Gold trade next move possible.Gold forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Not financial advice.
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
Gold tradeYou have to understand how to read the market (where is the orders,is there more buyers or sellers
Xauusd Gold sell zone @2897 H4 chart analysisThe chart you provided is an H4 (4-hour) analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD). Here are the key takeaways:
Chart Observations:
1. Sell Zone @ 2897:
The price recently tested the $2897 resistance level and formed a double-top pattern ("TOP 1" and "TOP 2"), indicating potential reversal.
Sellers appear to be defending this level, leading to a decline.
2. Trend Breakdown:
The chart initially shows bullish momentum leading up to higher highs.
However, an upward trendline has now been broken, confirming bearish pressure.
3. Expected Price Movement:
After breaking below support, the price is consolidating and may retest the previous support-turned-resistance.
A continuation of the downward movement is expected, potentially targeting $2,880 - $2,865 levels.
4. Bearish Confirmation:
Volume analysis shows increased selling pressure after the rejection from the resistance zone.
If price fails to break back above $2897, more downside is expected.
Trading Strategy:
Sell Entry: Near $2897 - $2900 resistance.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $2880
TP2: $2865
TP3: $2845 (longer-term target)
Stop Loss (SL): Above $2905 to minimize risk.
Alternative Buy Setup: If price breaks above $2905 and sustains, reconsider bearish bias.
Conclusion:
Bearish bias is valid as long as price remains below $2897.
Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes before entering a sell trade.
Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on U.S. economic data (PCE inflation, Fed speeches), which may impact gold prices.
Would you like me to refine the strategy further or check additional indicators?
GOLD – Bearish Momentum Below 2918, Eyes on 2895 BreakdownGOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis – February 26, 2025
🔸 Bearish Momentum Strengthens Below 2918
Gold remains under bearish pressure, having failed to hold above the pivot level of 2918, reinforcing downside momentum. The price is currently testing lower levels, with an initial target of 2905, followed by 2895.
📉 Bearish Outlook: A 4H or 1H candle close below 2918 will likely accelerate the bearish continuation toward 2905 and 2895, a critical support area where price action may stabilize or extend further downside.
📌 Bullish Recovery: If Gold reclaims 2918 on a 4H candle close, price volatility is expected within the 2918 - 2935 range before confirming the next move. A break and close above 2935 could trigger a push toward 2954 and 2974.
⚠️ Market Impact: With heightened market volatility and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, investors should monitor key levels closely, as Gold tends to act as a safe-haven asset during economic instability.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: 2935 | 2945 | 2954
🔹 Pivot Level: 2918
🔻 Support: 2906 | 2895 | 2880
📉 Bias: Bearish below 2918, with a key breakdown level at 2895 to confirm further downside.
XAUUSD - Sentiment driven by the powers that be is bullish.The sentiment being portrayed by the powers that be right now is strong bullish, with 3000 & beyond levels being the narrative pushed, providing a psychological bullish narrative for the retail traders & a net bullish position.
The markets, news events & sentiments are manipulated all the time for financial agendas, to provide the liquidity for the big players, in this case to potentially get net short, with retailers getting trapped in long positions.
The technicals are showing signs of short positioned smart money transactions (SMT on both Monthly & weekly).
Lets review what prints over the coming week, but I would be remaining skeptical on long term buys from this level.
My short term BIAS for today is as market up on the chart. I think we will see PDL swept, with previous day high targeted after this, and then we could see a reversal from PDH...
XAUUSD LONGThis buy setup shows a potential trade on XAUUSD (Gold) where a 1-hour bullish engulfing pattern forms. The price has been in a downtrend but is showing a reversal signal with the formation of the bullish engulfing candle. The buy entry is likely at the blue zone, with stop loss below the green zone for risk management. The target is the higher green zone, indicating a move up if the setup plays out as expected.
XAUUSD: What to do with order stop loss? Follow me.Ordinary players: It's over. I woke up and found that the long XAUUSD order was stopped. What should I do?
Me: Isn't it enough to make money back?
Ordinary people: What should I do?
Me: Just continue to short around 2895!
During the early morning trading, the gold price only rose slightly by about $5. After reaching the 2920 position, it did not stabilize and then fell rapidly. This was unexpected. Fortunately, the stop loss was set, so our long order only lost about 10 points.
After waking up, I made a decision directly. Continue to short XAUUSD. Sell at 2900-2895. The shorts continued to exert force, and the longs were weak. In the end, it didn't last long before the gold price reached my target value of 2880. Achieve the process of perfect recovery of losses.
So stop loss is not terrible. Only one order is enough to bring followers to recover losses. But it must be able to allow followers to expand profits for a longer time. I think this is also the reason why some followers continue to follow me. It is also the reason why they join the analysis circle. They are looking for me. Not just a trading signal.
Currently, the gold price is hovering around 2980. There is some small support here, but today's trading plan is to short at high levels, so the option of going long is not considered for the time being. If the gold price returns to the 2890-2895 line, I think it is still possible to short at high levels. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message. Or join the analysis circle, there are more exciting analysis and real-time trading opportunities for reference.
XAUUSD TRIANGLE PATTERN IN 15-M ATHello Guys Here Is Chart Of XAUUSD in 15-M AT
Support: The lower trendline of the triangle around $2904 - 2900
Resistance: The upper trendline of the triangle around 2947 - 2952
Target Will Be : 2950
A stronger support zone near 2880 if a breakdown happens.
Learn How to Trade Cup and Handle Pattern on Forex & Gold
If you are studying a price action, you should definitely know how to identify and trade Cup and Handle pattern formation.
Being applied properly, it can generate big profits.
In this educational article, I will teach you how to identify this pattern. We will discuss its psychology and I will share with you 2 trading strategies.
📏And let's start with the structure of the pattern.
The pattern has 3 important elements:
Cup - long-term correctional movement that tends to move steadily from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
Handle - short-term correctional movement with signs of bullish strength.
Neckline - upper horizontal boundary of the pattern - a strong resistance that the price constantly respects.
⚠️Being formed, it warns you about a highly probable coming bullish movement.
The trigger that confirms the initiation of a bullish wave is a breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
Here is the example of a completed C&H with a confirmed neckline breakout, indicating a highly probably coming bullish movement.
Depending on the preceding price action, Cup & Handle Pattern can either be a trend-following or reversal pattern.
📉If the pattern is formed after a bearish impulse. It is considered to be a reversal pattern.
Here is the example of a reversal C&H that I spotted on EURUSD.
📈If the pattern is formed at the top of a bullish impulse , it is considered to be a trend following pattern.
Here is the example of a trend following C&H that I spotted on GBPJPY.
The thing is that while the price forms the C&H, buying volumes are accumulating. Even though, buyers are hesitant and reluctant initially, their confidence grows, and the accumulation leads to explosive neckline breakout.
There are 2 strategies to trade this pattern.
✔️ Strategy 1.
That approach is quite risky , but the reward can be quite substantial.
You should monitor the price action when the price is creating a handle. Occasionally, the price starts trading in a falling channel: parallel or contracting one.
Your trigger will be a bullish breakout of its resistance and a candle close above.
Once the violation is confirmed, you can buy aggressively or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the channel.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the handle being a falling channel.
✔️ Strategy 2.
Wait for a breakout of a neckline of the pattern.
Once a candle closes above that, it will confirm the violation.
Buy the market aggressively or set a buy limit on a retest of a broken neckline then.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the handle.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the trade based on a confirmed breakout of a neckline of C&P on NASDAQ Index.
Applied properly, the strategies may reach up to 70% win rate.
As always, the best pattern will be the one that forms on a key level.
Try it, test it, and good luck in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
#XAUUSD (GOLD) READY TO SELL NOW Hello Everyone, Here is My Today's #XAUUSD (GOLD) Market Analysis
Please Check & Share Your Kind Opinions in the Comments Section, Thanks! 🙏
Today on 25 February 2025
#Gold Current Price: $2940
#Pivot Point: $2949
📉Bearish Scenario
Overall the market sentiment suggests a bearish outlook for Gold today ,
If the H4 candle closes below the pivot point ($2949) we could see a drop towards our first support target of ($2933) followed by potential moves to ($2921) and ($2910)
📉Support: $2907 / $2900
📊 Key Action: If the H4 candle closes below the pivot point, consider a sell position with the targets mentioned. A continued move lower could test the support areas at $2907 and $2900.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If Gold manages to stay above the pivot point ($2949), we might see a push towards higher levels.
📈First Resistance Targets: $2956 (yesterday's all-time high)
📈Out Resistance Area: $2962
If Gold closes above the pivot point and sustains above it, the market may attempt a new all-time high and push towards $2962.
Note : Gold Resistance are is the strong area for Gold Sell
📊Key Action: If the H4 candle closes above $2949, this could signal a buy position with targets at ($2956) and potentially ($2962)
📊Key Levels:
📊Pivot Point: $2949
📉Support Targets:
📉Target 1) $2933
📉Target 2) $2921
📉Target 3) $2910
📉Support) $2907 / $2900
📈Resistance Targets: Resistance 1: $2956 (All-Time High)
📈Resistance 2 : $2962 (Out Resistance Area)
📊Trend Outlook:
📈Bullish Above: $2949
📉Bearish Below: $2949
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GOLD - ( Long Term ) 📉 Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Trend in Play! 📉
After analyzing the current market trends, I anticipate a drop in gold prices, potentially reaching 2785 or 2697, depending on the zone where the price will make its return. I'll keep you updated and notify when the bearish momentum begins. The downtrend is expected to last from today until May 25th, 2025.
Stay tuned for updates and don't miss any key changes!
Gold’s Record Rally Stalls at Fibonacci Extension ResistanceGold posted a new record high on Monday at 2956 as a period of risk aversion supported by a series of weaker US economic data releases but led by a sell off in technology stocks, that started on Friday, continued to dominate the markets attention. However, roll forward another 48 hours and Gold prices have just traded at a 2 week low of 2880.
What’s interesting is that the positioning adjustment that started in US stock indices seems to have expanded into a wider bout of profit taking on winning trades that have outperformed since Donald Trump won the Presidential election in early November. Bitcoin dropped over 10%, the S&P 500 fell 4% and currently Gold has seen a pullback of 4.6% from Monday’s high.
Now, as traders look ahead to the release of the US PCE Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, at 1330 GMT tomorrow, all eyes are on what a deviation from expectations in this release, up or down, could mean for the direction of Gold moving forward into March.
Technical Update: Focus on the Fibonacci Extension
Since posting a low of 2583 on December 19th, Gold has enjoyed a strong phase of price strength, an advance that has consistently posted new all-time highs.
The latest upside extreme was seen on February 24th at 2956, which interestingly coincides with what appears to be a potentially important resistance at 2953. This level is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th last significant sell-off in price (Highlighted on price chart above).
Fibonacci extension levels use the same percentages as Fibonacci retracements, (e.g. 38.2% and 61.8%), but are calculated using a significant sell-off in price (e.g. Nov 14th Gold low 2537) and are projected higher from the upside extreme where the decline began (e.g. Oct 31st Gold high 2790). This can highlight potential resistance levels that traders can consider when an instrument like Gold is consistently posting record highs.
While there is no guarantee of an extended phase of weakness developing from a Fibonacci extension resistance level, having seen 2953 cap and turn the latest price activity lower, Gold may need to see upside closing breaks above 2953, if a more extended phase of strength is to emerge.
For now, at least the Fibonacci extension resistance at 2953 is holding and prompting fresh price weakness, and traders may be watching lower support levels, to gauge if a more extended decline may materialise.
In this recent uptrend, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 2894 that has been able to hold previous price weakness, and if lower levels are set to be seen, it may well be closing breaks below this level that triggers them.
If this were to be the case, potential support levels may be represented by the 38.2%, 50% and 62.8% retracements of the December to February strength (2583 Dec 19th low to 2956 Feb 24th high), which stand at 2813, 2769 and 2726 respectively, although much will depend on future risk events and price trends.
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XAUUSDGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2888
Four-hour chart resistance 2918, support below 2888-2850
Gold operation suggestions: Gold began to fall after being suppressed at the 2930 mark in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session continued to fall under pressure at the 2920 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2900 integer mark and stabilized at the 2890 line to bottom out and rebound. Then the gold price fluctuated and rose to close above 2910
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 2918, and the short-term support below is 2888. If it falls below the new low, it may accelerate its decline during the day and can be seen near 2850. If it is a false breakthrough, the final daily line closes above 2890 or fluctuates widely. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2888near SL:2892
BUY:2890near SL:2887
Use small size to control risk
GOLD Trendline Break ShortGold has just broken the upward trendline that has acted as support numerous times (At least 6). It has just been broken after a few failed attempts to rally further. We have also lost the 100 moving average (on the 4H time frame)
I believe that Gold is stalling out ahead of the psychological figure of $3000 as it has done previously at $2000 to give an example.
Stop Loss above the red downward trendline that has been formed from the highs that will act as my trailing stop loss.
Take Profit level is a confluence of Fibonacci retracement levels and the upward trendline that I believe could act as support if the red downward trendline doesn't get broken first.
"Bullish Trend Continuation: Key Support Zones for Gold Buyers"Bullish Market Structure
The prevailing market structure remains bullish, indicating that selling gold at this stage may not be advisable. The price action continues to establish a sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), reinforcing the overall uptrend.
Key Buying Areas
A critical support zone, identified as the Buying Area, aligns with a recent HL, suggesting a potential entry point for buyers. Additionally, a broader Buying Zone exists at a lower level, coinciding with the 200-period moving average (blue line), which may serve as a stronger support should the price retrace further.
Opportunity for Buyers
Given the bullish market conditions, any pullback into these key demand zones presents a buying opportunity, with the expectation of a continuation towards the Target Area at the upper resistance level. The presence of a break of structure (BOS) in the past further validates the strength of the ongoing trend.
Trader Caution and Strategy
Traders should remain cautious of any shifts in momentum while maintaining a bias toward long positions as long as the market structure remains intact.
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Gold!"The gold price is expected to decline to 2650."
"Since the gold price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, it will likely retrace to its previous channel's upper boundary, which serves as a support level at $2650."
XAUUSD next target after brarish trenline break price has broken above the 2832-2833 support zone on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a bullish reversal. If the trend continues, the next key resistance level could be 2877, followed by a move toward previous highs near 2956.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 2832-2833 (now turned support)
Next Target: 2877 (potential resistance)
Further Upside: 2956 (previous high zone)
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If momentum remains strong and price holds above 2832-2833, we could see a move toward 2877 and possibly 2956.
Pullback & Retest: If price retests 2832-2833 and holds, it could provide a better entry for a bullish continuation.
Reversal Risk: If price falls back below 2832-2833, bullish momentum could weaken.
Indicators to Watch:
Moving Averages: Are they sloping upward? (Confirming bullish trend)
RSI: Overbought (>70) could signal a pullback; above 50 confirms bullish strength.
Volume: Increasing volume on the breakout supports the trend.
Gold Idea Today.........
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reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
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XAUUSD, Gold Crash Heading towards which level?🔸 XAU/USD (GOLD) Analysis 🔸
🔥 Gold Eyeing $2835! 🔥
📍 Current Status: Waiting for the setup to develop before executing a trade. No rush—patience is key!
📊 Key Level to Watch: $2835 🎯
⚡ Market Structure: Monitoring price action for confirmations.
👀 Trade Plan: Will update once the setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
🚀 Stay tuned, traders! The best moves come to those who wait.
Guys if you like my posts please let me know. in what format should i post my analysis in video format or these visual posts?
good luck good trading
ABOUT XAUUSDMy option about gold Is more bearish so that zone is good and strong restanice if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
Shorting Gold (xauusd)
1️⃣ Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Price attempted to break higher but faced strong rejection, forming a wick at the top, signaling selling pressure.
2️⃣ Break & Retest Confirmation – The previous support level has turned into resistance, aligning with a classic sell setup.
3️⃣ Risk-Reward Optimization – Stop-loss is strategically placed above the rejection zone, while the target aligns with the next key support level for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
4️⃣ Lower High Formation – Market structure suggests a bearish continuation, reinforcing the sell bias.
XAUUSD: Sell in advance and wait for a huge drop.On the eve of the opening of the New York market. The gold price has been fluctuating in a narrow range around 2983-2892. Combined with the current bearish sentiment, it is observed that the gold price will soon see a large decline after the opening of the New York market.
In terms of operation, it is still sold in the range of 2898-2892
tp2875
sl2905
With the successful completion of the previous short order. Whether this order can successfully achieve the goal, we will wait and see. If you don’t know how to trade, you can follow. If you want to pay attention to subsequent analysis and real-time trading opportunities. Remember to check the precise guidance in the analysis circle.
MCX:GOLD1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:USOIL COINBASE:BTCUSD
Gold Short BUY Scenario View....
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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