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XAUUSD.F trade ideas

Gold Next 24 to 48 hours (02/04/2025)OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is likely to remain within a tight range, possibly edging slightly higher due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data focus and Tariff, but a significant breakout seems unlikely in just 24 hours. Our estimate is 60% probability that the price stays between $3,105 and $3,150, with a 30% chance of inching above $3,150 and a 10% chance of dropping below $3,105. This is a short-term view only Check our Profile Happy Tradding
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Deluxeanalysisandsignals
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 3RD MARCH 2025 Hello Everyone, Since October 2023, our gold price analyses have been consistently accurate. In the past week, gold reached our initial target of $2,877 and achieved a new all-time high (ATH) of $2,956, before retracing to the Gold Turn Level at $2,875. We previously noted that a bullish trend would be confirmed if the 5-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) crosses and holds above $2,877.95; otherwise, a reversal toward the Gold Turn levels was anticipated. * We also stated The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active Gold Turn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond again. * We also stated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877. This worked to be perfectly as anticipated. - This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the KEY level at 2735 before potentially bouncing back upward. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2735 is vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. Our ongoing analysis will continue to focus on these technical indicators to navigate the current market conditions effectively. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold Blows Past 50-Year Channel — New Supercycle Target $4200Original post + 75,000 pips see below Intra trade idea + 46,000 pips see below Gold has officially broken out of its long-term rising channel, confirming a macro expansion phase. With geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan), central bank buying at record levels, and Bitcoin showing signs of a breakdown, gold is being revalued as the ultimate safe-haven. Fibonacci extensions from past cycles point to a third major all-time high between $4,270 and $4,600. We remain long and expect continued institutional rotation from crypto to gold as macro risks intensify. This move appears to be part of a larger historical pattern where each major gold bull market has topped at the -1.414 Fibonacci extension — a level that aligns closely with $4,270. BTC, meanwhile, is showing early signs of correction due to extreme mining difficulty, potential miner capitulation post-halving, and rising macro uncertainty — suggesting capital is flowing back into more traditional hard assets. We’ll monitor how the April open plays out, but with the technicals, fundamentals, and macro narratives all aligning, gold’s breakout seems far from over. 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behavior from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Original idea: Intra idea: Tags: gold, XAUUSD, commodities, forex, technicalanalysis, fibonacci, breakout, macro, geopolitics, safehaven, bitcoin, goldpriceforecast
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart regression channelGOLD remains moving higher, and as mentioned a few times, its all about trade wars tug-and-war activities. However, this is initial fear, and this will become lesser and lesser overtime. It is extremely overbought currently and RSI is at level that are not falling under normal categories. There correction is needed to release the pressures. SZtrategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,130-3,160 and take profit in steps (since we are short already) @ $ 3,057 and $ 2,978 for now.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by peterbokma
Gold Continuous High AltitudeGold rebounds or continue to short. Although gold surged after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall trend is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. It can continue to short when it rebounds under the resistance of 3012. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it eventually surges and falls. Gold is still the home of shorts. However, it is now more volatile. Be patient and wait for a rebound. The volatility should not be underestimated. However, the idea is to continue to keep a high-altitude mindset. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3012-3015 when gold rebounds, stop loss 6 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956; Long order strategy: Long 20% ​​of the position in batches near 2953-2956 when gold pulls back, stop loss 6 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OmarNelson
Xauusd Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 1H Timeframe As previously mentioned, the main bullish move in gold appears to have come to an end, and we are now in a corrective phase. The current wave structure clearly suggests a high probability of a zigzag correction—a three-wave pattern that often follows a strong trend. This correction could potentially push prices lower before gold regains bullish momentum. During this phase, traders should proceed with caution, as corrective moves can often be deceptive and volatile. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #ZigZagCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rezaabdollahjahani
XAUUSD: how to choose between going short and going long?As the new trading week kicks off, there are significant signs of a notable resurgence in global risk aversion, and precious metal assets have witnessed a robust performance. For short-term trading, it is necessary to focus on the upward resistance zone formed in the range around $3050. This area may become a new battlefield for the game between bulls and bears. Regarding gold, pay attention to the suppression situation at the level of $3050 on the upside, and focus on the $2980 mark on the downside. Due to the stimulation of news, there has been relatively large volatility recently. In the near future, it is mainly advisable to go short at high levels, and one must be extremely cautious when placing long orders. XAUUSD trading strategy sell @ 3035-3040 sl 3052 tp 3015-3025 Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain more information. If you have any opinions or suggestions about gold, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by George_Lester
GOLDThis chart represents Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Several key price levels and technical patterns are identified, including resistance zones, FVG (Fair Value Gaps), and target levels. Let's break down the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Trend: - The price of Gold has been moving downward, as seen from the red trendlines marking a downtrend. The price has faced resistance around the 3,141.644 level, which has acted as a strong supply zone. Following this, Gold showed a sharp decline towards lower levels. 2. Resistance Zone: - The resistance zone is marked at 3,141.644, which corresponds to a region where the price has previously encountered selling pressure. This level seems to have rejected the price multiple times, confirming it…- The FVG gap is highlighted around the range 3,120.00 - 3,141.644. An FVG represents an area where the price imbalance occurs, typically after a sharp price movement. In many cases, the market returns to fill the gap before continuing in the direction of the initial move. The FVG zone in this chart likely indicates a potential for a price retracement or consolidation before further price action. - As the price moves downward, the FVG zone is tested, and it might act as a rejection zone if the price moves back into it, suggesting a short trade opportunity. 4. Downward Price Movement: - The sharp bearish movement observed from the resistance level at 3,141.644 shows a breakdown, confirming a trend reversal. This move pushes the price below the previous su…
TVC:GOLDLong
by EXPERT117Ai
#XAUUSD – H4 Time Frame Analysis ## 🟡 **#XAUUSD – H4 Time Frame Analysis** 🧭 **Refining the Chart:** Switching from the **Daily to the 4H chart**, we can clearly spot some **key levels** worth watching. ✅ The **$3012–$3027** zone acted as a **strong demand area**, and as expected, we got a **solid bullish H4 candle close** 🔥 from that zone — just like we highlighted during Friday’s session. 📈 **Bullish Expectation:** I’m expecting **further upside** on gold. Minimum target zones to watch: - 🎯 **$3070** - 🎯 **$3084** 🔄 These levels might trigger **temporary rejection or a reversal**, so stay cautious as price approaches them. 🕒 **What’s Next?** I'm about to share the **H1 setup** shortly, where we’ll plan our **precise buy or sell levels** 🔍. Stay tuned! 🔔 🚨 **Important Note:** If price **breaks below $3000** and we get a **bearish H4 candle close**, we will **shift to a sell bias**, targeting: - 📉 **$2950** - 📉 **$2932** Aggressive Trader May Switch to Sell below 3015 H4 Fully Bearish Candle
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrKTechnicalLevels
XAUUSD H6 Idea Gold Prices— a Warning About Global Uncertainty - Gold prices just hit a record high, soaring past $3,085 per ounce in March 2025. That’s not just a number—it’s a warning sign. Investors aren’t piling into gold for no reason. They’re reacting to a world that feels more uncertain by the day. - The U.S. has imposed heavy tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering trade tensions that are shaking global markets. Inflation is still higher than expected, climbing to 2.8% in February, making traditional investments riskier. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and Treasury yields are dropping, pushing investors toward gold as a safe bet. Add to that ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and it’s no surprise that gold is surging. Every new crisis just makes it more attractive. This isn’t just a temporary spike. Experts warn that the worst effects of these trade policies haven’t even hit yet, and if inflation keeps climbing, the global economy could be in for a rough ride. Gold isn’t just going up—it’s flashing a warning. It’s telling us that investors don’t trust what’s coming next. And if history is any guide, they might be right.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GOLDFXCC