XAGUSD01 trade ideas
Silver (XAGUSD) Nears Key Support ZoneSilver (XAGUSD) has surged to a new 13-year high, decisively confirming the bullish trend in the precious metal. The ongoing rally, which began from the May 15, 2025 low, is unfolding as an impulsive Elliott Wave structure, characterized by strong upward momentum. From the May 15 low, wave 1 peaked at 33.69. A corrective pullback in wave 2 followed that concluded at 32.58. The metal then resumed its ascent in wave 3, demonstrating robust bullish sentiment.
Within wave 3, the internal structure is clear. Wave ((i)) reached 33.56 and a shallow pullback in wave ((ii)) followed to 32.67. The subsequent wave ((iii)) propelled silver to a high of 37.31, underscoring the strength of the uptrend. Currently, a corrective wave ((iv)) is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave ((iii)) peak, wave (w) declined to 36.51, followed by a brief recovery in wave (x) to 36.78.
The ongoing decline in wave (y) is expected to find support between 35.45 and 35.96, potentially completing wave ((iv)). Once this correction concludes, silver is poised to either extend higher in wave ((v)) to a new peak or rally in at least three waves, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
"The Vault is Open!" - Time to Steal Silver Pips🔥 XAG/USD SILVER HEIST: Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup) 🔥
🦹♂️ ATTENTION SILVER BANDITS!
To the Metals Mercenaries & Risk-Takers! 💰🔪
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥, we're executing a bearish raid on XAG/USD - this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play to win.
📉 THE SILVER VAULT BREAK-IN (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 34.500 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Perfect pullback to steal pips
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bulls get liquidated
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Vault Breach Confirmed!" - Strike at pullback to nearest swing high/low (15-30min TF)
Sell Limit Orders for optimal risk/reward
Aggressive? Enter at market but watch gold correlation
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the rejection
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 36.400 (Key swing level)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to bulls."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 34.500
Scalpers: Ride the NY session momentum
🔍 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
✅ Industrial demand slowing
✅ Dollar strength crushing metals
✅ ETF outflows accelerating
✅ Technical rejection at key level
🚨 RISK WARNING
Avoid FOMC/NFP periods (Silver loves volatility)
Trailing stops = your escape plan
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to build our thief army!
🤑 See you at 34.500, bandits!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#XAGUSD #SilverTrading #Commodities #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already - or waiting for better entry?"* 👇🔥
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,612.8
Target Level: 3,572.6
Stop Loss: 3,639.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 36.463 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 36.640 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Analysis of the Original Chart
1. Labeling Conflict: "Bullish" with Bearish Arrow
Disruption: The term "Bullish" is written, yet the arrow clearly shows a downward movement. This is contradictory.
Challenge: A downward movement typically suggests bearish sentiment. Either the label is incorrect, or the directional analysis is flawed.
2. Support/Resistance Confusion
Disruption:
The chart shows "Support" at around 36.15 but labels the zone below it as "Target" and "Resistance", which is illogical.
Resistance should be above the current price; support below.
Challenge: It appears that the analyst has inverted the traditional roles of support and resistance.
3. Unclear Volume Interpretation
Disruption: The volume at the bottom is not analyzed or discussed. Yet volume spikes correlate with high selling pressure near resistance.
Challenge: Without volume context, predicting price movement is speculative.
Silver consolidation supported at 3500Silver – Technical Analysis
The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVERSilver, US 10-Year Yield, and Interest Rate Dynamics
the relationship between silver prices, the US 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y), and interest rates is characterized by strong inverse correlations, driven by macroeconomic forces and monetary policy expectations. Below is a detailed analysis:
1. Silver and US 10-Year Yield: Inverse Correlation
Core Mechanism: Silver prices typically move inversely to the US 10-year yield. When bond yields rise, silver becomes less attractive as a non-yielding asset, increasing its opportunity cost. Conversely, falling yields boost silver’s appeal.
Current Data (June 2025):
US10Y: ~4.377% (slightly down from recent peaks).
Silver (XAG/USD): ~$36.02.00/oz,
Historical Evidence:
A correlation coefficient of -0.94 between silver and 5-year yields (and -0.86 vs. 10-year yields) confirms this inverse link.
Periods of declining yields (e.g., 2024–2025) coincided with silver rallies (Aprail 2024 and jan 2025) silver buyers come bullish
2. Interest Rates and Silver: Opportunity Cost Driver
Rate Hikes: Higher interest rates strengthen the dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding silver, pressuring prices.
Rate Cuts: Lower rates weaken the dollar and reduce silver’s opportunity cost, boosting demand.
Fed Policy Impact (June 2025):
The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, but signaled potential cuts in late 2025, will give silver under valued metal a bullish impulse.
Geopolitical/Safe-Haven Demand Conflicts (e.g., Israel-Iran) or recessions increase silver’s appeal.
Industrial Demand Renewable energy/electronics demand provides structural support.
4. Current Market Outlook
Bearish Pressures:
Rising bond yields or delayed Fed cuts could trigger silver selloffs.
US10Y above 4.5% historically pressured silver.
Bullish Catalysts:
Fed rate cuts (expected late 2025) and falling real yields could drive silver toward $40/oz. to 50$
Geopolitical risks and sustained central bank buying (e.g., inflation hedging) add upside.
Conclusion: Silver remains highly responsive to US10Y and interest rate shifts, with real yields being the paramount driver. In 2025, silver’s rally hinges on Fed easing, subdued real yields, and safe-haven demand—though bond yield resurgences pose risks.
#silver #gold #dollar
SILVER XAGUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HIGHER TIME FRAME Macro and Geopolitical Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could drive safe-haven demand for silver, though recent profit-taking amid such tensions indicates mixed trader sentiment. U.S. economic data releases, including consumer sentiment and Federal Reserve commentary, may impact expectations for interest rate cuts, which typically support precious metals. A stronger U.S. dollar or higher Treasury yields could pressure silver prices downward.
Supply and Demand Dynamics: Silver’s ongoing supply deficit (projected at 149 million ounces in 2025) and strong industrial demand from solar, electric vehicles, and electronics continue to support a bullish outlook. However, potential tariff impacts from U.S. policy under President Trump could dampen industrial demand, introducing volatility.
Weekly Outlook: Silver’s price action may oscillate between $34.176 (support) and $37.47009 (resistance) this week. Bullish momentum from supply deficits and industrial demand could push prices toward the resistance, but overbought signals (e.g., Stochastic Oscillator near 90) and potential short-selling pressure in COMEX futures might lead to consolidation or a pullback to support. Key drivers to watch include U.S. economic data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical developments.
Critical Note: The $37.47009 resistance may be tough to breach without significant catalysts, and large short positions could trigger volatility.
#silver
Silver Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Silver reversed from key support level 35.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 37.20
Silver recently reversed up from the key support level 35.50 (which stopped the previous minor correction iv at the start of June, as can be seen from the daily Silver chart below).
The support zone near the support level 35.50 was strengthened by the 20-day moving average and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from May.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 37.20, which stopped the previous sharp impulse wave 3.
SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,655.5.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,780.6 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver Long Setup–Breakout Retest After Clearing Key ResistanceSilver TVC:SILVER has broken above the $34.50 resistance level, as it looks to catch up to the gold/silver ratio. We’re now watching for a retest of this breakout zone at $34.00–$34.50 for a potential long spot entry.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $34.00 – $34.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $37.50 – $40.00
o 🥈 $44.00 – $48.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $33.00
$18 retest.Silver historically always crushes the bulls when they are most hopeful for a parabolic breakout.
Even if we are at the start of a super bull cycle in silver, the bull market MUST have massive retracements to achieve insane highs. The higher and faster a bull market goes up without complete washouts along the way, the lower the final ATH.
Market next target 🚀 Bullish Disruption Analysis
1. Support Holds Above 35.80
The market may dip slightly but find strong support around the 35.90–36.00 zone.
Instead of continuing lower, buyers absorb the selling pressure, leading to a sharp bullish reversal.
2. Bullish Continuation After Consolidation
The current pullback could just be a healthy retracement following the strong recovery move from the previous dip.
This could form a bullish flag or ascending triangle, eventually breaking above 36.20 and pushing higher.
3. Volume Clue
If the pullback happens with declining red volume, while previous green candles had strong volume, it signals a temporary correction rather than a trend reversal.
Watch for a bullish engulfing candle backed by strong volume to confirm.
4. Macro Trigger / Fundamental Support
Any dovish signal from the Fed, rising inflation, or weakening USD could increase investor demand for silver, pushing prices back up.
A news-driven reversal could invalidate the bearish path quickly.
5. Bullish Price Target
If buyers take control, silver could retest and break above 36.30–36.40, aiming toward 36.60 or even 36.80.
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.768 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.645..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 35.758 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 36.094 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️