$XAUUSD - A Corrective Pullback Will Keep The Pressure HigherOANDA:XAUUSD - Price is setting up for a lower-degree fourth-wave pullback towards the 38.2% Fib. retracement of wave ((iii)). Once that is achieved, the uptrend will resume.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a buying opportunity around 3000 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU/USD analysis forecast for next week.# *gold Analysis of the 1-hour time frame Chart:*
#### *1. Tools Used:*
- *Trend Lines:*
- Two trend lines forming a rising channel (ascending structure).
- A breakout below the lower trendline, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
- *Smart Money Concepts (SMC):*
- *BOS (Break of Structure):* Confirms a continuation of a trend.
- *CHOCH (Change of Character):* Indicates a potential market shift.
- *SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):* Suggests a possible liquidity grab before price moves lower.
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#### *2. Patterns Applied:*
- *Ascending Channel:*
- The price was moving within a rising channel before breaking down.
- *Breakout & Retest Pattern:*
- Price broke below the trendline and is retesting the breakout zone, confirming a potential short (sell) entry.
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#### *3. Trade Setup & Expected Movement:*
- *Entry:* After the breakout and retest of the trendline.
- *Stop Loss (SL):* Above the previous high (around 3,061.89).
- *Take Profit (TP):* Around 2,983, targeting the next liquidity zone.
- *Risk/Reward:* The setup follows a trend reversal approach, with a bearish expectation.
### *Conclusion:*
- The chart suggests a *bearish setup* after the breakout.
- The structure indicates a *potential downtrend* with a retest confirming sell entries.
- If price moves back inside the channel, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
Would you like a risk/reward ratio analysis for this trade?
Gold swing trade with buy and sell levelsThis week we are looking to sell Gold down to previous resistance which aligns with Fibonacci 0.382 level for a sell total pips of 309.
When we reach our take profit we will go back into a buy at 2994 and a take profit target of 3053 for an additional pip count of 588 pips.
Trade idea is based on higher time frame and uses trend lines as well as support and resistance and Fibonacci levels.
With these type of trades expect to go into some drawdown that's why I recommend using small lots and securing profit along the way .
Check out my weekly gold forecast with both buy and sell entries posted below.
Gold 3030 line still needs to be shortedThe weekly closing line is mediocre, with shadows but not long, indicating that the short momentum above is not strong. The same is true for the daily line, with a long lower shadow pattern, which offsets the original strong downward pressure of the evening star, causing some participants to start to tangle. The market is likely to sweep up and down at the beginning of the week, and oscillate to measure the strength of the ups and downs. Note that if gold refreshes the 3,000 low this week, gold is expected to fall back to the 2957-65 top and bottom conversion position this week.
The gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn downward, and is about to cross downward. If the gold 1-hour moving average crosses downward to form a dead cross short arrangement, then the gold downside may open up. The gold 1-hour moving average resistance has now moved down to around 3035. So the gold 1-hour will continue to be short at highs despite the pressure at 3035 in the early trading. The gold 1-hour high has formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold bulls cannot break through the new high again, the gold 1-hour is in the process of building a high top.
In addition, the opening of this week continued the weak adjustment of last week. Today, as in the weekly review, it is still bearish and retracement. For shocks, prices fluctuate, and it is difficult for us to think unilaterally. It depends on which side you grab. The upper resistance focuses on the early high of 3026, and the second is the opening point of last week at 3035! In the short term, all the divergences and indicators on the gold hourly chart have been corrected. Now it is correcting after oversold, which resonates with the big cycle. Pay attention to the continuous pull-down of the high point during the day, which resonates with the Bollinger Bands.
Gold rebounds to 3025-30 short, stop loss at 3035, target 3010-05.
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Confirm the Next Move(🆚) GOLD – The Way of the Silent Blade
🔥 Bullish Break Out Path – 3025
🩸Liquidity Sweep – Institutions grab liquidity before pushing higher.
🩸CHoCH – Trend shift confirmation.
🩸Key Level Retest – Strong breakout zone.
🩸Weekly/Monthly Zone – Institutional accumulation.
👌 Entry: Break 3025 + volume → Retest → Long position → Secure profits.
🔥 Bearish Break Out Path – 3014
🩸Liquidity Sweep – Stop-clearing before reversal.
🩸CHoCH – Bearish trend confirmation.
🩸Key Level Retest – Historical reaction zone.
🩸Weekly/Monthly Zone – High-probability sell area.
👌 Entry: Break 3014 + momentum → Retest → Short position → Target lower liquidity.
☄️ Trading Insights:
💯 Liquidity moves the market.
✈️ Volume confirms breakouts.
👍 Precision wins—no hesitation.
XAU/USD Analysis: Bearish Pullback Towards $3,000 SupportXAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) Technical Analysis - 1H Chart
1. Price Action & Trend Analysis
The market has been in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, the price faced resistance near the $3,040 level, leading to a rejection.
A pullback is currently in progress, suggesting a possible retracement to a demand zone.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): Around $3,040 - $3,045 where price has been rejected multiple times.
Support Zone (Demand Zone): Around $3,000 - $3,005, a previous accumulation area.
Current Price: $3,023.695
3. Market Structure & Expected Move
The price tested the resistance zone, failed to break above, and is now reacting downward.
A bearish projection (as shown in the chart) suggests a potential move toward the $3,000 - $3,005 support zone.
If the price reaches this level and finds buying pressure, we could see a reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
4. Indicators & Confluence Factors
Support-Resistance Flip: The previous support at $3,000 could act as a strong support again.
Bearish Momentum: Short-term price action suggests sellers are gaining control after rejection at resistance.
Liquidity Zones: The highlighted purple zones represent institutional order blocks where significant buy/sell orders exist.
5. Trading Plan & Strategy
Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,000, we could see further downside pressure.
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from $3,000 could provide buying opportunities for another attempt at breaking $3,040.
6. Conclusion
The market is currently retracing from resistance, and a short-term bearish move is expected toward $3,000.
Traders should watch for price reaction at $3,000 to determine if it holds as support or breaks for further downside.
Gold shock adjustmentDuring the decline of gold price on Friday, the high point was moving downward and the low point was also moving in steps. Let's see whether the decline here is caused by the selling behavior of long orders at high positions or the peak of gold price. We will follow the trend to implement the high-altitude strategy to be bearish. The main focus below is the support of Friday's low of 3000, followed by the conversion position of the previous high of 2954; as for resistance, we must first pay attention to the last high point of the rebound during the decline of 3038, followed by 3046 and 3057. On the whole, if the opening price touches 3038 above, we can go short and look at the downward trend; if the opening price touches the integer mark of 3000 below, we can go long and look at the rebound.
continue downtrend , GOLD⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady above the key $3,000 level for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, though it struggles to reclaim the previous session’s peak. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs set for next week continues to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal. At the same time, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure following Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected macroeconomic data, providing additional support for gold’s upward momentum.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to decrease, around 2990 - 3000
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3039 - $3041 SL $3046
TP1: $3030
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3010
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2992 - $2990 SL $2985
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3008
TP3: $3018
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold buysif this 30 minute candle retraces and breaks the high, then we can go for a quick scalp with SL below the previous 30 minute candle low.
GoldGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – March 26, 2025
📊 Current Price: $3,015
📈 Entry Zone: Waiting for a bullish candle confirmation at support
🎯 Target 1: $3,020
🎯 Target 2: $3,027
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,009
Analysis Summary:
Gold is testing support around $3,015 with a possible bullish reversal.
A bullish candle confirmation may indicate a move towards $3,020 and $3,027.
Risk management: Stop loss placed below $3,009 to limit downside.
GoldXAUUSD
- RSI - Divergence
- Point of Interest
- Break of Structure and Retracement
- Order Block
- Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Gold cont respect this bearish trend line Now this move possibleGold forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Gold cont respect this bearish trend line. Not financial advice.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation."
Overview:
The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support)
🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level)
🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target)
Analysis:
✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off.
✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts.
✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected.
✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044.
Trade Idea:
📉 Sell below: $3,028
🎯 Target: $2,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade.
🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
Gold delivering excellent Intra-day opportunitiesAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: The current Weekly candle is at (# +3.96%), indicating strong Bullish continuation bias, extending the green Daily candle streak to #5. Symmetrical candle patterns is the sum of an otherwise pale session with the Price-action pivoting around #3,020’s on High Volatility scenario. My formula points that Investors are waiting today's U.S. session to set the (probable Bullish continuation) pace on Gold. Gold might stay consolidating until Fed Rate announcement later on throughout the session as I keep Buying every Low's on Gold. #3,022.80 is my Support for the fractal. Since my Profit is excellent, I will not Trade Fed announcement and will monitor from sidelines. For those who will, I do expect Rate to remain unchanged."
Technical analysis: Hourly 4 chart has turned semi-Neutral as Gold has completed #4 straight sideways Hourly 1 chart’s candles that may be supported above the #3,022.80 Support configuration however at the same time failing to close above the Daily chart’s #3,052.80 benchmark on multiple occasions which is the deciding factor between a Bull and Bear breakout. The Rate announcement was this week’s catalyst and even though it's the DX that's mostly correlated with Gold at the moment (lately), I continue to monitor closely aswell the Bond Yield Trading near (#1W) Weekly chart’s local High’s. All this above displays very mixed Intra-day picture on Gold regarding both Short-term which I am so far utilizing to it's maximum. Gold is Trading comfortably above the Support fractal formation on Daily chart as I see no firm reasons why Buying trend may be altered however.
My position: I have Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session on #3,029.80 and closed on #3,040.80 and re-Sold many Top's. I am waiting currently for area to be engulfed as I will re-Buy Gold as near as #3,022.80 towards #3,037.80 Resistance in extension. Gold is delivering excellent Intra-day #8 - #10-point Profit opportunities which I am utilizing to it's maximum.
Gold Trading SignalsOn Friday night, it bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and rebounded to close at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, which can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it opens here on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the 3038 line pressure to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the 3038 line pressure above, and you can see more rebounds around the 3010 line support below. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the short position at 3033 rebounded in the afternoon, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening, with the remaining profit at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly.
XAUUSD: Battle for New Highs – Bullish or Bearish?🚨 Attention Traders!🚨
🔥 XAUUSD is on FIRE! Price action is 🔥, and we're seeing a major battle at 3004 - 3014! Will it break out?
Bearish Alert 📉: If price dips below this zone, we could see targets around 2988 and 2998. Keep an eye on these support levels!
Bullish Opportunity 📈: A breakout above 2911 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for moves above 3025 with targets at 3035 and 3050.
💬 Join the convo! Share your thoughts & strategies — let’s ride the gold wave together and catch these opportunities! 🚀✨
Bullish bounce off pullback support?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,983.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,952.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,028.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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XAUUSD Weekly Analysis – Bearish Correction ExpectedGold (XAUUSD) has recently broken above a rising wedge resistance on the weekly timeframe but is now showing early signs of potential exhaustion. Price action is currently hovering around the $3,024 level after a strong bullish rally. However, historical patterns and structure suggest a possible bearish correction ahead.
📊 Key Technical Observations:
Rising Wedge Pattern: Price has been following an ascending channel with a sharp parabolic curve. The structure hints at overextension, making it vulnerable to a pullback.
Previous Corrections: Two notable corrections (-8.89% and -8.15%) provide a historical benchmark, reinforcing the possibility of a similar retracement.
Bearish Scenario :
A potential double-top formation and rejection zone is developing around the $3,050 area.
Target Zones:
TP1: $2,935.95 – first major support/resistance flip zone.
TP2: $2,782.94 – deeper retracement aligned with previous corrective structure.
🧠 Trading Bias:
Bearish bias in the short to medium term as gold may seek to correct before any continuation of the bullish trend.
Closing final Selling order / #151 Profits rowAs discussed throughout my morning's commentary: "Technical analysis: Gold has invalidated the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel and altered the #4-session Buying spree on Gold. As Gold didn’t recovered Resistance belt on one try / hit after decent decline, Neutral Belt Trading continuation is on the cards, with today's #3,022.80 - #3,037 (#3,045.80) zone to Trade within which, if invalidated can continue the relief rally, otherwise Gold is timed for a downswing. Of course much is attributed to the ongoing fluid Fundamentals whose late optimistic developments (deal hopes) are now pulling the Price-action back downwards (assisting downside as well the debacle on many announcements). I have the next Support at #3,022.80 where the Price-action should meet the Higher High’s Lower zone (many similarities with May #9 fractal) and continue the decline if it gets invalidated towards #3,000.80 pressure point (benchmark). However, Daily chart’s trendline is still preserved and Gold closed the market above the Support zone for the fractal, indicating that Gold will not remain heavily pressured and many Buying opportunities will arise."
I have firstly closed Buying order (#3,030.80 - #3,038.80) and re-Sold there closing my Selling order on #3,018.80 / (#3,038.80 - #3,018.80) finishing week in excellent fashion, having #151 Profits row and #24 Stop-loss hits regarding December #2023 - March #2025. I will use this chance to congratulate Traders who followed my calls and had patience to keep the orders, well done. I am taking weekend break with my capital ready for next week's opportunities.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal – Potential Sell SetupAnalysis Overview
The 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a possible head formation, indicating a potential trend reversal. The price has faced resistance near the 3,053 level, leading to a rejection. The current price action suggests a bearish movement, with a possible downside target at the support zones marked in the chart.
Key Levels:
📍 Resistance: 3,053
📍 Current Price: 3,030
📍 Target Levels: 2,978 / 2,962 / 2,931
📍 Major Support: 2,881
Trading Plan
🔴 Sell Entry: Below 3,030
🎯 Target: 2,978 / 2,962 (Short-Term), 2,931 / 2,881 (Extended)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3,053
Technical Outlook
The market structure suggests a potential breakdown.
Confirmation will be needed through further bearish momentum.
Traders should watch for rejection candles or breakdown from key levels.
📊 What’s Your Take on Gold? Will it hit the lower support levels? Let me know in the comments! 👇
GoldGold is currently correcting, forming an ABC-type correction, but at the same time, this could be seen as a re-accumulation, expecting higher prices.
In the middle of this process, a smaller range have formed. Waiting for a Shake Out and test
Excellent Intra-day ProfitsAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout yesterday's session on #3,029.80 and closed on #3,040.80 and re-Sold many Top's. I am waiting currently for area to be engulfed as I will re-Buy Gold as near as #3,022.80 towards #3,037.80 Resistance in extension. Gold is delivering excellent Intra-day #8 - #10-point Profit opportunities which I am utilizing to it's maximum."
I have closed my first Buying order (#3,027.80 - #3,040.80), Sold Gold from #3,040's multiple times towards #3,032.80 and Bought Gold multiple times from #3,032.80 throughout yesterday's session / my rough Projection #35 - #45-point Profits all in total. Gold is delivering Intra-day Profit opportunities as said many times throughout my this week's remarks.
Technical analysis: Gold has invalidated the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel and altered the #4-session Buying spree on Gold. As Gold didn’t recovered Resistance belt on one try / hit after decent decline, Neutral Belt Trading continuation is on the cards, with today's #3,022.80 - #3,037 (#3,045.80) zone to Trade within which, if invalidated can continue the relief rally, otherwise Gold is timed for a downswing. Of course much is attributed to the ongoing fluid Fundamentals whose late optimistic developments (deal hopes) are now pulling the Price-action back downwards (assisting downside as well the debacle on many announcements). I have the next Support at #3,022.80 where the Price-action should meet the Higher High’s Lower zone (many similarities with May #9 fractal) and continue the decline if it gets invalidated towards #3,000.80 pressure point (benchmark). However, Daily chart’s trendline is still preserved and Gold closed the market above the Support zone for the fractal, indicating that Gold will not remain heavily pressured and many Buying opportunities will arise.
My position: I will continue Trading #3,022.80 - #3,045.80 Neutral Rectangle (now slowly becoming Bullish Megaphone pattern) for more Profits and weekend break.
