Gold is on the moveHi traders,
Last week gold started the next impulse wave 5 (grey) just as I've said in my previous outlook.
Price came into the bearish Daily FVG and It looks like wave 3 (purple) is almost finished so next week we could see a pullback for wave 4 and upside again for wave 5 (purple) to finish wave 1 (blue).
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the wave 4 correction down to finish and trade longs again.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD - Trio Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $3,500 round number and upper bound of the wedge, XAUUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
📚 As Gold approaches the $3,100 - $3,150 support zone, I will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as it is the intersection of three rejections:
1- The lower bound of the falling red channel
2- The lower bound of the rising orange wedge
3- $3,100 - $3,150 support zone
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Moves Higher – Is $3,430 the Next Target?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to move within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum suggests that buyers are in control, indicating the potential continuation of the upward trend.
Recently, price broke out with strong momentum and may now be pulling back to retest. This area previously served as a confluence zone between the lower boundary of the ascending channel and a prior price reaction level, aligning with the potential continuation of the bullish move.
If this level holds as support, I believe a bounce in line with the main trend could be triggered. The potential technical target is the 3,430 zone, in line with the upper boundary of the channel as well as the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Conversely, failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift to the downside.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or an upward marubozu candle in this area, which could be the initial confirmation for long positions.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis, not financial advice. Always adhere to proper risk management in every trading decision.
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months.
🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by:
Global inflationary pressures.
Geopolitical instability.
Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness.
This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up.
The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025.
The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision.
Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation.
This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control.
🔍 3. Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600):
This zone has acted as a supply region in the past.
Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout.
A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+
Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height.
Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective.
🛑 Support & Stop-Loss :
Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base.
This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout.
🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior
Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone.
Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity.
Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region.
💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup
During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions.
However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips.
Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher.
⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch
Sudden USD strength or rising real yields.
Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand.
FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts.
✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play
Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy)
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🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
📈 Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher.
• MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly.
• RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels.
⏱ 15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward.
• RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential.
⏱ 3-Minute Chart
• Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive.
• RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal.
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🌐 Fundamental Context
• Gold is supported by:
• Persisting inflation concerns.
• Geopolitical risk premium.
• Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters.
There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness.
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🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD
• Entry (Buy): 3320.00
• Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence.
• Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00
• Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout.
• Take Profit (TP): 3370.00
• Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAU / USD 1 hour ChartHello traders. What a great trade set up / idea I had from earlier. That being said, I went back to sleep, missed the trade and currently I am watching the area marked on the chart. I can see a push down for the wick to get filled, but that is speculation and not based on price action, what is happening at the time of the trade. NY open in 25 minutes. Let's see how things play out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis1. Market Structure & Bear Trap
Gold recently trapped sellers by briefly breaking below a key support (previous supply zone turned support).
This move acted as a fakeout, luring in short positions before price dropped into its true bullish reaccumulation zone (BULL OTE).
Such manipulation is typical at the end of retracements, the market seeks liquidity before resuming the main trend.
📈 2. Bullish Momentum Resumes
Since tapping into the BULL OTE, price has shown a structured bullish recovery :
Re-entry into the previous range
Creation and internal mitigation of multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Clean, controlled pullbacks during the climb
This suggests a healthy and organized bullish structure, rather than a random bounce.
🎯 3. Short-Term Targets
Revisit the $3,280-$3,300 area (previous liquidity left untapped)
If broken with volume, Gold could push toward $3,350+ and potentially retest highs
✅ Conclusion
Gold appears to have executed a classic stop-hunt below support, only to reclaim structure and resume its uptrend.
As long as price holds above $3,180 and continues forming internal bullish structure, the bias remains bullish with high probability of continuation toward previous highs.
🟦 This is a textbook example of engineered liquidity grab followed by expansion.
[19May2025] Watch-Weekly Boundaries & Key-Level; Down or Up?Monday Move—Are we going further down? Or are we right in the cage? Bear/Bull fight is the final note before the True move. Stay tuned until the end—the important boundaries and key levels of price action are listed below. Watch out for the game "they" play.
The market has already revealed its intent—if you’re still in "wait and see" mode, the next sweep will happen before you even realize it. The anomalies over the past weeks aren’t random; they are signals. If you haven’t made sense of them yet, this is your wake-up call.
Now, as price remains below critical pivot levels, something is set to unfold. The conditioning is complete, the offloading is in play, and the next move—whether reversal or deeper liquidation—hangs in the balance.
Are you watching? Or are you falling into the illusion?
Something big is brewing. But what? And why now?
Over the past two weeks, gold has witnessed extreme fluctuations—sharp movements that aren’t mere market randomness but the footprint of something far more deliberate. This isn’t just price action; it’s a grand orchestration, a carefully staged performance designed to induce, accumulate, and distribute at an unprecedented scale.
Retail traders follow the numbers, but institutions craft the narrative. The illusionists play their hand, shifting liquidity under the guise of war, inflation, and recession—a tired record played on loop to justify the unseen. But savvy traders know better. They see the exhaustion. They recognize the conditioning.
Here’s the reality: It’s not about gold’s valuation—it never was. It’s about control, liquidity extraction, and advantage. The real game is well-hidden beneath surface-level movements.
What happens next isn’t random. It’s calculated. Will you recognize it, or will you be caught inside the illusion?
Gold Market Analysis – Post NYSE Close (May 16, 2025)
Market Structure & Pivot Levels
📌 Monthly:
Pivot: 3248.44
Sell Signal Below: 3402.35 → Clear 2915.88
Buy Signal Above: 3054.48 → Clear 3540.95
📌 Weekly:
Pivot: 3216.81
Sell Signal Below: 3289.10 → Clear 3105.42
Buy Signal Above: 3159.08 → Clear 3342.76
📌 Daily (Friday’s Candle):
Pivot: 3202.87
Sell Signal Below: 3234.03 → Clear 3146.89
Buy Signal Above: 3172.35 → Clear 3259.49
🎯 Closing Price: 3202.25 (Below Friday’s pivot level)
Bearish Momentum – What’s Happening?
🔻 Bear Pressure Increasing: Trading below Monthly, Weekly, and Daily pivot levels suggests growing downward momentum.
🔄 Market in Preparation Mode: Price action indicates institutional positioning and offloading, setting the stage for a potential shift.
💰 Institutional Manipulation at Play:
Inducement & Distribution visible in price behavior—buyer-side absorption remains evident.
Failed bull attempts to push above pivots suggest exhaustion in bullish momentum.
📌 For bulls to regain control: Price must convincingly breach pivots with strong momentum and liquidity, showing sustained buying strength.
Market Narrative – The Hidden Truth
💡 News Is Just Noise: War, tariffs, inflation, recession—these are conditioning tools used to justify price movement, but they do not define it.
🎭 Gold’s Price Is Not About Valuation: It’s about liquidity control, herd mentality, and institutional advantage—a strategic illusion shaping retail sentiment.
Conclusion & Anticipation
✅ Bear Territory Confirmed: Price remains below key pivots , suggesting continued downward movement.
🔄 Market Correction Anticipated: Price has extended too far , and a liquidity rebalancing could unfold.
😱 Retail Sentiment – Extreme Greed: FOMO-driven rallies keep pulling traders into institutional traps.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Above Daily Pivot: 3418 / 3403 / 3378 / 3338 / 3312 / 3296 / 3270 / 3252
Below Daily Pivot: 3200 / 3191 / 3154 / 3135 / 3116 / 3107 / 3071 / 3056 / 3033 / 3009 / 2995 / 2983 / 2969 / 2952
📢 Final Thought: If trading remains below 3402 , liquidation may still be ongoing. Market footprint suggests a potential deep retest at 3019/2811 before signs of meaningful recovery.
🛠️ Institutional activity is likely to be significant—this moment presents an opportunity to anticipate liquidity shifts.
Gold Price Analysis May 22The recent consecutive bullish candles have brought gold close to ATH. With the current candlestick force, gold is still not strong enough to close above 3400 today and will still encounter some selling force creating a new half wave that can push it back above 3400
The immediate barrier zone is 3344 that the Asian session needs to pay attention to. If it does not break through at the end of the session, it is possible to SELL around this area, the target will not be long because the buying force is still strong according to the main trend. In case of breaking 3344, 3360 is the next price reaction zone for the European and American sessions. The resistance at 3395 will play a key role in preventing gold from a strong slide.
On the other hand, any retest is considered a good opportunity to buy. 3322 and 3290 are the targets of SELL orders and are also buying opportunities when there is confirmation of buying force around this area.
Gold & Bearish Pennant: Clearer Signs of a Downtrend?Dear friends, it's a pleasure to see you again in today's gold trading session.
At present, according to careful observation and technical analysis, we can see that
OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a slight correction and is likely forming a bearish pennant pattern, consistent with a common continuation candlestick pattern in a downtrend. Specifically:
Previously, the price experienced a strong decline, which plays the role of the “flagpole” of the pattern.
After the drop, the price temporarily moved sideways within a narrow range, gradually narrowing the range and forming a small triangle – characteristic of the consolidation phase in the pennant pattern.
Trading volume also shows a decreasing trend, consistent with the characteristics of this pattern.
With these factors, the current preferred scenario is the continuation of the downtrend, so the Sell position is considered more feasible. I think we could see a move down to $3,155. This area is quite important and could give us a better idea of where the price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this is not financial advice. Always confirm your setup and manage your risk wisely.
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy.
Gold operation suggestions:
1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220.
2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Today's update mentioned we would stick with the plan as the bias level was working well and we said we'll stick with the targets until further notice. For the week, you can see we got the move from the red box into the lower level we wanted, then the bounce, then the rejection from the red box and the bias level targets were ticked off one by one. Has it been easy? No! Has it been worth the wait, YES! We said be careful of the range, wait for the breakout and then we'll get in, those that waited managed to capture the trade. A couple which were shared with the wider community.
Now we've added our lower red boxes with resistance standing at the 3230 region which if attacked first and rejected can give us the continuation downside. Ideally, we want one of these levels below on the boxes to hold, and the capture the scalp upside. Lots of news tomorrow, so guaranteed to be more whipsawing and choppy price action.
Unless we give you immediate level 50-80pips distance which are guaranteed to be hit, it's a hard task to give you the extreme levels and movement like we do, so please make sure your risk models are up to scratch if you're following.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3240 with targets above 3258✅ and above that 3265✅
Bearish on break of 3240 with target below 3230✅ and below that 3210✅
RED BOXES:
Break above 3265 for 3272, 3275, 3288 and 3006 in extension of the move
Break below 3250 for 3235✅, 3230✅, 3226✅ and 3207✅ in extension of the move
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD-H1-LONGIf the price breaks above the trendline and consolidates above it, it could signal a potential buying opportunity. The consolidation above the trendline would indicate that the bearish momentum has weakened, and a bullish trend might be starting. Additionally, watch for the price to move back into the green Ichimoku Cloud to confirm the buy signal. Always consider other factors like volume and market conditions before entering a trade.
Trend trading is the core strategyGold opened at 3290 and rebounded, reaching 3314 and retreating. Last night, gold broke through the box and oscillated, so it is reasonable to continue to move up. The gold moving average continues to cross upward and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there. The decline of gold is an opportunity to continue to go long. Gold is now at the top and bottom conversion position of 3275-85. Gold falls back to 3275-3285 and continues to go long. Gold has repaired the gap of the previous gap. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3315-21. Try not to chase the high position. We will intervene in the long position when it falls back.
Today, the support below is around 3275-85, and the upper short-term focus is on the 3315-21 line. If it does not break, you can short. The important resistance is 3340-45. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3253-60. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Shorting can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3275-85, with a target of 3300-3320.
2. Go short when gold rebounds around 3340-45, with a target of 3320-3300.