XAU/USD LONGXAU/USD LONG "break of a resistance area and retest it + 38.2% fib retracement + 50 ema dynamic support "
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
Potential 1:3 Buys on GOLDOpportunity ahead as Gold reaches for ATH.
War news plus confirmations on 4 hour candles as bullish bias.
1:3 RR
SL - 3,351
TP 1- 3,415
TP 2 - 3,438
TP 3 - 3,499
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/7/2025Gold has broken every possible resistance and is going towards 3500 previous ATH. I am still expecting strong bullish move today.
I will look for buying opportunity from 3387.
1st target 4430
2nd target 3500
Risk aversion in the international situation is escalating! Gold has risen strongly again, breaking the shock, and there is basically no pullback. It is very likely that the risk aversion sentiment will be released directly, and gold will start to adjust again. Therefore, it is not suitable to chase more at this position now. It is better to wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. Gold may rise and fall at any time. In the shock rise, it is very likely that the price will return to the starting point or lower in the later trend, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong and is still in the shock rise. Therefore, don't chase more, but retrace to support more.
Investment strategy: Gold 3340 short, stop loss 3050, target 3200
Xauusd.4h chart pattrentrend line and is showing strong bullish momentum, that supports your target of 3365. Here's a quick technical outlook based on your info:
Entry: 3272
Target: 3365
Trend: Bullish breakout (potential for continuation)
Upside Potential: 93 points
Suggested Stop-Loss (if not set): Near recent support or just below breakout zone (e.g., 3245–3250) for risk management
Watch for confirmation like:
Strong bullish candles on higher timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H)
Volume increasing on the breakout
Retest of the trend line acting as support
Would you like a visual chart analysis or real-time gold price check?
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📈 During the Asian session open, gold showed a strong bullish reaction, confirming a resumption of upward momentum.
📐 The breakout of the trendline and reclaim of prior levels indicate a clear exit from consolidation.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🚀 This bullish impulse could now push gold towards new all-time highs, with targets above $3,500.
🗓 On Wednesday, Jerome Powell will speak – a potential rate cut is on the table, which could weaken the dollar, but might also hurt gold short-term if markets anticipate a rebound in growth.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟩 FVG 1H & OTE: Recently tapped, offering short-term support.
🟦 FVG 4H: A broader liquidity zone that has now been broken through.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 A pullback to the 1H OTE may occur to grab liquidity before continuation.
📈 If Asian market flows remain strong, gold could continue its momentum towards $3,500 and beyond ahead of the FED speech.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: High-impact event.
💸 Interest rate decision: If a cut is confirmed, gold may temporarily retrace despite a bullish longer-term outlook.
🌍 Asian session flows: Still favorable to gold, with visible liquidity spikes at session open.
✅ Conclusion
👉 The bullish recovery is now technically confirmed, with a clean structure and strong reactions at key zones.
📍 Levels to watch:
OTE + FVG 1H
The $3,500 mark
Powell’s speech as a primary macro catalyst
🔎 For now, gold remains well-supported during Asian hours, reflecting continued investor interest in uncertain times.
Will gold rise or fall this week?Last Friday's non-agricultural data had little impact on the market, and gold is still fluctuating around the range. At present, the gold moving average crosses downward in a short position, and is now under pressure from the 3270 line. 3270 is the turning point for gold bulls and bears. The rise in gold will not be easily reversed for the time being unless there is a big news impact.
After taking a short position in gold briefly, continue to take From a fundamental perspective, the influence of US data is limited. The market's focus still remains on Trump's tariffs. Subsequently, it is on the geopolitical situations, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the ceasefire between Palestine and Israel, the Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and so forth.
Analysis of the News Regarding Gold: Gold is rising in a fluctuating manner. Currently, it is trading at around $3,315.44 per ounce, with an increase of approximately 0.92%. This week will witness the interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve, which is expected to dominate the market trend of this week. Additionally, we need to continue paying attention to the relevant news of the international trade situation. After the employment data week, the market's focus has shifted to this week's Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting.
Judging from the 4-hour chart of gold, after a period of wide-ranging volatile consolidation within the price range of 3,270 to 3,350, the current price has moved to a lower volatile range. Although the two lines of the MACD indicator have issued a golden cross signal, the gold price has broken through the resistance level at 3,300. It is recommended to focus on the resistance effect of this level and pay attention to the effectiveness of the support provided by the MA10 moving average at the lower side.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3259-3270
TP:3303-3330
Triangle PatternThe price has formed a triangle pattern as a consolidation pattern, and now the price broken out of the pattern followed by a pullback, it is very likely to continue lower as we follow the trade with the 4 hour MA
time to go short
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
15-minute gold time frame analysis
To start the market structure, the 15-minute market is currently bearish, but to start an upward movement, it can be expected to reach the order block 3259-3263 and then continue towards the support area 3220-3210 and from this area it will rise towards the liquidity of the dynamic line of the 1 and 4-hour time frames. If the initial market rise closes above 3264, any lower market pullback is considered an upward trend.
As expected, gold prices continue to fall
📌 Gold driving factors
There are two aspects to look at the impact of April non-agricultural data on the gold market.
One is the data itself and the existing economic environment, and the other is combined with the technical aspect.
The market itself is troubled by the tariff issue. Whether it is the US stock market or the US dollar, they all need good economic data to boost. Once the April non-agricultural performance is poor, the market sell-off will be out of control, and it also means that the risk of US economic recession will increase.
Secondly, good data performance reduces the Fed's expectations for rate cuts. As we all know, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts or implementation of rate cuts are theoretically good for gold prices, and vice versa.
The cooling of the tariff issue may come soon, which is also not conducive to the rise in gold prices, but cooling does not mean the end, and the final achievement will definitely take some time.
📊Comment Analysis
Recently, we have been very good at controlling the gold market. Keeping an eye on the changes in fundamental news is the focus of research and judgment. Of course, the technical direction is also of reference value. The next market will revolve around fundamental news, especially in the context of tariffs.
The non-agricultural data exceeded expectations, and the tariff issue may see "dawn". If it can be confirmed in the near future, the risk aversion sentiment will subside in the short term, which is not conducive to the rise of gold prices. There is a high probability that there is room for retracement, so there is no rush to chase now.
💰Strategy Package
Operation ideas for next week:
Gold 3265 short, stop loss 3275, target 3230-3220;.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD BuyHello traders!
There’s an ideal buying opportunity on XAUUSD right now. I’ve activated a Buy position to take advantage of this setup.
The TP target is **3262.58** and the SL level is **3242.65**.
Make sure to adjust your lot size and risk according to your trading plan, and enter the trade with discipline.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Is GOLD still rising star? XAUUSD AnalysisHello everyone!
i Want share my idea about gold price action.
End of April we had some correction but beginning of May it still has buyer and why? at global market we see still misunderstanding, America and China still talk about rates, final talk will be soon between that to giant country, Russia-Ukraine war plus we have very hard situation between India and Pakistan, everyone was expecting peace, after trump inauguration, but how we see we are still far, no one knows what will be next and for big investors gold is safest place to invest money. If we look at gold for long term we can see it has pretty strong bull run.
For me i have other view - China and America will deal about rates, which will give market better view, i think before it will happen, Gold will test new High, where it will find sellers and from there we will have 2 quarter Bearish trend. New high will be between 3500 - 3550, also if we look at Dollar index (DXY) at 1D chart it found buyers and slowly showing reversal, but don't forget 1W chart because there we had 1W consolidation from 2023 and the last fall was stronger than other falls, at technical it tested weekly Fair Value Gap, but i cant see any reason yet for fall.
I think Gold will show us new high which will be between 3500 - 3550 and then we will get bearish trend and we will see correlation with dollar and dollar will start bullish trend.
With technical i will use simple technic, gold tested today daily fair value gap and it got strong reaction, we have resistance + 2h FVG but for me it will be not hard for gold to brake it.
This analysis is from my experience, i am not financial advisor.
FOR COLLABORATION TEXT ME !
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH !
Gold intraday trading strategy.From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3280. If it does not break, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The upper side pays attention to the short-term suppression of 3334-40. The daily level maintains a high-altitude and low-multiple rhythm.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 3334-40, and shorts at 3358-65. Stop loss at 3373, target 3300-3308, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAUUSD: 9/5 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3360, support level 3280
1-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3300
30-minute chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310.
In the 4-hour chart, MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If it stands firm at 3340, the short-term chart will trigger a larger correction. Now the downward trend has not changed.
Gold prices fell back below $3,400 on Thursday, the rally paused, and a sharp downward adjustment began.
The momentum depicted by the relative strength index (RSI) shows that buyers are losing momentum. This is negative for bulls, as a break below $3,300 could intensify the downward trend, perhaps towards the May 1 low of $3,202.
If the price of gold breaks through $3340, this may push the price back to 3370~3400! There is no important news data today, so the volatility of gold in the US market may weaken today, and you can sell high and sell low for the time being. Next week's U.S. CPI data will be a key variable in determining the next direction of gold prices. If inflation is higher than expected, it may once again ignite fluctuations in the gold market.
SELL: 3345 SL: 3350
BUY: 3305 SL: 3300
Trade cautiously and pay attention to the speech of Fed officials today
XAUUSD Take ProfitThe gold trade I just shared delivered great profit and helped me hit my daily profit target in a single trade :)
So, gold ended up being both the first and last trade of the day.
Tomorrow is the weekend and the FX market will be closed, but as always, the crypto market stays open.
Hopefully, BTC will offer some good opportunities tomorrow :))
Wishing everyone a great weekend!
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,388.2
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,296.7
Point of Control (POC): 3,385.3
High-volume nodes: Dense consolidation between 3,365 – 3,390, indicating institutional activity and balance.
Low-volume gaps: Between 3,340 – 3,360 (inefficient move up, price may revisit).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at:
Above 3,388 (previous swing high)
Below 3,300 (recent swing low)
Order absorption areas: Around 3,320 where price stalled with large volume, indicating passive buyers absorbing aggressive sellers.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 3,388.5 (strong rejection & volume spike)
Swing Low: 3,297.1 (volume bounce support area)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound currently (sideways movement in CVD with weak momentum)
ADX Strength: ADX < 20 → Indicates weak trend or consolidation
CVD Confirmation:
CVD is showing slight bullish divergence vs. price → early demand buildup
Not yet confirmed with strong trend continuation
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,296.7
Absorption zone: 3,320.0
Resistance:
VAH: 3,388.2
Swing high: 3,388.5
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent swing low: 3,297.1
Retracement levels (from recent high 3,388.5 to low 3,297.1):
1/3 Retracement: 3,327.6
1/2 Retracement: 3,342.8
2/3 Retracement: 3,358.0
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by ADX < 20 and flat CVD)
b) Notable Patterns:
Potential bullish falling wedge pattern forming
Projection suggests price might bounce from 3,320 toward upper channel (3,370+)
Watch for retest of POC (3,385) for breakout confirmation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Pending confirmation from breakout and CVD support):
Entry Zone: 3,320 – 3,325 (channel + volume support)
Targets:
T1: 3,342.8 (50% Gann)
T2: 3,385.3 (POC and VAH)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below 3,297 (swing low/VAL)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If rejection at VAH and CVD turns bearish):
Entry Zone: 3,385 – 3,388
Target:
T1: 3,320.0
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 3,400
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
GOLD THE yellow metal is seeing sell off on fed cautious wait and see approach to interest rate .if they hold it for so long, gold will see deeper correction ,the overall bias remains bullish
Bullish Airlines Cleared for Altitude!After squinting at the 4H chart like Sherlock with a caffeine addiction, I’ve confirmed: our price broke out of a flag pattern like it was tired of napping. It even did the polite thing—came back to retest—like, “Excuse me, just checking if I actually broke out. Yep. Cool.”
Now it’s back on its bullish treadmill, charging uphill like a gym bro after pre-workout.
As long as we’re above 3200, this beast might just pump harder than Bitcoin on caffeine and hopium.
🎯 Final destination? 161.80% Fib extension at 3580.22—aka “Mount Take Profit.”
Pack snacks. It’s a climb.
Waiting for FOMC news and profit taking action before that🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices came under heavy selling pressure early Wednesday, correcting sharply from a two-week high of $3,435. Fresh optimism over the upcoming U.S.-China trade talks and profit-taking ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy announcements.
➡️ However, downside momentum will be limited as geopolitical tensions escalate globally, in the Middle East and Pakistan-India regions.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Investors are likely to stay on the sidelines and wait for the upcoming FOMC meeting, which will then shape the next direction. Gold prices could see a fresh rally if the Fed cuts rates in June due to concerns about the economic outlook, or vice versa. Therefore, the market today will not fluctuate too much until the news is announced
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3307- 3310
❌SL: 3303 | ✅TP: 3315- 3320 – 3325
👉 Sell Gold 3435- 3437
❌SL: 3442 | ✅TP: 3431- 3426 - 3420
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAUUSD SHORT/SELL 1:4Are we ready for the drop?
1.Break of structure
2.Expanding flat formed
3. Engulfing candle in the 4 HR Timeframe
4. a, b, c correction needed for complete structure
5. FVG formed with the 4HR bearish candle needs to close
Entry:3407
Stop loss:3459
Take Profit:3186
Break out 3360 and short term downtrend, but be careful🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold extended its previous day's pullback, dropping nearly 1% to $3,323 on Thursday as improved risk sentiment weighed on the safe-haven asset. The shift in mood came ahead of an expected announcement by President Donald Trump regarding a trade deal with the UK, scheduled for a 14:00 GMT press conference in Washington, according to sources familiar with the matter.
➡️ Additional overnight momentum came from the Fed's rate decision and comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who highlighted signs of recovery in the U.S. economy.
Personal opinion:
➡️ A US-UK trade deal is the beginning of positive negotiations with other countries. However, the two main characters of the US and China are not yet guaranteed. Therefore, the price of gold may fall because of positive information from tariffs, but that is not all. In addition, the Middle East war and India-Pakistan are still the driving force that keeps gold from falling too much.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3355 - 3357
❌SL: 3362 | ✅TP: 3351 - 3346 – 3340
👉Buy Gold 3305 - 3307
❌SL: 3300 | ✅TP: 3311 - 3316 – 3322
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAUUSD DOUBLE TOP BEARISH PATTERNKey Factors to Consider:
Breakout Confirmation – If price decisively breaks below the neckline of the double top, it strengthens the bearish outlook.
Volume Analysis – A surge in selling volume at resistance or during the breakdown can validate the pattern.
Momentum Indicators – RSI, MACD, and Stochastic Oscillator can help confirm bearish momentum.
Support Levels – Watch for intermediate support zones that could slow down the decline before reaching 3203.
Resistance: 3500
Target: 3203
