Gold Prices are Expected to Decline Today by Multiple ReasonsThe key reasons include:
1. Profit-taking at high price levels: Technically, the price has failed to make a new high, prompting continued selling pressure. It hit 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement before a correction, making it possible for a bearish reversal.
2. Hopes for U.S.–China trade negotiations: Easing tensions between the U.S. and China have boosted investor confidence, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
3. Robust U.S. economic data: Strong U.S. employment figures indicate sustained economic growth, lessening the perceived need to hold gold as a hedge against economic risk.
4. A more hawkish Fed stance: Expectations that the Federal Reserve will not rush to cut interest rates in its fight against inflation have prompted investors to shift toward higher-yielding assets like government bonds instead of gold.
5. Rising bond yields and a weakening dollar: These conditions present investment opportunities that are likely to attract foreign capital, drawing funds away from gold.
Overall, these factors are contributing to downward pressure on gold prices today, as investors scale back demand for gold as a safe-haven investment.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAUUSD trade ideas
Tariffs heat up again, gold recovers✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/26/2025 - 05/30/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold resumed its upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and over 5% for the week, as the US Dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. The yellow metal climbed to $3,359, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,287, as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets.
US President Donald Trump intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that talks were “going nowhere” and threatening to impose 50% tariffs on EU imports starting June 1. Adding to the pressure, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent remarked that the EU’s trade proposals have fallen short compared to offers from other key partners. Mounting concerns over US fiscal policy and an increasingly strained global trade environment continue to bolster gold’s appeal.
🔥 Identify:
Tariff news is starting to heat up again, the US and other countries around the world have not reached a consensus on negotiations, gold prices benefit from the increase. The large time frame shows that prices are breaking out and continuing the upward trend.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3412, $3436
Support: $3315, $3280, $3245
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Key technical insights on gold!Gold is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe, within a range defined by the level of 3434.660, which represents the most recent lower high, and the level of 3120.820, which marks the most recent lower low. These levels define the current trading range on the daily chart.
Using Fibonacci from the daily lower high to the daily lower low, the level of 3367.445 is considered important and could act as a resistance level for a potential downward reversal, as it represents a premium price within the current daily trading range.
On the 4-hour timeframe, when examining the relationship between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe that the price formed two consecutive higher highs, while the RSI formed two lower highs. This creates a bearish divergence, which is a negative signal indicating a potential decline.
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, the trend has shifted from bullish to bearish after the price fell below the 3290.84 level and formed a new lower low.
Based on the above technical data, a decline in gold prices is expected in the short to medium term. The first target could be set at 3281.148, while the second target may be identified by monitoring a drop in the RSI towards the 30 level, which indicates oversold conditions.
Gold downGold has been in correction for almost a month now. It looks like the correction may continue for the next month. I am looking for a bigger wxy market structure. More confirmation on this scenario will be if gold dips from upper part of the the channel. I am looking at shorting it to 3180 and later to 3000.
Weak USD and renewed safe-haven demand support GOLD surgeOANDA:XAUUSD surged to a one-week high. A weak US dollar and safe-haven demand amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty boosted gold prices.
Gold prices rose and held above $3,300 an ounce as traders grew increasingly concerned about the US tax reform vote and escalating tensions in the Middle East. In addition, Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating and the depreciation of the US dollar also boosted safe-haven demand for gold.
CNN reported Tuesday, citing multiple sources, that the latest intelligence suggests Israel is preparing to launch airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, even as negotiations between the Trump administration and Iran over the country's uranium enrichment program continue. Axios, a prominent U.S. news website, reported Wednesday local time that two Israeli sources with knowledge of the negotiations told Axios that Israel is preparing to strike Iran's nuclear facilities quickly if negotiations between the United States and Iran fall apart.
Israeli intelligence has shifted in recent days from believing a nuclear deal was imminent to believing that talks could soon collapse, sources said.
Gold, considered a safe investment amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty, hit a record high of $3,500.05 an ounce last month.
US stocks plunged on Wednesday and US Treasury yields jumped as investors focused on congressional debate over President Trump’s proposed tax reform, raising concerns that the country’s massive debt will continue to rise.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold broke the technical confluence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, it has qualified for further upside to the next target expected at $3,371, the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Looking ahead, in the short term, gold has qualified for a new bullish cycle with the nearest support at the raw price point of $3,300 followed by $3,292. A bullish breakout of $3,371 would open the door to a new target at the raw price point of $3,400 in the short term, followed by $3,435.
As noted to readers throughout the publications since the beginning of the year, the trend of gold prices is fixed by the rising price channel, corrections can still take place negatively but the trend has not changed. "In fact, I have also encountered many failures when the market fluctuated too much recently, causing me to not believe in the rising price structure at times."
Trading is not just about fundamentals or technicals, it depends more on trading psychology. With the current market, experienced traders will still often encounter psychological problems, such as me, who is writing this article to you.
Finally, the short-term uptrend of gold prices in the main uptrend will be noted by the following notable levels.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3265 - 3267⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3261
→Take Profit 1 3273
↨
→Take Profit 2 3279
XAUUSD GOLD Possible Move 26 May 2026Gold is currently retracing into a key demand zone between 3323–3326, aligning with two strong technical confirmations:
Horizontal Support Zone:
Price previously reacted strongly from this area, establishing a visible support level now being retested.
Ascending Trendline Support:
A well-respected trendline, connecting multiple higher lows, coincides perfectly with the current retracement, adding structural strength to the zone.
Additionally, price action shows signs of liquidity sweep and internal bullish structure, suggesting a possible reversal after stop-hunting weak longs.
Expecting a bullish reaction from this confluence zone targeting the next intraday resistance.
📈 Trade Signal – XAUUSD Buy
Entry Zone: 3323 – 3326
Stop Loss: Below 3317.89 (below the trendline and liquidity sweep zone)
Take Profits: 3336/40/45 (recent supply / minor resistance)
Trade Idea:
Buy from demand zone + trendline support with clear invalidation. Looking for price to bounce and revisit recent highs. Clean intraday opportunity with minimal drawdown expected.
✅ Confluences:
Strong support retest
Trendline touch
Liquidity sweep behavior
Bullish reaction expected from demand
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Outlook🔻 Price Action Summary:
Gold is showing signs of weakness as it fails to maintain support levels amid a stronger USD and rising bond yields. Recent rejections at key resistance zones indicate a potential for further downside.
📉 Technical Analysis:
Trend: Short-term bearish below $2,370
Resistance Levels: $2,370 – $2,385
Support Levels: $2,320 → $2,300 → $2,280
Indicators:
RSI trending below 50 → bearish momentum
MACD crossing below signal line → selling pressure increasing
Price below 50 EMA → confirms short-term bearish bias
📊 Chart Pattern:
Potential Head and Shoulders or Double Top pattern formation near $2,400
Breakdown below $2,320 neckline could open the door for deeper declines
📌 Fundamental Drivers:
Hawkish Fed stance & rate hike fears support USD
Reduced safe-haven demand as geopolitical tensions ease
Rising Treasury yields weigh on non-yielding assets like gold
🚨 Trade Idea:
Sell below: $2,320
Target 1: $2,300
Target 2: $2,280
Stop-loss: $2,340
⚠️ Risk Note: Always confirm signals with volume and watch for unexpected macro events that may affect gold demand.
Still space on upside As Market is still Risingin channel and a volume gap at 3356-3358.
For buying 3330- 3335 is good point after the rejection and my target will be 3380 then 3405.
If 3325-3320 invalidated, H1&H4 candle closes below then this Rising wedge channel will be break and start selling towards 3280 then 3230.
XAUUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITY AROUND 3360 The chart shows everything, let me summarize:
- Based on valid Elliot Wave count, it is now in the end of wave 5 of c of the B correction, heading to start a new wave C to the downside
- The upward movement of the B (RIGHT NOW) lies exactly in the 61.8% Fibo from the A
- It is now on the trendline!! Some see it holds perfectly as some see it is slightly broken (but no volume on it, don't worry!!)
- (see the yellow area) it is an area that is strong buyer and ESPECIALLY strong seller meet. Most of the time price respects this area called supply/ demand area
- An as addition, the MACD showing weakness of the trend by its BEARISH DIVERGENCE
SO I AM WAITING NO MORE, I SHORT!!!
Let's, go....
CHEEERRRSSSS...!!!
Gold price support level: 3320-3325Gold price support level: 3320-3325
Thinking for next week:
Short-term opening focus: Pay attention to the short-term support level of 3320-3325.
If this support level fails to break through, we will look for opportunities to continue to go long.
Intraday focus: 3300-3306 first-line support
If this support level fails to break through, we will also look for opportunities to continue to go long.
From the 4-hour market analysis;
Pressure zone: Pay attention to 3378-80 above
Support zone: Pay attention to 3320-25/3300-3306 below,
Temporarily rely on this range to maintain low-multiple participation as the main tone, wait and see in the middle line, be cautious in chasing orders, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
From a technical point of view:
Currently, the gold price is stable above 3330, not only above the key upward trend line, but also above the hourly and daily moving averages, showing a strong structure of the bull market.
As shown in the figure:
I have clearly shown the future head and shoulders bottom structure
Strong structure: white path
Potential structure: blue path
The price is currently hovering around the middle track 3305, which is the first trend line support level of this round of rise.
It is expected that the gold price will fluctuate between $3300 and $3380 next week. If the market sentiment rises further, it is expected to test the upper limit of the range of $3428.
Gold operation strategy:
As long as the gold price is above 3320-3325, wait patiently for the callback low point to go long at 3300, the target is 3366-3370, and the breakthrough is 3378-85;
GOLD BUY OPPORTUNITYFirstly price is giving us signs of fatigue from a downward trend and also there's a support level that is being observed there. This are not clear indications of a change of trend but there is a small triangle that is just enticing and hoping to get a few pips up before we can expect further down trend.
GOLD GOLD ,the ema+sma +market structure strategy has given us a buy confirmation on 4hrs close ,i will monitor the current break of 3300 level for another 400pips drop ,but should that demand floor at 3289-3300 hold firmly, they could challenge the supply roof on demand and supply impulse strength, if they break asian session supply roof then london into newyork will look for buy opportunity in other to challenge the long descending trendline connect 3500,3457 and 3365 for a long swing into 3445 zone or more.
the dxy is doing exactly what we want to see,if dollar reclaims 100$ this time around ,they will rally on demand to correct oversold market which will cause Gold price to drop on probability.
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years.
Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information.
Additionally, we would be delighted to receive your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Please do not hesitate to share your preferences.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months.
🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by:
Global inflationary pressures.
Geopolitical instability.
Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness.
This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up.
The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025.
The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision.
Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation.
This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control.
🔍 3. Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600):
This zone has acted as a supply region in the past.
Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout.
A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+
Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height.
Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective.
🛑 Support & Stop-Loss :
Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base.
This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout.
🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior
Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone.
Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity.
Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region.
💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup
During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions.
However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips.
Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher.
⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch
Sudden USD strength or rising real yields.
Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand.
FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts.
✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play
Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
Could the price bounce from here?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.89% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is as pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3335
TP3: $3320
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Update GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H Update
Price is holding strong above the $3,250, $3,280 demand zone with trendline support intact.
A pullback into this area could trigger the next leg up toward $3,498.
Structure remains bullish unless this zone breaks.
Watching for a bounce Target: $3,499
DYRO, NFA
Possible Reverse Head and Shoulders?👁️🗨️ The strong uptrend yesterday, followed by the downtrend during the Asian session, has built a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern (30 min chart) 🤷🏼♂️.
⏫ If an uptrend follows today, the pattern will be complete.
The right shoulder began around $3287, which isn't far from the current price.
👀 Keep an eye on this, as it could drop lower while still keeping the structure intact.
⚡ What's very interesting is that the downward trendline (strong resistance) crosses the neckline support if the time window allows.
🙏 Possible target points:
TP 1: $3358
TP 2: $3382
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/28/2025Gold acted as predicted yesterday. Since the trendline was broken, it did rejected from 3350 and broke 3322. Currently it is above 3300. I am looking to sell from either 3305 or 3322 resistance.
If selling from 3305, 1st target is 3287.
If selling from 3322, 1st target is 3305.
My ultimate target for today is 3267.
Bear in mind that weekly and monthly gold is still bullish. It can reverse from 3287 and regain bullish power. If 3327 is broken, the setup above is invalidated.
GOLD – Technical Outlook
📈 Breakout Alert
Gold just broke out of the key descending trendline that has acted as resistance since early May. This breakout confirms a shift in structure and opens the door for a new local high in the coming sessions.
📊 Technical Context
Strong reaction from the Bull OTE + POI zone around 3190-3230.
Reclaimed 50% Fib retracement from the last leg down.
Cleared the supply zone and trendline with momentum.
🌍 Macro Watch
If tariff tensions between Europe and the US resurface, we could see a faster flight to safe-haven assets like gold. Risk-off narrative = bullish fuel for XAU.
🎯 Next Target
Price now eyes the liquidity resting above the 3450-3550 zone. This area could act as a magnet before the next meaningful pause.
⚠️ Key Support
A clean retest of the broken trendline + 3320 area would be ideal to confirm the breakout structure.
Tariff policy reversed again? Be careful on Friday.Yesterday, Trump and the US Trade Court ruled that the US International Trade Court had stopped the tariff policy. Gold once fell to a low of 3245, while the US dollar rushed all the way to a high of 100.5. Then it reversed, and gold began to rectify and rise. As of now, it has once touched a high of 3330, close to a rebound of $85.
Today, it reversed again. The US Court of Appeals allowed Trump's tariff policy to continue to take effect temporarily. And impose tariffs on most areas of the global economy, including allowing tariffs of up to 15% within 150 days to address trade imbalances with other countries. Compared with the tariff policy that was deemed illegal this week, this step is more legally defensible.
Looking at the current gold, it is likely that gold will fall sharply today. After gold fell yesterday, everyone wanted to short gold, but gold rebounded all the way.
So, today, Friday, is an opportunity for short-selling strategies. The short positions have been eliminated, so gold has every reason to fall, and it will fall sharply.
Once it falls below 3280 in the downward trend, it will test the low point of yesterday near 3250. If it breaks through 3250 again, it will go directly to the low point near 3200. The current short-selling strategy has little to do with technical analysis, it is completely a test of human nature.