GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,332.62 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,359.49.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
XAUUSD Bearish - SELLMarket Overview
Asset: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Trend: Downtrend
Market Context:
Fundamental Drivers: Gold faces downward pressure due to a strengthening US Dollar, driven by the Fed’s hawkish outlook on April 28, 2025, with no anticipated rate cuts in Q2 2025. Rising US 10-year Treasury yields (near 4.6%) are reducing demand for non-yielding assets like Gold.
Recent Price Action: Gold rallied to the $2,450–$2,460 zone but was rejected, forming a lower high after failing to break above the 50-period EMA, consistent with a broader downtrend from the March 2025 high ($2,500).
Sentiment: Bearish sentiment prevails, with risk-on markets (e.g., S&P 500 gains) diminishing Gold’s safe-haven appeal.
It is only a matter of time before the price breaks below $3,300From a daily chart analysis, gold showed a strong upward momentum during Tuesday's session, once hitting the key level of $3,500, before quickly retreating under overhead pressure and eventually closing with a bearish candle. This pullback after a sharp rally highlights significant selling pressure near the $3,500 level, where bullish momentum was fiercely resisted by bears at high prices.
The bearish trend continued on Wednesday, with gold closing lower again to form a two-consecutive-day bearish candlestick pattern. This consecutive decline further confirms that bears have taken short-term dominance, with bearish forces gradually gaining the upper hand.
Notably, the price action has a clear dividing line: the $3,317 level serves as the bull-bear watershed. A valid break below this level is likely to sustain the downward trend. Based on the current momentum, a decline below $3,300 appears only a matter of time, further reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment.
XAUUSD
sell@3325-3335
tp:3300-3280
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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Topping Out or Temporary Pullback?Market Analysis (Daily Chart View):
The Daily chart indicates that price has declined after reaching a record all-time high and reacting from the upper boundary of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both the Weekly and Monthly charts remain in extreme overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Additionally, the upward trend across all three timeframes—Monthly, Weekly, and Daily—is unusually steep and unsustainable.
Such steep trends often lead to parabolic spikes, typically seen near the end of a trend, which is evident from the long wicks on the recent Weekly and Monthly candles. Based on the structure of the Ascending Broadening Wedge, the projected price target is 2565.00.
Believe me, gold cannot fall all the way down
Gold prices fluctuated this week, hitting a record high of $3,500/ounce, then encountered resistance and fell to $3,300/ounce. The main reason for the record high in gold prices was that after US President Trump verbally attacked Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would lose its independence. But after Trump and Bessant's remarks, market risk appetite rebounded, hitting safe-haven asset gold, and then plummeted all the way!
Is gold going to fall after a sharp retracement?
In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to 3,500, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3,400 mark and the 3,300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3,290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous rising point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
Gold: 3280 more, defense 10, target 3330-45!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
GOLD POSSIBLE SELL Japanese inflation accelerates, complicating BoJ’s rate decision amid global uncertainty
Japan’s core inflation accelerated in March, yet economic uncertainty will limit the Bank of Japan’s ability to continue hiking rates in the near term. With inflation seen accelerating further, a BoJ tightening is likely in July.
Potential HSNot confirmed yet but I'm jumping in anyways. I bought some puts of GLD for May 23 strike 304. My SL triggers if the price breaks up the resistance shown and closes above in the daily timeframe. Might be some turbulence, bulls will try to push the price higher. too much noise in the political arena, but Gold is overbought and needs a healthy correction.
Gold nears a big breaking pointGold prices have pulled back from the high reached on 22 April and, more importantly, are nearing a break from the recent period of consolidation. Gold is forming a descending triangle, which could provide clues about the direction prices will take.
Typically, a descending triangle is considered a bearish continuation pattern. In this instance, gold has been drifting lower along a downtrend formed intraday on 22 April. Gold is approaching this downtrend line again, having failed to break above it on two previous attempts. A break above this line would be bullish and may sharply increase gold prices, with initial resistance around $3,370 per troy ounce, followed by the recent highs near $3,470.
However, if the pattern is a descending triangle, gold may not break out above the downtrend line. Instead, it could break below support at $3,260, which currently forms the triangle's base. A break below this support could initially send gold back towards $3,210, although the larger risk is a more profound decline down to $2,975.
For now, however, gold is also finding support at its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA), representing another critical level. A breakdown is unlikely if gold can hold above this moving average. Conversely, if gold slips below the 10-day EMA, it could confirm a short-term shift in trend and indicate further downside potential. Additionally, the relative strength index (RSI) is signalling a potential momentum shift, dropping below 70 and showing signs of bearish divergence.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
4/29 Gold Trading SignalsThe buy orders initiated around 3273 yesterday have already delivered solid profits.
After a slight rally at today’s opening, gold prices have pulled back.
Currently, the candlestick formation shows no clear directional trend, while some short-term technical indicators are pointing downward.
Before any corrective signals appear, we need to closely watch the support near 3306.
As long as this level holds, the short-term bullish momentum still has a chance to continue.
On the news side, today's scheduled data releases are of minor impact.
Focus instead on developments regarding the India-Pakistan situation and US Treasury Secretary Bessent’s press conference.
If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold may break out to new highs.
🔹 Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell within 3407-3428 zone
Buy within 3258-3223 zone
Flexibly trade between 3346-3313 / 3378-3336 / 3273-3316 zones
Please manage your positions carefully and stay alert for unexpected market moves.
Gold short-term bullish trend remains unchanged
I don't want to say more nonsense, just give the signal directly, after all, everyone only looks at the results, don't you think so, dear trader?
Gold
Buy around 3298, stop loss 3278, target 3310-3318
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
XAUUSD/GOLD: Gold remains offered below 3300Gold gave up Thursday’s gains and fell back toward the 3260 per troy ounce level by the end of the week, as improving market sentiment — driven by hopes for positive progress in the US-China trade dispute — weighed on safe-haven demand.
The overheated gold rally appears to be due for further cooling. Traders seem to be buying into rumors that a trade agreement between the US and China could be reached soon, even though China has publicly refuted those claims. The risk is that markets may be misreading the US’s language regarding whether the two sides are merely "talking" or actually "negotiating," which could mean that a deal remains far off — potentially leading to another move back toward 3500.
From a technical perspective, the daily Pivot Point at 3335 is the first key upside level that needs to be regained. Early in Friday’s session, there was a brief attempt to test the R1 intraday resistance near 3381. Should momentum continue, gold prices could extend the rally toward the R2 resistance at 3414, breaking above the 3400 mark.
On the downside, the S1 support was briefly breached this morning, but price action has since recovered back above it at 3302. Below that, the S2 support at 3256 comes into focus, followed by the key technical floor near 3245, which aligns with the April 11 high.
“Gold Analysis: Breakout Achieved, What’s Next?”“Last week’s analysis played out perfectly with gold filling the gap and closing strongly at 3319$.
Looking ahead, holding above 3280$ could lead to further upside targets at 3369$ and 3408$.
However, a break below 3260$ may trigger a deeper correction toward 3245$.
Stay tuned for live updates and future setups.
Your support and feedback are highly appreciated!”
Will a false breakdown in support lead to growth?The current trading range is 3275-3290. Since the opening, the price has been fluctuating in a small range. There was no news on Friday, so the price may regain its upward momentum after retesting the liquidity and support area of 3270-3285.
Gold prices are currently stable around $3280, but the US dollar has curbed the rise of gold prices.
Gold prices have held their ground after recovering, but the strengthening of the US dollar and hopes for progress in tariff war negotiations have limited further gains in gold prices…
Optimism about US corporate earnings and fears of a recession are easing, supporting demand for the US dollar. However, the continued uncertainty in Sino-US relations has kept interest in gold strong.
The market is waiting for new signals from the White House and the Federal Reserve, which will determine the further trend of gold prices.
Focus on the support trading range. A false break of 3270 could change the balance of power, leading to a rebound or growth.
No news today, except for the unpredictable situation of Trump and the tariff war in general. Any speech or tweet could shake the market.
However, gold prices remain range-bound after a lackluster week.
Quaid recommended:
The market fluctuates sideways today. You can try short-term trading. Look at 10 points for each upward callback and perform scalping transactions in this range.
4.25 gold short-term operation technical analysis!Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session on Friday (April 25). At the end of the session, the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce, a plunge of more than $40 during the day.
Gold prices turned lower on Friday as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data on Thursday supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack made it clear in an interview on Thursday that the Federal Reserve has basically ruled out the possibility of a rate cut in May. But she also released key information that if there is clear evidence of the direction of the economy, there is room for policy action in June.
Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold prices from this month's low (around $2,950/ounce) The latest round of gains is located.
If gold price falls below the $3300/oz mark, the next support for gold price is the weekly low near the $3260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold price may accelerate its decline and fall to the 50% retracement level (i.e. the area near $3225/oz) and finally fall to the $3200/oz mark. Some follow-up selling will indicate that gold has peaked and turn the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders.
Gold price resistance is around the $3368-3370/oz area, which should be a key level now. If it breaks through the above area, gold price may return to the $3400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold price further to the $3425-3427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to conquer the psychological $3500/oz mark.