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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Trade plan 03/07/2025Dear Trader, On the 4H chart of XAU/USD, a rising wedge pattern is forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. After a significant upward movement, price is currently testing the 3360–3365 resistance area. If the lower boundary of the wedge breaks, the price is likely to drop toward the key support zones: First support zone: 3330–3340 Second support zone: 3305–3315 If buyers defend these areas, a rebound to the upside may occur. But if the second support also breaks, deeper bearish pressure is likely. Scenarios: Bullish: If the price holds above 3365, it may rally toward 3380–3400 resistance. Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge and loss of 3330 support could trigger a move down to 3310 or lower. Regards, Alireza!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
XAUUSD – Fresh Bearish Setup After TP HitWelcome to Velatrix Capital. Last week’s short position on Gold has just hit Take Profit. Based on current structure and momentum, we remain bearish-biased and have already entered a fresh short trade from a key resistance level. This setup aligns with our internal system’s confluence logic and is now active. 🔍 Trade Parameters • Timeframe: 1H • Direction: Sell • Entry: 3310.11 • Take Profit: 3266.76 • Stop Loss: 3324.51 • Risk/Reward: 1:3 Note: This is not financial advice. This is a real trade taken by our team based on a structured, repeatable trading model. Use it as insight. Not as instruction. 🔔 Follow Us We don’t chase hype. We build edge. Follow for raw setups, structured strategies, and institutional-grade breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Velatrix_Capital
GOLD Eyes Breakout: Inverse Head & Shoulders in PlayGOLD is showing signs of a major bullish reversal! The chart is clearly forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which often marks the end of a downtrend and the start of a new move up. Buyers stepped in strong around the $3,305 zone multiple times, defending key lows and building a solid base. Now, the right shoulder is taking shape, and a break above $3,350–$3,357 could trigger the breakout. 📌 Key Resistance: $3,350 / $3,357 / $3,399 📌 Support: $3,304 (critical trendline) If price flips $3,357 into support, bulls could target $3,399 and eventually $3,448 in the next leg. The structure looks clean, with all eyes on the neckline breakout. DYOR, NFA
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Gold: eased on tariffs dealAs geopolitical and economic tensions are slowly settling down, the price of gold eased its road toward the higher grounds. During the previous week, gold was traded with a bearish sentiment, dropping from the level of $3.395 down to $3.262. The main causes behind the drop in the price of gold are related to decreased tensions in the Middle East, as well as, settlement of the trade tariffs deal between the U.S. and China. Although the details of this deal was not disclosed publicly, still, the market reacted positively to the news. Investors moved funds from safe-haven assets toward the equity and the crypto market, as riskier ones in a quest for higher returns. The RSI took the down path, ending the week at the level of 41. The indicator is currently clearly on the road toward the oversold market side. The price of gold breached the MA50 line during the previous week, which was acting like a support line for the price of gold during the previous period. The MA200 continued with an uptrend, following the MA 50 line. There is a high distance between two lines, so the potential cross is still not in the store for the price of gold. Charts are pointing that the gold is on the easing road currently, with a potential for further correction in the coming period. The RSI is indicating that the oversold market side might be reached in the coming period, which means that the price could further ease. The bottom of the current correction might be $3.180, which was the highest level in mid April this year. Still, some short reversals are quite expected on this road, in which sense, Monday might start with a short attempt for higher grounds. In this sense, the $3,3K level might be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again. Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading. So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆 Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline. If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold. Key Factors to Watch: ✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up ✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance ✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60) ⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers ⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control Trading Insight: This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties. Trade Safely... #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 7 | Watching 3326 POI for Short Setup🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) – July 7 Bias | Short Setup Developing at 3326 POI The Gold market remains in a pullback phase on the H4 timeframe , and price may still revisit the 3280 H4 order block before resuming its broader uptrend. On the M15 timeframe, structure has now shifted clearly. After an initial Change of Character (ChoCh) , we’ve seen a confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) , placing M15 officially in a downtrend . ✅ Why This Matters: With both ChoCh and BoS complete, we no longer treat this move as a potential liquidity grab — it now reflects a valid structural reversal in the short term. But instead of reacting impulsively, we study this shift as a live example of structure-based price action — and how entry zones form after confirmation. 🔍 M15 Order Block in Focus: • 3323.500 – 3327.800 → Valid M15 POI for short setups → This is where we expect price might retrace before resuming its move → We’ll observe this zone for M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS) before taking any action 🎯 Target Zone: • 3280 – H4 Demand → A clean structure-based target aligned with higher timeframe pullback → Our model requires minimum 1:3 RR , anchored to price structure 🔁 Key Takeaways: • H4: Pullback phase remains intact • M15: Downtrend confirmed (ChoCh + BoS complete) • Execution plan: Observe 3326 POI; respond only if structure confirms again on M1 • No anticipation. No prediction. Just process. 📖 This is structure-based learning in real time. We don’t chase setups — we observe shifts. Let structure teach you. Let price confirm it. The chart is the mirror. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A fantastic close to the week as our analysis once again played out level to level with precision! As a follow-up from yesterday's post: - The swing range completed the move into 3348, as expected. - However, we had no further EMA5 lock above, confirming rejection back into the swing range. - This was followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3306, opening the secondary swing range. - That range played out perfectly today, hitting both 3288 and 3271 targets. We’re now seeing a bounce off those levels giving the 20 to 40 pips, and we will now be observing to see if the full secondary swing is completed. It's Friday, and it's been a PIPTASTIC week across the board. Well done to everyone following the plan and sticking to the levels. QUICK RECAP BULLISH TARGET 3376 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 3348 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3330 - DONE 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3288 - DONE 3271 - DONE We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day?📘 EDUCATIONAL POST: Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day? Let’s Break It Down Alright, traders—before you start thinking the sky is falling, let’s look this chart straight in the face and get real. ⸻ 🔍 The Setup Right Now Here’s what’s showing up: ✅ A bullish pennant forming up top (potential continuation higher). ✅ A big head and shoulders pattern in the middle (bearish). ✅ VWAP bands ranging from ~3,257 to ~3,392. ✅ Volume is underwhelming—426k vs 582k average. ✅ A big target line all the way down near 3,000. This mix of signals can be confusing. Let’s separate the hype from what’s actually possible. ⸻ 🎯 Q: Can the market collapse to 3,000 tomorrow? Short Answer: No. Here’s Why: 1️⃣ Move Size: • Current price is ~3,357. • Target is ~3,000. • That’s a -357 point drop (~10.6%) in one session. • For gold CFDs, this would be an extreme event only seen in major crises (think 2008 or March 2020). 2️⃣ Volume Context: • Today’s volume is below average. • Big crashes are usually preceded by heavy distribution—this isn’t showing yet. 3️⃣ VWAP Anchors: • The lower VWAP band sits at 3,257. • Reaching 3,000 would require breaking through 3,257 support, 3,100, and months of prior buying interest. 4️⃣ Market Environment: • It’s the July 4th holiday in the U.S.—liquidity is thin. • Thin markets can gap lower but rarely hold a massive drop without a big catalyst (e.g., credit crisis, war headlines). 5️⃣ Pattern Confirmation: • Yes, the head and shoulders pattern is visible. • But to confirm it, you need: 🔹 A clear break of the neckline with double average volume. 🔹 Follow-through that pushes below 3,257. • None of this has happened yet. ⸻ ✅ What’s Realistically Possible Tomorrow? If sellers show up, here’s what a big bearish day might look like: 1️⃣ First Move: • Rejection at 3,357–3,392 resistance. • Pullback toward ~3,324 (mid VWAP). 2️⃣ Continuation: • Drop down to ~3,257 (VWAP lower band). 3️⃣ Extreme Scenario: • Retest of 3,200–3,150 zone. But a flush all the way to 3,000? 👉 Highly unlikely unless there’s a major global shock. ⸻ 💡 Trading Tip: Stay Tactical If you want to position short: ✅ Wait for rejection at 3,357–3,392. ✅ Short targeting 3,324 first. ✅ Scale profits there. ✅ Only hold runners for 3,200–3,150 if momentum accelerates. ⸻ 🔑 Key Takeaway 3,000 is a structural target—this means it’s a price objective that might play out over weeks, not hours. Trying to catch that in one day is chasing a black swan. Stay patient. Trade levels, not headlines. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. ⸻ ✅ If you found this helpful, share it with someone who panics every time a red candle shows up.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
7.1 London gold rebounds and rises, gold market trend analysis aGold rose to 3295 in the Asian session on Monday and was blocked. It fell in the European session as we expected, but the decline was not strong. After the lowest price of 3274.57, it rose again in the US session and stood firmly at the 3300 mark. The monthly line closed with a cross Yang K. The gold price continued to rise at the opening today. After the market on Monday, the 3247 below can be used as a reference for the bottom rebound position. Now the short-term trend belongs to the bulls, so we will continue this trend today and look at the upward trend first, wait for the European session to see the strength of the decline and then formulate the idea of ​​the US session. From the market point of view, after the gold price stood above the 3300 mark again, it is used as a short-term support level reference for the bulls. The Asian session can rely on this position to arrange long orders to see the continuation of the upward trend; the initial pressure on the upper side focuses on the 3328 position, followed by 3345. Now that the idea is established, the idea for intraday operations is: wait for the gold price to pull back to around 3308 in the Asian session and then go long and bullish, protect the 3300 mark, and target around 3328; if there is pressure at 3328 in the European session, you can arrange short positions with a downward trend, wait for the US session, and then decide whether to go long again based on the pullback position and target around 3345.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2