Silver possibly $53 by end of July, $70 by Dec & $300 long termSilver possibly $53 by end of July & $70 by Dec. Buy & hold... live changing moment in once every 25 yrs Silver overshoot.
XAGUSD trade ideas
Silver about to EXPLODE?If we go and hit the mid range of this channel $114, consistent with the peak in 2011 and the peak in 1974 and 1983, then a 0.71 Fib pullback lands us with support EXACTLY on the $50 historical resistance. Fib extending this gain and pullback from this breakout gives a target of $134!
Just some technical speculation.
After these blow-off-tops, we can expect a multi-year bear cycle (8-9 years) to some 20% below the 200 week MA, or the bottom of the channel. So potentially back to $35 range in 2035? Or is this time different?
Chat GPT states:
Phase 3: $134.24 Fibonacci Expansion
This is not an arbitrary number. It aligns with:
1.618 extension of the previous full range
Long-term silver:gdp/M2 parity when adjusted for gold performance
Top of the upper channel (log scale)
In real terms, this would still be undervalued compared to historical benchmarks like:
1700s–1800s England/France, where 1 oz silver bought 1 day’s skilled wage ($200–300 today)
1930s–1960s U.S. silver dime could buy a gallon of petrol — still ~$3.50 today = ~$50–70/oz minimum utility parity
Why $134 Is Not an Irrational Target
Historical + Monetary Convergence:
Metric Value Needed for Silver
Gold at $3,400, 25:1 Ratio $136
M2 Parity (Silver:M2 = 1:160B) $130–140
ShadowStats Inflation Adj. 1980 $134–150
Industrial Demand Scaling (2025–2030) $100+ minimum
Possible Bearish Idea on SilverSilver seems overbought on the daily timeframe and on the 15 mins we can see a bearish breakout forming, if trendline get broken sell Silver to the target zone around 34.800
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.496 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.646.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended.
Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly:
The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA.
Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure.
MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight.
RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher.
⚙️ Outlook
The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher.
Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend.
-MW
Silver (XAGUSD) – Buy the Dip Toward Bespoke SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 3590
Target: 3721
Stop Loss: 3544
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 11/06/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
Despite signs of a short-term top forming, the overall bias has turned positive, suggesting any downside may be corrective.
Price is expected to pull back into bespoke support at 3590, providing a low-risk opportunity to rejoin the broader bullish move.
The setup aligns with a buy-the-dip strategy, targeting a retest of resistance at 3721.
Additional confirmation would come from a hold above 3630, reinforcing the short-term bullish outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAGUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 36.87, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 36.37, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 36.87, a swing high resistance.
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Precious metals: rotation towards silver, platinum and palladium1) GOLD, a mature bull cycle running out of technical steam
For over a year, gold (XAU/USD) has been the undisputed leader of the precious metals segment, driven by a powerful cocktail of technical and macroeconomic factors. Long-term bullish targets, identified via an Elliott wave reading, have now been reached or are very close to being reached, suggesting a possible end to the cycle. Gold's outperformance has been driven by several factors: an annual depreciation of the US dollar, robust physical demand in China and India, a rush by central banks to use gold as a strategic reserve, and increased financial demand via ETFs and futures markets. Nevertheless, this momentum may now be running out of “fuel” as the greenback approaches a technical crossroads, US interest rates stabilize, and the geopolitical environment remains uncertain but largely taken on board by the markets.
2) Silver, platinum and palladium lag far behind gold
While gold's bullish cycle appears to be coming to an end, investors are turning their attention to the other precious metals - silver, platinum and palladium - which are lagging significantly behind. This is partly due to their hybrid nature: halfway between industrial asset and safe-haven, they have not enjoyed the same enthusiasm as gold during periods of sheer financial uncertainty. However, the situation seems to be changing: the first stages of a technical catch-up can be observed, notably in silver (XAG), whose recent performance has outstripped that of gold. This comeback is supported by an optimistic reading of COT (Commitment of Traders) data, showing a reconstitution of long positions. Upside potential remains intact in the short to medium term, supported by industrial fundamentals and converging technical signals.
3) Are platinum and palladium technical opportunities or not?
Platinum (XPT) and palladium (XPD), long lagging behind, are now entering a recovery phase. These metals, widely used in automotive catalysts, have suffered from the energy transition and the decline in internal combustion engines. However, this weakness seems to have been overplayed by the markets. From a technical point of view, the current configurations suggest opportunities for a rebound. All the more so as certain players are beginning to recognize the role these metals could play in industrial value chains linked to hydrogen and clean mobility. If gold is reaching the top of the cycle, it is potentially in these “lagging” metals that the bullish leverage now lies for the months ahead.
4) The special case of copper
Last but not least, copper (XCU), although not considered a precious metal in the strict sense, deserves special attention. A true thermometer of the global economy, it has long been held back by uncertainties over Chinese growth and structural difficulties in Asia's real estate sector. But here too, the scenario seems to be changing: the gradual recovery in industrial demand, coupled with structural tensions on supply, is paving the way for a bullish phase. Copper thus represents a bridge between industrial metals and speculative dynamics, an asset in a context of accelerated energy transition. In short, while gold remains a strategic pillar, the next big move could well come from a generalized catch-up of all the metals that have lagged behind.
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Silver surge has more bullish upsideSilver is breaking out. Its strength is no accident. The US is running a structural deficit north of 6% of GDP in a full-employment economy. The bond market has absorbed the pain so far, but pressure is building. Investors are starting to look for insurance. Silver is one of the cleanest ways to play the dollar’s long-term debasement.
The metal is trading well above its 200-day moving average. The US$31.50-32.00 zone now acts as solid support. Any pullback into that range is likely to be short-lived.
Silver doesn’t move in straight lines. It runs, consolidates, then runs again, usually in 50–90 day cycles. The current setup fits that rhythm.
The gold-to-silver ratio is still near 100x. Historically, the average is closer to 60-70x. That gives silver more room to catch up. Traders can short gold and go long silver to play that mean reversion. Or simply buy silver outright and short the dollar. ETF inflows into silver have picked up, showing broader market interest.
The main risk? A sudden shift in Fed tone or falling inflation expectations. But that seems unlikely near term.
Silver isn’t just a trade. It’s a message. A hedge against fiscal irresponsibility and the cost of kicking the can too far.
XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 10/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
Update on Silver's march to $40.Update on Silver's march to $40.
Yes, there will eventually be a correction..
this rising support line needs to hold for higher up targets to be reached
A Logarithmic Projection of Silver's LONG TERM Cup and HandleSilver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
Linear Projection for Silver LONG TERM Cup and Handle Pattern.Silver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
We expect governments to continue to devalue their currencies, deficit spend, take part in QE programs and other monetary tricks to inflate away the debate. They won't actually inflate it away, of course, it'll just become a more enormous monster, but that's another administration/generation's issue to deal with!
Silver's Next Supercycle: $200+ by 2031?Silver has twice hit the $50 mark — once in 1980 and again in 2011. Today, it trades around $35, but the technical landscape is shifting fast.
At Vital Direction, our long-term Elliott Wave and Gann analysis signals a major breakout cycle already underway.
🌀 Wave structure suggests a multi-year impulsive rally
📐 Gann angles align with historic turning points
💥 Target: $200+ by 2031 (conservative)
⚙️ Backed by growing industrial demand, inflation risks, and monetary instability
This isn’t just a metal — it’s a macro opportunity.
SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.640 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver is treading gold's footstepsaccording to the pic the fist short term target is 50$ and for long term the silver's target will be black channel roof
XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incomi🔍 XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incoming 💥🪙
📊 Overview:
This monthly chart of XAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) reveals a critical technical juncture, where price action is testing a multi-year resistance-turned-support zone around $36.27. The chart is structured with major zones of support and resistance, and it includes a potential bullish extension followed by a bearish correction scenario.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
🟧 Support Zone: $22.50 – $24.00
🟨 Resistance-Turned-Support Zone: $34.00 – $36.50
🟪 Major Resistance: $43.60 – $48.80
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path):
Current Price: ~$36.27 is at the upper edge of a crucial S/R flip zone.
📈 A breakout above this zone could propel silver toward the next resistance target at $43.60, with a potential full extension to $48.80.
✨ Momentum and historical breakout behavior from this region suggest strong buying interest if breached convincingly.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Rejection Path):
🔄 If silver faces rejection at the $36.27 zone, it may retrace towards:
🟥 $28.31 minor support (intermediate target),
🔻 followed by a deeper correction to the $22.50–$24.00 support zone.
🔁 This would complete a classic retest of broken support, allowing accumulation before any further long-term rally.
🧠 Strategic Notes:
⚠️ Macro-driven: Silver is highly sensitive to inflation, Fed policy, and industrial demand.
📅 Long-term chart suggests cyclical behavior, with consolidation phases followed by aggressive trends.
📌 Traders should monitor weekly closes around $36.27 to confirm breakout or rejection.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. A breakout may lead to a multi-year high, but failure here opens the door for a healthy pullback. The next few candles will be decisive for long-term positioning.
📉 Watch for rejection wicks at resistance
📈 Monitor volume on breakout attempts
📊 Plan for both outcomes: breakout or retest
Silver breakout: Bullish, but divergentIntraday Update: Silver is at the 127% extension of the March 28th highs to April 7th lows, RSI is divergent which may stall the rally, but dips back to the 35.50 level should find buyers now.
Keep in mind we trade well above the long term 61.8% retracement still at 35.48
SILVERTrading and analyzing the market is simple with demand ,supply , breakof structure ,change in character and retest rules.
silver bias is long ,so on 15min pull back crosses go long to target the next higher HIGH (bullish market is HH & HL .find HL and go HH.
Silver correction is nearing its endSilver is completing a bow-tie diametric pattern, currently in wave-f. After the diametric completes, there is a potential for an upward trend to form.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
