XAUUSD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level then take a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
Gold shortLTF short setup.
I think we get that 3050$ retest and then start going back up again.
Looking for shorts again around 3150$ region.
Gold weekly forecast with buy and sell levelsGold weekly forecast with both buy and sell entries.
Friday Gold sold off from 2334 all the way to 2300 for a drop of 334 pips before retracing up to where we are now at 3024.
What can we expect for the coming week ?.
My plan is as follows.
For a buy I would look at entering at 3032 expecting first resistance (marked in red on chart ) to be 3038 to 3040 area.
If we break these then next target would be 3048 to 3052 (200 pip from entry) this is high resistance level , if gold continues to be bullish expect 3078 to be the next area.
For a sell I would enter at 3018 expecting 3010 to 3008 as first support, next level is 3000 to 2998 and if broken we can expect gold to fall to 2880 and 2840 levels.
As always wait for levels, take profit along the way and don't over leverage .
Ill update this as the week goes on.
Check out my other trade idea for a gold swing trade below.
Trade safe
Gold 3030 line still needs to be shortedThe weekly closing line is mediocre, with shadows but not long, indicating that the short momentum above is not strong. The same is true for the daily line, with a long lower shadow pattern, which offsets the original strong downward pressure of the evening star, causing some participants to start to tangle. The market is likely to sweep up and down at the beginning of the week, and oscillate to measure the strength of the ups and downs. Note that if gold refreshes the 3,000 low this week, gold is expected to fall back to the 2957-65 top and bottom conversion position this week.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and is about to cross downward. If the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downward to form a dead cross short arrangement, then the gold downside may open up. The gold 1-hour moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3035. So the gold 1-hour will continue to be short at highs despite the pressure at 3035 in the early trading. The gold 1-hour high has formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold bulls cannot break through the new high again, the gold 1-hour is in the process of building a high top.
In addition, the opening of this week continued the weak adjustment of last week. Today, as in the weekly review, it is still bearish and retracement. For shocks, prices fluctuate, and it is difficult for us to think unilaterally. It depends on which side you grab. The upper resistance focuses on the early high of 3026, and the second is the opening point of last week at 3035! In the short term, all the divergences and indicators on the gold hourly chart have been corrected. Now it is correcting after oversold, which resonates with the big cycle. Pay attention to the continuous pull-down of the high point during the day, which resonates with the Bollinger Bands.
Gold rebounds to 3025-30 short, stop loss at 3035, target 3010-05.
All Bullish Targets concludedAs discussed throughout my Wednesday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: This and last week’s Fundamentals missed their estimates by a respectable margin and the DX found the Support and already pulling back on a strong Hourly 1 chart’s Bull candle. Bond Yields also followed that sequence (found Buyers on spiral downtrend aftermath) and the only reason Gold hasn't acted according to it’s first negative then diagonal correlation is the consolidation of Investors capital on High levels (using Gold as an safe-haven in High demand). Soon enough I am expecting 2 Gaps to be closed (DX downwards and Gold upwards) which will be ultimate Profit opportunity where Gold will deliver aggressive Buying sequence where I will be ready to pursue #3,027.80 Resistance zone beginning first then #3,07.80 Resistance in extension. However the Price-action is just above its Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone and it should start trending upwards anytime, so according to my Technicals and assuming no new Fundamental surprises, Gold is on the verge of an aggressive Bullish trend extension taken from recent local Low's. As long as Hourly 4 chart remains stable (Ascending Triangle slowly forming), Gold has more chances of breaking the #3,052.80 benchmark Higher High’s local peak than testing and breaking Daily chart’s Support zone (#3,000.80 benchmark barrier and below).
My position: I will continue Buying every dip on Gold taken from my calculated re-Buy zones as long as #2,992.80 - #3,000.80 Support zone is preserved and rejecting every downside break-out attempt."
Technical analysis: Despite the strong Bullish candle sequence on DX, Gold remains aggressively Bullish and above my Medium-term Support for the fractal as the U.S. session approaching and geo-political fears resurfacing. However, #3,037.80 - #3,052.80 is new / old Support zone made by the Hourly 4 chart’s candlestick configuration after Ascending Triangle break-out to the upside on Hourly 4 chart. Gold is still not pulling back again after it failed to break above it’s Higher High’s Upper zone on the Hourly 4 chart / however way above new ATH's. Still I haven’t got confirmation for Short-term Selling opportunity and it is still not worth entering the market without tight Risk management (all correction attempts are rejected due Fundamental Buying pressure). Monday’s session Wall Street opening Bell can have Bearish impact also on DX, hence Bullish for Gold. My Buying bias is unchanged as I will treat Bear spikes as an oscillation from Overbought to Neutral (Williams%), which may create new space for aggressive Bullish extension. Needless to mention, current environment is Gold friendly (recession fears, safe-havens such as Gold are in High demand, Fed stance). Spot how Gold's strong Resistance level is far from fair symmetrical manner with disastrous side Swings on DX as my strongest correlation so far. I am Highly sceptical, and having strong reservations of current Gold’s relief rally extension as I do believe that we are near the Ultimate Top, and since it is last session of the week, I do believe Profit Taking will take place as I don't have any active Buying orders / all closed with recent High's.
My position: As stated above many times, Gold is on undisputed Bullish trend and total Bullish domination however Gold is near the Top and Sellers can expect some Selling action due to critically Over-bought waters Gold is Trading in. I am Buying every local Low's on Gold for a long time now for once again brilliant Trading week. I am satisfied with my results and taking early weekend break.
Summer is almost over for gold, winter is coming.To me it's a clear 5-way Elliot cycle.
And as I always say, trends usually target the Fibonacci range between 1.618 and 2.618.
I would never push for more, would be an unnecessary risk.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
gold will returnShort term and long term
The ratio of US gold reserves to the total world USD reserves is currently about 5%, expected to decrease to 4% in the near term. The extended duration is due to fib time zones.
XAUUSD buy Gold is easing from its fresh record high near $3,150 but remains well supported above the $3,100 mark. A generalised pullback in US yields is underpinning the yellow metal, as traders stay on the sidelines awaiting clarity on upcoming US tariff announcements
XAUUSD buy 3115
Support 3131
Support 3162
GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and my bullish
Bias is reinforced by the
Trade war and a possible
Recession fear which comes
As a reaction to the Trump's
Car tariffs. So as the price
Is trying to break the all-time-high
Level of 3058$ we can enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 3101$ and
Stop Loss of 3027$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week.
Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view.
The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention.
The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices.
The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs.
The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback
Trend: shock upward trend
Support: around 3033.00
Resistance: around 3055.50
Gold shows a triangle convergence patternAfter gold broke through 3038, the trend began to strengthen. Then the next step is to change the thinking to low and long and smoothly bullish. The lower side 3038-3035 becomes support. In the evening, it falls back to the 38-35 area. The current market is stagflation near the previous high of 3057. If you are aggressive, you can go short near 3052 and watch for a short-term pullback of a few points. Wait for the top and bottom conversion near 3035 to continue to go long.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3051/52, stop loss at 3057, target at 3038-35; the support area below 3035-38 is long, stop loss at 3030, target at 3055-3062;
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow
Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed.
🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4
Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath.
Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term.
Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab.
🟩 Demand zones of interest:
3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions)
3086–3092 (last known rally base)
📌 Key Zones
🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147
🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155
🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115
🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092
🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet)
🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup
“When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.”
Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift
Confirmation + sniper long
TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in
🎯 Confluences:
Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance
Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab
Weak DXY context
🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy
Deep sweep to 3086 zone
Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab
Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5)
TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180
💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play.
🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell
“Supply hits, market flips.”
Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session
No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH)
Sell into imbalance zones
TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110
⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks!
🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump
Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160
Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap)
Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep
TP to 3115 zone
🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline.
📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025
Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀
China PMI during Asia could boost metals
DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported
Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
Gold analysis todayAt the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Gold surges and then fallsThe current idea of the end of the trading day is very clear. We chose to take short positions below the previous historical highs of 3055-57 for the second time. The short positions at 3050-52 have now retreated to around 3038. Since there has been a high-level decline, it shows that the bulls are not that strong. There has been no one-shot breakout. The probability of a breakout of 3055 tonight is gradually decreasing. The end of the trading day will most likely remain in the 3030-50 range for consolidation. If it falls back to around 3031-33, you can take long positions and defend around 25. Once it rebounds again to around 50-52, you can still take short positions. The focus is on tonight's closing point. If it closes directly above 45, the gold price may hit a new high tomorrow; if it closes below 35, it will remain volatile at a high level tomorrow, Friday.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, first short and then longAt present, the short-term moving average of gold maintains a hook upward divergence and continues to fluctuate in a stronger trend. From the perspective of the market trend, a wave of retracement has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. It tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation and stronger trend in the late trading. From the 4-hour trend, the resistance of the 3060 line above is still very strong. If it is not broken, you can boldly go short. Focus on the 3030 line below. It may fluctuate in this range at night. The strategic idea is to go short on the rebound first and then fall back to arrange long orders.
Operation guide 1: short at rebound around 3052-3055, stop loss 3060, target 3032
Operation guide 2: long at retracement around 3030-3035, stop loss 3022, target 3051
Gold is expected to strengthen further before non-farm payrollsIn today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3150-3160, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3110-3120. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3150-3155, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, and look at the 3125 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3125-3128, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at the 3155 line if it breaks;
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After tracking and completing our last weekly chart successfully we have now updated a new weekly chart idea to track our long term range and targets.
We are currently seeing a candle break above the channel half-line and will need ema5 to co=follow to confirm the break out for a continuation above.
However, we have a detachment to ema5 lagging also potentially due for a correction. The play range on the weekly chart is 2943 below and 3094 above. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below to confirm the next mid to long term range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green.
🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups:
1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline.
2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline.
Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈
With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart:
🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop
🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop
🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150
✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone.
✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing.
✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback.
🚨 Trading Strategy:
Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150.
Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities.
💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
Tariff policy triggers roller coaster marketTrump's tariff stick is wielded around the world, and gold bulls have taken advantage of the trend to pull up, demonstrating its safe-haven properties. Although the gold price has fallen back, the K-line has stabilized above 3110, and the bulls' strength should not be underestimated. After falling below the support level of 3130, the market has weakened, and we need to be alert to the risk of further correction. At present, the focus below is on the support of the integer mark of 3100, which is also the location of the previous small double bottom. The upper resistance is in the range of 3137-3141. In terms of operation, it is recommended to mainly go short on rebounds.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to go short at the rebound of 3137-3142, with a stop loss of 3150. The target is 3110-3100, and the battle for 3085 will be launched if it breaks.
Gold fluctuates sideways at high levelsGold is still fluctuating in a large range. Gold still needs to wait for news or data to lead it to a new direction. Gold has not broken through the intraday high, so we will continue to focus on high-altitude trading. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Short position strategy: short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy: long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, and look at the 3130 line if it breaks;
Gold breaks high strongly, how much room is there for the bulls?Gold broke through the high and headed straight for 3100, reaching a high of 3087! This wave of rise was frequent with long and short positions. First, it fluctuated back and forth between 3000 and 3038, and neither long nor short positions continued. It broke through the oscillation range strongly, and the price approached the previous high of 3057.
Operation suggestions: 3068 and 3062, it is better to be more cautious and look at 3062. The watershed is 3054, and the upper pressure is 3080-3100. When it touches 3100 for the first time, you can try shorting.
Gold is expected to peak faster on FridayGold is expected to peak faster on Friday
Gold continued to rise sharply, breaking through the 3000 support, and then the bulls directly rose, forcing the bears to rush to 3080-90. Yesterday, the European session pulled up and broke through the high point, and the US market bottomed out and rebounded and continued to break through the high point, showing that it is still strong.
So will there be a short squeeze after 3080 points? Will there be a turning point?
At present, it is a typical short squeeze trend.
Of course, don’t think that it has reached the top after rising for two days. When it retreats, it is a big waterfall. It’s not that you can’t see it, but you have to be careful every time.
Then with the accelerated rise, the space behind becomes smaller, and the bulls continue to be bullish, but pay attention to prevent waterfall risks
According to the hourly chart below the big positive line:
The current support level is 3060-3065.
The watershed is 3054.
Above 3060, all operations are bullish
In addition, the market that breaks high and accelerates will generally last for 2-3 days. Today is Friday. It should be understood that even if the market does not fall on Friday, it is equivalent to rising, so the probability of oscillating upward next Monday is very high.
Therefore, next, pay attention to the support near 3060.
Go long when the callback is above 3060
