GOLD/EUR #XAUEUR - short term analysisGold/EUR has built a symmetrical triangle on the H4 TF, but this could also be a bullish pennant.
At the moment there is bearish momentum according to the StochRSI on H4 TF which could easily break the yellow trend line of the triangle.
Next support is at €1251 and I would set SL slightly below (2-3%).
If Gold can maintain this price level more bullish momentum will build up on 1D TF and then Gold could break out bullish.
TP1@ €1279.- (slightly below Fib 1.272 extension); TP2@€1295.- (@ Fib 1.618 below violet resistance line).
Bearish short-term scenario is that the sym triangle breaks bearish to the downside to the support level at around @1221.-
Consolidation will follow but bears will win on higher TFs (check 1W candle stick chart)!
Lets see how this will play out...
WARNING:
I´m not a financial advisor. For educational purpose only!
XAUEUR trade ideas
XAU/EUR - Sentiment analysisGold has broken the €1245 resistance and has tested Fib 0.786 resistance at €1273.-
Sentiment is bullish but has still not reached resistance levels. Also ADX shows that there is still strong bullish power which could lead to short-term raise in Gold price to the 0.888 Fib level (€1322 - 1327).
The Dow is currently trying to break through it´s overhead trend-line resistance €27420-27460.
If the Dow does not have sufficient strength to brake trough this resistance line then this could lead to an extended rally in Gold.
However, latest COT report indicates that commercial traders are already net short and that small / retail traders are net long which is a bearish signal.
Next few days will tell us in which direction the DJI is going and what that means for the Gold price.
Short-term I´m bullish/neutral, intermediate term bearish and long-term bullish on Gold.
XAU/EUR - long-term analysisGold is in a strong uptrend since the bullish Gartley, WaveTrend oscillator, MFI, RSI and stochastics oscillator indicated a perfect long-entry at around €1000.- on Oct 2018.
Price actions shows that Gold is currently in an impulse wave 5 which will end soon and turn into a ABC correction which should find support in the between €1111 and 1070.- in 2020 (Fib 0-618 - 0.786).
Price should find long-term support on bullish order blocks which were formed over the past few years between €1100 - 1070 which is a perfect accumulation zone for long-term Gold investors.
A short-term long opportunity for swing and day traders could be between 30 MA and Fib 0.5 between €1180 - 1143.
Volume profile also indicates HVN @ €1170 - 1155.
Short and intermediate term I´m bearish on Gold, however long-term I´m bullish due to the golden cross 50/100 MA!
Gold/EUR forming head-and-shoulders on hourly chartAny out there who wants to short gold, consider XAU/EUR. It seems to be creating a head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart.
EUR/USD's daily chart is flashing bullish conditions. Meanwhile, markets have already priced in three Fed rate cuts for 2019. So upside in Gold ($) looks limited. Hence, GOLD/EUR looks overdue for a price pullback.
A break below the neckline support of 1181 would open the doors to 1170-1165.
Xaueur Just hanging out there for a huge dropthe latest news spiked gold for a few days but the market forces do not go on news.
short gold with Eur may be even a better option than with Usd. this latest rally really just made a great sell opportunity. drop to 1127 would be latest support but imo we slice through that to 1117 on the down channel. second target 1100 than 1080. place a stop at the three week high. safe trading everyone will win some and lose some but protect and risk only you are comfortable with.