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XAUUSD.P trade ideas

GOLD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2845.5 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 2838.1 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 2860.5 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892 Four-hour chart resistance 2950, ​​support below 2892-2888 1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905 Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space. The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction. Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888. Buy: 2930~2936 Sell: 2890near Click my profile for more free sharing
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
Lingrid | GOLD market Indecision at KEY Resistance ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD market pulled back below the previous week's high and has also dipped below the lows of the last two days, bouncing off these levels by taking liquidity. There seems to be indecision in the market as price is forming either a head-and-shoulders pattern, which indicates a potential reversal, or an expanding triangle pattern, which also reflects indecision. Today, we have high-impact news that could drive the price towards the 2900 level closing weekly candle as long tailed bar. However, considering that the price made false breaks below the previous day's lows and completed an ABC pullback, there is a good chance the price may close above the previous week's high level. Overall I expect consolidation between 2900 and 2950 before clear upside breakout. My goal is resistance zone around 2945 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
14
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook: ╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors. ╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish. Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish. Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish. Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish. USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish. ╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift. Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium. Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish. ╰┈➤COT Data Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish. Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable. Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest. Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk. Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution. Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral. Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906). Broker: 60% long—crowded. ╰┈➤Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880. Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk. Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets. Corporate: Hedging stabilizes. ╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish. RSI: 48—neutral. Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation. Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot. Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily. ╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish. EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains. Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven. Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral. Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold. ╰┈➤News and Events Analysis Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish. Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver. Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot. ╰┈➤Next Trend Move Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955. Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949. Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000. Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE. ╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit. ╰┈➤Future Prediction Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs). Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish). Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SPREADEX:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
XAU/USD 28 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks. Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS in accordance with analysis and bias dated 26 January 2025. You will note price has printed several bullish CHoCH's followed by bearish iBOS's, however, I have left them unmarked due to low volume candles printing erratically. This would in-turn distort internal structure. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,851.115. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand. Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner." Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices. Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country. If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue. Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy. According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high. With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD. The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum. During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity. Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Long-Term Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold: A New Bullish Cycle let's review Gold Waves! Wave I (1971-1974): The initial rise in the early 1970s represents Wave I of the first large cycle. During this time, gold prices surged significantly due to the ending of the Bretton Woods system and the subsequent decoupling of the US dollar from gold. The price increases were driven by growing inflation concerns and geopolitical instability. This is a primary impulsive wave. The end of Wave I appears around 1974, where gold saw a significant peak. Wave II (1974-1976): Wave II is a corrective phase, where prices corrected lower after the initial rally of Wave I. This wave retraced a portion of Wave I and is a typical ABC correction (labeled as the ABC corrective structure on the chart). After reaching the low point, the market started another impulsive wave up. Wave III (1976-1980): Wave III is the strongest and most aggressive part of the cycle. This wave saw gold prices skyrocket during the late 1970s, driven by high inflation, political instability (e.g., the Iranian Revolution), and the second oil crisis. Gold reached an all-time high in 1980, marking the peak of Wave III. This wave completed the first major bullish cycle in the chart. Wave IV (1980-1999): After the peak in 1980, gold entered Wave IV, a long and complex correction that lasted until the late 1990s. This correction lasted nearly two decades and saw prices decline dramatically during the 1980s and 1990s as inflation subsided and global economic conditions stabilized. Wave IV is characterized by long periods of consolidation, with gold fluctuating around lower levels. Wave V (1999-2011): Following the completion of Wave IV, gold entered Wave V, the final impulsive wave of this long-term cycle. This wave began around 1999 and saw gold prices move higher, culminating in a bullish run from 2008 to 2011. The global financial crisis and the subsequent loose monetary policies (quantitative easing and low-interest rates) from central banks across the world provided the perfect backdrop for gold to rally. Gold peaked at $1900 in 2011, marking the end of Wave V in this cycle, representing the peak of the primary impulsive move. ABC Correction (2011-2020): After the peak in 2011, gold entered a significant ABC correction. This correction can be broken down into three parts: Wave A (2011-2015): The initial correction after the peak, where gold prices fell sharply, reaching lows of $1050 in 2015. Wave B (2016-2018): A partial rally as investors regained some confidence, with prices climbing to around $1360 before the next decline. Wave C (2018-2020): The final leg of the correction, which saw a further decline and then an explosive surge in early 2020 due to the global economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. ----------------------------------------- New Cycle (Post-2020): After the massive surge in 2020, the chart suggests that gold has entered a new cycle—starting from the COVID-19 pandemic's impact. This marks the beginning of a new impulsive wave (labeled as Wave I of the new cycle). Wave I (2020-2025): From the lows of March 2020 to the current high, gold prices have surged sharply, indicating the early stages of the new bullish cycle. Wave II (2025-2027): A potential correction (Wave II) could be expected, retracing a portion of the rise from the pandemic-induced lows. This is typical after any strong Wave I move, as markets consolidate before further rallies. the target area would be $2100! could these reasons cause this correction: I suggest that once Wave II is completed, gold could see further strong moves in Wave III, which could lead to higher levels of gold prices—potentially above $4000-$5000 or even higher, depending on broader market dynamics and economic conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
14
Gold Prices Take a Breather: First Weekly Decline in Nine Weeks◉ Overview ● Gold prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, driven by safe-haven demand and a weaker US dollar. ● However, with US inflation data scheduled for release, investors are becoming cautious, leading to a decline in gold prices. ● The US inflation data will provide insight into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. ◉ Technical Observations ● After hitting an all-time high near $2,956, the prices are now declining. ● In the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern could be observed, indicating negative market sentiments. ● A support level is expected at $2,790, which is nearly 3% below the current market price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaranjCapital
Gold Prices Stay Fundamentally Strong Despite Profit-TakingMacro: - Gold prices corrected as investors took profits following a brief consolidation near recent highs but maintained an upward bias amid uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and policy plans. - Meanwhile, strong ETF inflows and weak US economic data, reinforcing rate cut expectations for Jul, supported gold prices. - All focus is on this week's core PCE release to gauge gold's short-term direction. Technical: - XAUUSD topped out around 2952, confluence with the 200% Fibo Extension. The price is still above both EMAs and the ascending trendline, indicating the upward structure is still intact. - If XAUUSD breaks below the ascending trendline and the support at 2880, the price may prompt a further correction to retest the following support at 2790. - On the contrary, if XAUUSD stays above 2880, the price may retest the previous swing high of around 2952. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DatTong