XAUUSDAnother trade for today is once again from Gold—no surprises there! 😊
My strategy has just signaled a buy opportunity on the precious metal, and I wanted to share this setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3374.92
✔️ Take Profit: 3384.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 3370.21
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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XAUUSD trade ideas
Oil prices soar after Israel attacks IranIsrael launched an airstrike on Iran in the early hours of Friday (June 13), targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and senior military commanders, once again escalating tensions in the region. The head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard was reportedly killed, and the military leader was not the only target. Six Iranian nuclear scientists were also killed in the attack.
Iran has responded by launching more than 100 drones, some of which may have been intercepted by Israel's "Iron Dome" air defense system.
The attack came as the United States and Iran were negotiating a new deal that could have allowed Iran to maintain a limited nuclear program in exchange for reduced sanctions on its oil exports. The next round of talks, originally scheduled for Sunday, has been canceled by Iran, although the United States claims that it was not involved in the night attack.
Crude oil futures give up some early gains
Oil prices soared after news of the attack broke. WTI and Brent crude futures initially jumped more than 10% before retreating, narrowing gains to nearly 6% during European trading hours.
While there are no signs that Israel attacked any Iranian oil facilities, this major escalation has the potential to turn into something more nasty, such as a wider and more prolonged regional conflict. At the very least, the recent nuclear deal has been put on hold, which provides a floor for oil prices even if tensions ease in the coming days.
Dollar rebounds from three-year low
Safe haven assets, including the battered dollar, also rose, while stocks fell sharply. The dollar regained some of its appeal today and rebounded as geopolitical risks intensified. The dollar outperformed other safe haven currencies, including the yen and Swiss franc, despite rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after weak U.S. CPI and PPI data this week.
However, the dollar may still face pressure in the long run: the trade war is not going to end in the short term, while Trump has again raised the possibility of intervening in Fed policy.
On Thursday, Trump expressed his dissatisfaction with the government's annual $600 billion debt interest payments due to high interest rates, saying "I may have to take some coercive measures."
His cryptic comments heightened market anxiety, coming a day after he said on Wednesday that countries would unilaterally set tariffs if no trade deal was reached by the July 9 deadline.
Later today, the focus will turn to the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer confidence survey. Ahead of the data, the dollar rose about 0.3% against a basket of currencies, recovering from a more than three-year low hit yesterday.
Yen edged higher ahead of Bank of Japan decision
The yen was also positive today (except against the dollar), further boosted by a Bloomberg report that Bank of Japan officials expect inflation to be slightly higher than expected this year, even though markets expect no rate hike at next week's meeting.
The June decision is likely to focus on the Bank of Japan's bond-buying program as markets worry that long-term yields have risen too quickly. But any slowdown in the reduction of bond purchases is likely to be accompanied by a more hawkish outlook on short-term rates.
Gold shines as stocks avoid a sharp sell-off
Meanwhile, gold prices broke through the $3,400 mark, heading towards April's all-time high of $3,500. If military tensions between Israel and Iran escalate further, the precious metal could well hit new records. In addition, heightened doubts about whether the U.S. can sign new trade deals with major trading partners in time for the next deadline also provide significant support for gold prices in the short term.
The only surprise is that despite all the uncertainty, stock markets have been relatively resilient: Asian stocks fell less than 1% on Friday, while European stocks and U.S. futures are currently down 1%-1.5%. FX:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
The situation in the Middle East has triggered global shock
The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply.
Global financial markets are experiencing a violent shock caused by a geopolitical storm. The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, especially Israel's military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, has caused crude oil prices to soar, safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc have been sought after, while Asian stocks and Wall Street stock index futures have fallen sharply. Investors have adjusted their investment strategies against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty, and market sentiment seems to be uneasy.
Middle East conflict escalates: Israel's "preemptive strike" has attracted global attention
Israel's military action against Iran
On Friday (June 13), Israel announced a so-called "preemptive strike" against Iran, targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders. Israel claimed that the action was aimed at preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons and warned that the military action would last for a long time. In response to possible retaliation from Iran, Israel has declared a state of emergency. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio publicly stated that Israel's action was a unilateral action taken out of self-defense, showing its tough attitude towards the situation in the Middle East.
Iran's tough response
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard responded quickly and issued a statement saying that Israel would pay a "heavy price" for killing the Revolutionary Guard Commander-in-Chief Salami. This statement further exacerbated market concerns that the situation in the Middle East might get out of control. Analysts pointed out that Iran's possible retaliatory actions, including missile and drone attacks, would further escalate regional tensions and bring more uncertainty to the global economy and energy markets.
Crude oil prices soared: supply risks pushed up oil prices
Oil prices once soared 14%, hitting a recent high
Directly affected by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, the global crude oil market responded quickly. Brent crude oil futures prices once rose by $8 to $78.47 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate oil prices rose 14% to $77.62 per barrel, the highest since January 21. Market concerns about oil supply disruptions in the Middle East are the main driving force behind the surge in oil prices. Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank, pointed out that if geopolitical tensions continue to intensify, crude oil prices may continue to rise.
Outlook for the energy market
As a key region for global energy supply, any escalation of conflict in the Middle East could lead to disruptions in oil production and transportation. Analysts warn that if Iran retaliates, it could further push up oil prices and even trigger a global energy crisis. This not only poses a challenge to countries that rely on imported energy, but may also increase global inflationary pressures.
Safe-haven assets are hot: gold approaches historical highs, Swiss franc and yen strengthen
Gold prices approach record highs
Against the backdrop of rising risk aversion in the market, gold has become the focus of investors' pursuit. Spot gold prices once rose 1.7% to about $3,444 per ounce, just one step away from the all-time high of $3,500.05 set in April. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often favored when geopolitical and economic uncertainties intensify.
Swiss franc and yen appreciate
In addition to gold, safe-haven currencies are also sought after by the market. The Swiss franc rose about 0.58% against the U.S. dollar (CHF=EBS) to 0.8072; the yen appreciated 0.4% against the U.S. dollar, but now both have given up their gains due to the rise in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index fell first and then rose, and is now up 0.5% to 98.36, indicating that the market demand for the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset is also increasing.
U.S. Treasuries are in demand
The U.S. Treasury market also reflects the rising risk aversion. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell 1% to 4.31%, a one-month low, indicating that investors prefer to hold low-risk assets in turbulent times.
Global stock markets are under pressure: Asian stocks and U.S. stock futures fell sharply
Asian stock markets plunged
Asian stock markets generally fell on Friday, dragged down by the sharp drop in Wall Street stock index futures. Japan's Nikkei index fell 1.6% at one point, South Korea's benchmark stock index fell 1.7% at one point, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1% at one point. MooMoo strategist Jessica Amir said that global stock markets have continued to rise since April, and the MSCI global market stock index hit a record high this week, but the market is ready for a correction, and the escalation of the situation in the Middle East is just a catalyst to trigger the decline.
US and European stock index futures plummeted
US S&P index futures fell 2% at one point, Nasdaq index futures fell 2.1% at one point, and the pan-European STOXX 50 index futures fell 1.6%. Market analysts pointed out that investors tend to cut risk positions before the weekend to cope with the uncertainty that the situation in the Middle East may further deteriorate.
Market Outlook: Dual Pressures of Geopolitics and Trade Policy
Geopolitical risks continue to ferment
Charu Chanana of Saxo Bank pointed out that the escalation of geopolitics has added new uncertainties to the already fragile market sentiment. If the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, crude oil and safe-haven assets will continue to be sought after, and global stock markets may face greater downward pressure. Investors need to pay close attention to Iran's response and Israel's subsequent military actions.
Uncertainty in trade policy
At the same time, US President Trump's trade policy has also added pressure on the global economy. Tariff barriers and trade restrictions may further weaken global economic growth expectations, and combined with geopolitical risks in the Middle East, they may have a more far-reaching impact on financial markets.
Summary: Investment strategies in market turmoil
The sudden escalation of the situation in the Middle East has plunged global financial markets into turmoil, with soaring crude oil prices, strengthening safe-haven assets, and sharp declines in stock markets, reflecting investors' high sensitivity to uncertainty. In the coming days, Iran's response and the mediation efforts of the international community will become the focus of market attention. For investors, in a highly volatile market environment, it would be a wise choice to remain cautious, pay attention to safe-haven assets, and closely follow geopolitical developments. At the same time, the trade and energy challenges facing the global economy also remind us that future uncertainties may be far from over. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
GOLD , Making New H.H , 2 Scalping Long Entries, Don`t Miss It Here is my 2 scalping long entries on Gold , if the price close above the highest res , we can wait the price to go back to retest it and then we can enter a new buy scalping trade to create the new H.H . Very Easy And Simple Analysis . Make It Easy Always To Can Continue .
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals.
Core Setup
Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276).
A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move.
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets:
TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8%
Scenario 2: Correction First
Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to:
TP1: $2,920
TP2: $2,650
If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected.
Macro Alignment
Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid.
Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold.
Inverse correlation with DXY:
DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold
DXY above 100 → signals correction
Effect on Altcoins
If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins.
If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold.
This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3396.6
Sl - 3389.4
Tp - 3413.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3472.00, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal
Our take profit will be at 3403.57, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 2529.80, above the 127.2% Fib extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Gold Buy Setup📍 GOLD 4H BUY SETUP
Price bounced perfectly off a major demand zone, reclaiming structure and pushing above the Ichimoku cloud — classic bullish confirmation.
✅ Entered at 3372 with a tight SL at 3331
🎯 Targeting 3499 — key buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs
📊 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.18 (High probability setup)
We’ve got:
Strong volume surge off demand
EMA support holding firm
Structure break + reaccumulation
📈 Eyes on wave continuation — clean long into liquidity.
XAU/USD(20250613) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3374
Support and resistance levels:
3434
3412
3397
3351
3337
3314
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3397, consider buying in, and the first target price is 3412
If the price breaks through 3374, consider selling in, and the first target price is 3351
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad day on the markets but the ranging only allowed us to scalp and take short trades from the bias level published and the extension level which did give an extremely decent move downside.
We now have support at the 3320 level with resistance 3330 which should be attacked if support holds. There is a level below 3310-12 which needs to be kept an eye on for the Asian session, but for now we'll stick with the plan.
Tomorrow we have a lot of news and after the accumulation over the last two days we're expecting some aggressive price action. Take it easy, play the game and remember, large lots on small accounts blow accounts.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299✅, 3297✅, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345✅, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320✅, 3332✅, if held above 3335✅, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299✅, 3295✅, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,339.09 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,331.49..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Htf Levels for gold In this video I look at the Higher term timeframe and mark what I consider to be 2 relevant levels looking forward for the month of June .
At the present we are sitting in the middle of the range but at some point we will break out or down from that range and the levels I have highlighted may be of guidance for gold traders.
In this video I use the Trend based Fib Extension, Tr pocket , vwap and standard fibs.
gold market sideways towards upsidegold market sideways towards upside
what happen first week was a gold rush towards 3400 after a gap on Monday.
when reaches on Thursdays there was a strong 600pip rejections however when gold dip to 3295 of Monday gap. it fulfil coverage of FVG.
and pushes gold back to 3338. from which respecting support at 3302 and pushes back up to 3349 yesterday. and pullback only to 3316.
at the moment the market showing signs of recovery as EQL was formed, HH & HL is present. so potential for gold to retest 3400 is higher.
bias is bullish. however we have 3345-50, 3375, 3340 itself as resistance where current support stands at 3302,312,3316 and 3327.