is a swing trade idea, take a small positions and forget it, only check if previous high is broken and minimize your risk but as long as new low are created, you can keep it, i've already entered a short position.
Fundamentals: market is pricing at 40% a 50bps rate cut, i truly believe the rate cut will only be 25bps, which is supported by my technical analysis, this is a swing trade, entered short at 30.92, first tp is at 29.5 and second tp is at 28.7
Chart Patterns and Key Signals in Live TradingChart Patterns and Key Signals in Live Trading
Chart patterns are powerful tools used by traders to predict future price movements. These patterns emerge from the price action on a chart and provide visual signals that help traders make informed decisions. Understanding and recognizing these patterns in live trading can significantly improve your ability to forecast potential price trends and execute successful trades.
What are Chart Patterns?
Chart patterns form when price movements of a security, such as a stock or currency pair, follow a recognizable formation or trend on a price chart. These patterns represent the collective sentiment of buyers and sellers, indicating periods of consolidation, continuation, or reversal. Traders use these patterns to anticipate where prices may move next and to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
Key Types of Chart Patterns
Chart patterns can be categorized into two main types:
1. Reversal Patterns: These indicate that the current trend is likely to reverse.
2. Continuation Patterns: These suggest that the current trend will continue after a brief pause.
Common Reversal Patterns
Head and Shoulders
Description: The head and shoulders pattern signals a trend reversal. It has three peaks: a higher peak (the head) between two lower peaks (the shoulders). The neckline connects the lows between the two shoulders.
What to Look For:
Uptrend before formation: This pattern is more reliable if it follows a strong uptrend.
Break of the neckline: The trend reversal is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, indicating a bearish move.
Live Trading Tip: Wait for the price to break the neckline and retest it before entering a short position to reduce false signals.
Double Top:
Description: A bearish reversal pattern that forms after an uptrend, consisting of two peaks at roughly the same level.
What to Look For:
Resistance level: The two peaks touch a resistance level but fail to break through.
Neckline break: The trend reversal is confirmed when the price breaks below the support level (neckline) between the two peaks.
Live Trading Tip: Enter a short trade after the price breaks below the neckline and possibly retests the support as resistance.
Double Bottom:
Description: A bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of two troughs at roughly the same level.
What to Look For:
Support level: The two bottoms touch a support level but fail to break below.
Neckline break: The reversal is confirmed when the price breaks above the resistance level (neckline) between the two troughs.
Live Trading Tip: Enter a long trade after the price breaks above the neckline and retests it as support.
Common Continuation Patterns
Triangles
Symmetrical Triangle:
Description: A continuation pattern characterized by converging trendlines, where the highs and lows converge toward each other.
What to Look For:
Breakout: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the triangle, either upward or downward, signaling a continuation of the previous trend.
Live Trading Tip: Watch for increased volume during the breakout to confirm its validity. Enter the trade in the direction of the breakout.
Ascending Triangle:
Description: A bullish continuation pattern with a horizontal resistance line and an upward-sloping support line.
What to Look For:
Resistance breakout: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the resistance level, signaling a continuation of the upward trend.
Live Trading Tip: Enter a long trade once the price breaks the resistance and volume spikes, indicating strong buying interest.
Flags and Pennants
Flag:
Description: A continuation pattern that looks like a small rectangular consolidation phase after a strong price movement.
What to Look For:
Strong trend: The flag forms after a sharp price move, followed by a consolidation phase.
Breakout: A breakout from the flag pattern confirms the continuation of the previous trend.
Live Trading Tip: Enter the trade in the direction of the breakout, especially if accompanied by an increase in volume.
Pennant:
Description: Similar to the flag, but the consolidation phase forms a small symmetrical triangle instead of a rectangle.
What to Look For:
Strong trend: A pennant forms after a sharp move, followed by price consolidation.
Breakout: The breakout signals a continuation of the previous trend.
Live Trading Tip: Trade in the direction of the breakout and ensure there’s an uptick in volume for confirmation.
Wedges
Rising Wedge:
Description: A bearish continuation or reversal pattern where the price forms higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the highs is steeper than the slope of the lows.
What to Look For:
Trendlines converging: The wedge narrows as the highs and lows converge.
Breakdown: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the lower trendline, signaling a bearish move.
Live Trading Tip: Short the trade once the price breaks below the wedge, especially if volume increases.
Key Signals to Look for in Live Trading
1. Volume Confirmation
Description: Volume plays a critical role in confirming the validity of chart patterns. A breakout or breakdown on low volume can be a false signal, whereas high volume supports the strength of the price movement.
What to Look For:
Volume Spike on Breakout: Look for a significant increase in volume during breakouts from chart patterns. This indicates that more traders are participating in the move and that it has momentum.
Divergence between Price and Volume: If price is moving in one direction but volume is decreasing, it may indicate a weakening trend.
2. False Breakouts
Description: A false breakout occurs when the price appears to break out of a pattern but quickly reverses, trapping traders who acted on the breakout.
What to Look For:
Lack of Follow-Through: After the breakout, if the price doesn’t continue in the breakout direction and instead reverses quickly, this could be a false breakout.
Live Trading Tip: To avoid false breakouts, wait for a retest of the breakout level or look for confirmation in volume before entering a trade.
3. Divergence with Indicators
Description: Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in one direction while an indicator (such as the RSI or MACD) moves in the opposite direction.
What to Look For:
Bullish Divergence: When price makes lower lows, but the indicator forms higher lows, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
Bearish Divergence: When price makes higher highs, but the indicator forms lower highs, indicating a potential reversal to the downside.
Live Trading Tip: Use divergence as a signal to prepare for a trend reversal, especially when combined with chart patterns like double tops or bottoms.
Chart patterns are essential for predicting price movements, but they work best when combined with other tools like volume analysis and indicators. As you gain experience in live trading, you'll develop the ability to spot these patterns more easily and understand how to trade them effectively. Always remain patient and look for confirmation signals before entering trades based on chart patterns.
Silver against the FED panicI really don't care if the FED cuts by a quarter point, or a half a point. You are not going to steal my labor anymore. Strong bull case for the upper fork to get hit. Watch the charts, nothing else matters. Let's see Silver make a break for it. There is nothing cheaper you could speculate on.
XAGUSD shorts formed for short term basis Price is bouncing off internal liquidity,anticipating price to run external liquidity .
Bullish on Gold and Silver | Long-Term As I mentioned in the previous post on DXY, my bias on the US Dollar index is bearish for the first half of September. Also, as the seasonality of Gold and Silver suggests, September is a negative month for these two cousins. So, in my opinion (not investment advice), in the last week of September and the first week of October, we might see good lows on Gold and Silver.
Remember, we cannot time the market, for now, I anticipate the lows to form at the end of September because the seasonality and the price action support this narrative for me. Also, the market is expecting the first rate cut on September 18, which, I believe, Gold and Silver already priced in that sentiment to some degree.
We can expect Gold to go as low as 2450$ before it attacks 2600$, and silver to revisit the 25$ - 26$ area after 4 months (the red scenario). I like the chart formation on Silver as it formed a very bullish structure on monthly and weekly charts. That's why I also put the yellow scenario which suggests Silver would dance around the 28$ level before it breaks out the 30$ and continue its journey towards 36$.
Silver Technical Analysis: Bearish Shark PatternFX_IDC:XAGUSD
We have been anticipating a series of harmonic patterns in the markets, and silver is no exception. It is currently presenting some constructive and intuitive patterns with a high probability of manifestation.
A bearish shark pattern has formed for silver at the 224% Fibonacci extension level around $31. This pattern suggests a potential retracement that could bring the price down to around $29.37, aligning with the daily fractal resistance level that was broken slightly below, at $29.17.
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Happy trading!
André
Long trade
Trade Setup:
Entry Price: 28.75494
Profit Level: 31.39434 (9.18%)
Stop Loss Level: 28.61194 (0.50%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 18.46
This setup indicates a strong bullish expectation for silver.
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 30.847.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 30.212 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 30.53995$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 28.979 level.
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SILVER { XAGUSD}: Bearish Correction On The HorizonAfter a strong upward trend last week, Silver has now paused its advance and is consolidating.
Currently, an Indecision pattern, specifically a symmetric triangle, is forming on the 1-hour chart. The price is testing the boundaries of this pattern.
If there is a bearish breakout, with a 1-hour candle closing below the support line, we could see a downward correction toward the nearest support level at 30.20.
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes above the resistance line, we would anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend.
XAGUSD: AB=CD pattern is forming, what is next? Dear Traders,
Bullish pattern is forming, and we have witness change in price. Tomorrow Fed news will likely to take down the price and then reverse from the area that we have identified. We can target a swing area and target a reasonable position. Good luck.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bearish Correction On The Horizon Following a strong upward trend last week, Silver has now paused its growth and is consolidating.
There is an Indecision pattern forming, specifically a symmetric triangle, on the 1-hour chart.
The price is currently testing the boundaries of this pattern.
I predict that if there is a bearish breakout, indicated by a 1-hour candle closing below the support line, we could see a downward correction towards the nearest support level at 30.20.
Alternatively, if the price breaks and closes above the resistance line we will anticipate a bullish continuation.
Poised for a Historic Breakout Beyond $50The chart represents the price action of Silver (XAGUSD) on a weekly timeframe, spanning multiple decades, from the late 1970s to the present. It shows major price cycles, long-term support and resistance levels, and key price patterns. The chart is designed to highlight a large cup and handle formation that appears to be developing over a long period, potentially indicating a significant future breakout.
Cup and Handle Formation:
The chart shows the possibility of a "Cup and Handle" pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern where the price forms a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a consolidation (the handle) before potentially breaking out to higher levels.
The cup started forming after the massive spike in Silver prices around 1980 when it hit all-time highs near $50. This was followed by a prolonged decline over the years, forming the rounded bottom throughout the 1990s.
The price of Silver began recovering in the early 2000s, reaching another peak in 2011, followed by another downturn forming the "handle" of the pattern.
The breakout zone for this potential pattern is around $48 to $50, which coincides with Silver’s previous all-time highs.
Resistance Levels:
$50: The most significant historical resistance level, tested during 1980 and 2011, represents a crucial price level. A break above this would signal a major bull run.
$30 - $35: This region is a shorter-term resistance zone. The current price action is pushing toward the $30 handle, with minor pullbacks along the way, suggesting consolidation.
Support Levels:
$14 - $18: There is a strong support range, which Silver tested multiple times in recent years. This level has provided a foundation for upward movements and seems to have formed the lower boundary of the handle.
$20 - $22: A more immediate support level that aligns with previous price corrections in 2016, 2018, and 2020. This zone may provide short-term protection for the price in case of a retracement.
Long-term Perspective:
If the price breaks out of the current resistance levels, the next long-term target could be as high as $80 to $100, based on the magnitude of the cup and handle pattern.
Conclusion:
This chart on Silver presents a compelling case for a long-term bullish breakout. The formation of a large cup and handle pattern indicates that once Silver breaks above the $50 mark, it could potentially reach much higher levels. However, in the short term, there is strong resistance around $30, where consolidation may occur before another attempt at higher prices. A failure to break these levels could see Silver return to the $20 - $22 support zone.
long silver price travelling above ema
broke out of descending channel and retested TL from above as breakout
retrace to 38.20% fib level confluence with structure before continuing to -27.20
SILVER: Forecast & Technical Analysis
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SILVER pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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SILVER: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 31.41813
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
HISTORICAL year in progress for SILVER.HISTORICAL year in progress for SILVER.
2024 could be THE year to remember.
It can possibly have its HIGHEST yearly close, EVER!
#silver #xagusd
Monthly Reverse H&S and Re-Entry on weekly break trend line Monthly Reverse H&S and Re-Entry on weekly break trend line
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Rally Continues
Silver keeps rallying like crazy.
The price was rapidly growing the entire last week.
It managed to violate a significant horizontal daily resistance
and close above that on Friday.
With a high probability, the market will keep growing and reach 31.4 level soon.
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