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XAUUSD trade ideas

ADP-NF factor to help gold price return to 3400?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices gave back part of Monday’s gains, slipping over 0.80% on Tuesday, as robust U.S. labor market data reinforced the case for a strong economy and pressured the non-yielding metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,348, after reaching an intraday peak of $3,392. Investor sentiment brightened after the latest U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed a sharp uptick in job vacancies for April, signaling continued tightness in the labor market. The upbeat data comes ahead of a pivotal week packed with employment reports, including Wednesday’s ADP Employment Change for May and Friday’s highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls, both of which could shape expectations for Federal Reserve policy. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices maintain bullish momentum, tariff momentum coupled with current unfavorable economic data ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3411- 3413 SL 3418 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3390 TP3: $3380 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3332- $3330 SL $3325 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3358 TP3: $3370 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Breaking the big frame, gold price returns to accumulation✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/09/2025 - 06/13/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices declined for a second straight session on Friday, yet remain on track to close the week with a gain of over 1.30%, as traders recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing following a stronger-than-expected U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,322, marking a 0.84% daily decline. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the labor market continues to show resilience, with the unemployment rate holding steady from April. Meanwhile, Wall Street staged a modest rebound from Thursday’s losses, despite political tensions flaring between President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, following the House's approval of a bill to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. 🔥 Identify: Gold prices reacted lower after the release of good May employment data. Breaking the H4 uptrend line, gold prices continued to accumulate. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3348, $3400 Support: $3251, $3202 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
When and How to Use Weekly Time Frame in Gold Forex Trading Ignoring weekly time frame chart analysis could cost you big losses in Forex, Gold trading! Discover 3 specific cases when weekly time frame beats daily time frame analysis. Learn the situations when weekly timeframe exposes what daily charts can’t, how to analyze it properly and when to check it. 1. Long-term historic levels When the market trades in a strong bullish or bearish trend and goes beyond recent historic levels, quite often the daily time frame will not be sufficient for the identification of significant supports and resistances. The proven way to identify the next meaningful levels will be to analyze a weekly time frame. Examine a price action on EURAUD forex pair on a daily time frame chart. The market is trading in a strong bullish trend and just updated the high. Checking the historic price action, we don't see any historic resistance on the left. Switching to a weekly time frame chart, we can easily recognize a historic resistance that the price respected 5 years ago. That's a perfect example when weekly t.f revealed a historic price action that a daily didn't. 2. Trend-lines Weekly time frame analysis is important not only for a search of historic levels. It can help you find significant vertical structures - the trend lines. We can easily find several meaningful historic resistances on EURUSD pair on a daily time frame. Though, there are a lot of historic structures there, let's check if there are some hidden structures on a weekly. Weekly time frame reveals 2 important trend lines, one being a vertical support and another being a vertical resistance. With a daily time frame analysis, these trend lines would be missed . 3. More accurate breakout confirmations Some false support and resistance breakouts that you see on a daily could be easily avoided with a weekly time frame analysis. Quite regularly, a daily time frame support or resistance is in fact a weekly structure. And for its breakout, a weekly candle close will provide more accurate confirmation. From a daily time frame perspective, we see a confirmed breakout - a daily candle close above a solid resistance zone. It provides a strong bullish signal on AUDUSD forex pair. However, the violation turned out to be false and dropped. Such a false breakout , could be easily avoided, checking a weekly time frame chart. The underlined resistance is in fact a weekly structure. The price did not manage to close above, and perfectly respected that, starting to fall after its test. Such a deeper analysis would completely change our bias from strong bullish (based solely on a daily) to strongly bearish (based on a daily AND weekly) Remember This Do not ignore and always check a weekly time frame. It shows a unique perspective on the market and reveals a lot of hidden elements that you would not notice. No matter whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, remember that weekly time frame structures are very impactful and accumulate large trading volumes. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Confirmed After Wave C CompletionXAU/USD has completed a classic five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, followed by a clear ABC corrective phase. The price action shows that wave (5) has topped, and the market has since retraced through a three-wave ABC correction inside a well-defined descending channel. Currently, wave C appears to have found support right at the lower trendline of the broader ascending structure, signaling a potential completion of the correction and the beginning of a new bullish impulse. The reaction from this level is strong, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to drive the next leg higher Wave Count: 5-wave impulse up, followed by ABC correction Structure: Wave C completed at key channel support Momentum: Bullish recovery expected if price holds above recent swing low T1: 3332.268 T2: 3354.078 SL: 3289.400
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Money_Dictators
Maintain price increase, NF will help gold price above 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: He stated that U.S. and Chinese negotiators would soon convene at a yet-to-be-determined location, a development that lifted market sentiment and weighed on gold prices as risk appetite strengthened. This shift occurred despite underwhelming U.S. economic data, which further fueled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, signs of labor market weakness emerged as jobless claims rose, signaling a potential cooling in employment conditions. Meanwhile, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a narrower trade deficit in April, largely attributed to a decline in front-loaded imports ahead of anticipated tariffs. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: anxiously awaiting NF news today, there is pressure to weaken the dollar, NF figures that investors are worried about continue to be negative for DXY ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3449- 3451 SL 3456 TP1: $3436 TP2: $3420 TP3: $3405 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303- $3301 SL $3296 TP1: $3320 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Bulls pressure, gold price grows 3409⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices rallied sharply on Monday, reaching their highest level in over four weeks, as geopolitical risks escalated over the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Renewed tensions on trade between the United States (US) and China prompted investors to buy the yellow metal throughout the day. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,377, up by 2.70%. Market sentiment shifted sour as news broke that Ukraine staged an aerial attack on Russia, which destroyed long-range bombers and other aircraft. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump doubled down on tariffs over steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, and rhetoric against China sent US global equities lower. CNBC reported that Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping could speak this week, but not on Monday. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices maintained their upward momentum at the beginning of the week, tariff tensions and the war with Russia remain unpredictable. Gold prices supported to return to the 3400 zone. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3409- 3411 SL 3416 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3388 TP3: $3372 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3313- $3315 SL $3308 TP1: $3327 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3355 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAUUSD: Bouncing off a former Resistance now turned Support.Gold is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.013, MACD = 32.440, ADX = 32.924) as it made a much needed pullback to test the former LH trendline. This is a Resistance turned Support trendline and as the 4H MA50 holds, we expect the breakout to extend to +7.39% from the bottom. TP = 3,485. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by InvestingScope
GOLD surges to hit $3,371 target, continues to aim for $3,400OANDA:XAUUSD rose nearly 3% as US President Trump's tariff threats ratcheted up trade tensions, spurring investor demand for safe-haven assets and sending the dollar sharply lower. US President Trump said on Friday he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from the US to 50% from the current 25% starting June 4. This has once again disrupted international trade, Reuters reported. A European Commission spokesperson expressed deep regret over the US announcement that it would raise tariffs and said the EU was ready to take countermeasures. Gold prices surged on Monday to a more than four-week high and continued to rise early this morning (Tuesday, June 3) as geopolitical risks from the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated as US President Donald Trump continued to threaten tariffs. Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective June 4, adding to jitters in global markets. Ukraine launched its biggest drone attack since the war against Ukraine on Sunday, targeting a wide swath of Russian air bases on the eve of a second round of direct talks between the two countries. The drones, hidden in trucks, penetrated deep into Russia and hit strategic airfields as far away as eastern Siberia. At the same time, Moscow launched one of its longest drone and missile strikes on Kiev. In key US data on Monday, the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for May showed a contraction in business activity. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May came in at 48.5, down from 48.7 in April, the lowest reading since November. Investors will also be closely watching comments from Federal Reserve policymakers this week for clues on the path of U.S. interest rates. Gold tends to benefit in low-interest-rate environments and times of geopolitical tension. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After reaching the target increase at 3,371 USD, gold temporarily decreased slightly but overall it has enough conditions to continue to increase in price towards the next target at 3,400 USD in the coming time. In the short term, gold also formed an upward price channel, which is noted by the price channel, describing the short-term technical trend. Meanwhile, in terms of momentum, RSI is operating above 50, still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead. For the day, the main outlook for gold is bullish, any pullbacks that fail to break below the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement should be considered only as a short-term correction, or a fresh buying opportunity. Finally, the short-term bullish trend for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: 3,326 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3416 →Take Profit 1 3404 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3398 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3324 - 3326⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3320 →Take Profit 1 3332 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3338
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Wave 3 up is coming for goldHi traders, Last week gold started an impulse wave but after it broke the previous high it made another correction down. So this could be wave 1 and 2 (purple) of wave 3 (blue). Then next week we could see the next impulse wave 3 (purple) up from the bullish 4H FVG on the left. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and an impulse wave up and correction down on a lower timeframe to finish and trade longs again. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Pattern Following my previous analysis, Gold in going up. Your next signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame. A 4H candle close above 3392 will confirm a violation. Next resistances will be 3408 / 3428 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Learn What is TRAILING STOP LOSS | Risk Management Basics In the today's article, we will discuss a trailing stop loss. I will explain to you its concept in simple words and share real market examples. 🛑Trailing stop loss is a risk management tool that allows to protect unrealized profits of an active trading position as long as the price moves in the desired direction. Traditionally, traders trade with fixed stop loss and take profit. Following such an approach, one knows exactly the level where the trade will be closed in a profit and the level where it will be closed in a loss. Take a look at a long trade on USDCAD above. The trade has fixed TP Level - 1.354 and fixed SL Level - 1.341. Once one of these levels is reached, the trade will be closed. Even though the majority of the traders stick to fixed sl and tp, there is one important disadvantage of such an approach – substantial gains could be easily missed . After the market reached TP in USDCAD trade, the price temporarily dropped, then a strong bullish rally initiated and the price went way above the Take Profit level. Potential gains with that long position could be much bigger. Trailing stop solves that issue. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. Take a look at a long trade on USDCHF. Trader expects growth, he opens a long position and sets stop loss – 0.8924, while take profit level is not determined. With a trailing stop loss, the trader usually opens the trade with Stop Loss and WITHOUT Take Profit. As the market starts growing, one decides not to close the trade in profit, but modify stop loss – trail it to the level above the entry. As the market keeps rallying, one TRAILS a stop loss in the direction of the market, protecting the unrealized gains. When the market finally starts falling, the price hits stop loss and a trader closes the trade in a substantial profit. The main obstacle with the application of a trailing stop is to keep it at a distance from current price levels that is not too narrow nor too wide. With a wide stop loss distance, substantial unrealized gains might be washed out with the market reversal. Imagine you predicted a nice bullish rally on Bitcoin. The market bounced nicely after you opened a long position. Trailing stop loss too far from current price levels, all the gains could be easily wiped out. While with a narrow trailing stop distance, one can be stop hunted before the move in the desired direction continues. A trader opens a long trade on EURJPY and the price bounces perfectly as predicted. One immediately trails the stop loss. However, the distance between current prices was too narrow and the position was closed after a pullback. And then market went much higher. In conclusion, I want to note that fixed SL & TP approach is not bad , it is different and for some trading strategies it will be more appropriate. However, because of its limitations, occasionally big moves will be missed. Try trailing stop by your own, combine it with your strategy and I hope that you will make a lot of money with that! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊 At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide. 📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒. However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻. 🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video. ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders, Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇. Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning. Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309. Key Drivers for the Week Ahead: 📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday) US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive". The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST /  04:12 EDT). These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model. The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy. Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥 📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%. 📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows. Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%. 📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄. Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements. Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch: Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move. Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously. Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment. Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃 Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍 India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability. Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️ Gaza Conflict Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point. Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌ Russia / Ukraine In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled. Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️ U.S.–China Trade War Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation. Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔 🌐 Global Trade War The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED. Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗 🏛 Trump vs. Powell Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut. Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯 💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025 Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11. Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑 Technical View 📐 Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome. Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image. As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄 Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩 Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅ Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗ While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting. Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂. Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
XAUUSD - $3,260 Support Level to Determine Next Directional MoveLooking at this Gold 4-hour chart, the precious metal is approaching a critical inflection point as it tests the key support zone around $3,260, which represents a confluence of previous swing lows and represents the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. Two distinct scenarios emerge from this technical setup: first, gold could find buyers at this support level and stage a bounce back toward the $3,400 resistance area, particularly if broader market conditions favor safe-haven assets or if dollar weakness provides additional tailwinds for the metal. Alternatively, a decisive break below the $3,260 support could trigger further selling pressure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $3,180-$3,160 zone, especially if risk appetite improves or if stronger economic data reduces demand for defensive assets. The outcome will largely depend on how price action unfolds at this crucial support level, with volume and momentum providing key clues about which scenario is more likely to play out in the near term. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by financialflagship
Gold back within my Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Selling sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive takedown / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s first Support break, however the pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,288.80 - #3,292.80 well known Support zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition near #3,327.80 local High's. Gold is isolated within Descending Channel formation and if there wasn’t DX on parallel decline, Gold would be significantly Lower under the circumstances. I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side. The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and most of my Intra-day pointers were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Short-term trend stays Bearish though however there will be Bull spikes certainly towards #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 local Resistance zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,312.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Gold has invalidated solid Ascending Channel on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Lower Low extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). My position: My break-out zones are intact as in withih my previous remarks as I will keep operating within #3,288.80 - #3,227.80 Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts. If #3,288.80 - #3,275.80 gives away, #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 is zone to monitor.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
2
GOLD The higher-than-expected US Unemployment Claims (247K actual vs. 236K forecast) suggest emerging softness in the labor market, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Here’s how this data impacts the Fed’s policy outlook: Key Implications for the Fed Labor Market Cooling: The uptick in claims aligns with recent trends of slowing payroll growth (Q1 2025 average: 152K jobs/month vs. Q4 2024: 209K) and a stagnant unemployment rate near 4.2%. Fed projections already anticipate unemployment stabilizing around 4.3% in 2025, but persistent claims increases could signal risks to their "maximum employment" mandate. Rate Cut Probability: The Fed has maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% since May 2025 but emphasized data dependence. Weak labor data strengthens the case for cuts, with markets now pricing in a ~60% chance of a September rate cut (up from ~50% pre-data). The Fed’s March 2025 projections flagged rising unemployment as a risk, with some participants favoring earlier easing if labor conditions deteriorate. Inflation Trade-Off: While unemployment claims rose, wage growth remains elevated . The Fed will weigh labor softness against sticky inflation, A cooling labor market could ease wage pressures, aiding the Fed’s inflation fight and enabling cuts without reigniting price spikes. Market Impact DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to weaken further as rate cut expectations rise. Immediate support at 98.40, with a break targeting 97.00 Equities/Gold: Potential gains as lower rates boost risk assets and non-yielding gold. Bond Yields: 10-year Treasury yields may retreat below 4.40% if markets price in dovish Fed action. What’s Next? June 6 NFP Report: A weak jobs number (<150K) would solidify rate cut bets. June 11 CPI Data: Lower inflation could give the Fed confidence to cut sooner. Fed Decision (July 31): Odds of a cut rise if labor data continues to soften. Conclusion The Fed is likely to prioritize labor market stability over inflation concerns if unemployment claims persist above 240K. While a July cut remains possible, September is the most probable start date for easing, contingent on confirming data.#GOLD
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD → Correction before a decline or continuation of the trend?FX:XAUUSD is testing the liquidity zone during the Asian session and forming a false breakout. The metal is recovering, but the fundamental background remains unstable... On Monday, gold is holding steady at around $3,300 amid a weaker dollar and caution among traders ahead of US-China talks and the release of US inflation data (CPI) on Wednesday. Strong NFP data for May strengthened the dollar and lowered expectations for a Fed rate cut. However, domestic problems in the US are putting pressure on the currency... Markets are adjusting positions ahead of CPI. Geopolitics and domestic unrest in the US are holding back gold's decline, despite possible optimism about a trade deal. Technically, the trend is bullish, with the price previously breaking the structure but rising in the Asian session after a false breakdown of the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Further movement depends on 3330 - 3340 Resistance levels: 33301, 3339, 3375 Support levels: 3301, 3275 The price is heading towards 3330-3340 for a retest. If the dollar continues to decline and gold manages to consolidate above 3340, the bullish trend may continue. BUT! A false breakout of the 3330-3340 zone could trigger a further decline after the bullish structure breaks down. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
GOLD (XAUUSD): Sense of Fear?! As the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are going today, Gold shows clear signs of worry. The market turned bullish after the opening and is currenty breaking a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a daily that we discussed earlier. To confirm the violation, we will need a daily candle close above that. As the results of the talks are still unknown, more moves may occur today. So the today's close will be very important. Let's patiently wait. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold Trade plan 02/06/2025Dear Traders. ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Momentum Building Toward New Highs The strong descending channel has been decisively broken, and the momentum generated from this breakout suggests a real potential to push beyond the all-time high. 📈 Strategy in Play: We’re looking to enter on corrective pullbacks, riding the momentum with buy setups — and plan to take profit near the upper boundary of the broader channel. This structure offers both technical confirmation and a clear risk/reward framework.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD is trading in a strong Uptrend and the price just Made a massive bullish Breakout of the falling Resistance line and the Breakout is confirmed So after a potential pullback We will be expecting a Further bullish continuation Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1