XAGUSD_PER_0.01 trade ideas
Bearish Bias Amid Stronger USD and Global Uncertainty on Silver.On October 10, 2024, the XAGUSD (Silver to USD) pair is likely to experience a slight bearish bias due to a combination of fundamental factors and current market conditions. For traders focusing on the silver market, today’s trading session will be influenced by several key economic drivers that point to a possible decline in silver prices.
Key Drivers Supporting XAGUSD Bearish Bias:
1. Strengthening US Dollar on Hawkish Fed Expectations
The US Dollar continues to show strength amid renewed expectations that the Federal Reserve may resume its hawkish monetary policy stance. Recent US economic data, particularly stronger-than-expected employment and manufacturing figures, have led to speculation that the Fed might hike interest rates further to control inflation. As the USD strengthens, precious metals like silver tend to weaken due to their inverse relationship.
Keywords: US Dollar strength, hawkish Fed, Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, USD impact on silver, XAGUSD weakness
2. Rising US Treasury Yields Pressuring Silver
With US Treasury yields climbing to new highs, investor preference for higher-yielding assets like bonds is reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as silver. As yields rise, silver tends to become less attractive as a safe-haven investment, contributing to the bearish outlook for XAGUSD. Traders are closely monitoring US 10-year Treasury yields, which have been a key pressure point on precious metals.
Keywords: US Treasury yields, silver price pressure, XAGUSD bearish, rising yields impact on silver, bond market vs silver
3. Weak Industrial Demand for Silver
Silver is not just a precious metal; it also has significant industrial demand. However, recent global economic data points to a slowdown in manufacturing activity, especially in key markets such as China and Europe. This has dampened industrial demand for silver, which is heavily used in electronics, solar panels, and other industrial applications. The reduced demand from these sectors is weighing on silver prices, contributing to the bearish outlook.
Keywords: silver industrial demand, manufacturing slowdown, XAGUSD industrial use, silver vs manufacturing, China silver demand
4. Geopolitical Uncertainty and Safe-Haven Flow into Gold
While silver is often viewed as a safe-haven asset, it has been overshadowed by gold in recent months due to heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Investors seem to be flocking more towards gold as a safer alternative, leaving silver lagging behind. The geopolitical tensions in Europe, Middle East, and other regions have added to this trend, reducing the safe-haven demand for silver.
Keywords: geopolitical uncertainty, silver vs gold, XAGUSD safe-haven demand, gold outshines silver, silver price drop
Technical Outlook for XAGUSD
From a technical perspective, XAGUSD has struggled to break above key resistance levels around $23.50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the market is leaning towards the overbought territory, signaling potential downside momentum. If silver fails to maintain support at $23.00, a decline towards the $22.50 level could materialize, confirming the bearish bias for the day.
Keywords: XAGUSD technical analysis, silver price support, XAGUSD RSI, XAGUSD resistance levels, silver price trend
Conclusion
In light of the strengthening US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, weaker industrial demand, and safe-haven flows favoring gold over silver, the outlook for XAGUSD remains slightly bearish today. While silver may find some temporary support from short-term safe-haven buying, the overall market sentiment points towards a bearish bias for the session.
Traders should be cautious of upcoming US inflation data, as it could introduce volatility, but current fundamentals suggest downward pressure on XAGUSD.
Keywords: XAGUSD forecast, XAGUSD bearish bias, silver price analysis, silver market today, XAGUSD live trading, silver price forecast, XAGUSD daily analysis, XAGUSD technical outlook, silver forex trading
This analysis provides an insight into why XAGUSD may experience bearish price movement today, supported by both fundamental and technical factors. Stay updated with the latest market analysis on TradingView for live silver trading opportunities.
Keywords: XAGUSD live updates, silver market insights, XAGUSD trading strategy, daily silver analysis, XAGUSD forecast TradingView
XAGUSD - When Is The Best Time To DCA?Utilising the most recent dealing range from the 6th Sep 2024 - 4th Oct 2024, we can establish where the equilibrium is located which means it is easier to differentiate premium prices from discount.
Currently as it stands, Silver is trading at a premium and those looking to dollar cost average further into Silver should not be looking at anything above $30.32 as, although we could see a reversal before then, you would be incurring drawdown risk (heat as i like to call it) as there are higher time frame imbalances that has the opportunity to be filled, especially taking into factor the dollar index printing risk off conditions.
Set your alert at $30.89, $30.36 & $29.71.
If you want to play conservative, you could buy physicals or paper at these levels.
Don't worry about further decline (especially if your a physical DCA investor) as Silver is the type of investment that you hang onto for years.
Silver Forecast ... 10.10.2024the chart is displaying XAGUSD (Silver) price action on a 30-minute timeframe. The Fibonacci retracement tool is applied.
Here’s a detailed analysis:
1. Fibonacci Retracement:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from a swing high of 31.46259 to a swing low of 30.21607.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
0% level (30.21607): Represents the low of the move.
38.2% level (30.69224): Often a retracement point in a downtrend.
61.8% level (30.98642): A strong resistance point in technical analysis.
100% level (31.46259): The starting high of the move.
2. Price Action:
The price has retraced to 30.529 (current level), which is near the 50% retracement level.
Price is trading within a tight range, indicating a possible consolidation phase before a breakout.
3. Buy Setup (Highlighted on Chart):
There seems to be a long trade (buy setup), targeting a move from 30.529 to the 31.46259 level.
Entry Point: Around 30.529.
Take Profit (TP): Near 31.46259 (Fibonacci 100%).
Stop Loss (SL): Near 30.27180, below the 30.21607 swing low.
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk-reward ratio appears favorable:
Risk: Approx. 0.12856 (750 units).
Reward: Approx. 0.59454 (2156.15 units), giving a potential gain of 1.96%.
5. Technical Outlook:
Support levels: The 30.21607 level represents a key support, as it's the 0% Fibonacci level. A break below this could indicate further downside.
Resistance levels: The 31.46259 level is the resistance to watch, where the Fibonacci retracement completes.
6. Volume:
The volume is low (333 units), indicating that the market might be in a phase of consolidation. A breakout or breakdown is likely with an increase in volume.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests that a bullish move is expected if the price can hold the 30.529 support and break higher toward the 31.46259 resistance.
However, if the price falls below the 30.21607 low, this could invalidate the buy setup and lead to a bearish move.
WILL SILVER TEST BELOW PREMIUM LINE BEFORE ANOTHER UPSIDE RALLY?Silver!
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY SILVER (XAGUSD) SWING TRADEHey everyone hope you are having an amazing weekend so far and a blessed Sunday! I just wanted to get on here and do a post for a potential setup I see happening in the near foreseeable future and wanted to share with the Trading View community! So let's dive in!
OK so when looking at Silver first thing off the bat is that Silver just came off a large run from around mid $27 per ounce to now sitting at $32 per ounce in prices obviously showing a pick up in demand as uncertainty around the US Dollar and it's future are in question I'm sure. But aside from the psychological side we can see that prices now are sitting at multi-month/ multi-year premiums and are showing us the buyers momentum is really slowing down as well. This is what caught my eyes for this commodity and the potential to short this commodity in the near term (next 2-6 weeks).
Price is also sitting at a previous level of supply & giving us bearish divergence with the weekly & daily highs, hinting that we may potentially see some downside in the near future as well. With prices being at premiums and with the technical confluences it is giving it led me to think that the probability for the next move on Silver is going to be to the downside.
Alright guys hope you enjoyed! If you did please boost this post and follow my page for more accurate analysis and potential trade setups! God bless!
Silver Price Target $35/ozFrom February to May of this year, Silver advanced along a classic Elliott Wave impulse, followed by an ABC correction. Now we are approaching the final phase of yet another Elliott Wave impulse higher, price target $35/oz
Rebound correction Silver. H4 09.10.2024Rebound correction Silver
Silver made a reversal downwards, which I wrote about in the last post Now the price has approached the margin zone and local support 30.20 from which they can make correction upwards. However, I believe that the fall will continue to the strong support zone 28.06-28.86 and in this zone I will look for culmination and a buy signal. Also, silver is now trading in the past profile accumulation area and if there is no reaction up, it will confirm the thoughts of a deeper decline.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
#SILVER: Risk Entry Vs Safe Entry! ! Dear Traders,
The XAGUSD/SILVER price has declined since the normalization of Middle Eastern conflict tensions. These scenarios occur when fundamental pressure diminishes, resulting in market sell-offs, particularly for metals. While gold reached a multi-month low of 2607 before reversing, silver continues to decline. We anticipate a potential price reversal within two specific areas.
Additionally, we have identified three potential reversal targets. Please conduct thorough research before making any decisions regarding silver. It is important to note that the price may reverse upon reaching the first target. Therefore, a well-defined plan is crucial when trading highly volatile market instruments. We wish you the best of luck in your endeavours.
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 30.71992$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
"Silver (XAG/USD) 4H Analysis: Potential ReversalSilver (XAG/USD) 4H Analysis: Potential Reversal at Key Resistance
The price is currently at $30.50150, with a slight drop of 0.05% in this session.
A clear downward trend is evident after a period of consolidation, and the price has approached a potential resistance zone between $31.65 and $31.84
This resistance area is marked by a yellow box with a red dashed line, indicating a possible reversal point where sellers may step in, as previously observed.
The chart indicates a potential short trade setup, with the entry zone shown within the resistance area.
The stop-loss would likely be placed above the $31.84 level (the top of the resistance box), while the target could extend down to around $30.26, aiming for a continuation of the downward trend.
Silver H4 | Potential bounce off swing-low supportSilver (XAG/USD) could fall towards a swing-low support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 30.05 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 29.48 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 31.13 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Slightly Bearish Bias Expected on XAGUSD today 09/10/2024.XAGUSD Analysis for 09/10/2024: Slightly Bearish Bias Expected
In today's analysis of XAGUSD (silver to USD), the market appears to be leaning towards a slightly bearish bias based on the latest fundamental factors and current market conditions. As of 09/10/2024, several critical drivers are influencing the precious metal's price, suggesting that downside momentum could dominate the day. This article highlights the key reasons behind the potential bearish outlook for silver.
Fundamental Factors Supporting Bearish Bias
1. Strengthening US Dollar
One of the most significant factors weighing on XAGUSD today is the strengthening of the US Dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been rising, supported by robust US economic data and expectations that the Federal Reserve may continue its hawkish stance. A stronger USD typically puts pressure on commodities like silver, as it becomes more expensive for investors holding other currencies, leading to reduced demand.
2. Rising US Treasury Yields
Alongside the stronger US Dollar, US Treasury yields have been climbing, reflecting investor expectations for continued high interest rates. Higher yields tend to increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver, leading to selling pressure in the silver market.
3. Weakening Global Demand for Safe-Haven Assets
Silver, like gold, often benefits from its status as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. However, recent improvements in global risk sentiment have reduced the demand for such assets. The relatively calm geopolitical landscape and better-than-expected economic data from key regions like the US and China have shifted investor attention away from safe havens, contributing to the bearish outlook for silver.
Technical Outlook for XAGUSD on 09/10/2024
- Support and Resistance Levels
XAGUSD is currently facing resistance around the $23.00 level, with key support lying near the $22.50 level. A break below the $22.50 support could trigger further downside momentum, reinforcing the slightly bearish bias for today.
- Moving Averages
The 50-day Moving Average (MA) has turned slightly downward, indicating bearish momentum. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending lower but still above the oversold territory, suggesting that there is room for further downside before a potential rebound.
Impact of Market Sentiment and Commodity Outlook
- Commodity Price Pressure
Commodities, in general, have been under pressure as global growth concerns and rising interest rates weigh on demand. Silver, being both an industrial and precious metal, is particularly sensitive to changes in economic outlooks. If growth expectations continue to moderate, it could limit the industrial demand for silver, further pushing prices lower.
- Geopolitical Stability
The relatively stable geopolitical environment has also played a role in reducing demand for silver as a hedge against uncertainty. Unless new tensions emerge, this stability could continue to weigh on safe-haven demand.
Conclusion
In summary, the outlook for XAGUSD today, 09/10/2024, appears to be slightly bearish. A combination of factors, including a stronger US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and lower demand for safe-haven assets, are all contributing to downward pressure on silver prices. From a technical perspective, the metal is facing resistance at $23.00, and a break below $22.50 could open the door to further losses.
Traders should monitor key support levels and consider potential short positions if silver continues to trade under pressure. However, it's essential to remain cautious and watch for any sudden shifts in market sentiment or global events that could alter this outlook.
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XAGUSD Intraday Trading/ 9th Oct 2024/ MCX1D:
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4H:
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I follow photon strategy. Above idea is just to understand the possibilities what may happen. Not a Buy/Sell recommendation. Please go through annotation.
Please do your own analysis.
Silver's Potential Rebound: Inverse Head and Shoulders in Play?The short-term outlook for silver bulls isn't very encouraging. However, taking a broader view, silver might be forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern. A decline to the $29-$30 range could mark the formation of the right shoulder. For the pattern to confirm, prices would need to break above $32.38, which could then suggest a potential move to $38.45.
What do you think about silver's prospects? Share your thoughts in the comments.
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XAGUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 31.12, which is a pullback resistance and a 38.20% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 30.13, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be at 31.79, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SILVER Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER price dropped
Today but then it came
Close to retesting the
Horizontal support below
At 30.00$ and we are
Already seeing a bullish
Reaction so as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
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XAGUSDSILVER did it based on the structure saw the same pattern from gold, liquidity is needed for upswing's expect more drop for sliver based on the structure,
Silver forecast ... 09.10.2021Precious metals is at buying position.
Resistance at $31.00 is closing the path towards the $3.40 high.
Supports at $30.50 and $30.20.
XAGUSD - market structure this is an analysis using the market structure, I simply use the concept of movement in Z (waves) of the price. A simple analysis will always be more efficient and much easier to understand and respect. Follow the established strategy and trading plan to have realistic results
XAGUSD Buy opportunity near the 1day MA50.Silver / XAGUSD is approachint the 1day MA50, being on a Channel Up since the August 8th low.
The long term pattern is also bullish, an uptrend on a Rising Support, exactly where the 1day MA200 is.
Technically the 1day MA50 is the first buy entry of this pattern and the Rising Support the second.
The 1day RSI suggests that based on the March 26th 2024 fractal, we won't need the Rising Support yet.
Buy and target the 1.382 Fibonacci (35.000).
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