XAUUSD – Weekly (W1) Trading Plan🧱 Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with sustained Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Strong impulsive candles show aggressive bullish momentum, no signs of exhaustion yet.
Order flow remains bullish until proven otherwise.
🔍 Key Zones (S&D, FVGs, Gaps)
🔝 Premium Zone
Current price is within this premium area, which contains a weekly FVG / imbalance.
Price is reacting inside this inefficiency (3064–3094) → draw on liquidity.
This is not a demand zone, but rather a sell-side trap area for late buyers.
Possibilities:
Price fully fills the gap to ~3094 → then reverses (bearish reaction).
Or, price continues pushing up for ATH sweep (liquidity above all-time-high).
🧩 Below Current Price – Mitigation Zones
🔵 2900–2950: Minor imbalance, could be used as short-term retracement target.
🔵 2750–2800: OB + structural retest zone → high-interest mitigation area.
🔵 ~2480–2550: Deep retracement zone – valid only if major structure breaks.
📈 EMA Overview
(Assuming standard 5/21/50/200 EMA stack)
Price is far above all EMAs → strong bullish sentiment.
A revisit to the 21 or 50 EMA (weekly) would represent healthy retracement.
⚖️ Bias
Term Direction Reason
Long-term ✅ Bullish Strong structure, unmitigated imbalances above
Medium-term ⚠️ Neutral-to-bullish Depends on reaction from 3064–3094
Short-term 🔄 Await reaction LTF confirmation needed for short setups
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Continuation
If price uses 3064–3094 as support (mitigation → continuation)
Targets: New ATH above 3100+
Strategy: Wait for bullish PA confirmation (engulfing / BOS on D1/H4)
🟥 Bearish Rejection
If price shows strong bearish reaction from 3064–3094 zone
Ideal confirmation: bearish engulfing / CHoCH on H4/H1
Targets:
TP1: 2950
TP2: 2800
SL above the high (once structure confirms)
⏳ What to Watch Next
Weekly close relative to the 3064–3094 zone
Daily/H4 candlestick behavior: rejection vs continuation
Look for divergence between price and momentum, or exhaustion candles
