Silver (XAGUSD) Analysis - Market looking strong!Why?
I have been pro-actively trading this market over the last few weeks and months due to its strong bullish nature that it is showcasing. This market is trending very nicely and has delivered the perfect market conditions for me to go LONG. I know this because the impulsive waves are strong and are created with high volume. Rather than seeing typical corrections, we are seeing the formation of Re-Accumulations (stepping stones) to take price higher.
My Predictions
Price is showing no signs of wanting to slow down or stop. Therefore my bias remains Bullish. As of currently, we can see price has began to consolidate and enter the creation of another Re-Accumulation. Clearly with the red highlight, we can see price has liquidated the recent lows which is a sign that the institutions are getting involved. I am expecting price to continue bullish from here, to break the current market high and continue its next leg higher.
I will be looking to get involved once price reaches and breaks the 36.900 level
CONFLUENCES
- Sentiment is above 80% Bullish ( MentFX Sentiment Source )
- Swing lows are being protected
- The effect being created by the cause is strong (Wyckoff Theory)
- Demand is clearly in control
- We are in a mark-up phase of the Wyckoff price cycles (The best phase to go long)
- Given the political uncertainty around the dollar right now, more investors are looking to pump money into alternative assets e.g Gold and Silver.
XAGUSDG trade ideas
Silver H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 36.50 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 36.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 36.06 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver As global tensions and war intensify, silver becomes more than just a safe-haven asset it’s a strategic resource.
💥 Silver plays a key role in military tech, from drones to advanced weapons systems.
📈 Holding silver isn’t just smart… it’s a hedge against geopolitical instability.
#Silver #Geopolitics #DefenseStocks #SafeHavenAssets #MilitaryTech #Commodities
silver daily cp 📓 Updated Journal Entry – XAGUSD
Direction: Buy
Entry Zone: Daily CP demand
Trend: Monthly, Weekly, and Daily all bullish
Target: 2R reward from entry
Status: Pending
Chart: View Chart
Notes:
Watching for price to enter the daily CP demand and form a bullish entry signal
Will exit at 2x the distance of the stop loss once in
Setup aligns with trend-following strategy and continuation logic
Silver to Continue UpWhen a price goes to oversold/overbought levels as indicated by the Bollinger Band, one must them look at the Band Width. When this indicator is rising, it shows that price is stronger than the average. My rule of thumb is to stay positioned in the direction of the trend until this number reverses.
Dollar - WE HIT OUR FIRST TARGET TODAY!!!Amazing work on the dollar for about a month of analysis and finally hitting our target. Its taken its sweet time to drift lower but we have the bigger move today which clipped our target.
Follow for more updates on dollar and what im looking to trade.
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Go back and look at tall the 2 min clips for the last month. We have been in sync all this time
Silver about to EXPLODE?If we go and hit the mid range of this channel $114, consistent with the peak in 2011 and the peak in 1974 and 1983, then a 0.71 Fib pullback lands us with support EXACTLY on the $50 historical resistance. Fib extending this gain and pullback from this breakout gives a target of $134!
Just some technical speculation.
After these blow-off-tops, we can expect a multi-year bear cycle (8-9 years) to some 20% below the 200 week MA, or the bottom of the channel. So potentially back to $35 range in 2035? Or is this time different?
Chat GPT states:
Phase 3: $134.24 Fibonacci Expansion
This is not an arbitrary number. It aligns with:
1.618 extension of the previous full range
Long-term silver:gdp/M2 parity when adjusted for gold performance
Top of the upper channel (log scale)
In real terms, this would still be undervalued compared to historical benchmarks like:
1700s–1800s England/France, where 1 oz silver bought 1 day’s skilled wage ($200–300 today)
1930s–1960s U.S. silver dime could buy a gallon of petrol — still ~$3.50 today = ~$50–70/oz minimum utility parity
Why $134 Is Not an Irrational Target
Historical + Monetary Convergence:
Metric Value Needed for Silver
Gold at $3,400, 25:1 Ratio $136
M2 Parity (Silver:M2 = 1:160B) $130–140
ShadowStats Inflation Adj. 1980 $134–150
Industrial Demand Scaling (2025–2030) $100+ minimum
XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 10/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
A Logarithmic Projection of Silver's LONG TERM Cup and HandleSilver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
Psst… Wanna Rob the Silver Market? XAG/USD Trade Inside!"🔥 "SILVER HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAG/USD Bullish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style)" 🔥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAG/USD "The Silver" Market. Follow the strategy on the chart—LONG ENTRY is key! Aim to escape near the high-risk Red Zone (overbought, consolidation, bear traps). 🏆 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
📈 ENTRY: "The Heist Begins!"
Wait for MA breakout (33.700)—then strike! Bullish profits await.
Options:
Buy Stop above Moving Average OR
Buy Limit near pullback zones (15-30min timeframe, swing lows/highs).
📌 Pro Tip: Set an ALERT for breakout confirmation!
🛑 STOP LOSS: "Listen Up, Thieves!"
For Buy Stop Orders: DO NOT set SL until after breakout!
Place SL at recent/swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & order count.
Rebels, be warned: Set it wherever, but you’re playing with fire! 🔥⚡
🏴☠️ TARGET: 34.700
Scalpers: Only trade LONG. Use trailing SL to protect gains.
Swing Traders: Join the robbery squad & ride the trend!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP:
Bullish drivers in play! Check:
Macro trends, COT reports, sentiment, intermarket analysis.
🔗 Linkks in bio/chart for deep dive.
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS:
News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during releases.
Lock profits with trailing stops. Stay sharp!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 "LIKE" & "BOOST" to fuel our robbery team!
More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🤩
🎯 Let’s steal the market’s money—Thief Trading Style! 🏆💵
Silver Rising on Weak Dollar, Soft NFP, and Gold StrengthSilver continues to push higher, driven by a combination of macro and technical tailwinds. The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may stay on hold or even tilt dovish. As a result, the Dollar extended its slide, providing a strong tailwind for precious metals.
Gold remains firm near record highs, and Silver is starting to catch up, gaining momentum both as a safe-haven asset and an industrial metal. The weaker Dollar environment boosts Silver’s appeal, while softer labor data raises hopes for looser financial conditions ahead.
Equity markets are also rising, reflecting a positive outlook on economic growth and demand. This supports the industrial side of silver, especially with rising consumption in solar, electronics, and EV-related industries.
Technically, silver is testing resistance near USD 37.50. A clean break above this level could open the path toward USD 39.00 and beyond. While RSI suggests short-term overbought conditions based on the daily chart, dips toward USD 35.00 – 36.00 would likely attract buyers.
The combination of soft US data, weaker Dollar, strong Gold performance, and firm equity markets points to sustained upside potential. Watch for follow-through above USD 37.50 to confirm the next bullish leg.
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 36.190 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 35.901.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVERThe correlation between Silver and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is generally strongly negative. This means that when the DXY rises (the dollar strengthens), silver prices tend to fall, and when the dollar weakens, silver prices usually rise.
Reasons for the Negative Correlation:
Silver is priced in US dollars: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes silver cheaper internationally, boosting demand and prices.
Safe-haven and inflation hedge: Silver, like gold, is often sought during times of dollar weakness, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainty.
Supporting Details from Recent Analysis:
Silver prices have a strong inverse relationship with the DXY,the Historical trends show silver outperforming during sustained dollar downtrends.
Silver’s smaller market size and greater volatility compared to gold mean silver can experience more pronounced price moves in response to dollar fluctuations.
Recent silver price rallies in 2025 have been supported by dollar weakness, safe-haven demand, and industrial use, with silver trading near $34.50 per ounce.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Silver Price Explanation
DXY Strengthens Silver price tends to fall Silver becomes more expensive globally
DXY Weakens Silver price tends to rise Silver becomes cheaper internationally
Safe-haven Demand Supports silver during dollar weakness or uncertainty Investors seek precious metals as alternatives
Industrial Demand Supports silver price Silver’s use in electronics and renewable energy
Conclusion
Silver and the US Dollar Index exhibit a notable inverse correlation driven by silver’s dollar pricing and its role as a safe-haven and industrial metal. Monitoring key DXY technical levels can provide insights into potential silver price movements, with dollar weakness often heralding strong silver rallies.
#gold #silver
XAGUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 33.61, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 34.71, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 32.60, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SILVER: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 34.443 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 34.354..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 34.443 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 34.575.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Climbs on Tariff Worries, Retreats SlightlySilver surged over 5% on Monday to around $34.60 per ounce, near a two-month high, before easing to $34 on Tuesday due to profit-taking. The rally was fueled by rising trade tensions and safe-haven demand after President Trump announced a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. China denied breaching a recent trade deal, casting doubt on a potential Trump-Xi call. Legal uncertainty around Trump’s trade measures further supported demand for precious metals.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 33.65 and the first resistance is located at 34.90.