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XAUUSD.F trade ideas

Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180Gold market analysis: The international situation is very unstable, the situation in the Middle East, the situation in Russia and Ukraine, plus Trump's trade war, it is difficult for gold to show a weekly decline. The tariffs were released again last night, causing gold to rise strongly. Today's thinking is undoubtedly to continue to be bullish. Today we will first look for structural support to go long. There was a decline in the Asian session, and the daily moving average began to rise. Today, it will be repaired first and then pulled up. In terms of gold pattern, 3134 is the strong pattern support in the Asian session, and the small support is around 3140. Bulls will play at this position. We estimate that there will be a few pulls in the Asian session today. The range of getting on the train is around 3134-3140. The strong support has reached around 3110. If this position is not broken, it is basically difficult to change the buying trend during the day. In addition, tomorrow is the non-agricultural data, and we estimate that such buying will reach the non-agricultural data. Support 3134-3140, strong support 3120 and 3110, strong pressure is invisible, small pressure today's high point, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3134. Operation suggestion: Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
XAUUSD SELL TARGET SUCCESSFUL HITTING READ IN CAPTIONSThis chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with various key technical levels identified, including order blocks, FVG (Fair Value Gap), and target zones. Here's an analysis based on the chart: Key Observations: 1. Price Action: - The price of Gold has been moving in an ascending triangle pattern (denoted by the blue trendlines). Ascending triangles are typically bullish continuation patterns, where the price makes higher lows while encountering resistance at the top. In this case, the price is pushing upwards but facing resistance at around 3,147.84. - The price recently tested the FVG gap near 3,138.94, suggesting that the market might be filling an imbalance before continuing its movement. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The FVG identified between 3,138.94 and 3,147.84 represents an area where the price imbalance exists. In many cases, the market tends to revisit this gap to "fill" it before continuing its direction. The price has already started filling the gap, and traders often look for reversals in these areas. 3. Order Block:- The order block located around 3,163.99 indicates a zone of heavy selling pressure or institutional activity. This is an area where price previously faced rejection, making it a potential resistance zone. It might play a significant role if the price tries to move upward again. 4. Downward Move & Target: - After filling the FVG, the price has made a sharp downward movement, indicating that the bearish pressure has taken over. The target for this move is set at 3,100, which could be the next area of support. If the price continues its downward trajectory, it may eventually test this target area. - The target completion at 3,100 was reached, showing a strong bearish reaction after filling the gap. 5. Volume Analysis: - The volume bars indicate increased selling volume during the downward movement, especially around the time the price hit the FVG gap. This suggests that the market is more willing to sell after filling the gap, signaling strong selling interest. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation:
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Joan_Pro_Trader
Gold likely to drop further despite tariff concerns!Hey Traders! Taking a step back and analyzing Gold on the higher timeframes, we can clearly see that price has been respecting a rising channel—though not without the occasional breakout (as always, the market rarely follows levels to perfection). Most recently, price faced a strong rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, leaving behind a notable wick on weekly timeframe that suggests weakening bullish momentum. Based on this, I’m anticipating a deeper retracement in the coming sessions. My next area of interest lies around the 2900 zone, which also aligns perfectly with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level—a key confluence that could attract buyers again. 📉 Will Gold continue sliding lower before finding support? Or are the bulls planning another surprise? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop your take in the comments below! 🔍👇 If this analysis provided value, a boost would mean a lot. Thanks for the support and happy trading! 🚀💛
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AmaWina
Gold drops sharply amid panic but fundamentals remain strongGlobal markets opened the week under pressure, with major equity indices tumbling once again as volatility swept through the Asian session. The latest wave of selling follows China’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs on the U.S., intensifying the fallout from last week’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff shock. Investors had hoped that the worst of the uncertainty would fade following the initial U.S. tariff announcements. Instead, the reality has proven more severe. With tariffs exceeding expectations and no sign of negotiations, markets are now increasingly pricing in the risk of a global recession—beginning with the U.S. This risk-off mood has triggered broad-based liquidation across asset classes. Even traditional safe havens have not been spared. Gold Suffers in Unusual Selloff Gold, typically a beneficiary of risk aversion, has not been immune. XAU/USD has dropped more than 6% since Thursday, a move that seems to defy its status as a hedge during times of market stress. The likely explanation: forced liquidation. As losses pile up elsewhere, investors appear to be selling profitable or liquid assets like gold to meet margin calls or reduce exposure. As a result, this selloff looks more technical and sentiment-driven than fundamental. The key factors that have supported gold remain intact: - Rising geopolitical tensions - Ongoing global growth concerns - Expectations for lower interest rates - Continued central bank demand for gold Looking beyond the short-term panic, the medium- to long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. The current environment—marked by volatility, economic uncertainty, and central bank caution—typically favours gold. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed’s “wait-and-see” approach in response to the unfolding instability. This week’s March CPI release will be crucial. If inflation data shows further softening, it could strengthen the case for future rate cuts, potentially reigniting demand for gold. On the other hand, a surprise uptick in inflation could limit the Fed’s ability to ease, injecting more uncertainty into the macro picture. Technical View: Consolidation May Invite Fresh Buyers On Monday morning, XAU/USD briefly dipped below the 3,000 level, but quickly found support and began stabilizing. While gold has pulled back from recent highs, the daily chart suggests there’s no strong appetite for aggressive selling at current levels. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has reset from overbought territory, creating a more favourable technical backdrop for new buying interest—particularly from bargain hunters seeking entry at lower prices.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Capitalcom
1
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020.      This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals. Technical Review: After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week? Next week's analysis: From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060; Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030; Key points: First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988 First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1 The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4 Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7 However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon. Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price. Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy. Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings. The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment. Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking. However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power. Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run. In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
Let's cover the action of some instruments as we get the NFPLet's see what's happening with the market as we get the NFP number live. Let's dig in! MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD FRED:SP500 FX_IDC:EURUSD MARKETSCOM:EURUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Unemployment Claims -ISM Services PMI Analysis: -Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced -Looking for retest of the bullish structure -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading