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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 07 - Jul 11]OANDA:XAUUSD opened the week at $3,246/oz due to low summer liquidity, easing recession fears and easing geopolitical tensions. However, they later recovered to $3,365/oz due to concerns about a possible re-escalation of the trade war, as some countries faced obstacles in negotiations with the US ahead of the July 9 tariff delay deadline. By the end of the week, prices had adjusted to $3,311/oz and closed at $3,335/oz. In addition, the US Senate has passed the OBBBA tax cut and spending bill proposed by President Donald Trump. While it helps prevent the risk of a short-term default, the bill could increase the US public debt by more than $3,000 billion over the next 10 years, putting pressure on the bond market and raising concerns about the increasing supply of government bonds while demand is weakening. However, US economic data over the weekend put downward pressure on gold. Specifically, the June employment report showed that the number of non-farm jobs (NFP) reached 147,000, exceeding the forecast of 111,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3%. At the same time, NFP data for April and May were also adjusted up to 158,000 and 144,000 jobs, respectively. These positive numbers almost erased the expectation that the FED would cut interest rates in July. The FED also reaffirmed its stance on maintaining the current policy due to rising inflationary pressures. Overall, gold prices are still stuck in a range, and a clearer prospect of interest rate cuts from the FED is needed to make a strong breakthrough in the near future. 📌Technically, the $3,310/oz level is now acting as an important support zone for gold prices next week. If this level is broken, prices may continue to fall further to the $3,245/oz area or even lower. On the other hand, the $3,365/oz level is a strong resistance. If gold prices break through this area, there is a high possibility that they will approach the $3,400/oz mark. However, the upward momentum may be restrained afterwards due to profit-taking pressure from investors, especially when the US-China trade negotiations are still ongoing and have not reached a final agreement. Investors tend to be cautious, waiting for clearer signals before opening new positions. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3401 - 3399⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3405 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
A High-Probability Play Unfolding!🌟 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – A High-Probability Play Unfolding! 🟡📉 Gold was riding a solid uptrend recently, showing strength across the board. But over the past few days, things have started to shift. We've seen a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside — signaling the start of a short-term bearish trend. 📍 What’s Happening Now? Gold is currently trading lower after the BOS, but the market is now approaching a critical phase... We’re expecting a retracement move to the upside — a temporary pullback that could trap early buyers (this is called inducement). This is where things get interesting! 🎯 What to Watch For: Once the retracement plays out, we’ll be watching closely for: 🔻 Bearish Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) 🔻 Supply Zone Order Blocks These areas could offer us high-probability sell entries aligned with the overall bearish momentum. 📉 The Target? We’ll be aiming for the previous swing low, where liquidity is likely resting — a classic price magnet in such setups. ⚠️ Be Patient. Let the Market Come to You. Wait for the retracement, let price fill the gaps, and only then look for confirmation to enter. Rushing in now means going against smart money flow. 🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research! This is a market roadmap, not a signal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Gold shocks and alternating long and short ideas 💡Message Strategy As we mentioned before, the upper 3345-50 is the suppression position after the non-agricultural data last week. We can short at the 45-50 line when it rebounds. Yesterday, we also gave the idea of ​​going long at the 3295-3301 line. At midnight, gold rebounded perfectly above the 3330 line and closed at the 3336 line. Today we continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of the 3345-50 line. If the rebound does not break, we will intervene in the short order. After all, the technical side needs to be adjusted and repaired during the day. We try to grasp the good entry position for operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, welcome to communicate! 📊Technical aspects From the 1-hour analysis, the short-term support of 3290-3295 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about the 3345-50 line, and the suppression of 3365-70 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3290-3300，SL：3275，Target: 3320-3340
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold Price Analysis July 9GOLD XAU/USD ANALYSIS – CONFIRMING THE CONTINUATION OF THE BEARISH WAVE Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the downward momentum of gold when the selling pressure returned strongly below the liquidity candle wick. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and the downward momentum is likely to continue in today's session. 🔹 IMPORTANT RESISTANCE ZONE: 3297 The 3297 zone – which was a strong support in yesterday's session – has now turned into a resistance zone. This is a potential SELL zone for the day, especially if there is a confirmation signal from the sellers at this price zone. 🔹 CONFUSION RESISTANCE ZONE: 3310 The 3310 area is the confluence between the downtrend line and the resistance zone of the US session – which needs special attention in the SELL strategy. If the price approaches this zone, expect a reaction from the selling side to return. 🎯 SUGGESTED STRATEGY: SELL when price does not break through 3297 (confirm selling pressure at resistance) SELL DCA if price breaks down to 3276 Target: 3250 BUY only considered if price holds 3276 and has a bullish reaction 📌 Key Levels: Support: 3277 – 3250 Resistance: 3297 – 3310 – 3328 Important reaction zone: 3377 (if price rebounds)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
7.9 Gold long and short switches frequently!From the daily chart, the overall gold price is still in a weak position, the moving average is hooked, and the upper pressure is near the moving average 3319. Only if it breaks through and stands firm at this position during the day, can the bulls start to exert their strength. It happens that the MA10 position of H4 is also near 3319. At present, H4 is in a bearish trend, so the bullish pressure is still very large, but it rose in the early morning, and it bottomed out and rebounded. Combined with the recent non-continuation of the long and short trends, there is a high probability of rebounding during the day, so we can go long in the Asian session first, and go long directly at the current price of 3300, add positions to 3295, defend 3286, and look at 3312-19. The focus is still on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, continue to go long before the US session retreats; if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out and rebound!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Tide turned in Sellers favorAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will keep Buying and Selling Gold only with my aggressive Scalp orders from my key entry and reversal points." Firstly I have engaged multiple re-Buy orders on #3,320.890 towards #3,327.80 (Scalp of course) delivering decent Profit however when #3,322.80 got invalidated, personally I wasn't trusting the decline and re-Bought aggressively #3,312.80, #3,305.80 and #3,294.80. I did that successfully / in & out delivering excellent Profit however I would made much more if I Shorted Gold personally. Technical analysis: The strong pullback shy of making a #3,282.80 local Low’s is a Natural Short-term correction. Yesterday's candle sequence can be identified as Three Black Crows formation but even then Daily chart remained Bullish currently as long as #3,277.80 - #3,288.80 Support zone is intact. Level mentioned represents key Support zone and it is no coincidence that the Price-action rebounded there. Hourly 4 chart is now Bearish again so I expect Bearish continuation on Gold (Sell every High's) unless Gold closes the session above #3,300.80 mark. Few Bearish important marks were hit earlier than I expected (had this for the end of the week personally) so now if / when #3,288.80 gets invalidated, I am expecting the final extension wave of this parabolic run towards #3,252.80 benchmark. I believe this will be a major Support, but shouldn't necessarily cause intense pull-back but a new Monthly accumulation period. My position: I will Sell every High's on Gold, and pursue #3,252.80 benchmark with my both Scalp and Swing orders. I am well known Seller of Gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold on a decline as expectedTechnical analysis: As expected last week has started off inside my Neutral Rectangle and despite the pullback from the Daily High’s, the (#1W) Weekly chart’s candle was finishing the week at (# +1.79%). As mentioned throughout the week, the last time we had two straight green (#1W), third will follow so expect Bull week (this one) if cycle is replicated. The current pullback on Hourly 4 chart (Engulfing Bearish candlestick formation) has formed an healthy post NFP Descending Channel which is currently on it’s Higher Low’s so the rebound can happen any time. Technically #3,345.80 - #3,348.80 represents the next Lower High’s Lower zone pressure point and that’s why you witnessed many upside rejections there (Gold stalled on mentioned configuration) so Short-term Buyers can Target this level. Remember, #MA50 on Daily chart is line of utmost importance (currently seen Trading at #3,322.80). Price-action still didn’t invalidated the #3,322.80 (with a market closing) Hourly 4 chart’s Support as Gold is picking up the pace towards my expected #3,348.80 - #3,357.80 Resistance zone for the fractal / local High’s. My position: In my opinion I need to stay on Hourly 4 time-frame for us and the potential break-out to the downside since Hourly 4 chart remains Bearish (never Swing Buy while #H4 is Bearish) on logarithmic scale, hence on limited upside. My expectation is that we still have one (minor) rebound left which will be the final Selling attempt / entry towards #3,300.80 benchmark, if Buyers manage to reverse this, #3,352.80 and #3,400.80 marks are Targets to monitor / which I will pursue with set of Scalp and Swing orders. Trade accordingly as I Bought #3,302.80 with set of aggressive Scalp orders.
TVC:GOLDLong
by goldenBear88
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers." Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session. Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle. My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted. We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday. Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for. Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306 Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
32
Gold Trade Plan 09/07/2025Dear Traders, Price Context: Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3285, having broken below the mid-channel level. Key Levels: Support Zone (Buy Area): Marked between ~$3270–$3280 (includes 0.786 Fibonacci level at 3270). Resistance: $3366 (previous high, strong resistance). Trendline: An ascending trendline intersects with the buy zone, increasing the probability of a bullish reaction. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Reversal: A bounce from the current buy zone could trigger a move toward $3366. Bearish Continuation: If price breaks and closes below $3270 with strong momentum, next support would be around $3242. RSI Indicator: Currently near oversold territory (~38), which supports a potential bounce. 📌 Conclusion: This is a critical zone; watch for price action signals near the trendline and 0.786 level. Reversal is possible, but further downside risk remains if $3270 fails. Regards, Alireza!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
XAUUSD Gold Weekly solid Bullish zone Gold weekly Forecast lets see how the price will plays out open and see and send your feedback about Gold. After the breaking Price could catch there support after pull back top but last week on Friday due to the low volume price could not move Highly Gold stabilized after correction after the falling weekly from 3366 Gold price found demand again in Asia on Friday but US Budgets risk due to the holiday could increase, Technically Price range in last week 3357 to 311 there is important level and Bullish zone, Resistance zone 3365 / 3390 Support Levels 3325 /. 3311 it is important situation for you traders to use trade long-term hope you can find more details in the chart POs Support with like and comments for more analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
1