Next week's analysis has been written, please check itOn Mar 21, 2025, XAUUSD closed at 3023, with the lowest 2999.32 and the highest 3047.43. Previous support was 3000 and resistance was 3060. Now let's analyze new levels and the trend.
New Support and Resistance
Pivot Point Theory: From Huicong Finance data on Mar 21, 2025, the pivot point for XAUUSD is 3042.41, with support at 2995.85 and resistance at 3090.92.
Technical Analysis: On the 4 - hour chart, support is near 3027.26 (20 - day MA) and in 3011 - 2996.90 range. Resistance is around 3056.20 - 3057.25 (previous high) and 3070 - 3085.
Trend Analysis
Technical: The 5 - day MA (around 3030) and 20 - day MA (2950 - 2942) are in a bullish arrangement, but the price has deviated. The 4 - hour chart shows a possible completed correction, yet there are divergence signs, indicating potential profit - taking pressure.
Fundamental: Geopolitical tension in the Middle East persists, supporting gold. US economic data is weak, fueling recession concerns and safe - haven demand for gold. The market still anticipates Fed rate cuts, which would benefit gold.
In short, XAUUSD may range - trade between 3000 - 3060 in the short - term. A break above 3060 could lead to higher prices, while a break below 2995.85 may open up downward space.
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