One Step Ahead of the MarketHey guys and girls,
Look at this chart, Do you see what I see? (we are heading into a bear market).
(RSI= 86, kiss of Death) a chart is worth a thousand words!
Technical Section (a top is in place- ABC bear market):
Wave 1 = $ 850
Wave 3 = $ 1650
Wave 3 > 1.618 x length of Wave 1----> Wave 5 (Max) = 2.618 x length of Wave 1 (Target = $ 3300)
Fundamental (Bearish):
Let's look at the reasons:
a- Trump's trade war is over; as a result, there is no strong overriding trend.
b- Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady
Conclusion:
The trend is losing momentum and a top is in place.
Target = $ 2700
Invalidation level = $ 4170
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold price heading below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have signaled openness to potential interest rate cuts, a stance that could limit further upside in the US Dollar (USD) and lend support to the non-yielding Gold price. Additionally, growing concerns over the economic repercussions of President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff measures, combined with ongoing geopolitical instability, continue to bolster the appeal of safe-haven assets. In this environment, the broader bias for gold remains tilted to the upside, urging caution for traders considering bold bearish positions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
continue sideways, price range fluctuates around 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3382- 3384 SL 3389
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3294 - $3292 SL $3287
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Fading Gold’s All‑Time HighGold has just posted a euphoric all‑time high at 3 499.6 after an almost parabolic climb along a single ascending trend‑line, and the wick that pierced that level sits in a thin, low‑volume pocket on the profile—classic bull‑trap territory—so once we see a four‑hour close beneath the trend‑line we expect momentum algos to flip, dragging price swiftly toward the 3 160‑3 130 demand block that marks the prior high‑volume consolidation; the short thesis is to scale into shorts between 3 480‑3 510, place invalidation above 3 525, and ride a potential vacuum move to that target zone (with room to extend toward 3 100) as crowded longs unwind, especially if a hawkish Fed headline or uptick in real yields provides the spark.
GOLD accumulate as the market lacks major fundamental impactSpot OANDA:XAUUSD moved significantly in early morning trading on Tuesday (April 29) and is currently trading at $3,315/oz, down 0.87% on the day at the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD reversed losses on Monday and rebounded, having earlier dipped to around $3,268. The US Dollar (Dxy) fell broadly on Monday, supporting gold as investors cautiously awaited more news on US trade policy and braced for a week of in-depth economic data that could provide early indications of whether US President Trump’s trade war is having an impact.
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.7% on Monday to close at 98.91, its lowest close in four trading days. The DXY has fallen 4.89% in April and is set to post its biggest monthly decline since July last year as Trump has shaken confidence in the reliability of U.S. assets.
A majority of economists polled by Reuters see a high risk of a global recession this year, with many saying that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have hurt business confidence. Bessant said on Monday that major U.S. trading partners have made “very good” proposals to avoid U.S. tariffs and one of the first deals to be signed would likely be with India.
Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have said they are ready to cut rates if risks to economic growth become clear. But most officials appear to want to determine the impact of Trump’s tariffs on real economic indicators like inflation and employment before taking action.
This week, the US will also release first-quarter GDP data and the Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, while Europe will also release preliminary GDP and inflation data.
Investors are also awaiting the US April jobs report on Friday, which is expected to show that employment is still growing, albeit at a much slower pace than a month ago.
Investors will also pay attention to the US JOLT jobs data for March and the second round of US-Japan tariff talks, due out today.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to move sideways as there is no fundamental impact big enough to break the structure to create a short-term trend. But in terms of position, gold is currently likely to decline as the RSI is pointing down quite far from 50, 50 in this case acts as the nearest target support indicating that there is still room for downside ahead in the short term.
However, in the overall picture, gold is still trending up mainly due to supporting factors such as the trending price channel as the main trend, the main support from EMA21 and as long as gold is above EMA21, in/above the price channel, it is still in the main uptrend, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
During the day, gold is expected to accumulate with the main uptrend, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 – 3,267 – 3,245 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3382 - 3380⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3386
→Take Profit 1 3374
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3287 - 3289⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3283
→Take Profit 1 3295
↨
→Take Profit 2 3301
Gold (XAUUSD, 2H) Potential Triangle Structure Near CompletionOn the 2-hour timeframe, gold continues to consolidate inside a well-defined contracting triangle, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows, suggesting reduced volatility before a directional move. The structure appears to follow a five-leg correction (waves 1–5), which may now be nearing completion.
The focus is now on how price reacts to the upper boundary of the triangle, but $3,310 is not a decisive level. Instead, the key signal will come from a breakout from the triangle itself with confirmed follow-through and volume.
Technical view:
– Structure: classic five-leg triangle forming inside the broader retracement
– Volume is increasing on approach to the upper boundary
– Fibonacci retracement levels in play above:
• $3,351 (0.618)
• $3,380 (0.5)
• $3,443 (0.236)
– Critical support remains along the lower triangle base and near the $3,258–$3,192 zone
– Breakdown below $3,192 would invalidate the bullish scenario
Scenario outlook:
This is a hypothetical pattern completion. If the triangle resolves upward, momentum could push price toward $3,350+, aligning with Fibonacci recovery targets.
Conclusion:
Gold is moving toward the decision point inside a contracting triangle. Watch for breakout confirmation from the structure itself — not individual levels. Until confirmed, this remains a potential scenario, not an active signal.
Gold at $3,260: Buy the Fourth Dip?Gold prices have stabilized today after experiencing an earlier decline that represents the fourth dip down to the $3260 level over the past few sessions. The repeated defense of this support level could indicate strong buyer interest at these prices.
Recent reports suggest an easing of trade tensions which might be weakening demand for gold. But have tensions really eased to any great extent? Commerce Sectary Howard Lutnick announced yesterday the U.S. is close to 1 trade agreement with 1 mystery trade partner (rumored to be India? But why not brag about that if true) isn't the kind of progress that consoles me.
But is it time to buy?
The consistent support at $3,260 coupled with a potential move above $3,375 could provide the technical confirmation needed for renewed confidence in this kind of trade.
Gold Trade Plan 22/04/2025Dear Traders,
it seems wave 3 Completed (3500) , And we will have Small correction for Wave 4 ,
Reversal Area :3407-3410
Reversal Area : 3350-3360
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That worked pretty well!
We gave the path yesterday for the potential move up on open and the target level we would be looking for which was 600pips away. Market opened, straight into the target level! It's there we got a small RIP but nothing significant so we decided to wait as Excalibur activated. That gave some traders an opportunity to long again into the target which is where we shared the RIP captured for the short.
We're still not re-testing that level which could mean support below holds at the 3406-10 region and we see a retest of that 3430-35 level during the session to come. It that level again that needs to be watched with the extension of the move into 3450-55 which is now open!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 3360
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 3314
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3361
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3266
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3270 – Major support / Key level
➗ 3360 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 3316 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 3360 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 3270 – Equal lows
• 3360 – Equal highs
Is gold rising or falling?In 1 hour, after gold price fell below the two key positions of 3356 and 3285 today, the support moved down to around 3245. Although there was a rebound in the US market, it is likely to go to the range of 3228 to 3245 before rebounding, so the support references are 3260 and 3245; the end of the market is bearish, and the steady operation is to enter short orders near 3320 to protect the area near 3330. Of course, you can enter short orders near 3310 to see if it can reach the range of 3260 to 3245. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to short on rebounds, and to go long on pullbacks.
Short order strategy; short gold rebounds near 3313-3315 in batches, with a target of around 3280-3270, and a break to see the 3260 line;
Gold on a downswingTechnical analysis: Gold has formed one narrow and one wider Descending Channel on the Hourly 4 and Daily chart. Since Price-action broke below the #3,300.80 first Support with force (and comfortably Trading above it), the Hourly 4 chart’s reversal crossed into a Bearish territory, and with DX still on multi-Month downtrend (struggling to make Bullish comeback for more than #2-session horizon), Sellers re-appeared as Gold entered the Bearish formation, with #3,252.80 - #3,262.80 Support zone to monitor. On the other hand, Buying response was expected regardless as Price-action broken the Lower Bollinger bands line (last time such scenario occurred is on the February #27 fractal). As such any pullback towards the #3,300.80 benchmark and apparent rejection remains an additional Selling opportunity. Unless the strong Resistance gets invalidated (#3,300.80 Top of the Resistance zone), Bearish sentiment remains intact however personally, break of #3,252.80 benchmark Support could arise Medium-term Sellers which could fill #3,200.80 psychological barrier on Intra-day basis.
My position: Keep Selling every High's unless #3,300.80 benchmark gets invalidated and prepare for #3,262.80 Support test in extension.
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision — Smart Money Moves Only📆 XAUUSD Daily Plan – April 29, 2025
🔥 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues its tactical chess game between premium supply traps and reactive support zones.
Price is currently hovering around 3342, teasing a breakout or another trap inside the 3340–3355 resistance block.
Tomorrow we also have important USD news: 🔵 CB Consumer Confidence
🔵 JOLTS Job Openings
Expect potential volatility during NY session — stay adaptive, not predictive.
🎯 Bias Overview:
HTF Bias (H4–Daily): Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows structure still intact)
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Corrective bullish retrace inside HTF uptrend
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
3340–3355 → Minor Premium Resistance (currently being tested)
3372–3376 → Strong Trap Sell Zone (next immediate target above)
3380–3390 → Major Liquidity Pool (big decision area if price pumps further)
🔻 Support Zones:
3284–3288 → Intraday Demand + Bounce Zone
3233–3237 → HTF Major Reversal Demand
🎯 Refined Sniper Zones:
🟩 Buy Zone #1: 3284–3288
(H1 demand cluster + previous clean reaction)
🟩 Buy Zone #2: 3233–3237
(Deep HTF OB + untapped liquidity anchor)
🟥 Sell Zone #1: 3372–3376
(M15–H1 OB + liquidity trap setup)
🟥 Sell Zone #2: 3380–3390
(Premium supply and major liquidity sweep)
👀 Eyes On:
Reaction at 3372–3390: Weak rejections = tactical sell opportunities.
Respect for 3284–3288: Bullish continuation if defended strongly.
Violation below 3230: HTF momentum shift possible toward deeper discount.
📢 Final Message:
Gold’s setting traps for both bulls and bears — but we’re hunting precision, not chaos. 🏹
Patience = Power.
Confirmation = Survival.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
"First wicks grab liquidity. First breakouts fool emotions.
We wait for the second reaction — that's where the sniper eats."
If this map helps you stay focused, smash that ❤️ and follow, drop your thoughts below, and let's trade the smart flow together! 🚀✨
Gold Trap Zones vs. Bounce Zones — Daily Flow Outlook April 30 Gold Battle Plan – Liquidity Games Reloaded 🎮💥
Gold’s Not Done — Next Move is Loading… You In? ⚔️🧨
No Guessing. No Praying. Just Precision – GoldMindsFX Flow 🔥✨
🧠 Macro & Market Context:
Gold continues to range between 3380–3260, with no clean breakout yet. Price action since yesterday has remained reactive and indecisive — still trapped inside the larger structure.
Today’s USD Events (High Impact):
🗣️ Trump Speech
🟦 ADP Non-Farm Employment
🟧 Advance GDP q/q
🟨 Employment Cost Index
🟧 Core PCE + Pending Home Sales
Expect volatility — especially NY session. Liquidity spikes likely.
🧭 Market Bias:
HTF Bias (Daily, H4): Still bullish overall as long as 3230–3240 is respected.
LTF Flow (M15–H1): Consolidation with small bullish attempts — structure still undecided.
📌 Key Structural Zones (Sniper Focus):
🔺 Sell Zones (Premium Supply)
3372–3376 → Trap Sell OB (M15–H1)
→ Price was previously rejected hard from here
3380–3390 → High-Volume Liquidity Pool
→ Major decision zone if price extends upside
🟩 Buy Zones (Discount Demand)
3284–3288 → Clean H1 Demand Reaction + Internal Liquidity
→ This zone triggered a 500+ pip rally this week
3233–3237 → Deep HTF OB + Untapped Liquidity
→ Must-hold level for HTF bullish bias to remain intact
👀 Eyes On Today:
3317–3325 → Micro structure to monitor. If bulls hold above this area, we may retest 3350–3372.
3284 → First bounce zone for reentry if NY dips.
Rejection below 3280 = eyes on 3233–3237.
🔥 Trading Focus Tip:
It’s a news-driven day. Your job isn’t to predict — it’s to wait, react, and strike with logic.
Snipers don’t rush. We let liquidity come to us.
💬 Final Note:
Goldie's still stuck in the cage — but today might be the breakout tease. Don’t chase, don’t guess — just watch the flow and let price tell you the truth. 🎯
Smart moves only. No fluff, just levels.
Let me know — are you watching the bounce or hunting the trap? Drop your zone bias 💬👇
📢 If this helped map your zones, hit that ❤️, smash follow, and drop your bias in the comments — are you stalking 3285 or sniping the 3370 trap? Let’s trade smart, not loud. 🚀💛
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out perfectly completing all our targets.
We started with our Bullish target at 3341 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3362 and 3382, as ema5 didn't catch up for the lock due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation. The final gap at 3410 did give us the ema5 cross and lock confirmation above 3384 opening 3410 and then completed the target perfectly!!
This 1H chart idea is now complete. We can now move onto our 4H chart idea for the remaining targets to track and trade throughout the week. However, If we see price fall back into the 1h chart range, then we can continue to use the levels bellow, as they should be respected.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Market Outlook & Short Update
Regarding Gold.
I received multiple requests to provide the update after
the price bounced to a target level, as I predicted earlier on Sunday.
At the moment, we see a perfect example of a consolidation.
The price is trading within a horizontal parallel channel - range.
As always, the market will most likely continue staying within that till the release
of important high impact news.
The closest ones we can find in the economic calendar.
Tomorrow we are expecting US GDP and Personal Spending Data.
For now, probabilities will be high that a consolidation will continue.
Consider looking for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the range.
After a news release, a breakout of the range will provide a strong confirmation
and accurately indicate the future direction of the market.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold rangingTechnical analysis: Gold naturally found Buyers as Buying pressure is evident on the charts from DX on Selling sequence and #3,262.80 Support preserved. It is important to note that #3,352.80 benchmark represents next Resistance zone, which was near Weekly (#1W) High’s as Price-action could find strong rejection there (as it did throughout Asian session) and deny the Buying response in extension. If broken, Price-action will be calling for #3,362.80 - #3,372.80 Resistance extension which may represent the local Top's for now and for current fractal. I will engage my orders accordingly and wait for suitable entry even though I have closed my Selling order on #3,288.80 ahead of the final push above the Resistance. However, Gold re-tested and was again rejected on the Hourly 4 chart’s Support keeping the Bullish bias alive. The Engulfing candle Bearish reversal candle on Hourly 1 chart succeeded at rejecting the Price-action and catching already the #32% Fibonacci level. I expect the last Daily chart’s candle to test again the #3,252.80 former Resistance now turned to Support when DX finds the Support zone and engages relief rally.
My position: I am currently Trading with caution as Fundamental side can deliver aggressive side Swing anytime, however I am taking excellent Scalp orders since Price-action is delivering optimal configuration to do so.
Hanzo | Gold15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish after Breakout at 3290
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
💯 Main Focus: Bullish after Breakout at 3360
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
🩸 15M Time Frame Analysis
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab
—
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3440
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3470
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3240 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3200 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥Key Level / Equal Area
—
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3195
Key Level / Equal High Formation - 3245
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3239
X6 Retest Valid Key level - 3212
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
XAUUSDselling XAUUSD NOW
sl 3474
tp 3365
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short on gold
NOTE: im the best Gold trader in the world
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Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Next Move?? Read CaptionHello my mates, I hope you are doing well and you have good days.
As you can see gold has touched almost 3500 last time and fallen, Gold was flying due to tariff. now the current price is 3337 and I expect that if gold breaks the 3368 gold can make another ATH and if gold breaks 3314 next move will be 3248.
What do you think about it??
Kindly share your ideas in comment section.