buy silver now and holdI see silver as under value and I think in the next year or in the coming months we can see this grow at a real good rate. to me this is the time to buy before we see a real value of silver. I'm curtly holding 4 oz of silver and every week I plan to spend 100 so about 3 oz a week
my main goal is to hold but seek at least 5% gain in total value each month
XAGUSDG trade ideas
Silver Holds Ground as Markets Eye Fed CutsSilver hovered around $30 per ounce on Monday, staying volatile as markets reacted to Trump’s escalating trade war. The metal dropped 16% over three sessions as recession fears sparked a broad selloff, with traders liquidating metals to cover losses. China retaliated with tariffs after the US imposed levies on all countries, with others expected to follow. Trump’s tariffs excluded copper, gold, energy, and certain minerals. Despite the slump, silver may regain support as markets bet on more Fed rate cuts this year.
Technically first resistance level is located at 30.90. In case of its breach 31.40 and 32.50 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, the first support is at 29.00. 28.40 and 27.50 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
Reaction of Gold and Silver to the Increasing Fear FactorBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Gold, historically relegated to the background of investment strategies, is now emerging as a first-rate asset. This change is due to factors such as rising inflation, the implementation of aggressive tariff measures, and the geopolitical tensions that have intensified in recent years. The war in Ukraine and the consolidation of strategic alliances among Russia, China, and the BRICS countries have contributed to placing gold at the center of attention, demonstrating that its safe-haven nature is more necessary than ever.
One of the key elements in this transformation is the adoption of Basel Three regulations. This agreement, by classifying gold as a “tier one” asset, equates its value and security with that of US Treasury bonds. It is expected that, after its implementation in Europe in 2026, the same measure will be extended to US banks in 2027, which will increase institutional demand and further consolidate gold as a secure reserve in times of uncertainty.
Tariff policies, driven in part by decisions such as those of the Trump administration, generate inflation and increase economic uncertainty. Such a scenario forces banks and large investors to rethink their strategies, seeking in gold a refuge against the devaluation of other assets. The convergence of these factors suggests that the price of gold could reach, or even exceed, levels of $4,000 – it is even projected to reach $4,500 – as the increasing money supply pushes the valuation of the metal.
The Duality of Silver: Industry and Investment
Unlike gold, silver possesses a duality that makes it both an essential raw material for industry and an investment asset. While approximately 70% of annual silver production is allocated to industrial and manufacturing processes, the remainder is used in bars, coins, and ETFs. This characteristic creates inherent volatility, as movements in the economy directly affect its industrial demand.
During periods known as “fear trades,” when economic uncertainty spikes, silver tends to behave as a proxy for gold. Historically, compressions in the Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) have been observed during these episodes, which in some cases have driven silver to experience abrupt price movements. Furthermore, the growing concern about market scarcity—due to a deficit between production and demand that could exceed 200 million ounces this year—adds another layer of complexity to the scenario.
Regulatory uncertainty exacerbates the situation: faced with the possibility of governmental interventions to “normalize” prices—for example, by banning ETFs or other forms of investment—silver could experience temporary declines. However, these interventions could be offset in the medium term by accumulated demand from investors eager to protect their assets in an environment of increasing instability.
Investor Strategy: The Pyramid Approach
There are a variety of experts who suggest that the strategy to navigate this volatile environment is the pyramid approach in investments in precious metals. At the base of this pyramid are the physical assets: the acquisition of gold and silver in the form of bars or coins represents the first line of defense against uncertainty and inflation. Gold, due to its role as a store of value, offers stability, while silver—with all its potential for revaluation in “fear trades”—adds dynamism to the portfolio. On top of this base, investment is complemented by mutual funds, ETFs, and stocks of mining producers and developers. Solid producers have historically generated the majority of returns, while developers, with high growth margins, offer opportunities to leverage market movements. This diversified structure helps manage risk and capitalize on both the stability of gold and the explosive potential of silver in times of tension.
Speculative Strategy
As throughout history there have always been speculators in the market, and derivatives trading is just one way to speculate, this type of trading obviously has a shorter time frame than that of the investor, but it facilitates quick entry and exit in the metals market. It clearly minimizes the risk of prolonged exposure, and the potential profits tend to be higher as well as the risks, due to leverage when trading with derivatives.
Silver Analysis (Ticker AT: SILVER)
Observing the silver chart, since Valentine’s Day, in February of last year, the asset has been climbing its price until October 2024, when its ascent stalled. Later, in the last week of March, the asset attempted to push its price above the highs established at $34,845 without success. After the “Trumpazo” tariff move triggered last Friday, its value fell back to $28,314, and this week we see how it has held the support at $28,768 and seems to have halted its decline. At this moment, the RSI is highly oversold at 33.38%, its current Point of Control (POC) is located around $30,556—a price it touched in yesterday’s session. The crossover of the 50-day moving average above the 100-day moving average occurred on January 31 on the daily chart, so if this trend does not change, it will continue supporting this expansion over the 200-day average. It is very likely that the precious metal will return to a recovery path, but this is highly dependent on the situation that may arise with gold as a reserve asset. If this price is not supported and the averages cross downward, we could see a correction to the price zone of $27,198. However, it should be noted that this support has been touched twice and it could be tested again at some point if the downward pressure continues.
Conclusion: Fear as the Driving Force of the Market
The current environment, marked by geopolitical and economic uncertainty, has turned fear into a determining factor for the behavior of precious metals. Gold, now considered a first-rate asset and backed by measures such as Basel Three, is emerging as a safe haven with projections that could exceed $4,000. On the other hand, silver, despite its volatility and industrial use, acts as a proxy for gold during “fear trades,” where its abrupt movements offer opportunities for investors. In short, this context underscores the importance of a diversified strategy—combining physical assets and derivatives trading—to protect wealth and take advantage of potential revaluations when fear drives the market.
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Silver under pressureSilver, like many other assets, is stabilizing after last week’s sharp decline.
On the weekly chart, the uptrend has been broken. It appears that the big money and major players have capitulated from this market. Also, cycle analysis suggests that the metal will remain under pressure through the end of April. Overall, silver is clearly struggling to maintain its bullish momentum.
I expect further downside, with potential targets at $27.90 and $26.50 as final levels for this correction.
For now, I will continue to trade from the short side.
If price moves above $30.80 and consolidates there, we could start talking about long positions. But at this point, there’s no objective reason to do so.
Gold to Silver ratio: Gold price vs Silver priceGold to Silver ratio during Covid crash (1:120+) vs Tariff crash (1:100+). Over extended cup & handle Gold breakout could come down to $2700-$2800. Could undervalue silver goes up massively & outperform gold from here? It could in my opinion. It happens once in every 25 yrs since 1970.
XAGUSD: 2 year Channel Up bottomed.Silver turned oversold intra day on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.341, MACD = -0.553, ADX = 36.363) but recovered as it hit the bottom (HL) of the 2 year Channel Up and rebounded. It may be under the 1D MA50 but so were the lows of October 2nd 2023 and February 12th 2024 that formed the last important bottom. In the meantime the 1W RSI hit its LL trendline, an additional bullish signal. The DT Resistance and DB Support offer a great and high probability range for sideways trading, so our recommendation is to long but contain buying under the DT (TP = 34.500). If on the other hand the candle closes under the Channel Down, short and aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 25.600).
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SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 29.788 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 28.884..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Wave Analysis – 7 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 30.75
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the strong support level 28.80 (which formed Double Bottom at the end of December) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous sharp downward correction (2) from the end of March.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 30.75 (the former monthly low from February, acting as the resistance after it was broken at the start of April).
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,050.2
Target Level: 3,274.5
Stop Loss: 2,899.9
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 30.83 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 32.20 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 28.80 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Silver Rebounds Sharply on Risk AversionSilver rebounded Monday, rising 2.3% to $30.22 an ounce after hitting a seven-month low. The recovery followed sharp market volatility and recession fears from rising U.S.-China trade tensions. While silver benefits from safe-haven demand, its industrial use remains a weakness. Broader market sell-offs could keep price action choppy, but intensified risk aversion and Fed easing could support silver demand.
If silver breaks above $30.90, resistance levels are at $31.40 and $32.50. Support stands at $29.00, followed by $28.40 and $27.50.
Long SLVThis is a long term trade which may take longer time to develop and contingent on positive price action through key resistance levels.
First level to watch is the 30 handle, which is currently being tested. Break above 30 should take us close to the most recent high in Oct-2024, just below the 35 handle.
Assuming price action advances past the 35 handle, we'd likely see a quick move to new highs around the 52 handle.
Additional rate cuts in 2025, as well as increased deficit spending would likely be the fundamental monetary catalyst to drive prices higher.
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders
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