SILVERSILVER on demand 31.664 and technically forecasted in my chart weeks back on potential buy floor on break of supply roof,will the new demand floor present the buy momentum needed.
this is a complete analysis.
XAGUSD trade ideas
XAGUSD Analysis In any upward price correction, I think with confirmation, you can consider selling.
XAGUSDPrice has broken out of a 24-day range with a clean retest, aligning perfectly with Senkou Span B, while Span A slopes in favor of trend continuation. The Chikou Span (Lagging Span) has cleared the Kumo Cloud and remains significantly distanced from price, reinforcing bullish momentum. Williams %R confirms entry by holding in the buy zone, while Money Flow Index (MFI) remains bullish, signaling sustained institutional participation. With structure, momentum, and liquidity aligned, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity, favoring further upside as long as price holds above key support. 🚀📈
Silver | iHnS Pattern $36Buyers aren't doing too bad as we approach the mean but it looks like it's time for sellers to show what they got for a nice pullback
With a similar inverted head and shoulders pattern to what we saw in August of last year I would expect a SMA/liquidity pullback to the $30.50 break, and then a continuation towards trendline resistance for a target of $36.
XAG_USD SHORT RESULT Silver Price has hit my target on completing the double bottom pattern formed in 4HTF, Also it formed a minor Ascending wedge pattern on it's way to the resistance which is also a bearish pattern. So I decided to open a Short position at the minor Resistance for rejection and a good dump.
But the news spoit the setup, even though it later went to my TP zone, but hitting sl first.
Although I had closed most of the position in minor profit.
A bullish weekly Silver chart XAGUSD
The weekly chart attached with a bullish MACD is telling the market its buying spree is just getting started.
XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2900.0) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest swing low level Using the 2H timeframe swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Thieves TP 33.6000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XAG/USD "Silver vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a neutral trend (but there is higher chance to bullishness in long term),., driven by several key factors.
🟡 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Silver's demand is increasing due to its use in solar panels, electric vehicles, and other industrial applications.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like silver.
3. Mining Production: Silver mining production is expected to increase in the next few years, which could put downward pressure on prices.
🟢 Macroeconomic Factors
1. Inflation: The current inflation rate is 2.5%, which is within the target range of most central banks. A moderate inflation rate is positive for silver prices.
2. Interest Rates: The current interest rate environment is low, which is positive for silver prices. Low interest rates make it cheaper for investors to borrow money and invest in silver.
3. Global Economic Growth: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, which is positive for silver prices. Investors tend to seek safe-haven assets like silver during times of economic uncertainty.
4. US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index is currently at 97.50, which is relatively strong. A strong US dollar can put downward pressure on silver prices.
⚪ Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with silver prices increasing by 10% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔴 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on silver.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🟤 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 35% long, 65% short
2. Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 25% long, 75% short
🔵 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 35% bullish, 35% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 42% bullish, 28% bearish, 30% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 30% bullish, 40% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
⚫ Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Silver prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Silver prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Supply Deficit Keep Silver Elevated
Silver remained above $32 per ounce, holding near a three-month high as the dollar weakened amid easing global trade war concerns. The U.S. and China have adopted a cautious stance on tariffs, with Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping set to discuss trade developments and potentially reverse some tariffs. This reduces inflation risks and keeps expectations intact for two Fed rate cuts this year. On the supply side, the Silver Institute projects a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and solid retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
The first resistance level is 32.50, with the next targets at 33.00 and 33.50 if breached. On the downside, initial support is at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 32.196
Stop Loss - 32.628
Take Profit - 31.428
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 32.086 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 32.264
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver H4 | Potential bullish breakoutSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and could climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 32.36 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 31.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the ascending trendline.
Take profit is identified between 32.90 and 33.03 which is a resistance zone that is bounded by the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Silver Market Update: Consolidation at Key ResistanceAs I mentioned before, I was bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , expecting the price to reach the 32.30 resistance zone. The price has indeed reached this level and is now consolidating.
With NFP data approaching, we can expect increased volatility, which could determine silver’s next move.
A clear breakout and close above 32.30-32.40 zone would open the door for a rally towards 33.50.
On the other hand, if silver closes below 32, it would indicate that resistance has held, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward 31.00.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 31.73
1st Support: 31.20
1st Resistance: 32.55
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XAGUSD bearish Cypher patternOn the daily chart, XAGUSD stabilized and moved upward, with short-term bulls in the lead. The current upward target can be focused on around 33.53, which is a potential short position for a bearish cypher pattern and is also in the previous supply zone.
Silver's Rally Looks Exhausted – Eyeing a PullbackOur last signal on this pair resulted in 290+ pips
Silver losing steam! 📉 Shorting XAGUSD from 32.9784 zone , targeting 30.9891. Let’s see if the setup plays out! 🎯
XAG_USD SHORT This is our Position on Yesterday's Short Idea, well price has been moving sporadic coupled with the news released today.
I still think Silver is bearish temporarily. Although I've closed most of my position in profit, we'll still see how it plays out in the end.
Could Silver's Price Soar to New Heights?In the realm of precious metals, silver has long captivated investors with its volatility and dual role as both an industrial staple and a safe-haven asset. Recent analyses suggest that the price of silver might skyrocket to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $100 per ounce. This speculation isn't just idle talk; it's fueled by a complex interplay of market forces, geopolitical tensions, and industrial demand that could reshape the silver market landscape.
The historical performance of silver provides a backdrop for these predictions. After a notable surge in 2020 and a peak in May 2024, silver's price has been influenced by investor sentiment and fundamental market shifts. Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver has been an outspoken advocate for silver's potential, citing historical cycles and current supply-demand dynamics as indicators of future price increases. His foresight, discussed across various platforms, underscores the metal's potential to break through traditional price ceilings.
Geopolitical risks add another layer of complexity to silver's valuation. The potential for an embargo due to escalating tensions between China and Taiwan could disrupt global supply chains, particularly in industries heavily reliant on silver like technology and manufacturing. Such disruptions might not only increase the price due to supply constraints but also elevate silver's status as a safe-haven investment during times of economic uncertainty. Moreover, the ongoing demand from sectors like renewable energy, electronics, and health applications continues to press against the available supply, setting the stage for a significant price rally if these trends intensify.
However, while the scenario of silver reaching $100 per ounce is enticing, it hinges on numerous variables aligning perfectly. Investors must consider not only the positive drivers but also factors like market manipulation, economic policies, and historical resistance levels that have previously capped silver's price growth. Thus, while the future of silver holds immense promise, it also demands a strategic approach from those looking to capitalize on its potential. This situation challenges investors to think critically about market dynamics, urging a blend of optimism with strategic caution.
Silver's Rally Reaches Critical ResistanceSilver continues to respect the extended trendline (May 2024–Jan 2025), marking the upper boundary of an expanding consolidation.
A rebound from $28.80 lifted XAGUSD toward the 32.60 resistance, aligning with the lower border of the Oct 2023–Oct 2024 uptrend, supported by haven demand from Trump Tariffs & Trade Wars.
Retracement risks are rising at the lower channel border. A decisive close above 32.60 is needed to extend gains toward 35, 37 & 40. Failure to break higher may trigger a pullback to 30, with further support levels at 29.50, 28 & 26.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Silver ShortSilver broke the structure and created new LL. It touched the fair vaule gap and corrected upwords but is still in downtrend.
4-hr Silver: At Least Another $1 to the UpsideOver the past month, Silver has experienced an impressive 13% surge, marking a strong bullish trend. Despite notable volatility and multiple pullbacks, the overall momentum remains firmly to the upside. This strength is further validated by the Golden Cross, a historically reliable buy signal that reinforces the long-term uptrend.
However, since Friday, Silver has entered a corrective phase. Currently, the 4-hour chart displays a significant bearish candle, suggesting strong selling pressure. Given this setup, it is possible that the decline could extend into today and tomorrow, as investors might be reallocating capital from Silver to Stocks in response to shifting market conditions.
Despite the ongoing correction, we remain aligned with the broader uptrend and are looking for an optimal entry point to maximize risk-to-reward. Instead of jumping in prematurely, we prefer to enter a long trade near the $31.20 level. This area is particularly significant as it aligns with the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement, a level that could act as strong technical support before the next bullish leg resumes.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!On the 4-hour timeframe, silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its ascending channel. If the correction continues, we can see a demand range. We can buy in that range with an appropriate reward to risk.
Gold demand in China is showing signs of a strong rebound, even as the physical flow of gold from the UK to the United States continues. Meanwhile, analysts at Heraeus Precious Metals have indicated that there is evidence suggesting that the growing demand for silver in the solar industry may have peaked.
Last week, both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank acted in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, while the European Central Bank implemented a 25-basis-point rate cut.
Regarding silver, Heraeus analysts questioned whether China could sustain its rapid growth in the solar energy sector. They reported, “The total installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) panels in China reached 886.66 gigawatts in 2024, marking a 46% increase compared to the previous year.
This 277-gigawatt expansion exceeded industry forecasts and surpassed China’s own 2024 capacity projections by 17 gigawatts. However, while this growth is remarkable, it falls short of the record 54% increase seen in 2023, following a 28% rise in 2021. This trend suggests that China may be approaching its peak photovoltaic capacity growth.”
The analysts also noted that, over the past two years, rapid solar energy growth has been driven by unprecedentedly low photovoltaic module prices, largely due to intense competition among manufacturers. They explained, “However, in 2025, polysilicon producers (GCL and Tongwei) have agreed to limit their production, while solar module manufacturers (Jinko, JA Solar, and Canadian Solar) have reached a minimum pricing consensus to restore profitability. This could drive up the price of solar modules, leading to higher capital costs for projects.”
They added, “Projections indicate that 232 million ounces of silver were used in 495 gigawatts of photovoltaic applications in 2024. If installation rates remain steady year-over-year, solar demand for silver could reach a record 270 million ounces in 2025, an increase of 39 million ounces.”
Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett announced that the Trump administration is focusing on reducing the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds rather than the Federal Reserve’s short-term interest rate cuts. Over the weekend, Trump remarked that the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision not to cut interest rates was a “good” move, indicating his emphasis on 10-year yields.
This policy could contribute to financial stability and help control inflation. However, some analysts have warned that Trump’s measures, along with spending cuts by his ally Elon Musk, may not have a significant impact, as a large portion of U.S. government expenditures remains allocated to healthcare, social security, and defense.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, economists at Morgan Stanley no longer anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in March. They now predict only one rate cut in 2025, expected in June. As Morgan Stanley stated, “The implementation of tariffs earlier than expected is likely to halt the downward inflation trend at a higher level, making any short-term rate cuts impossible.”
Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Bullish Continuation ..... BUY STOP @ 31.746
strong rejection @ 30.800
Further advancement possible if price breaks above 31.746 to 32.810
