THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
another ATH, another monster move from Gold! It hit our long target, but no confirmed reversal from the region. Instead, we activated higher which we took caution on but managed to get in on the short just as we wanted using the red box indi's from better price regions. Not a bad day but we could have done with the levels playing ball.
Now we have completed the move that we initially wanted and got a bounce which turns resistance into the 3440 level on the reversal! That's the level that needs to be watched for the break above forcefully to then take out another new ATH and then give another potential entry.
To much going on to keep track off, so level to level unless we get the extreme levels.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
XAUUSD need some rest and fallWe are looking for dump asap here for gold price already broke resistance channel but i am expecting it will get back in channel and after that with high volume the dump expected to the targets like 2900$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3225.9
Sl - 3218.11
Tp - 3240.8
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
new peak 3520, waiting for gold price to touch⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their record-breaking surge on Tuesday, soaring past the $3,450 mark during the Asian session as investors sought refuge in the traditional safe-haven asset amid mounting fears of a US recession and broader financial market volatility.
Persistent concerns over the economic outlook and waning confidence in the US Dollar (USD) have continued to drive demand for the USD-denominated precious metal. The greenback remains under pressure, further amplifying gold's appeal.
Adding to the uncertainty, US President Donald Trump once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stoking fears about the central bank’s independence. Reports suggesting the administration explored legal avenues to potentially remove Powell have only deepened market unease, boosting the allure of gold as a hedge against policy and economic instability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Fomo price increase, trade tension, gold price benefits
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3519- 3521 SL 3526
TP1: $3505
TP2: $3490
TP3: $3465
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3403 - $3405 SL $3398
TP1: $3415
TP2: $3430
TP3: $3445
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Fading Gold’s All‑Time HighGold has just posted a euphoric all‑time high at 3 499.6 after an almost parabolic climb along a single ascending trend‑line, and the wick that pierced that level sits in a thin, low‑volume pocket on the profile—classic bull‑trap territory—so once we see a four‑hour close beneath the trend‑line we expect momentum algos to flip, dragging price swiftly toward the 3 160‑3 130 demand block that marks the prior high‑volume consolidation; the short thesis is to scale into shorts between 3 480‑3 510, place invalidation above 3 525, and ride a potential vacuum move to that target zone (with room to extend toward 3 100) as crowded longs unwind, especially if a hawkish Fed headline or uptick in real yields provides the spark.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3343
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3314
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3240
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3185
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
GOLD (#XAUUSD): Bullish Move After BreakoutThe price of GOLD violated a intraday resistance level and closed above it.
After retesting this level, the price bounced back and broke above the neckline of an ascending triangle pattern.
This suggests that there is a strong likelihood of the bullish trend continuing.
It is highly likely that the price will soon reach its all-time high.
Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next? Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next?
Gold has reached 3500, but the move happened during a time of very low trading activity, which raises some concerns.
This kind of price action may not be sustainable, so we should be cautious about potential downward corrections.
Keep an eye out for any signs of a bearish pullback.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
DeGRAM | GOLD Growth in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
XAU/USD steadily climbs within a clear ascending channel, rebounding from support towards resistance.
- Key resistance
Main barrier at $3225; a breakout here confirms bullish momentum.
- Predictive scenario
Breaking $3225 opens doors for further upward movement.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Trump's imposition of trade duties, has caused geopolitical instability, which has contributed to further demand for GOLD.
✨ Summary
Positive technical setup combined with supportive fundamentals. Break above $3225 signals continued bullish momentum!
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,327.25 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,299.56.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Intraday Buy Setup from Key Support Zone| Targeting 3333 48This 15-minute chart for XAUUSD shows price reacting from a support zone after a bearish structure break. The market formed a bullish candle at support, hinting at a potential reversal.
Key levels:
- Key Point: 3333 – a crucial resistance to break for bullish continuation.
- 1st Target: 3333 – aligning with the key point, a breakout here would confirm buyer strength.
- 2nd Target: 3348 – next major resistance level.
- All Time High zone is above this level, signaling a potential longer-term bullish push if broken.
The current price action suggests buyers may step in from this support, aiming first for 3333 and then possibly extending to 3348.
Based on the chart setup and price structure:
🟢 Buy Setup (From Support Zone):
- Entry: Around 3318–3315 (current price area)
- Stop Loss (SL): 3305 (just below the support zone to allow some buffer)
- Take Profits (TPs):
- TP1: 3333 (near key point resistance — secure partials here)
- TP2: 3348 (major resistance zone — potential full target)
---
🔐 Risk Management Suggestion:
- Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:1 for TP1, ~2:1 for TP2
- Once TP1 is hit, consider moving SL to entry to secure the trade.
Gold Surges to $3,493 — Reversal Signals Target $3,450 on ProfitGold Spot (XAU/USD) has extended its bullish rally on the 15-minute chart, reaching a high of $3,493.42 with a +2.01% gain. The price sharply broke out of an ascending channel that began around April 19, indicating strong upward momentum. However, this breakout may also be a sign of exhaustion, as a corrective move is anticipated. A bearish retracement is projected toward the $3,450 target zone, a potential support level aligned with previous structure. Traders should watch for reversal confirmation before entering short positions
1. Strong Bullish Momentum:
Price surged from the $3,280s to nearly $3,500 in just a few sessions.
The move followed a textbook recovery from a prior low, forming a clear ascending channel.
This sharp rally indicates strong buyer interest, likely fueled by either macroeconomic news or technical breakout buying.
2. Ascending Channel Breakout:
Price stayed within a well-respected rising channel until the recent candle, which broke above the upper boundary.
Such breakouts often signal overextension—commonly followed by profit-taking or corrective pullbacks.
This chart reflects that expectation, showing a projected dip.
3. Bearish Correction Expected – Target $3,450:
The highlighted yellow box and arrow suggest the author anticipates a pullback toward the $3,450 area.
This level aligns with the top of the previous channel, potentially acting as new support.
It’s a classic “break and retest” setup.
Markets revolve around US-China, GOLD seeks new peaksAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, US stocks and the US dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs.
Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and that it would be "better to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering any adjustments to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariffs could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth.
OANDA:XAUUSD have risen nearly $700/ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024.
Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war raises concerns of a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest escalation in tensions between the world’s two largest economies has hurt sentiment in financial markets overall, sending investors fleeing to safe-haven assets like gold.
However, a profit-taking or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to find and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in both the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel will be set as the main trend with the main support from EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the raw price point of 3,300USD right after.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is entering the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible correction. Going forward, the trend and outlook for gold prices remain bullish, and declines should only be considered short-term corrections.
But this note will be important, in a market where assets (Gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As in the current context, we cannot know when the US-China war will cool down, and any positive move around this war will cause selling sentiment in the gold market, which is considered a traditional safe haven asset.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3396 - 3394⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3400
→Take Profit 1 3388
↨
→Take Profit 2 3382
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3309 - 3311⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3305
→Take Profit 1 3317
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
XAUUSD Probable BUY 13/04/2025🧠 Technical Analysis – XAUUSD
📊 Chart Overview:
The market is currently consolidating near 3237, within a range-bound structure.
Two major zones are marked for potential entries:
Zone 1 (Near-Term Buy): 3217–3221 (support zone)
Zone 2 (Sniper Buy): 3173–3177 (gape/demand/strong support zone)
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation from 3217/21:
If price pulls back to 3217–3221 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, rejection wick), a buy setup can be triggered targeting:
TP1: 3237 (intraday resistance)
TP2: 3245 (supply/previous high)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3210 for safe protection.
📉 Scenario 2 – Deep Rejection & Buy from 3173/77:
In case of a deeper retracement, price may wick down to 3173–3177, which is a high-probability sniper buy zone due to:
Previous strong bullish reaction from this level
Clean structure for liquidity grab
Entry here gives excellent risk-reward targeting the same levels:
TP1: 3219
TP2: 3245
SL: Below 3156 (wide but optimal for structure).
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XAUUSD: Gold is making new highs!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand ranges will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
• Revised Year-End Outlook: The bank attributes the bullish outlook to increased central bank purchases, inflows into gold ETFs, and continued geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.
• Risk Scenario: Should the Fed shift course due to concerns over U.S. debt or weakening confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency, gold could climb to $4,500 per ounce.
One of the major forces behind this rally has been the weakening U.S. dollar under the Trump administration. Market participants are voicing three primary concerns fueling this sentiment: subpar U.S. economic growth, elevated inflation, and declining productivity. These fears stem from several core issues:
1. Tariffs: While intended to support domestic industry, tariffs are increasingly viewed as disruptive, raising fears of inflationary shocks and fragile supply chains—lessons painfully learned during the COVID era.
2. Economic Growth: Trump’s original growth agenda, centered on tax cuts and deregulation, has been overshadowed by other political developments. Many economists are uneasy about a government that seems willing to defy conventional economic principles—raising fears of repeating the failures of protectionist policies.
3. Budget Deficits: The U.S. is running a staggering 7% budget deficit relative to GDP despite low unemployment (~4%). This raises questions about how Trump’s proposed policies would be funded.
4. Erosion of International Norms: The U.S. dollar’s dominance relies on institutions like NATO, the WTO, and the United Nations, as well as global faith in the rule of law. These foundations are reportedly weakening. There are also emerging concerns from places like Beijing, pointing to American vulnerabilities—especially around intellectual property. In a world where IP rights are no longer respected, what value do American corporations really have?
5. Immigration: It remains unclear how much of Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration is substantive versus symbolic. What is clear, however, is that undocumented migrants have played a crucial role in suppressing inflation in key sectors like agriculture and hospitality. Without a clear plan to replace this workforce, cost pressures could intensify.
Gold is crazy again
How can it not rise? This is my most real complaint at this moment.
Now don't think about the 3300 problem, because it doesn't matter, and it may even give you an illusion and cause you to chase the rise. . Look at it openly. If you can't do it after the callback, just take over and look for a short-term rebound. If you want to short, then wait for a rebound after a drop of 30 US dollars, then try to intervene. Otherwise, what else can you do? There are no other tricks. I'm really not a bad guy. How did I touch the top of 3160 before? It came like this. There is indeed a luck component, but this is the only way to enter the market.
A big rise will see a big fall, there is no doubt about it, so this article cannot give you a specific point reference. If I give it to you, it means that I am perfunctory. Do you understand? Who can't guess? A little rhetoric can make a lot of sense. Remember, when it pulls back to 30 US dollars, and it rebounds to near the previous high, go short. It doesn't matter if you don't know, I will do it.
There is no market chart today, because I have mentioned all the trading skills above. The price has gone up so much that there is no need to analyze the pressure, and no one can specifically know where the pressure is. Guessing is meaningless. Let us wait for the decline and then wait for the opportunity to move. Without further ado, watching the downward fluctuation of 30 to 50 US dollars is the goal.
Gold Third Scenario , Depend On Breakout , What`s Your Opinion ?Here is the update for the last idea i post for Gold , if we take a look now we will see that he price moving in sideway and still not touch my support , so do yo uthink the price will go up without retest it ? or should we keep the first analysis ?
Dealing with Stress in Trading: The Silent Killer of PerformanceTrading is hard. But not just technically or economically — emotionally, it's one of the most demanding things you can do.
Charts, indicators, news, setups — they’re all part of the job. But behind every click, there’s a person reacting to fear, frustration, regret, and pressure.
And that’s where stress creeps in.
In this article, we’ll explore:
• Why trading stress hits harder than most think
• How it manifests (and sabotages) your decisions
• Practical ways to reduce and manage stress
• The mindset shift that changes everything
________________________________________
🔥 Why Trading Is Uniquely Stressful
Most jobs reward consistency. Trading, ironically, punishes it at times.
You can do everything “right” and still lose money. You can follow your plan, manage risk, and still watch a red candle wipe your equity.
The problem?
Our brains aren’t built for that kind of randomness. We crave cause-effect logic — but markets aren't and most of all don’t care.
This disconnect creates cognitive dissonance . The result? Stress builds up.
________________________________________
🧠 How Stress Sabotages Traders (Without Them Realizing)
Stress doesn’t always show up as panic. More often, it shows up as:
• Overtrading (trying to ‘fix’ bad trades emotionally)
• Freezing (not taking good setups out of fear)
• Revenge trading (turning a bad trade into a disaster)
• Inconsistency (changing strategy mid-week, mid-trade, mid-breath)
• Physical symptoms (fatigue, headaches, insomnia — yes, it's real)
Left unchecked, stress creates a loop:
Stress → bad trades → more stress → worse decisions.
________________________________________
🛠️ Practical Techniques to Manage Trading Stress
Here’s what actually helps — not the Instagram-fluff, but what real traders use:
1. Create Pre-Defined Trade Plans
Stress loves uncertainty. But when you enter a trade with exact entries, stops, and targets, you leave less room for panic-based decisions.
✅ Pro tip: Write your trade plan down. Don’t trade from memory.
________________________________________
2. Use the 3-Strike Rule
If you take 3 consecutive losses or bad trades — stop for the day, or if you are a swing trader, stop for the week, come back on Monday. It’s not about revenge. It’s about protecting mental capital.
“When in doubt, protect your focus. You can’t trade well without it.”
________________________________________
3. Build a Trading Routine (Like a Ritual)
Start each session the same way. Same coffee, same chart review, same breathing.
Why? It anchors your brain. Predictability in your environment reduces the emotional chaos inside your head.
________________________________________
4. Step Away from the Screen (Yes, Physically)
After a tough trade, move. Walk. Stretch. Get outside. Go to gym, ride your bike(these I do most often). Reset your nervous system. Trading is mental, but stress is physical too.
You’re not a robot. Don't act like one.
________________________________________
5. Track Your Emotional State (Not Just P&L)
Keep a trading journal where you note how you felt before/after trades.
You’ll find patterns like:
• “I lose when I’m bored and looking for action”
• “My best trades happen when I feel calm and centered”
Awareness = control.
________________________________________
🧭 The Mindset Shift: From Outcome to Process
This might be the most important thing I’ll ever tell you:
Detach from results. Fall in love with process.
Your goal isn’t to win every trade.
Your goal is to execute your plan with discipline.
Every time you do that — even on a losing trade — you’re winning the real game.
That’s how stress stops being the master and becomes the servant.
________________________________________
🧘 Final Thought: Stress Will Never Go Away — and That’s Okay
You’ll always feel something. But the goal isn’t to be emotionless — it’s to be aware and in control.
Trading is like martial arts: the best fighters aren’t calm because they feel nothing. They’re calm because they’ve trained their response.
So train yours.
________________________________________
💬 Remember, consistency in mindset creates consistency in results.
GOLD (XAU/USD) at ATH – Two Key Scenarios to WatchGold has reached ATH, and we're currently testing a critical resistance zone. Look at my previous published post, perfectly played out and we're just getting started.
📈 Scenario 1: If the 1H candle body breaks above resistance with a confirmed close, we’re likely to see a push toward the $3,300 level before a potential pullback toward $3100
📉 Scenario 2: If we fail to break resistance, a pullback toward the $3,100 zone is expected before a bounce back to $3,350.
Wait for a retest confirmation on the 1H candle body closure before taking any position.
Updates will be published!
Long & then short at top Wick of Cleaning 3384/33901st long next week upto 3384/3390 then short
We already formed trend reversal on 4 hour time frames this will be last wick to tick tick account stop loss hunt 3384/3390 area then it will drop continuously upto 3016 1st support area will be buying again zone because it suppose to bounce from this 3016 to go back up