Trading balanceTrading balance The price of the asset has rebounded from the balance zone. With the prospect of growth into the resistance zone.
XAGUSDG trade ideas
Silver Tries to Regain Lost Ground After the DipSilver has formed a solid bottom between 37.25 and 36.20 and is now attempting to break higher and recover some of its recent losses. There is some support from gold helping to push the price upward, but it remains unclear whether silver can hold above the 37.25 level long enough to take another step higher.
If it does, the price may return to the 37.90–38.30 zone, where it could stabilize and decide whether to move further up.
Below 37, however, the outlook becomes more cautious. A drop below this level could trigger additional selling pressure, so traders should be alert to downside risks if that support fails.
Silver against many world M2 supplies.Here we see silver divided by many global m2 supplies...
We can see silver is JUST STARTING ITS MOVE to catch up to gold.
We corrected for the 1.4 quadrillion in M2, and see silver's targets all over $100!
This confirms silver is ready to move again, after gold's run, and perhaps make an explosive move higher!
SILVER: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 36.920 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 37.150 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER (XAGUSD): Time for Pullback📈SILVER appears to be oversold following yesterday's decline.
After testing a significant daily / intraday support level, there's a noticeable bullish reversal.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern on the hourly chart and has broken above its neckline. We can expect a pullback to at least 37.64.
Silver H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price reverse from the sell entry at 3.86, and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 37.63, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 35.34, which is a swing low support that lines up with th e 61.8% Fibonacci retraecment.
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Not time to dismount yet!!!Dont get shaken off the horse...yet. There is more to come imo...this is to shake the weak hands...
Silver on the path of growth and developmentAs I mentioned in the previous article, silver is moving towards the desired target, which is around $40 per ounce of silver. As you can see, this three-month chart and the uptrend drawn and reproduced shows the desired price target near the top of the channel.
If there is a change and an update is needed, I will definitely check and publish it again.
Good luck.
MJ .REZAEI
CAN SILVER RETURN TO ITS HISTORIC HIGH OF $50?In the world of precious metals, gold has already broken its all-time high in recent months, supported by solid fundamentals. Another precious metal is now catching up: silver. Unlike platinum and palladium, silver today combines all the necessary ingredients to revisit its historic peak. Its bullish potential stems from a unique blend of market volume, correlation with gold, supportive fundamentals, and favorable technical conditions. Silver isn’t just "gold’s little brother": it is currently the only precious metal with both the technical and structural setup to aim once again for the mythical $50 mark, last reached in 2011.
1) After GOLD, silver is the most liquid precious metal and has the highest positive correlation
The first key factor is liquidity. On the precious metals market, gold remains the clear leader, with hundreds of billions of dollars traded daily. Silver comes second, far ahead of platinum and palladium, with around $5 billion in daily volume. This level of activity is crucial—adequate liquidity allows speculative and institutional flows to fully express themselves. Conversely, the low volumes of platinum and palladium limit their upside, as their markets are too narrow to support the kind of momentum seen in gold or silver.
The second strength of silver lies in its natural correlation with gold. Historically, the two metals move in sync. This behavioral alignment is reflected in a correlation coefficient close to 1. Platinum and palladium, by contrast, respond to industrial demand, particularly from the auto sector and emissions technology. Silver, however, blends industrial uses (jewelry, electronics, solar panels, etc.) with a monetary and financial role similar to gold. This dual nature makes silver a hybrid asset, with both ETF-driven financial demand and jewelry-like industrial demand.
2) Technically, the SILVER/GOLD ratio remains in a short-term uptrend from a long-term support
Technical analysis reinforces this fundamental outlook. While gold appears to be losing steam after hitting $3,500, silver still shows a medium-term bullish setup—even though short-term corrections are always possible. The gold/silver ratio, historically useful to detect when silver outperforms gold, also suggests that silver is poised for further gains. Silver’s long-term trend remains bullish as long as the $34–$35 support zone holds. The $50 mark is the natural technical target of this trend.
The following chart shows the gold/silver ratio and indicates that silver is likely to outperform gold through year-end:
And here is the monthly candlestick chart of spot silver:
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Falling towards pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.25
1st Resistance: 39.07
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Bullish bounce for the Silver?The price is falling towards the support level whch i anoverlap support that is slighly below the 61.8%Fibonacci retraecment and could bounce from this level to our takeprofit.
Entry: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36.28
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 39.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Market Stuck in Limbo? XAGUSD Update & Likely Range AheadLet’s talk silver.
The market's clearly undecided — no real momentum, just hesitation.
We’re approaching overextended RSI levels, so don’t expect fireworks just yet.
Im Skeptic from Skeptic Lab and In this quick update, I’ll show you what I’m watching for both long and short triggers …
and why a range might dominate the next few days.
👉 Watch till the end to avoid getting trapped by fake breakouts.
SILVER Bullish SetupSilver has been in a clear Bullish Trend Recently, and we are looking Silver to continue bullish.
#SILVER - $3 Swing? 42 or 34.87?Date: 28-07-2205
#silver
Current Price: 38.15
Pivot Point: 38.440 Support: 37.740 Resistance: 39.145
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 39.812
Target 2: 40.480
Target 3: 41.245
Target 4: 42.010
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 37.070
Target 2: 36.400
Target 3: 35.635
Target 4: 34.870
#TradingView #Stocks #Equities #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #silver
#TechnicalAnalysis #StockCharts #Finance
#Gold #Bitcoin #Silver #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
XAGUSD/SILVER LONG 1:5 RReason for entry:
1. Expanding flat structure
2. Order block reaction
3. 5th wave in play
4. 4 HR engulfing candle
Entry: 37.204
Stop loss: 36.454
Take Profit:39.073
Strategy: Wait for engulfing candle to enter
Place trade at break even at 1:2R or move stop loss to 1:1 R when in PROFIT
XAGUSD – Reversal Signs After the Run Toward $40Lately, I’ve been a strong advocate for a Silver rally toward $40, and indeed, we got a solid move, with price reaching as high as $39.50, not touching 40 though...
Just like with Gold, the last 3 days of last week turned bearish, and now it looks like we may be entering the early stage of a correction.
📉 Current Setup:
- The rejection from $39.50, right below the psychological $40 level, is significant
- I’ll be monitoring for a possible short entry if we get a rebound into the $38.80–$39.00 zone
- A new high above $39.50 would invalidate this setup
📌 On the downside, if price breaks below the confluence support at $37.70–$38.00, that would confirm the reversal and could lead to an acceleration toward $35.50 support
Conclusion:
The bullish narrative on Silver is pausing here. Until a new high is made, I’m looking to sell the bounce and follow the momentum if the breakdown under support is confirmed.
Let’s see how this plays out this week. 🧭
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview
Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias.
🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles
🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout
After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation.
A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level).
This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply.
🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed)
Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged.
This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect.
⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum)
The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed.
The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing.
📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect
Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply.
Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now.
Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
📦 Key Levels to Watch
Zone/Level Type Role
38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin
37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance
36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction
Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift
🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block
Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00).
MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on:
Volume cycle completion
Downward exhaustion
Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones
Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50.
📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell
If the green zone fails to hold:
A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible.
However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst.
💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens)
We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion.
The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone.
Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering.
📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2
Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70
Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00
Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90
🧾 Conclusion & Final Note
Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle.
✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure.
🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver & New Safe Havens💰📉 When Gold Believers Flip – Uncle Jimmy, Silver, and the New Safe Havens 🧠🔄
Let me tell you a story that says more than any chart ever could.
📜 Meet Uncle Jimmy (from Canada) . He’s not really my uncle, but out of respect, that’s what I call him.
A true OG — early stockbroker, big mustache , 20+ apartments, a life built on commissions, charts, and one sacred truth: '' Gold never lies. ''
He's bought gold at every dip, every crisis, every whisper of war or inflation.
But now?
“I’m thinking of selling gold to buy silver.” ( WHAT?! 😳👀💥)
That’s it. That’s the moment.
📉 A gold maxi flipping into silver. A generational pivot.
And that’s the real divergence the chart doesn’t always show.
⚖️ Macro Sentiment Rotation:
📊 Gold
Sitting on crucial support. Breakout potential to $3,465+ remains — but divergences (OBV, CMF) are stacking. A breakdown? Targets stretch down to $3,000 or even $2,716.
🪙 Silver
Just hit $38.14 — now eyeing the legendary $49.83 ATH from 1980. Legacy capital rotating in. Silver’s moment? (My chart says 'wait a bit'...divergences!)
💻 NASDAQ/Tech
Some now call it the “new safe haven” — not because of bonds, but because of trust in corporate resilience vs. geopolitical chaos. When Nasdaq rises, silver often outperforms gold — risk appetite returns, and so does industrial metal demand.
₿ Bitcoin
And then there’s Bitcoin…
The safe haven that legacy minds still don’t trust.
I told Uncle Jimmy to buy it at:
→ $4,000
→ $18,000
→ $45,000
→ Even $70,000.... I stopped doing that at some point, he just wouldn't get it, or wouldn't make a move into the 'crypto unknown'. Respect!
So...He never did. Maybe Bitcoin just became what gold once was — but for the next generation. Not for Big Jimmy.
🧠 What to Watch:
Sentiment is shifting
Safe havens are evolving
Charts show structure — but stories show psychology
Whether you're long metals, crypto, or tech — the key is knowing when beliefs break and rotations begin.
Watch price. Listen to sentiment. And never underestimate Uncle Jimmy.
What would you tell Jimmy today if he was your uncle? Let me know below!
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
SILVER Is About to Collapse? Watch This Critical Supply Zone!Price recently tapped a high near 39.20 before sharply rejecting from the 38.80–39.20 supply zone, confirming strong selling pressure. The current structure shows:
- Supply zone tested and rejected
- Likely return to the previous demand zone (36.50–36.00)
- RSI is turning down, confirming loss of momentum
A pullback toward 38.30–38.50, followed by a bearish continuation toward the 36.50 area, which acts as a key structural and institutional support.
🗓️ Seasonality
Historically, July is bullish for silver:
Last 5Y average: +0.89%
Last 2Y average: +2.18%
However, August–September are bearish months:
August: mildly positive, but weak
September: consistently negative across all time frames (-0.86% to -1.10%)
This increases the probability of a downward move starting in early August, in line with current price action rejection.
🪙 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 22
Non-Commercials (speculators):
Longs: +656
Shorts: -516
Commercials (hedging):
Longs: +1,337
Shorts: +916
➡️ Commercials are increasing both long and short exposure, while non-commercials remain net long — a sign of moderate optimism.
However, long positioning is slowing down compared to previous weeks. A potential exhaustion in bullish momentum is forming.
📉 Sentiment
52% short vs 48% long
Volume: more lots on the short side (492 vs 454)
Sentiment remains neutral to slightly contrarian bullish, but not extreme. This may allow for a fake breakout before a deeper move down.
🧩 Operational Summary
Main bias: Bearish short to mid-term (starting August), supported by:
- Technical rejection at supply
- Negative seasonal tendencies ahead
- RSI showing momentum loss
- COT showing stabilization, not accumulation
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36.490 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36.231..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BUY AFTER THE PULLBACK Analyzing the daily time frame of silver, we can see that silver is in a bullish uptrend.
The price of silver is respecting a rising trend line which is acting as support in the past, only for some few times in the past did it exhibit a fake breakout which is indicated with an arrow.
I see the price of silver from its current price actions selling to our required point of interest and looking for buy liquidity to buy at our confluence which is both previous resistance which was broken to the upside which I indicated with a blue rectangle and a rising trend line.
Please look for buys at the previous broken resistance which is indicated with a blue rectangle in confluence with a rising trendline.
.............,...........................................
Please kindly share your thoughts on silver
Silver ShortSI1! is now net short on the regression break.
Gold has not followed at this time.
I am not taking this trade directly.
SILVER H9 IdeaWhen you look at silver market has actually been in an uptrend for about three years. It was sideways a couple of times, and it’s very possible that we go sideways or correctionn for the short term. But over the longer term, it goes from the lower left to the upper right, and there’s really no way to dispute that.
