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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 7Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3360, support 3270 4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3280 1-hour chart resistance 3325, support 3300. 3300 is now the short-term long-short dividing line. If it falls below, it will enter a new shock zone. Please pay attention to the 3300 support level before the NY market today! (The resistance level is 3320~3325). From the fundamentals, although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term, gold will continue to maintain its status as a safe-haven asset under the continued uncertainty of US trade policy and complex geopolitical tensions. As Trump's tariff deadline (July 9) approaches, we should pay close attention to the development of US trade policy around August 1 (if the tariff policy is delayed to ease the demand for safe-haven assets, combined with the technical bearish information, gold will continue to find support below 3,300). SELL: 3300 SELL: 3325
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold price falls today and then looks bullish!Today, gold rose and fell back to 3345, which was the high point on Friday. It was suppressed and fell sideways. From a technical point of view, the US market rose yesterday, and today's decline must continue to be bullish, but the position should not be too high or too low; if it is too high, there may be further decline, and if it is too low, there may be no reach. The bullish position should be in line with the overall running rhythm of gold. Personally, I suggest that you can buy around 3320-3321, defend 3310, and target 3340-3345. Focus on the rise of the European market. If the European market breaks through 3345 strongly, then you can continue to be bullish to 3360-3365; if the European market is always suppressed below 3345 and goes sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling, or there may be further retracement. Put your thoughts in the comments section
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DonaldJohnson
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Risk-Off Trade Unwinds OANDA:XAUUSD endured another challenging week as the Iran-Israel ceasefire continued to diminish safe-haven demand, while robust equity market performance drew capital away from precious metals. The risk-on environment has fundamentally shifted investor priorities, with growth assets overshadowing traditional defensive plays like gold. The chart reveals gold testing the crucial $3,270 support zone, representing a significant confluence level where the upward trendline intersects with horizontal support. This area has historically provided strong buying interest and serves as a critical inflection point for gold's medium-term direction. From a broader perspective, the 4H chart shows gold approaching the lower boundary of its established upward channel around $3,250. The pullback from the HH near $3,450 has accelerated through multiple support levels, with the downward trendline acting as dynamic support to any recovery attempts. A decisive break below the $3,235 - $3,250 support confluence could trigger further selling toward the $3,200 major support zone. However, the long-term upward trendline dating back several months provides substantial technical backing. A successful defense of current levels would likely attract value buyers and could spark a relief rally toward the $3,330-$3,350 resistance area, particularly if geopolitical tensions resurface or equity markets show signs of fatigue. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
31
Bearish Setup for GoldGold is currently in a retracement phase after breaking below the mid Keltner channel zone. The small upward arrow marks this temporary relief rally, which I anticipate will be short-lived. Price is testing the lower band of the inner Keltner channel after rejecting from the upper zones. The structure suggests a classic lower high formation before a potential major sell-off, targeting the deeper liquidity zones around $3,218 – $3,160 and possibly $3,080 if momentum accelerates. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📌 Invalidation: A clean break and close above the red resistance block (~$3,320+) 📌 Target Zones: $3,218 → $3,160 → $3,080 🔔 Look for volume drop and wick exhaustion confirming the next leg down. This retracement may offer one final short entry opportunity before a deeper correction unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3300 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3300 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3324 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3354 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3383 BEARISH TARGETS 3271 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3239 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3213 3179 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
19
GOLD On July 9, 2025, the FOMC Meeting Minutes from the June 17-18 session were released, providing insights into Federal Reserve policymakers' views on monetary policy, inflation, and economic risks. Key Highlights from the FOMC Minutes: The FOMC unanimously voted to hold the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.5% . There was a notable split among members regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation: Some saw tariffs causing only a one-time price increase with no lasting inflation effect. Most feared tariffs could lead to more persistent inflationary pressures The committee acknowledged elevated uncertainty around tariff policy and its timing, size, and duration of inflation effects. Labor market conditions were viewed as solid but with some softening expected due to policy uncertainty and tariffs. The committee remains cautious about the trade-offs between inflation and employment goals, favoring a gradual approach to future rate cuts. Only a narrow minority of policymakers supported an immediate rate cut with most preferring to wait for clearer economic signals. Market Reaction and Price Action Gold Price Action: Gold prices reacted to the minutes with modest volatility, as persistent inflation concerns support gold’s safe-haven appeal. Gold remains near elevated levels around $3,250 to $3,316 per ounce, consolidating after recent gains. The cautious Fed stance and tariff uncertainty underpin demand for gold as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. Summary Table Event Details FOMC Rate Decision Held at 4.25%–4.5% Inflation Views Split on tariff impact; risk of persistent inflation Rate Cut Support Narrow support for immediate cut in July Overall Outlook The Fed minutes reinforce a cautious, data-dependent approach to monetary policy, with inflation risks balanced against growth concerns. Gold benefits from ongoing inflation worries and geopolitical uncertainty, maintaining strong support. #GOLD
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Gold Market Analysis： Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections. Technical Trends: On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term. The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend. Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds! Trading Strategy: Sell@3330-3320 TP:3300-3280
TVC:GOLDShort
by HamiltionCoffey
US tariff deadline, GOLD expected to fluctuate very stronglyInvestors will be keeping an eye on tariff news from Washington this week as the temporary suspension of punitive import duties is set to expire. If trade tensions do not escalate further after Wednesday’s deadline, that could be good for the market, while downside risks are also a negative for OANDA:XAUUSD in particular. News Around US Tariffs To avoid higher tariffs, negotiators from more than a dozen major US trading partners are racing against time to negotiate with the Trump administration, trying to reach a deal before July 9. Trump and his team have continued to apply pressure in recent days. Trump announced a deal with Vietnam to lower the 20% tariffs he had promised on many Vietnamese exports, while talks with Japan, the United States’ most important ally in Asia and sixth-largest trading partner, appeared to be stalled, even as Washington hinted it was close to a deal with India. In data Nonfarm payrolls data released Thursday showed the U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating market expectations, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Despite the slowdown in private-sector hiring, the overall strong report prompted markets to lower expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut has dropped sharply from 24% to 4.7%. Fed Chairman Powell reiterated that the central bank will not ease its stance until there are more signs of cooling in employment and inflation. Personal Comments The market is following a number of factors: On the one hand, there is a countdown to Trump's "final blow" on tariffs, and on the other hand, the non-farm data has poured cold water once again. As the Fed's stance fluctuates, the US Dollar faces a tug-of-war between long and short positions, while gold continues to stabilize technically or has had significant price increases. July 9 of this month could be a key moment to really test the sustainability of gold in this recovery. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered significantly over the past week, since finding support from the $3,250 area, but the temporary recovery is still limited by the EMA21 followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. However, sustained price action above the $3,300 raw price point should be viewed as a positive signal as it helps gold stabilize within the price channel. If gold rises and breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to continue rising with a short-term target of around $3,400 rather than a horizontal resistance of $3,430. The indecision sentiment is shown by the RSI activity, which is mostly moving around the 50 level. RSI above 50 is considered a positive signal, while RSI below 50 is considered a negative signal, but gold is currently in the middle of this point. Overall, gold has not yet had a short-term trend, but in the long-term, gold prices are still in an upward trend, which is noted by the price channel. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3338 →Take Profit 1 3326 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3320 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3275 - 3277⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3271 →Take Profit 1 3283 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3289
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3316.4 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3307.9 Safe Stop Loss - 3320.5 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK /////////////////////////
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money Concept (SMC) SetupPrice action on the 4H chart shows a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) at the 3,320 level, marking a shift from a bearish trend into potential bullish order flow. This CHoCH is supported by a strong break of internal structure followed by a pullback. 🧠 Smart Money Insight: CHoCH Zone (Break of Structure): Price broke the previous lower high, confirming possible bullish intent. POI (Point of Interest): A refined 4H demand zone sits between 3,280–3,310, aligning with a previous accumulation area. Price is currently approaching this zone with decreasing momentum (potential liquidity sweep below minor lows). Liquidity Grab: Several equal lows were formed before the POI — prime setup for a liquidity sweep before a bullish push. Refined Entry Zone: Based on candle wicks and order block imbalance. 🎯 Trade Idea: 🟢 Entry: Wait for bullish reaction or confirmation inside the POI zone (3,295–3,305) 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 3,380 (reaction level) TP2: 3,420–3,440 (major supply zone + inefficiency) 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,270 (invalidates demand zone and structure) 📈 Bias: Bullish unless POI fails 🔍 Confluences: ✅ 4H CHoCH Confirmed ✅ Price approaching refined demand zone ✅ Liquidity resting below recent lows ✅ Previous imbalance not yet filled ✅ Clean supply zone overhead (TP target) 💬 Conclusion: This is a clean SMC-based long setup. We are waiting for price to tap into demand and show bullish intent before entry. Strong probability of reversal into premium pricing zone if structure holds. 📍Drop a like if you caught this setup or save it to monitor the reaction!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside. 💡 Key Levels: Support Zone: 3326 Resistance Zone: 3342 The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement. ⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 # 📊 XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 **Current Price:** $3,326.97 **Bias:** 📈 Bullish Breakout --- ## 🔹 Key Market Structure: - **Trendline Breakout**: ✅ Price broke cleanly out of the descending trendline that had held since the $3,362 high. - **LL → HL Shift**: The structure is transitioning from Lower Lows to potential Higher Lows (HL) – a strong sign of **reversal**. - **BOS Zone** (Break of Structure): BOS has been confirmed; further upside is now **probable**. --- ## 🔸 Trade Zone: | Type | Level | Description | |------------|------------|--------------------------| | **Entry** | ~$3,326 | Breakout confirmation 🔓 | | **SL** | ~$3,319 | Below recent HL 🛡️ | | **TP1** | $3,362 | Top of previous range 🎯 | | **TP2** | $3,385+ | Momentum extension 📈 | --- ## 📌 Indicators & Labels: - **Structure:** `Bullish` 🟢 - **Efficiency:** `Efficient` ✅ - **MSU:** Bearish (short-term countertrend, being invalidated) - **VTA:** Active ⚡️ --- ## 🧠 Strategy Note: This breakout is occurring **after a full liquidity sweep** and a **strong bullish reaction** off the $3,290s. Volume is supporting the move and **confluence** builds toward continuation. > 💬 *"The best trades come when structure, liquidity, and timing converge."* – Let's ride this wave with confidence. --- ### 👑 For Persian Princes of the Market 🇮🇷 We don’t guess. We **track, adapt, and lead**. --- ## 🟢 Potential Breakout from the Descending Channel As observed in the **45-minute timeframe**, Gold (XAU/USD) has been respecting a classic **descending channel** formed by a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), leading to an overall bearish structure. However, in the latest candles, price has **broken above the upper boundary of the channel**, signaling a potential shift in market structure. --- ### 🔍 Technical Highlights: - ✅ **Breakout above the channel** = First sign of bullish reversal - ✅ **Formation of Higher Low (HL)** after a strong rally = Added confirmation - ✅ **Efficient bullish move** with momentum pushing toward previous Highs --- ### 🎯 Forecast Scenario: If price holds above the breakout zone (around **$3,327**), we can expect a bullish continuation toward: - 🥇 **Target 1:** $3,362 - 🥈 **Target 2:** $3,385+ A **successful retest** of the broken channel would serve as a powerful confirmation for this setup. --- > ⛳️ *This move reflects not just a breakout — but a disciplined journey through structure, liquidity, and price behavior. Pure technical elegance.* > — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* --- 📈 **Structure:** Bullish ⚡️ **Momentum:** Efficient 🕰 **Timeframe:** 45 Min 💰 **Current Price:** ~$3,327
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357