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XAUUSD.P trade ideas

Gold BOS retest!Currently on a trade holding longs. It seems like we might have a short retracement upside to test that structure shift.. My hunch is that the gold will be making new HL soon and then finally LH on bigger tf, 1D. Too overbought, and now that the bull runs over, market makers will be jumping in to manipulate soon, so it will be wise to trade gold only for long term investments instead of day trading. Swing and long term short hold will be the best imo. I think that as high as gold will go for few months.. but please do your own analysis and keep a bias.
CAPITALCOMSB:GOLD
by mupaul17
Gold fluctuates at high levels and washes out repeatedly!The Asian and European sessions fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above 3360. In the evening, the US session fell slightly and stabilized at the 3360 mark, ushering in a bottoming rebound. The daily K-line closed at a high level. The daily structure closed at a high level. It closed a little stronger, and the weekly line reached a high for the second time. It has not yet formed a high and fall. The continuous form is impacted by the news, waiting for further confirmation of the form. The previous wave of strong rebound in the 4-hour chart of gold, the overall gold price rebounded in the short term for two consecutive trading days, and yesterday it was under pressure and fell. The situation of shock, but now it has formed a stage support area above 3360. After the opening of the Asian session, the gold price rose strongly and returned to above 3390. At present, it has reached 3415. Pay attention to the support level of 3360 below. If the support is effective, the gold price is expected to rise again. If it enters a shock wash, it is recommended to adopt the idea of ​​selling high and buying low. Therefore, the current trend, people who like shocks feel very comfortable, and people who look at one side feel uncomfortable. The early trading operation is still in the range of 3420-3360, and a new layout will be made after breaking through! Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3438 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3360 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KittyBaldwin
Strong support at 3360; future trend analysis belowI mentioned yesterday that gold was accumulating bullish momentum to challenge the 3400 level at that time 📈. If the challenge failed, it would drop sharply 📉, and if it succeeded, it would continue to rise. That's why I advised you not to trade at that moment, as it was easy to choose the wrong direction and have your account wiped out 💥. Currently, the international geopolitical situation has suddenly heated up 🌋, and the market's risk - aversion sentiment has once again pushed up the gold price 📈. However, tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Jerome Powell's speech will be key nodes in the battle between bulls and bears ⚔️. The sharp fluctuations in gold this morning conform to the characteristics of a washout 🌀. But be wary of a significant pullback after the continuous slow rise 🚨. In terms of operation, it is recommended that investors avoid blindly chasing the upward trend and focus on the impact of the Fed's decision on real interest rates and the US dollar 👀. Currently, the resistance above is at 3397 - 3407, and the strong support level of 3360 has been tested twice today, showing a double V bottom pattern📊. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@3360 🚀 TP 3380 - 3390 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign-
Skeptic | XAU/USD Analysis: Gold’s Next Big Move Is Brewing!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the morning with a deep dive into XAU/USD —gold’s serving up some exciting opportunities right now! 😊 Activating our triggers could spark a sharp move, potentially reigniting the major trend from before, so stick with me to the end of this analysis. As always, we’ll start with the Daily Timeframe to get the big picture. Let’s dive in! 📊 📅 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture It’s clear as day—the major trend is bullish . We’re seeing higher highs and higher lows, which, per Dow Theory, confirms a solid uptrend. After gold hit a peak at 3502.48 , it entered a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This correction was healthy, and the price action suggests the uptrend still has plenty of juice left. 💪 Post the sell-off candle on May 1, it looks like the correction might be done, and we’re now heading to test the resistance at 3425.31 . If that level breaks, we could see the major uptrend resume with some serious momentum. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 1-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers. ⏰ 1-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups The last trigger I used for a long position was at 3270.75 , and it’s been performing nicely so far. But if this growth is to continue—and the correction is truly over—we’re about to see some explosive moves. The long trigger I’m about to share is worth the risk. Plus, if we don’t enter longs around these levels, it’ll get trickier later. A break above 3494.51 could come with heavy shadows, hunting stop losses, or it might spike too fast, leaving us without a good entry. So, the smarter play is to enter now with lower risk and higher R/R. Here’s the plan: Long Setup 📈 Open a long position after a break above resistance at 3383.61 . Target? The previous ceiling is a good start, but don’t close too early. Enter with the mindset that if the ceiling breaks, you’re already in a position, sitting pretty. Personally, I’m keeping my earlier long from below open, letting those profits run for peace of mind later. 😎 Short Setup 📉 For shorts, patience is key. Wait for a rejection from these levels, followed by a break below support at 3270.75 . That’s when we open a short position. No rush to short just yet—gold’s not showing signs of a momentum shift. But if it does, we could see deeper corrections, so keep both triggers on your radar. 🐻 🧠 Why This Matters Spotting these triggers in a multi-timeframe setup gives us an edge, aligning short-term moves with the bigger trend. It’s all about stacking the odds in our favor. Want more insights like this? Check out my latest article on multi-timeframe strategies —it’s a game-changer! 📚 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkepticWise
1
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals: This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation. 📊Technical aspects: The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293. 🎯Practical strategy: Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280. Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold shorts coming? Gold broke through and fell sharply, hitting the lowest level of 3200, breaking the previous shock pattern. Friday's non-agricultural data was unexpectedly negative, and the rebound was under pressure at the top and bottom conversion level of 3268. The daily line closed with a cross K, and the overall shock remained. Driving logic changes, and the impact of the tariff war weakens The tariff tension that pushed gold to 3500 in the early stage has gradually eased, and the market focus has shifted to the Fed's policy. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed, and the non-agricultural data is strong, which strengthens the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and gold is under pressure in the short term. ETF positions continue to decrease. The world's largest gold ETF has continued to reduce its positions since it peaked on April 22, reflecting the bearish sentiment in the market. Technical analysis The daily structure, the cross K followed by three consecutive negatives, is usually a signal of continued decline. Combined with the bearish fundamentals, the probability of downward movement is relatively high. The adjustment is not over yet, and attention should be paid to whether 3160 (61.8% golden ratio) can form support. Short-term trend The hourly chart rebound is weak, and the 100-day moving average continues to be under pressure, and the trend is still bearish. Key positions and operation strategies Pressure level: 3268-3275 (top and bottom conversion position), the extreme pullback does not break the 3280 watershed. Support level: 3222-3224 (short-term support), break down to the 3200 mark, further target 3160. Strategy: Short at the beginning of the week based on the 3275-3268 pressure level, stop loss above 3280, target 3220-3200. If it falls below 3200, follow up with short orders to 3160; if it stabilizes, observe the reversal signal. Summary Gold is dominated by shorts in the short term, and the operation is mainly rebound shorting, focusing on the Fed's policy expectations and the performance of the key support of 3160.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by fdvdfvfddffdgfdg
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3344 and a gap below at 3306. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3344 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3367 POTENTIALLY 3390 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3458 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3478 POTENTIALLY 3503 BEARISH TARGETS 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 3285 3259 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE 3233 3201 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3159 - 3112 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Here’s the latest update on our daily chart idea, it’s been playing out perfectly! After we got the close above 3297, the gap up to 3433 completed exactly as we had analysed. However, without a further close or lock above 3433, the rejection was confirmed with a wick, and price then found support above the channel top, just as we always highlight. With EMA5 still holding above the channel top, we’re likely to continue seeing support and price action playing above the channel. This opens the door for another retest of 3433. However, if price breaks back inside the channel along with EMA5, the levels inside the channel will reactivate for level-to-level plays. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Real-time analysis of the XAUUSD market.The current volatile trend is to give room for adjustment for the interest rate decision and the Fed's speech later. If the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged or increase, it will boost the US dollar index. This will suppress the xauusd market. It will be bearish and fall. If the interest rate is cut, it will boost XAUUSD. But I think the market will not raise interest rates at this stage. The probability of a rate cut is also very low. So maintaining the same interest rate is the first choice. In terms of trading, traders with large amounts of capital can sell at 3385 at the current price, while traders with small amounts of capital can wait until the market returns above 3400 before selling. The Swing Trading Center continuously updates new real-time trading opportunities. If you don't understand trading, or don't want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Band_analysis
XAUUSD UP OR DOWN?My analysis outlines a common technical trading strategy based on order blocks and market structure shifts (MSS) in XAUUSD (gold vs USD). Here's a breakdown and a more structured interpretation of what you might be saying: 🟨 Technical Analysis Summary: Order Block Identified at 3340.00 (1H Timeframe): This is likely a bearish or bullish order block, where institutions previously placed large orders. Price is expected to react at this level (likely resistance or support, depending on context). Need to Observe Market Structure Shift (MSS) on Lower Timeframes: You're waiting for a confirmation (e.g., a break of structure or BOS) on a 15M or 5M chart before entering a position. This is a confirmation strategy to avoid false reactions. Potential Retracement to 3260.00: This may be a liquidity grab or the lowest point (swing low) before the next upward move. Implies you're expecting a bullish reversal from that zone after an MSS.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by henrynhf13
GOLDChina's central bank is aggressively accumulating gold reserves as part of a multifaceted strategic agenda, driven by the following factors: 1. Diversification Away from US Dollar Assets China is reducing reliance on US Treasuries, converting proceeds into gold to mitigate risks from US sanctions, trade tensions, and dollar volatility. Gold now represents 6.5% of China’s total foreign reserves (up from 5.9% in January 2025), signaling a deliberate shift toward non-USD assets. 2. Geopolitical and Economic Hedging Escalating US-China trade conflicts (e.g., tariffs) and Taiwan tensions have heightened the need for a "safe haven" asset to insulate China’s economy. Gold’s role as a crisis hedge is critical amid fears of financial instability or sanctions, especially with the US targeting Chinese exports. 3. Supporting the Yuan’s Global Role Gold reserves bolster confidence in the yuan, aiding its internationalization and positioning it as a credible alternative to the dollar in trade settlements. The PBOC’s gold-backed digital yuan initiative aims to enhance its appeal as a global reserve currency. 4. State-Mandated Institutional Demand Chinese insurers and pension funds are required to allocate 1% of assets to gold, absorbing ~30–40% of global annual supply. This creates structural supply deficits, driving up prices and reinforcing gold’s value in China’s reserves. 5. Undisclosed Strategic Stockpiling Officially reported reserves (2,292t) likely understate holdings. Analysts estimate 40,000+ tonnes when including military and state-controlled entities. Secret stockpiling prepares China for potential crises, including wartime financing or currency stabilization. 6. Market Dynamics and Price Control The PBOC’s sustained purchases (12.8t in Q1 2025) and Shanghai Futures Exchange activity have fueled gold’s 20% price surge in 2025, enhancing reserve values. By dominating physical markets, China gains influence over global gold pricing, reducing dependence on Western exchanges. Summary: Reduce USD dependency Swap Treasuries for gold Insulates against US policy risks Yuan internationalization Back currency with gold reserves Enhances trust in digital yuan Geopolitical hedge Prepare for trade/currency wars Stabilizes economy during crises Control supply/pricing Mandate institutional buying, restrict exports Tightens global supply, supports prices China’s gold strategy is a calculated response to global instability, aiming to secure economic sovereignty and challenge the dollar’s dominance. This trend is expected to persist, with analysts forecasting gold could reach $4,500/oz by late 2025 due to China-driven demand
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Chart – Key Resistance Test: Breakout or RejectSimple Analysis: Price is currently at a resistance zone (~$3,335). Two possible outcomes are drawn: Bullish scenario: Break above current resistance → move toward the next resistance (~$3,500+). Bearish scenario: Rejection from current resistance → fall back to the support zone (~$3,240). EMAs: 50 EMA (red) is above 200 EMA (blue) = bullish bias, but price must break resistance to continue upward. Summary: Watch for a breakout above ~$3,335 for bullish continuation, or a rejection for a potential drop to support near ~$3,240.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Fxhenry22
GOLD Gold buying is exceptionally high in 2025, and this surge is directly linked to geopolitical tensions-especially between China, Taiwan, and the United States-as well as broader trade and economic uncertainty. Key Reasons for High Gold Buying 1. Geopolitical Risk: China–Taiwan–US Tensions Investors are flocking to gold as a safe haven due to escalating tensions in the Taiwan Strait and the broader US-China relationship. Even without open conflict, the risk of confrontation or trade war is enough to drive up demand for gold. The mere threat of a China-Taiwan conflict is seen as a potential trigger for global financial shocks, prompting investors to hedge against instability by accumulating gold. 2. Central Bank and Institutional Buying (Led by China) Central banks, especially China’s, are buying gold at record levels. In Q1 2025, China’s central bank added 95 tonnes of gold to its reserves, part of a broader move to diversify away from US dollar assets. This central bank accumulation is a major structural driver of gold’s price surge, providing persistent upward pressure even as other asset classes remain volatile. 3. Trade War and Tariff Uncertainty The US has announced aggressive new tariffs on Chinese goods, and China is expected to retaliate. This has reignited fears of a global trade war, further fueling safe-haven demand for gold. Gold is less affected by tariffs than other assets, making it particularly attractive during periods of trade friction. 4. Dollar Weakness and Portfolio Diversification A sharp decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) has also contributed to gold’s rise, as investors seek assets that are less exposed to dollar depreciation. Regulatory changes in China have allowed more institutional and insurance fund investment in gold, further boosting demand. Summary Table Driver Gold Buying Impact China–Taiwan–US Geopolitical Risk Strongly increases demand Chinese Central Bank Accumulation Structural, sustained boost Trade War/Tariff Uncertainty Safe-haven flows surge Dollar Weakness Makes gold more attractive In summary: Gold buying is at record highs due to a combination of China–Taiwan–US geopolitical risk, aggressive central bank purchases (especially by China), trade war fears, and a weaker dollar. The situation in Taiwan is a major catalyst, as any escalation would have global economic consequences, making gold the preferred hedge for both institutions and individual investors.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Buy gold, it will continue to 3350!Fundamentals: Focus on Trump and the Fed; Technical aspects: Currently, gold is moving in a fluctuating upward manner, and in the short term, the effective double bottom structure constructed in the area around 3200 and 3220 supports the continued upward movement of gold. In the short term, gold is not very willing to fall, and it has not even been able to fall back below 3300 again. If gold breaks through the 3330-3335 area during the rebound, then gold will inevitably continue to rise to the area around 3350, or even the area around 3380. Trading strategy: If gold retreats next, we will mainly focus on the opportunity to go long on gold in the 3315-3305 area; TP: 3350
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold is once again affected by tariffs and rises sharplyNews: Gold rose sharply, mainly because Trump announced a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad and entering the United States, which once again triggered global trade tensions. At the same time, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is still ongoing, and the situation in the Middle East has become tense again. For example, Israel’s missile attacks retaliated against the Houthi armed forces in Yemen and Iran. These have stimulated gold’s safe-haven properties and pushed up gold prices. Technical aspect: Gold bulls are strong, so there is a certain risk in shorting gold. The point of concern below is the low of 3323. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it is impossible to fall below the 3323 line again. Trading ideas: Buy gold near 3338, stop loss 3330, target 3360
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
Gold price suddenly accelerates, approaching the 3,300 USD/ounceAfter two consecutive weeks of decline, the world gold price is showing strong signs of recovery when it skyrocketed to 3,266 USD/ounce - an increase of 25 USD in just one session. Although still quite far from the peak of 3,500 USD/ounce, the increase this morning shows that investor sentiment has begun to change direction. The increase occurred at the beginning of the session despite previous negative forecasts, reflecting the sensitivity of gold to geopolitical and economic information such as US-China trade negotiations or the strength of the USD. The daily chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from the EMA34 support zone and returned to the resistance zone around 3,320–3,340 USD, opening up an opportunity to retest the 3,400 USD mark if the current increase is maintained.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥” 📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025 After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down. 🧱 Macro Structure: 🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation 🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains 🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone 🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence: 📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters 3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed 3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone 3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base 3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet 2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense 🔎 Weekly Confluences: ✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds 📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse 📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down 🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool 🧭 Bias Summary: Bullish overall, but watching for: A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone) 🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
XAU/USD 4hAs usual, the market is ttracted toward either the support level or the target. It gravitates to one or the other. Once the first “orbit” is left, the price is attracted to the other. Here, we can see that the price remains under the influence of the support level, and the rejection of the bullish-target deviation (pale purple line) is clearly visible. Since the downtrend is accompanied by strong volume (the blue dot candle), the bearish scenario prevails. The optimal point to enter a short position is at the bullish deviation (gray line), with a bearish target currently around 3,164.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Enigmera