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XAGUSD trade ideas

SILVER Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 30.151 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 30.562 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
SILVER POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area. Based on Daily TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal chart pattern. We could see Buyers coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by WiLLProsperForex
Look inside Silvers 4HR d/bottom, we find a bull trap! This is what Silver wants us to believe to draw in renewed buying under 30.0. They want to promote a false representation of Long-entry-buying, by cultivating this fake D/bottom on 4hr timeframe and I think 1hr and 2hr. Check out the 1,2,3 minute timeframes and herein lies the bull-trap today. It's a bears head n'shoulders which when triggers will cause selling to sweep straight through these double bottoms even though they are on higher time frames. It will be a huge silver sell-off and there was already one in the Asia session today. Is it just me, or do you often wonder how these patterns get written at such pivotal points..? I'm ready for a sell-off tonight in silver which will trigger the sell into gold. Trading is risky. My thoughts only and I have not replicated ideas from anyone else. The only 1 news item I was influenced on today was for bearish prices in gold for the rest of the year, supply demand thing. You will find a silver story from 2hours ago here. www.tradingview.com On gold: www.tradingview.com Happy thanks-giving USA. I understand you won't have a market today.
EIGHTCAP:XAGUSDShort
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
1
Silver Anatomy: Elliot Wave Insights PT IIGreetings, Everyone In part two of our silver update, I will dive into the structures of Elliott Wave Theory, focusing on Impulse Waves and Corrective Waves. Let’s break down these components for a deeper understanding. Understanding the Types of Waves Impulse Waves (1-3-5) Impulse waves are powerful, directional moves characterized by strong momentum. These waves typically occur in the direction of the main trend, with Wave 3 often being the most dominant. Corrective Waves (2-4) Corrective waves are pauses or pullbacks in the trend, often seen as sideways price action. They take forms such as: • Flat Patterns • Triangles • Zigzags (a sharp, back-and-forth movement). Using RSI to Analyze Waves The RSI provides valuable insight into wave structures: • Vertical lines mark the RSI peaks corresponding to major impulse waves. • Colored boxes on the RSI panel highlight key areas to watch. Key Impulse Wave Rules • Wave 1: Marks the beginning of the trend reversal, confirmed by the RSI breaking above the zero line and the histogram turning green. • Wave 3: Typically the strongest and longest wave in the sequence. Key Corrective Wave Rules • Wave 2: Does not retrace 100% of Wave 1. In this case, note how the RSI dips below the previous impulse level. An expanded flat pattern with a large B-wave exceeding the prior impulse is also evident. • Wave 4: Should not close below the level of Wave 1. Rule of Alternation • If Wave 2 is simple (small), then Wave 4 will likely be complex (large), and vice versa. Support and Resistance Dynamics Observe the green boxes in the price chart marking major pivot points, which often signal the end of corrective waves. These pivots align with critical support and resistance levels, frequently igniting substantial rallies thereafter. Analyzing Bias & Executing Trading Probability In my enthusiasm, I anticipated a significant breakout (bias) at the triangle peak of Wave 5, as outlined in my second silver trading post. I had drawn a triangle breakout expecting an upward move. While my bias led me to the wrong conclusion, my analysis itself wasn’t incorrect—the triangle did break out, but it moved to the downside instead against by bias. As previously mentioned, when a pattern fails, it often leads to dramatic price action in the opposite direction. For those who stayed objective and followed the chart rather than their bias, this presented a prime opportunity. The downside breakout retraced the entire impulse cycle in a remarkably short period of time, showcasing the power of trading without assumptions. It leads to question how can we stay objective while in these trades? The answer I found is to always be referencing key manual & guides. Fibonacci Applications for Traders by Robert Fischer provides a valuable solution to the dilemma I encountered (not sponsored or paid, by the way). In one section, Fischer mentions that “following the Elliott wave concept will lead you to not buy in an uptrend at the end of Wave 3.” To elaborated more on this idea — it is best to avoid buying wave 4s because Wave 5 is sometimes truncated or fails to materialize altogether, leading to a price reversal. This insight answers many questions about why wave 5 is so difficult to trade. Will it extend, will it be shorter? Will it be a .618 measurement of wave 1, 1 exact measurement of wave 1, will it extend to 1.618, or will it fail? One key rule he emphasizes is that, in an Elliott Wave cycle, only three waves may exist under certain conditions—challenging the assumption of a full five-wave sequence. Trading Strategy Improvements 1. Enter at Wave 2 Retracement Levels • Focus on taking a large position at Wave 2 retracement levels, but only after confirmation of a reversal. (Human tendency): We often experience FOMO when prices are high. However, history shows that chasing during high-FOMO moments usually signals a peak. Patience pays off at retracement levels. 2. Pyramid Positions During Wave 3 • Gradually scale aggressively into your position as Wave 3 begins moving with strong momentum. This allows you to capitalize on the high-octane movement of the impulse wave by adding to a winning trade. 3. Exit Around Wave 3.3 or 3.5 • Scale out of your position during the middle or later part of Wave 3. Exiting while the momentum remains strong ensures you lock in gains before the trend begins to fade. Conclusion By combining Elliott Wave Theory with RSI analysis, we gain clearer insight into market dynamics, helping us anticipate potential turning points with greater confidence.
FX:XAGUSDEducation
by coilemard
2
The Anatomy of a Downtrend: A case study of silver XAGUSDTopic 1: Downtrend analysis Introduction: This post serves two purposes: to educate readers and to act as a personal reference tool for future analysis. We’ll be reviewing recent price action in Silver (XAGUSD) , offering valuable insights that apply not just to commodities but also to equities. This sequence of events, while varying in scale, repeats itself across all time frames—daily, monthly, yearly. As a rule, the higher the time frame, the greater the potential returns. Rant We don’t need a million strategies. We don’t need overpriced guru courses claiming to deliver “10,000% gainers” (cue eye roll). What we need is a solid understanding of market behavior and the tools to make informed decisions. Preface Due to charting limitations, I’ve compressed the information here. Additional research may be necessary for a full understanding. This analysis incorporates: • Classical Chart Patterns (Part 1) • Elliott Wave Theory (Part 2) • Support & Resistance Levels (Blended) Getting Started: Understanding Trend Reversal Silver Price Peak Notice the rejection at $34.86 red circle on October 24. Silver spiralled lower, first to $33.08, briefly rebounded to $34.58, but lost momentum and rolled over again big purple circle. Reversal Peak Draw a trendline from $34.5 down to $30.615, connecting as many wicks as possible. Pay attention to the price swings during this dramatic decline. Downtrend Sequence Silver followed this classic pattern of lower highs and lower lows: 1. Swing Low 2. Lower High 3. Lower Low 4. Lower High 5. Lower Low Tip: Identifying Swing Extremes Use your drawing tool to circle ⭕️ or draw a square ⬛️the major swing points—areas where price reacted most sharply or moved the furthest before reversing. These are key reference points for understanding market structure. Potential Reversal Price broke out of its down trend and subsequently broke over its (lowest high) last purple swing point. At this point price formed a new high green circle 🟢 however a (higher lower) has not yet been confirmed on the higher time frame. In the next post, I’ll dive into the lower time frames, focusing on Elliott Wave Theory and key observations since the trendline break. If you found this analysis helpful, please leave a like and share your thoughts in the comments—thank you!
FX:XAGUSDEducation
by coilemard
4
Silver Trade IdeaSilver pared most of its gains on easing Geo political tension. It hit a low of $29.98 and currently trading around $30.33. The AI chip market is expected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38.16% from 2024 to 2033, increasing the demand for silver used in microchips and electronics. Total silver demand could reach 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, with industrial use, especially in the AI sector, contributing significantly. The push for green energy will also boost silver demand as it is vital for solar panels and renewable energy technologies. Additionally, the growth of electric vehicles (EVs) will increase silver use since each EV contains about 25 grams of silver. Overall, silver prices are likely to rise above $30 per ounce due to demand outpacing supply and a projected shortfall in production. The minutes suggest that more rate cuts may happen, with another possible cut in December. While inflation is easing, it is still above the Fed's 2% target, and employment gains have slowed, though unemployment remains low. Current Market Indicators The gold-silver ratio is currently at 86.54, showing that gold has outperformed gold recently. A ratio above 80 suggests silver might become a more attractive investment compared to gold. Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch For trading, the major level to monitor is $30. Silver is below key moving averages, with near-term support at $30. If it falls below this, it could target $29.60/$28.47. On the upside, immediate resistance is at $30.80; breaking this could lead to targets of $31.25/$31.75,$32.20, $32.75, $33, $33.60, $34, $34.50, and even $34.73. Trading Strategy: Opportunities in the Current Market It may be a good strategy to buy on dips around $29.60, with a stop-loss at $28.47 and a target price of $31.75.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDLong
by adiechiii
Silver Trade IdeaSilver pared most of its gains on easing Geo political tension. It hit a low of $29.98 and currently trading around $30.33. The AI chip market is expected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 38.16% from 2024 to 2033, increasing the demand for silver used in microchips and electronics. Total silver demand could reach 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, with industrial use, especially in the AI sector, contributing significantly. The push for green energy will also boost silver demand as it is vital for solar panels and renewable energy technologies. Additionally, the growth of electric vehicles (EVs) will increase silver use since each EV contains about 25 grams of silver. Overall, silver prices are likely to rise above $30 per ounce due to demand outpacing supply and a projected shortfall in production. The minutes suggest that more rate cuts may happen, with another possible cut in December. While inflation is easing, it is still above the Fed's 2% target, and employment gains have slowed, though unemployment remains low. Current Market Indicators The gold-silver ratio is currently at 86.54, showing that gold has outperformed gold recently. A ratio above 80 suggests silver might become a more attractive investment compared to gold. Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch For trading, the major level to monitor is $30. Silver is below key moving averages, with near-term support at $30. If it falls below this, it could target $29.60/$28.47. On the upside, immediate resistance is at $30.80; breaking this could lead to targets of $31.25/$31.75,$32.20, $32.75, $33, $33.60, $34, $34.50, and even $34.73. Trading Strategy: Opportunities in the Current Market It may be a good strategy to buy on dips around $29.60, with a stop-loss at $28.47 and a target price of $31.75.
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDLong
by adiechiii