Gold Daily Double Top Formation: Trade Plan for Short Gold at Daily timeframe shows Double top M like shape, a trend reversal indicated by Harmonic Pattern
XAUUSD trade ideas
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 3235
👌Bearish After Break Out : 3220
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🔤 Smart Money Confirmation Acquired:
Structure break aligned with order block integrity.➗ Both bullish and bearish models validated. Tactical options open.
🔥Multi-Timeframe Confluence:🩸
Higher timeframe levels intersect — prime territory for sniper scalps in either direction.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
PATIENCE PAYS 〉BEARS TRAPPED - HODL TO $4,000As illustrated, Im trying to visualize the beginning of the next impulse toward $4,000
This is an intraday - swing trade opportunity to 1H highs; however, it would be just the first move toward a longer term path to ATH above $3,500
Ride this wave as you can, but know that the yellow metal still has a lot of strength and power to continue growing.
June might still behave strangely as it is a consolidation month on average 5-10-15 years; however, It wouldn't surprise me if market structure holds important support prices instead of ranging back below $3,200 - $3,150 ; in other words, that range might be strong longterm support.
--
GOOD LUCK!
SECURE PROFITS.
persaxu
THE SOUTHEASTEveryone would sell out and go,
everyone who counts.
Technical Section:
ABC bear market (the price of gold must come down)
Target-1 =$ 3000
Target-2 =$ 3300
Target-3 =$ 2650
We shall see.
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3312 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3345 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3340
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3300
Strong Rejection from 3330 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3290 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3313 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3330 – Liquidity Engineered
Gold will retrace first, before rising againminor timeframe formed ascending broadening wedge pattern, I have sold from afar but forgot to give the analysis, for the target is still quite far away at 3155.
SL: 3221 (150 pips)
TP: 3155
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
DeGRAM | GOLD coming to the border of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is back at the channel’s mid-band after two “false-break” spikes off the floor; every triangle that resolved upward inside 3 300-3 350 has been faded, preserving the series of lower-highs.
● Today’s run tags the slanted supply (3 330-3 350) while 1-h candles print bearish wicks and RSI stalls below its May peak – a momentum squeeze that usually precedes rotation to 3 284 support, then 3 210/3 120 at the base.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US durable-goods orders beat and Fed minutes repeated “higher for longer”, pushing 2-yr yields above 4.95 % and reviving ETF outflows (WGC), both headwinds for non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300-3 340; first targets 3 284 ➜ 3 210, stretch 3 120. Invalidate on hourly close above 3 350.
-------------------
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Bulls push price to 3360, prepare for PMI⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices climbed over 0.50% on renewed safe-haven demand, holding firm above the $3,300 threshold as investor anxiety grows ahead of the U.S. tax bill vote and mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,317, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,285.
Sentiment remains fragile, with U.S. equity markets slipping into negative territory and Treasury yields ticking higher. All eyes are on the impending vote on President Trump’s tax reform proposal, which the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates could inflate the national debt by approximately $3.8 trillion. Uncertainty around the fiscal outlook continues to fuel demand for gold as a defensive asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered well, pay attention to the price zone 3358. Adjusted down, continued to accumulate around 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3358- 3360 SL 3365
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3337
TP3: $3322
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3264- $3266 SL $3259
TP1: $3275
TP2: $3288
TP3: $3300
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Continues Ultra-Bearish —SHORT\Sell Easy Win, Easy ProfitsWith a lower high confirmed and a classic ABC correction developing, the situation for Gold (XAUUSD) is dismal. The bearish bias is confirmed.
Recently a bounce happened at the 0.382 Fib. retracement level. This is normal and standard but not bullish. The bounce happens because this is a strong support zone, but as soon as the bounce is over the resumption of the bearish move will happen.
What is more relevant here is the lower high and the very strong rejection after the big green session here marked as (B).
The strong green candle produced the highest close ever, the second highest price after the All-Time High. The ATH happened on a wick. In both instances, the market followed up with strong bearish action; that's the signal.
The signal is bearish because each time Gold reached high enough, the bears counteracted with massive selling. Notice the two big red sessions, the last two before the current one.
It is pointing lower. The decreasing volume is an additional and supporting signal for the bearish perspective. This is not a short-term drop, it is a major correction developing. SHORT/sell. Easy win, easy profits.
Namaste.
XAU/USD: Gold will fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that on Friday, after the price rose to $3248, it once again faced a correction and eventually closed at $3326. I expect that with the market opening, we’ll see further correction from gold, and the first potential target will likely be the $3213–$3216 area.
The key demand zones are $3253–$3274 and the $3313 level.
The key supply zones are $3355–$3369 and $3395–$3408.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for Gold for next week.
Support 1: 3120 - 3167 area
Support 2: 2957 - 2982 area
Resistance 1: 3193 - 3238 area
Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area
Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – Precision in Play, No Guess Zones XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – “Precision in Play, No Guess Zones 🎯”
Market Context:
• H1 structure shows recent bullish correction inside a bearish range
• Price bounced cleanly from 3160–3172 demand
• Currently retracing into unmitigated H1 supply zones
• Still inside bearish CHoCH + LL structure
🎯 SNIPER ZONES (H1 BASED)
Type Zone Price Range Notes
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 1 3365–3375 H4 supply + prior imbalance rejection
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 2 3315–3325 Clean inefficiency + internal LH
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 3 3240–3255 Unmitigated OB + lower timeframe FVG
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 1 | 3160–3172 | Confirmed demand + internal liquidity sweep |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 2 | 3090–3110 | Final CHoCH base — macro must-hold demand |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 3 | 3050–3072 | FVG fill area + extended wick rebalancing |
🔎 PLAN FLOW:
Reject from 3240–3255? Scalp short down to 3172
Flip above 3260? Expect acceleration into 3315–3375
Break below 3090? Opens deeper sweep into 3050+
Bullish confirmation only above 3260 CHoCH on H1
📌 Stay patient. Precision wins.
💬 Drop your zone of interest in the comments!
🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for real-time sniper updates.
Gold missing inverse relationship with DXYIn the earlier analysis, the expectation is for DXY to trade slightly lower to the round number level of 100.
With Gold's inverse relationship with the US Dollar, anticipating further downside for the DXY should mean that we expect to see some upside on XAUUSD.
However, the current price action on Gold is still signalling further downside.
The good thing is that the price is approaching the support area where the 3200 price level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level align.
Look for a reaction in this area, for a possible rebound to the 3320 price level. Alternatively, if the support area is broken, there could be further downside to the 3000 price level.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 19 - May 23]During the week, OANDA:XAUUSD fluctuated strongly, falling from $3,292/oz to $3,120/oz and then recovering to $3,202/oz. The main reason was that the US and China reached a trade agreement, according to which the two sides agreed to significantly reduce tariffs from May 14, creating positive sentiment for the market.
This week’s gold sell-off was the steepest since mid-June 2021, even steeper than the drop after Donald Trump’s election victory in November 2024. President Trump said there are currently about 150 partners who want to negotiate trade with the US, but the US cannot handle them all at once. In the next 2-3 weeks, the US will announce the export tax rates that partners will have to pay when selling to the US market.
The Trump administration will impose specific tariffs on partners that have not yet negotiated with the US, at what level, has not been specifically announced. If the new tariffs remain as high as the initial list of reciprocal tariffs, there is a risk that many partners will retaliate, making the tariff war hotter, pushing gold prices up sharply. On the contrary, if the new tariffs are much lower than the initially announced tariffs, gold prices may only increase moderately, then continue to adjust.
After the recent sharp sell-off, profit-taking sentiment is still dominating the market. However, safe-haven demand remains strong due to geopolitical tensions that have not yet ended and concerns about a global economic recession.
📌The gold price trend next week is likely to fluctuate in the range of 3,055 - 3,270 USD/ounce, with a slight decrease scenario being preferred due to profit-taking pressure and the potential recovery of the USD. However, if there is a positive signal from the Fed policy or increased geopolitical instability, the gold price may recover to the range of 3,260 - 3,270 USD/ounce. Investors need to closely monitor economic data and geopolitical fluctuations to make appropriate decisions.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,162 – 3,100 USD
Resistance: 3,228 – 3,250 – 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3271 - 3269⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3275
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3054 - 3056⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3050
Gold fluctuates at high levels, are bulls regaining confidence?The hourly moving average of gold crosses upward, and eventually diverges upward. The volume of gold bulls is opening up. The resistance of gold at 3253-60 has now turned into support. Gold continues to buy on dips when it falls back in the US market. Since gold has broken through, the decline is an opportunity to buy. We never do long or short positions. The current decline of gold is to buy with the trend. To be a steady hunter, you must have amazing patience and lonely torment, so that you can kill the prey with one blow. To do gold, you also need to be steady and patient to wait for the entry point to enter the market. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term focus is on the short-term suppression of 3290, and the important suppression of 3300. Gold still broke through the US market and rose strongly, and the gold bulls started. After the gold US market broke through the box and oscillated strongly, gold fell back and continued to be long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold at 3260-65, stop loss at 3250, target at 3290-3300;
Gold Analysis – Can Buyers Push the Price Up to $3,350?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside.
Price has recently broken through a key resistance zone and has now returned to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,350 target, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
How to layout in the battle between long and short positionsGold surged directly at the opening, which is in line with our analysis expectations. We gave a short position near 3240-45. As expected, gold fell to the 3230 line for profit. There is great pressure from above and limited space above. Up to now, it has been fluctuating near 3220. For gold, we are now focusing on the short-term support of 3200-06. If it breaks through this position, it is very likely to go to the 3175-90 line.
From the current trend analysis, today's support continues to focus on 3170-80, strong support 3150, and upper pressure 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, you must watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will notify you of the specific operation strategy in time and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3240-50, target 3230-3220. Pay attention to the support of 3202 and 3175 below, and go long according to the strength of the decline!
Gold Trade plan 19/05/2025Dear Traders,
The visible pattern is a 3-Drive Pattern — the potential reversal zone (PRZ) is around the 0.618–0.78 Fibonacci levels, which corresponds approximately to the 3300–3320 price range, where a reversal may occur. Additionally, a fanline pattern can also be observed.
My Final Target : 2980-3000
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold Trade Plan 20/05/2025Dear Traders.
The market is still ranging between 3200–3240, and the Dollar Index is at the bottom of its channel. If the double line is broken, I expect the price to rise toward the 3360 area, provided the descending trendline is also broken. However, if there’s no pullback observed after the breakout, the price could drop to the 3120 zone.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
GOLD surges 1.5% then falls, US credit rating downgradedOANDA:XAUUSD have recovered from their biggest weekly decline in six months, as growing concerns about the US economic outlook and budget deficit boosted demand for safe-haven assets.
Spot gold rose 1.5% to $3,249.80 an ounce in early Asian trading before paring losses, up about 0.55% on the day at press time.
Moody's Ratings announced late Friday that it had removed the U.S. government's top credit rating, downgrading the country from Aaa to Aa1.
Moody's blamed successive U.S. presidents and lawmakers for the growing budget deficit, although Moody's said the situation showed little sign of improving.
"While we recognize that the United States has significant economic and fiscal strength, we believe that these strengths are no longer sufficient to fully offset the deterioration in fiscal metrics," Moody's said in a statement.
This “black swan” event has raised concerns about the US financial situation. Safe-haven buying has fueled a sharp rise in gold prices. In addition, the weakening of the US dollar has also benefited the gold price trend.
This downgrade is likely to add to Wall Street’s growing concerns about the US government bond market. While rising yields typically boost their respective currencies, debt concerns could increase skepticism about the USD.
Gold prices have been volatile in recent months. Last week, gold posted its biggest weekly decline since November as geopolitical tensions eased. The move followed a sharp rally in gold, which topped $3,500 an ounce for the first time last month.
Gold is still up more than 20% this year, driven by global conflicts, tariffs from US President Donald Trump and flows into exchange-traded funds.
Technical outlook OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the target resistance of 3,250 USD, it weakened slightly again, this resistance level is noted by readers in the weekly publication.
In the short term, gold still has a bearish outlook with the nearest resistance at 3,250 USD followed by the confluence of EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement 0.382%.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, 50 is now acting as resistance while the RSI is still quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline in momentum ahead.
As long as gold remains below the 21 EMA, it remains bearish in the short term and a break below $3,200 would continue to push gold lower with a target of around $3,163 in the short term.
For gold to qualify for the upside, it needs to move above the 21 EMA, break the $3,300 base point and then target around $3,371 in the short term.
Intraday, the bearish outlook for gold in the short term will be highlighted again by the following levels.
Support: $3,200 – $3,163
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,292
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3261 - 3259⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3265
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3247
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3199 - 3201⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3195
→Take Profit 1 3207
↨
→Take Profit 2 3213
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 19, 2025“Between Bounce & Breakdown – Watch the Mid-Zone Traps 🎯”
🧠 Market Overview:
Gold bounced last week from the 3160–3172 buy block, confirming demand at discount, but price remains stuck under multiple bearish supply layers.
Until we reclaim structure above 3285, this is still a bearish pullback inside a bullish macro trend.
→ We’re now trading between sniper zones, where volume fades, fakeouts rise, and only confirmation wins.
🔍 STRUCTURE FLOW
🟩 3160–3172 → Confirmed buy zone from last week, clean bounce with CHoCH
🔴 3365–3375 → Daily rejection supply zone, created by imbalance wick & H4 OB
🟧 Price is now inside “mid-trap” territory (3205–3285) = avoid trading blindly
📌 KEY SNIPER ZONES (REFINED)
🔹 Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🟢 Buy Zone 1 3160–3172 OB + EQ liquidity + confirmed CHoCH (D1-H1 confluence)
🟢 Buy Zone 2 3212–3225 Internal FVG + H1 OB origin + 61.8% fib retrace
🔴 Sell Zone 1 3275–3285 Previous H4 OB + bearish NY reaction trap zone
🔴 Sell Zone 2 3312–3324 Internal liquidity sweep + imbalance fill
🔴 Sell Zone 3 3365–3375 Strong rejection + top of H4 imbalance
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:
EMA50/100 now sloping down = bearish short-term tone
RSI near neutral (no divergence = trend-follow only)
Daily candle closed inside mid-zone → no clear momentum = trade only on LTF CHoCH confirmations
🔔 RISK EVENTS (THIS WEEK)
Thu, May 23 → Unemployment Claims + Flash PMIs + Housing Data
Fri, May 24 → New Home Sales + FOMC Financial Stability Report (tentative)
→ Expect fakeouts ahead of these. Stay reactive, not predictive.
🧭 DAILY PLAN
🔽 If price reclaims 3275–3285 and fails → sniper sell entry → TP 3225 / 3172
🔼 If price dips to 3212–3225 with M15 CHoCH → scalp buy to 3260–3270
❌ Avoid entries in 3230–3265 → mid-zone chop trap
🧠 Final Thoughts:
You don’t chase gold in mid-range. You don’t sell bottoms or buy tops.
You wait at the edge of structure — with logic, confluence, and confirmation. That’s sniper mode.
🔥 Like & Follow @GoldFxMinds for intraday sniper plans
💬 Drop your bias below — Break below 3172 or bounce back to 3320?
