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XAUUSD.F trade ideas

Waiting for the right-side signal, gold prices are still in consDue to the relatively high tariffs signed by Trump, gold has experienced a significant rebound, with daily fluctuations approaching $100—volatility levels previously seen over the course of two weeks or even a month are now occurring within a few hours. After surging past $3000, the increased base has led to a dramatic rise in market volatility. While larger price movements may give the impression of easier profits, they also increase the risk of losses. As volatility rises, risk perceptions diminish, whereas human greed tends to escalate. When daily fluctuations are limited to $10-20, the risks are minor, allowing for simpler directional trading, albeit with fewer opportunities. However, in the current environment, price changes of over $10 in just five minutes can trigger heightened greed, resulting in more frequent and varied trades. The unpredictability of market behavior complicates trading decisions. As humans, we tend to fear missing opportunities, leading us to enter trades impulsively. Conversely, when volatility decreases and waiting times lengthen, our desires tend to diminish, potentially increasing the chances of profitable trades. Currently, testing the upper limits of gold prices is challenging as the market is under constant pressure to break higher. It’s essential to note key points: between 7-8 AM, we typically see a first wave of unrestrained upward movement. Observing market cycles is critical; in the last two days, we saw spikes during the European session followed by declines in the U.S. session, which then rebounded. If specific entry points are elusive, focus on cycles and the extent of previous corrections, identifying key timing for trades. For instance, yesterday exhibited a typical morning upward cycle, followed by a sustained upward trend during the European session that didn't break the previous highs, resulting in a lateral movement during the U.S. session. Today, yet again, we are witnessing a 7-8 AM upward cycle with prices breaking above $3168. However, this pullback increases risks, particularly near the former double-bottom and the 618 retracement levels around $3130-32, which are crucial points to watch this afternoon. If there’s a continued upward move that breaks past the high, one should consider short entries if the price later retraces. A key observation must be made during the U.S. session, as recent pullbacks primarily occurred during this time. Following the morning's upward cycle, be vigilant of the 618 level and small double-bottoms; should there be a second rebound without breaking previous highs, consider going short during the U.S. session. Although the broader trend lacks definitive signals of a peak, risks are inherently rising. In this environment, it’s important to heed the emphasized cycles of market behavior and timing. Increased volatility necessitates caution; avoid blindly chasing shorts or longs, and remain attuned to the market rhythm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Oxtradegpt
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices 1. Impact of tariff policies - Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand. 2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold. 3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds. 4-hour cycle: Confirmation of strong structure: 3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend. Target forecast: Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion). Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points. 1-hour chart strategy: Key watershed 3100: This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change. Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130: Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion". Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105. Patiently wait for the callback Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Grace_00007
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Analysis This chart provides a technical outlook on **Gold (XAU/USD)**, showing possible **bullish** and **bearish** scenarios based on price action and support/resistance levels. Bullish Outlook Key Support Holding**: Gold is staying above **$3,125-$3,130**, showing buyers are stepping in. - **Uptrend Structure**: Price is following a rising trendline, meaning bullish momentum is intact. - **Breakout Zone**: If Gold surpasses **$3,155-$3,160**, it could rally toward **$3,170-$3,180**, as no major resistance exists in that range. What to Watch? - A strong breakout with volume above **$3,155-$3,160** confirms upside potential. - Look for support at moving averages (EMAs) to validate trend continuation. Bearish Outlook - **Resistance Rejection**: If Gold fails to break above **$3,155-$3,160**, it might face selling pressure. - **Break Below $3,140**: If price drops under this level, it could target **$3,125-$3,110**, which is the next key support. - **Further Downside**: A breakdown below **$3,110** could lead to a deeper decline towards **$3,090-$3,080**. What to Watch? - A drop below **$3,140** with strong volume could confirm further downside. - If selling pressure increases, Gold may retest lower support zones. Final Thought Gold is currently in an **uptrend**, but traders must monitor key levels: ✔ **Bullish if** it breaks **$3,160** 📊 ✔ **Bearish if** it falls below **$3,140** 🔻 Stay cautious and wait for price confirmation before making a move! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by elitetrader9090
April 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: After Trump announced details of new tariffs, the market turned highly active. From a fundamental perspective, this provided strong support for gold. Pay attention to the 3105 level, which was quickly tested following Trump’s statement before price rallied higher. Unless a clear reversal signal appears, the main strategy remains: buy on pullbacks to support. Key Levels to Watch: 3170–3175: Bullish target zone 3168: ATH resistance 3156: Resistance 3142: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3120–3138: Price consolidation / value zone 3105: Strong intraday support Short-Term Trading Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3146. Watch 3142 first; if the decline continues, monitor 3138, 3133, and 3128. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3156. Watch 3160 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3165, 3168, and 3170. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
Some history....GOLD HISTORY: 1970 TO 1980: Gold has a strong bubble rise that falls 50% when it breaks. 2001 to 2011: 10 year up trend Gold rises further with virtually no setbacks until 1919, but then collapses to $1019. 2015 to 2025: 10 year up trend still at the moment. The gold price has increased from $1019 in December 2015 to well over $3155 today without serious dips or pullbacks. It is easy to see why this attracts investors, especially when compared to the turbulence in the stock market over the same period of time. It is also easy to see why people might expect that gold will continue to rise after watching it gain consistently for well over a decade. However, history shows that asset prices cannot continue to go up indefinitely. There are always pull backs, crashes, and bear markets. The last time this happened to gold is a distant memory, but we all remember recent examples such as the tech stocks in the '90s and home prices in the '00s. Now, lets see Elliot wave principle. When an extending wave 5 ends ( we are at one at the moment), we will see a swift correction down to sub wave 2 of this wave 5. So, the opportunity presents in two ways. First, we know it will be a rapid correction, which means we will not have to wait long for realizing our profits. Secondly, we know approximately how far the down move will likely travel. At this moment , we are looking for the same escenario as 2008. Wave 3 travels 5.618 from wave 1, then wave 4 made a correction to the 38.2% zone, and finally wave 5 was equal to the entire previous 1-3 movement. This is what is happening right now as welll. It is always easier to identify assets that are bubbling than to predict when the bubble will pop. Gold has much more downside than upside at this point, but this has been true for years without slowing price gains. Home prices and tech stocks also suggest that bubbles can exist for years even after objective measures (e.g. P/E ratios or rent to buy ratios) show that markets are out of equilibrium. It is anybody's guess when gold will correct, but it is very likely that it will be ugly when it does.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TRADINGACPVIP
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations: Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart. Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906. Resistance and Target: The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation. A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181. Chart Annotations: A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation. A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement. The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target. Trading Perspective: If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181. A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower. This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyAs global economic uncertainty intensifies and gold prices hit record highs, investors are seeking safe-haven assets. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound. Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year. In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2. In conclusion, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Giant-Whale
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations. Key technical nodes Bull-bear watershed: Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday) Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone) Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension) Downward target: First look at the breakthrough of 3100 Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area) Deep correction may touch 3030-3000 Trading strategy recommendations Main strategy: short on rebound Ideal shorting area: Preferred 3124-3128 range Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases Stop loss setting ： 10-8 dollars above each resistance zone Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high Target position: Phase 1: 3100 mark Phase 2: 3077-3057 Phase 3: 3030-3000 Key points for auxiliary observation The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations Risk warning If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend
Golden Times!Another week of record gold prices, the media attention phase has properly begun. Monday's pop higher above the trend line shows acceleration, today's pullback was perfect in kissing back that trend line and another long entry. We are in a larger wave 3 up, within that wave we are in minor wave 3 up, still waves 4 and 5 to finish this strong move...at some point in April or perhaps May, we will top out as a larger wave 4 takes hold, that could coincide with stock market routs...too early to say. Would not be surprised to see another $200-300 by April, perhaps a blow off much higher. Longer time frames point to a major wave 5 up in this long bull run, a move that will have the public diving in with both hands, the greed and mania phase, you can be assured that the economy and banking systems will be stressed to say the least. Gold and silver are rising simply because of safety, hedging and investment, silver will out perform gold at some point and catch up. The manipulation game is coming to an end as the scales correct. Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fractal777
Gold to $1,600/oz by December '25If we get this market crash in April, Gold should wipe out the entire month's run up down to $2,800-$2,900. If that happens, then that'll be the confirmation for the continued crash in Gold price as markets as the Fed would need to massively cut rates in April-May and then just as quickly raise rates as the market gets over stimulated coming out of the crash. Rising rates makes gold significantly less attractive as equity markets will rebound to new highs. Targeting the 2022 $1,600 bottom in gold price. Potential support at $2,000 first.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ARX713
The bull charge was successfully soundedAfter the opening, gold has rebounded by 50 US dollars from 3076 to 3127. We failed to enter the market with a long order at 3073, and unfortunately stopped out with a light position near 3110. We will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high. If it falls back to around 3100-06, we will continue to keep the idea of ​​​​going long after the retracement! From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3100-06, with a focus on the support line of 3086-94 below, and the short-term pressure above is 3127-3130. Keep the main tone of participation in the idea of ​​​​going long after the retracement. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for the shutdown point to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3100-3106 line long, retracement 3086-3094 line long, stop loss 3079, target 3125-3130 line, continue to hold after breaking;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily
Gold breaks three barriers in a row to hit a record highYesterday, the gold price rose strongly to more than 40 US dollars. Since gold easily broke through the 3,000 line, the bullish trend is endless. Since the pullback in February, it has soared to the sky like a towering building. Today, it has risen from 3,125 US dollars as a support point. There has just been a small pullback, which is just for correction. Remember one thing, the end of the rising market is not to look at the high point, but to look at the support. That is, the breakthrough of the key support position can determine the short-term direction. Last Friday, we emphasized that 3,065 did not break and continued to buy. Yesterday, we also emphasized the support of 3,100 US dollars. Keep an eye on the support point instead of guessing the high point. There is no highest point, only higher. Now, gold has fallen back from 3148 to the top and bottom conversion position. 3125 is also the support of the rising area this morning. The key to defense is 3100 US dollars. There are many positions to find in the bull market. Don't guess the top. The top is walked out, not guessed! Intraday gold can rely on the range of 3125-3128. Relying on the support area of ​​3115, pay attention to the suppression of 3160-3165 above. Gold operation suggestions: Go long near 3122-3125, stop loss at 3115, and look at 3155 first
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Oliver389