Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time?
The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment.
This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels.
That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology.
The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
XAGUSD trade ideas
Silver H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 36.50 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 36.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 36.06 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Silver Gains on Tensions, Eyes on FedFriday’s strong U.S. data may support the dollar, as the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 60.5 in June from 52.2, beating forecasts of 53.5 and marking the first gain in six months.
Geopolitical tensions continue to drive safe-haven demand, especially for silver. Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites Friday, killing military officials. On Sunday, Iran began its fourth phase of response, warning of firm retaliation to further Israeli actions.
Markets now turn to Wednesday’s Fed meeting. While rates are expected to stay unchanged, futures still price in two cuts this year, possibly starting in September, supported by last week’s soft inflation data.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Silver As global tensions and war intensify, silver becomes more than just a safe-haven asset it’s a strategic resource.
💥 Silver plays a key role in military tech, from drones to advanced weapons systems.
📈 Holding silver isn’t just smart… it’s a hedge against geopolitical instability.
#Silver #Geopolitics #DefenseStocks #SafeHavenAssets #MilitaryTech #Commodities
silver daily cp 📓 Updated Journal Entry – XAGUSD
Direction: Buy
Entry Zone: Daily CP demand
Trend: Monthly, Weekly, and Daily all bullish
Target: 2R reward from entry
Status: Pending
Chart: View Chart
Notes:
Watching for price to enter the daily CP demand and form a bullish entry signal
Will exit at 2x the distance of the stop loss once in
Setup aligns with trend-following strategy and continuation logic
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.303 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver to Continue UpWhen a price goes to oversold/overbought levels as indicated by the Bollinger Band, one must them look at the Band Width. When this indicator is rising, it shows that price is stronger than the average. My rule of thumb is to stay positioned in the direction of the trend until this number reverses.
Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3723
Resistance Level 2: 3787
Resistance Level 3: 3847
Support Level 1: 3507
Support Level 2: 3448
Support Level 3: 3386
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Dollar - WE HIT OUR FIRST TARGET TODAY!!!Amazing work on the dollar for about a month of analysis and finally hitting our target. Its taken its sweet time to drift lower but we have the bigger move today which clipped our target.
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Go back and look at tall the 2 min clips for the last month. We have been in sync all this time
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3587
2nd Support – 3555
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Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum.
Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity.
However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 36.310 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 36.139.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,640.9
Target Level: 3,428.8
Stop Loss: 3,781.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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Another Breakout or Correction?📆 June 11, 2025 | ⏱ 2H Chart Analysis
Silver (XAGUSD) has been respecting its bullish momentum since early June, with a clean breakout above the previous wedge consolidation pattern (visible late May). But now, the market is at a critical decision point.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is testing the 36.50–36.60 zone, which aligns with the 15 EMA and horizontal resistance turned support.
We’ve seen exhaustion signs at recent highs (~36.88), followed by lower highs — possibly forming a micro-descending channel.
Price currently hovers between two key levels:
🔺 Upside target: If bulls defend 36.50, next resistance sits around 38.00, matching the long-term upper channel.
🔻 Downside risk: If support breaks and price falls below 35.90/35.70, we may see a sharp move toward 35.00, where the larger structure would be retested.
📈 Momentum Outlook:
EMA(15) > EMA(60) still shows medium-term bullish structure.
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Bullish Bias if 36.50 holds with confirmation → Target: 38.00
🔴 Bearish Trigger if 35.90 breaks → Target: 35.00
🎯 Risk Management Key: Wait for price action around the decision zone.
💬 What’s your bias? Do you see a continuation or pullback?
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#XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #Metals #EMA #BreakoutOrFakeout #PriceAction #tradingview
SILVER Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 3,622.4.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,483.8 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAGUSD (SILVER) TRADE PLANTactical Plan – XAG/USD (as of $36.46)
🧠 Bias:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish due to:
Evening Star Doji on 4H
Parabolic rally exhaustion
Weakening momentum into resistance
📋 TRADE PLAN (SWING SETUP)
Parameter Entry / Target
Entry Sell on break below $36.30 (confirmation candle close below it)
Stop Loss (SL) Above high of the Evening Star: $36.88
TP1 (short-term) $35.85 (1:1 RR)
TP2 (core target) $34.95
TP3 (extended) $33.80 (if trend fully unwinds)
🧮 Position Sizing & Risk
Aim for 2R or more
Size down if volatility spikes or CPI/FOMC
events are near (June macro data may distort flows)
🔁 Alternative Scenario
Condition Action
Price closes above $37.00 Invalidate shorts, flip bias to bullish
Price holds $36.30–$36.00 No trade (chop zone), wait for clean break
🔄 TRADE MANAGEMENT
Trail stop once TP1 is hit
Add to position only if price breaks $35.50 with volume
🧠 RISK CONTEXT: What Would Trigger a Bigger Drop?
USD strength (watch DXY reclaim 105+)
Risk-off sentiment (bond yields up, equities fall)
Any signs of Fed hawkish surprise this week
🎯 Summary of the Play
“If $36.30 fails to hold, I'm short to $35.00. If $36.00 breaks, it's a deeper unwind to $34.00. But if bulls push through $37, I’m out immediately — trend resumes upward.”
Silver UP but PLATINIUM MOREHello there, good ? Me Yes.
Silver vs Platinium.
So we have a silver momentum against gold. But more than this, we have a platinium momentum against silver.
Platinium against silver is historically high.
So we need a reset.
The move is probably go at the bottom (x4 against silver). So, if Silver make a x5, plaitnium make a x20.
We have also a beautiful bearish pattern (white lines). For a safety capital rotation, go on platinium when the white line is break.
Indicator show us a reversal in 3M...
Look platinium chart (15 years of consolidation).
I recommend a big caution about Stocks. When commodities rises, it's not good.